Visible-Collectivisation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

80.4%

Resolved

Trades

538

lifetime

Volume

$1.08K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-22

last 07-10 08:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 64% +$3

Other

3% — —

Politics

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 91 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1783540200	9	$71	58	50	+7	open	—	07-08 19:55
btc updown 5m 1783542000	5	$47	42	26	+17	open	—	07-08 20:26
btc updown 5m 1783520700	7	$30	32	18	+15	open	—	07-08 14:30
btc updown 5m 1783516200	2	$28	59	59	+0	open	—	07-08 13:13
btc updown 5m 1783514100	4	$27	23	23	+0	open	—	07-08 12:40
btc updown 15m 1783607400	7	$24	23	18	+5	open	—	07-09 14:42
bitcoin above 88k on january 23	6	$23	32	32	+0	open	—	01-23 15:21
btc updown 5m 1783540800	4	$23	61	61	+0	open	—	07-08 20:04
btc updown 5m 1783516800	5	$23	23	23	+0	open	—	07-08 13:22
btc updown 5m 1783514700	4	$21	17	17	+0	open	—	07-08 12:48
btc updown 5m 1783541700	4	$21	12	12	+0	open	—	07-08 20:18
btc updown 15m 1783606500	5	$19	22	5	+17	open	—	07-09 14:26
btc updown 5m 1783515000	4	$18	23	23	+0	open	—	07-08 12:54
btc updown 5m 1783515900	3	$17	22	8	+14	open	—	07-08 13:06
btc updown 5m 1783516500	4	$16	16	16	+0	open	—	07-08 13:18
btc updown 15m 1783612800	6	$14	15	15	+0	open	—	07-09 16:14
btc updown 5m 1783518600	4	$14	14	14	+0	open	—	07-08 13:53
bitcoin up or down february 20 7am et	6	$14	9	9	+0	open	—	02-20 12:49
btc updown 15m 1783670400	4	$14	18	18	+0	open	—	07-10 08:14
btc updown 15m 1783608300	4	$13	13	13	+0	open	—	07-09 14:54
will the price of bitcoin be between 64000 66000 on february 19	6	$13	20	20	+0	open	—	02-19 14:13
btc updown 15m 1783610100	8	$13	13	13	+0	open	—	07-09 15:28
will the price of bitcoin be between 66000 68000 on february 20	4	$12	9	9	+0	open	—	02-20 15:08
btc updown 15m 1783611000	8	$12	14	14	+0	open	—	07-09 15:44
btc updown 5m 1783578600	4	$12	11	11	+0	open	—	07-09 06:33
btc updown 15m 1783576800	3	$12	16	5	+11	open	—	07-09 06:12
btc updown 15m 1783625400	7	$11	14	9	+5	open	—	07-09 19:36
btc updown 5m 1783515600	3	$10	11	9	+1	open	—	07-08 13:04
btc updown 5m 1783515300	3	$10	59	9	+50	open	—	07-08 12:58
bitcoin above 70k on march 17	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	03-16 20:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-10 08:17:23	btc updown 15m 1783671300	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x043e08…
07-10 08:15:38	btc updown 15m 1783671300	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x5e0264…
07-10 08:14:02	btc updown 15m 1783670400	Down	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0x41a680…
07-10 08:02:22	btc updown 15m 1783670400	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x99d598…
07-10 08:01:07	btc updown 15m 1783670400	Down	SELL	12	52¢	$6	0x713707…
07-10 08:00:20	btc updown 15m 1783670400	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xddd6f5…
07-09 19:47:08	btc updown 15m 1783626300	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xeceb90…
07-09 19:45:23	btc updown 15m 1783626300	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x8f5e80…
07-09 19:36:46	btc updown 15m 1783625400	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x326661…
07-09 19:36:07	btc updown 15m 1783625400	Up	SELL	3	46¢	$1	0x478c90…
07-09 19:35:26	btc updown 15m 1783625400	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x5296e2…
07-09 19:35:19	btc updown 15m 1783625400	Down	SELL	4	68¢	$2	0x56ed9c…
07-09 19:33:35	btc updown 15m 1783625400	Up	SELL	3	50¢	$1	0xd2adec…
07-09 19:32:05	btc updown 15m 1783625400	Down	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xa3ae7b…
07-09 19:30:41	btc updown 15m 1783625400	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x06b597…
07-09 16:14:58	btc updown 15m 1783612800	Down	SELL	3	69¢	$2	0x10c329…
07-09 16:14:43	btc updown 15m 1783612800	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xdac96e…
07-09 16:14:14	btc updown 15m 1783612800	Up	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0x0e6ac4…
07-09 16:11:01	btc updown 15m 1783612800	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xc21f88…
07-09 16:10:32	btc updown 15m 1783612800	Down	SELL	10	51¢	$5	0x820d1b…
07-09 16:00:44	btc updown 15m 1783612800	Down	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x55b83e…
07-09 15:55:28	btc updown 5m 1783612500	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x7838af…
07-09 15:54:41	btc updown 15m 1783611900	Down	SELL	2	60¢	$2	0x09104e…
07-09 15:53:32	btc updown 15m 1783611900	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x38a616…
07-09 15:44:23	btc updown 15m 1783611000	Down	SELL	2	79¢	$2	0x658ff1…
07-09 15:43:25	btc updown 15m 1783611000	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xf0dcb6…
07-09 15:41:55	btc updown 15m 1783611000	Up	SELL	3	40¢	$1	0x9f984d…
07-09 15:41:41	btc updown 15m 1783611000	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x727936…
07-09 15:40:58	btc updown 15m 1783611000	Up	SELL	4	35¢	$1	0x3fc8f2…
07-09 15:35:47	btc updown 15m 1783611000	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x80f80d…
07-09 15:35:23	btc updown 15m 1783611000	Down	SELL	5	58¢	$3	0x85cf22…
07-09 15:31:47	btc updown 15m 1783611000	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xd828a8…
07-09 15:28:43	btc updown 15m 1783610100	Down	SELL	2	42¢	$1	0x65910a…
07-09 15:24:50	btc updown 15m 1783610100	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x4da4e2…
07-09 15:24:02	btc updown 15m 1783610100	Down	SELL	3	43¢	$1	0x046c7b…
07-09 15:23:34	btc updown 15m 1783610100	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xac7c0a…
07-09 15:23:20	btc updown 15m 1783610100	Up	SELL	4	66¢	$2	0xc5b436…
07-09 15:17:29	btc updown 15m 1783610100	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xfdb205…
07-09 15:17:16	btc updown 15m 1783610100	Down	SELL	5	66¢	$3	0x7cd002…
07-09 15:16:14	btc updown 15m 1783610100	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x4b7ace…
07-09 15:08:38	btc updown 15m 1783609200	Up	BUY	7	90¢	$6	0x8062a6…
07-09 14:54:38	btc updown 15m 1783608300	Up	SELL	3	47¢	$1	0xc7c056…
07-09 14:54:08	btc updown 15m 1783608300	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x2048ac…
07-09 14:52:10	btc updown 15m 1783608300	Down	SELL	10	57¢	$6	0x873be5…
07-09 14:45:35	btc updown 15m 1783608300	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x8efbbd…
07-09 14:42:52	btc updown 15m 1783607400	Down	SELL	4	2¢	$0	0xb1039a…
07-09 14:42:44	btc updown 15m 1783607400	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xc4917b…
07-09 14:41:08	btc updown 15m 1783607400	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xbc4ab8…
07-09 14:38:59	btc updown 15m 1783607400	Up	SELL	3	45¢	$1	0x525d4b…
07-09 14:34:17	btc updown 15m 1783607400	Down	SELL	11	77¢	$9	0xa99a10…
07-09 14:32:41	btc updown 15m 1783607400	Down	BUY	11	63¢	$7	0xf4cef4…
07-09 14:32:10	btc updown 15m 1783607400	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x2c3760…
07-09 14:26:52	btc updown 15m 1783606500	Up	SELL	3	2¢	$0	0xc8dcd9…
07-09 14:21:17	btc updown 15m 1783606500	Down	BUY	17	93¢	$16	0x4f4324…
07-09 14:16:31	btc updown 15m 1783606500	Down	SELL	2	80¢	$1	0x2bd265…
07-09 14:15:50	btc updown 15m 1783606500	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xfc1dd6…
07-09 14:15:26	btc updown 15m 1783606500	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x6eded1…
07-09 09:58:34	bitcoin up or down july 9 2026 5am et	Up	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0xb40f32…
07-09 09:39:34	bitcoin up or down july 9 2026 5am et	Up	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0x4903d8…
07-09 09:31:44	btc updown 5m 1783589400	Up	SELL	3	50¢	$1	0xbae699…
07-09 09:31:14	btc updown 5m 1783589400	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x00fd3d…
07-09 09:30:58	btc updown 5m 1783589400	Down	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0xdc3ebe…
07-09 09:30:26	btc updown 5m 1783589400	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xa84918…
07-09 09:29:17	btc updown 5m 1783589100	Down	SELL	6	1¢	$0	0xa80eca…
07-09 09:26:16	btc updown 5m 1783589100	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xc35b76…
07-09 09:26:02	btc updown 5m 1783589100	Up	SELL	3	69¢	$2	0x6b9ba7…
07-09 09:25:40	btc updown 5m 1783589100	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xf32a6e…
07-09 09:23:55	btc updown 5m 1783588800	Down	SELL	2	33¢	$1	0x2904a9…
07-09 09:23:38	btc updown 5m 1783588800	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x88a6fc…
07-09 09:22:10	btc updown 5m 1783588800	Down	SELL	4	39¢	$1	0x3a70e7…
07-09 09:21:44	btc updown 5m 1783588800	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x7f8ff9…
07-09 09:19:55	btc updown 15m 1783588500	Down	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0xa98187…
07-09 09:19:38	btc updown 15m 1783588500	Down	BUY	2	34¢	$1	0x2bc326…
07-09 09:18:35	btc updown 15m 1783588500	Up	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0xe24dfc…
07-09 09:15:20	btc updown 15m 1783588500	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x5d8011…
07-09 09:10:11	btc updown 15m 1783587600	Up	SELL	11	16¢	$2	0x9c88ba…
07-09 09:09:04	btc updown 15m 1783587600	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x895f35…
07-09 09:03:37	bitcoin up or down july 9 2026 5am et	Up	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0x8c54fd…
07-09 09:02:20	bitcoin up or down july 9 2026 5am et	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xd8c91a…
07-09 08:52:10	bitcoin up or down july 9 2026 4am et	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x84a66d…
07-09 08:46:10	btc updown 5m 1783586700	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x9eee2b…
07-09 06:33:02	btc updown 5m 1783578600	Up	SELL	3	10¢	$0	0x088be8…
07-09 06:32:11	btc updown 5m 1783578600	Down	SELL	7	79¢	$6	0xa942d2…
07-09 06:31:23	btc updown 5m 1783578600	Down	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x69c651…
07-09 06:30:43	btc updown 5m 1783578600	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x6bf419…
07-09 06:23:25	btc updown 15m 1783577700	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x17609d…
07-09 06:22:05	btc updown 15m 1783577700	Up	SELL	2	80¢	$2	0x50bc58…
07-09 06:21:13	btc updown 15m 1783577700	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x481f70…
07-09 06:20:41	btc updown 15m 1783577700	Down	SELL	3	58¢	$2	0xf95c2f…
07-09 06:17:26	btc updown 15m 1783577700	Up	SELL	2	71¢	$2	0xbff9a5…
07-09 06:16:14	btc updown 15m 1783577700	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x2c6ce9…
07-09 06:15:32	btc updown 15m 1783577700	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xd9ab1e…
07-09 06:12:22	btc updown 15m 1783576800	Up	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x3f1710…
07-09 06:11:29	btc updown 15m 1783576800	Down	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x501763…
07-09 06:08:08	btc updown 15m 1783576800	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xba3209…
07-09 06:06:05	btc updown 5m 1783577100	Down	SELL	10	48¢	$5	0xe653b5…
07-09 06:05:40	btc updown 5m 1783577100	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x2ce467…
07-08 20:26:44	btc updown 5m 1783542000	Up	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0xe84267…
07-08 20:23:25	btc updown 5m 1783542000	Up	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x6c01f0…
07-08 20:22:34	btc updown 5m 1783542000	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xaf8a50…