Unwieldy-Shakedown — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$8

Unrealized P&L

-$8

Hit rate

86.0%

Resolved

Trades

210

lifetime

Volume

$3.04K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

$68

1 position

First seen

2026-01-22

last 06-10 09:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

61% 40% +$8

Politics

36% — —

Other

3% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

53 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No		+101	$76	68¢	$68	$-8	06-03 05:10

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in April?	8	$610	598	591	+7	open	—	04-29 14:55
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	10	$496	716	673	+42	open	—	04-28 08:16
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	3	$361	217	217	+0	open	—	04-21 21:23
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	5	$316	196	196	+0	open	—	05-31 21:19
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	5	$187	125	125	+0	open	—	05-24 22:40
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	2	$115	65	65	+0	open	—	05-16 02:27
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	2	$98	185	185	+0	open	—	05-06 18:21
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	2	$76	101	0	+101	open	—	06-03 05:10
will bitcoin dip to 55k in february 2026 644 513 935	4	$73	160	160	+0	open	—	02-12 09:27
will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	4	$67	226	168	+58	open	—	03-13 06:41
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	2	$48	30	30	+0	open	—	04-10 08:50
will bitcoin reach 74k march 9 15	2	$34	32	32	+0	open	—	03-13 14:42
will bitcoin dip to 45k in february 2026 429 933 793	4	$31	361	361	+0	open	—	02-25 07:59
will bitcoin reach 80k in march 2026	3	$29	58	34	+24	open	—	03-21 02:10
bitcoin above 66k on march 27	3	$25	38	38	+0	open	—	03-27 15:33
will ethereum dip to 1200 in february 2026	4	$24	274	274	+0	open	—	02-25 07:58
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 6?	2	$23	25	25	+0	No	+$3	05-06 13:09
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	3	$17	111	104	+7	open	—	04-22 02:38
will ethereum reach 2400 in march 2026	2	$16	15	15	+0	open	—	03-17 05:25
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	2	$16	20	20	+0	open	—	03-07 19:23
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June?	1	$16	0	50	-50	open	—	06-03 05:08
will bitcoin dip to 60k june 1 7 2026	2	$15	13	13	+0	open	—	06-05 14:47
will bitcoin dip to 50k in march 2026	4	$15	134	134	+0	open	—	03-26 02:09
will axiom be accused of insider trading	2	$15	13	13	+0	open	—	02-26 13:44
nothing ever happens microstrategy	2	$14	13	13	+0	open	—	03-09 22:06
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April?	2	$14	48	45	+3	open	—	04-08 05:07
bitcoin above 60k on june 5 2026	3	$13	81	56	+25	open	—	06-05 14:35
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 29?	3	$12	84	0	+84	open	—	04-27 20:23
will ethereum dip to 1600 in february 2026	2	$11	69	0	+69	open	—	02-28 07:28
will ethereum dip to 1600 in march 2026	2	$10	34	34	+0	open	—	03-26 02:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-10 09:26:57	bitcoin above 58k on june 10 2026	No	BUY	62	3¢	$2	0x4607fb…
06-10 08:47:46	will ethereum dip to 1300 june 8 14 2026	Yes	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0x8b7667…
06-10 04:58:31	will ethereum dip to 1300 june 8 14 2026	Yes	BUY	85	6¢	$5	0x8b1313…
06-07 21:54:31	will bitcoin dip to 50k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	14	15¢	$2	0xe54ea5…
06-05 14:47:07	will bitcoin dip to 60k june 1 7 2026	Yes	SELL	13	76¢	$10	0xdcace1…
06-05 14:35:01	bitcoin above 60k on june 5 2026	No	SELL	26	13¢	$3	0x46aacc…
06-05 14:21:15	bitcoin above 60k on june 5 2026	No	SELL	30	14¢	$4	0x74475c…
06-05 14:20:39	bitcoin above 62k on june 5 2026	No	SELL	6	87¢	$5	0x6baefc…
06-05 08:46:34	bitcoin above 64k on june 5 2026	Yes	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0xf0cbe1…
06-05 08:46:09	bitcoin above 62k on june 5 2026	No	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0xb93dd3…
06-05 08:45:51	bitcoin above 60k on june 5 2026	No	BUY	81	6¢	$5	0x82bc40…
06-05 08:17:37	will ethereum dip to 1100 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	88	6¢	$5	0x42bdbc…
06-04 09:15:46	will bitcoin dip to 60k june 1 7 2026	Yes	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x15a611…
06-04 09:14:15	bitcoin above 60k on june 4 2026	No	BUY	53	9¢	$5	0x1b0cc6…
06-03 05:10:38	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	86	77¢	$66	0x3409ec…
06-03 05:08:18	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June?	Yes	SELL	50	32¢	$16	0x4d2048…
06-02 04:58:43	Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in June?	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x11b3b4…
05-31 21:19:25	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	98	99¢	$97	0x81c7a3…
05-30 09:09:09	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.8T?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xbee513…
05-29 23:06:31	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x7d4830…
05-28 06:25:46	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	98	91¢	$89	0x0aecd5…
05-26 01:07:57	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	74	68¢	$50	0xe5d43c…
05-24 22:40:12	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	SELL	73	90¢	$66	0xd58d49…
05-23 22:27:21	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x3383e7…
05-23 22:25:22	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	62	48¢	$30	0x75a945…
05-23 06:30:30	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	SELL	52	90¢	$47	0xbf2d4b…
05-23 01:45:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 24?	No	BUY	67	1¢	$1	0x1341a5…
05-23 01:44:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 23?	No	BUY	152	1¢	$1	0xbd859f…
05-22 13:05:58	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	52	77¢	$40	0x120c7e…
05-20 22:37:34	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	39	77¢	$30	0x403d29…
05-19 08:59:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x2d31a6…
05-18 08:56:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 18?	No	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x41006a…
05-16 02:27:40	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	65	100¢	$65	0xfd901b…
05-14 06:55:02	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 May 11-17?	Yes	SELL	13	11¢	$1	0xae36ff…
05-14 03:20:11	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xb64df1…
05-13 04:53:34	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x355009…
05-10 14:11:25	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	11	57¢	$6	0x16c1c6…
05-08 13:28:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 8?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x994312…
05-08 13:25:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 8?	No	BUY	49	2¢	$1	0x097919…
05-08 04:57:24	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 May 4-10?	Yes	BUY	43	2¢	$1	0x4fb686…
05-07 14:09:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 7?	No	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x97c4b8…
05-07 14:06:23	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	83	60¢	$50	0xa9d421…
05-07 14:06:04	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	65	77¢	$50	0x194fe0…
05-07 09:15:29	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 May 4-10?	Yes	BUY	48	2¢	$1	0x903e49…
05-07 02:50:01	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x9e3de7…
05-06 18:21:49	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	185	26¢	$48	0x7ae52f…
05-06 13:09:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 6?	Yes	SELL	25	50¢	$13	0x0061ab…
05-06 09:30:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0xc51227…
05-06 03:20:22	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	185	27¢	$50	0xb2ab28…
05-04 15:47:26	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x92bdc3…
05-04 02:08:58	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 April 27-May 3?	Yes	SELL	35	1¢	$0	0x81e439…
05-03 13:02:06	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 April 27-May 3?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$2	0xf2791c…
05-03 01:37:54	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xcfa34b…
05-02 05:02:56	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0xa38111…
05-01 13:15:54	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 April 27-May 3?	Yes	BUY	82	1¢	$1	0xcc066e…
05-01 13:15:36	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 April 27-May 3?	Yes	BUY	35	6¢	$2	0xcf109e…
05-01 13:15:18	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 April 27-May 3?	Yes	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0xfe4fca…
04-30 09:15:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 30?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xbb28ea…
04-29 14:55:44	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in April?	No	SELL	88	61¢	$54	0xd26d7b…
04-29 06:36:46	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in April?	No	SELL	144	70¢	$101	0x7734c9…
04-28 19:36:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 30?	Yes	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x91de6d…
04-28 19:02:30	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in April?	No	BUY	233	43¢	$100	0xf640a9…
04-28 18:59:16	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in April?	Yes	SELL	169	57¢	$97	0xda9b68…
04-28 18:53:32	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	169	59¢	$100	0xa85ccf…
04-28 18:44:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 29?	No	SELL	70	5¢	$4	0xe663b6…
04-28 08:16:52	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x4746dd…
04-28 07:28:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 30?	No	BUY	29	3¢	$1	0xfb7952…
04-28 07:27:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 28?	No	BUY	133	2¢	$2	0xf0ede7…
04-27 20:52:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 29?	No	BUY	56	7¢	$4	0x4f06cc…
04-27 20:50:54	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	Yes	SELL	169	27¢	$46	0x8c952c…
04-27 20:23:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 29?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x1d1200…
04-27 20:20:56	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	179	28¢	$50	0x02cc50…
04-27 15:35:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 29?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x7a60d5…
04-27 09:01:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 29?	No	BUY	19	5¢	$1	0x4c8762…
04-27 09:01:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 29?	Yes	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0xa55eef…
04-27 05:25:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 27?	No	SELL	6	51¢	$3	0x1ba5e2…
04-27 03:17:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 27?	No	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x1da856…
04-27 01:55:38	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in April?	Yes	SELL	95	17¢	$16	0x700cba…
04-25 06:57:30	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in April?	Yes	SELL	95	44¢	$42	0x9cc3e3…
04-25 01:04:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 25?	Yes	BUY	222	1¢	$2	0xaf0223…
04-25 01:03:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 25?	No	BUY	156	3¢	$5	0x8002c0…
04-24 23:15:28	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	196	51¢	$100	0x943b65…
04-24 21:13:48	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	Yes	SELL	205	46¢	$94	0x51661f…
04-24 09:44:06	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	213	47¢	$100	0xcc3baf…
04-23 03:22:38	bitcoin above 82k on april 24	Yes	BUY	54	4¢	$2	0xca1142…
04-23 03:21:50	bitcoin above 80k on april 24	Yes	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0xda02d6…
04-22 09:23:04	bitcoin above 78k on april 22	Yes	SELL	3	49¢	$2	0xcb8462…
04-22 02:52:24	bitcoin above 78k on april 22	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xbf923f…
04-22 02:39:20	Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in April?	Yes	SELL	44	2¢	$1	0x6a05e0…
04-22 02:38:58	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	Yes	SELL	54	5¢	$3	0x006289…
04-21 21:23:26	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	SELL	202	99¢	$200	0x7ba1a6…
04-21 04:41:16	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	Yes	SELL	50	9¢	$4	0x5f03d5…
04-20 08:49:58	Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in April?	Yes	BUY	48	2¢	$1	0x201d72…
04-20 08:46:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 26?	No	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0x2e76d0…
04-20 08:46:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 25?	No	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x79eaff…
04-20 08:45:04	bitcoin above 74k on april 21	No	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x7b5f9a…
04-19 10:13:26	bitcoin above 74k on april 19	No	SELL	78	6¢	$5	0xb46aa4…
04-18 14:02:00	bitcoin above 76k on april 18	No	SELL	4	27¢	$1	0xd5138d…
04-18 08:24:24	bitcoin above 76k on april 18	No	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x56082a…
04-18 08:21:08	bitcoin above 74k on april 19	No	BUY	66	2¢	$1	0xaa1873…