Informal-Blight — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.27K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

60.2%

Resolved

5,048

Trades

34,503

lifetime

Volume

$241.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-27 18:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 147 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 53% -$1,169

Sports

0% 0% -$98

Politics

0% 0% -$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

32 active days in 12wk • peak 1051 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 02:00 UTC	185	$1.1K	1,264	1,264	+0	Up	+$33	07-11 02:02
Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 5PM ET	13	$985	532	495	+37	Up	+$22	10-18 21:45
Ethereum Up or Down - October 17, 9PM ET	12	$888	460	460	+0	Up	+$10	10-18 01:57
bitcoin up or down january 8 3am et	20	$782	582	450	+132	Down	+$60	01-08 08:50
Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 9PM ET	7	$655	727	0	+727	Up	-$655	10-25 01:35
Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 6PM ET	16	$651	334	334	+0	Down	+$2	10-23 22:45
Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 5PM ET	7	$648	692	0	+692	Down	+$44	10-23 21:52
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 22:45 UTC	95	$638	460	287	+173	Down	+$18	04-06 22:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 03:00 UTC	25	$579	600	531	+70	Down	+$56	08-21 03:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	228	$578	1,879	800	+1,079	Down	-$178	06-14 00:02
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-05 14:15 UTC	16	$558	520	520	+0	Up	+$29	01-05 14:21
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-07 14:50 UTC	89	$557	397	345	+52	Down	+$22	04-07 14:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 23:10 UTC	104	$537	445	466	-21	Down	+$126	04-06 23:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-04 21:15 UTC	128	$536	625	599	+26	Up	+$17	04-04 21:23
Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 1PM ET	6	$505	553	5	+548	Up	+$52	10-18 17:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	5	$500	577	0	+577	Down	+$77	10-20 11:52
Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 7AM ET	5	$500	541	0	+541	Down	+$41	10-18 11:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 1PM ET	5	$500	537	0	+537	Up	+$37	10-17 17:52
Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 2PM ET	5	$500	533	0	+533	Down	+$33	10-20 18:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3PM ET	5	$493	559	0	+559	Up	+$66	10-20 19:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 00:55 UTC	218	$493	601	601	+0	Up	+$65	06-04 00:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 17:20 UTC	79	$480	509	487	+22	Up	+$68	04-06 17:23
Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 4PM ET	5	$464	502	0	+502	Up	+$38	10-23 20:38
Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 1AM ET	5	$455	507	0	+507	Down	+$53	10-20 05:33
Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 1AM ET	5	$449	478	0	+478	Down	+$29	10-18 05:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5PM ET	5	$440	531	0	+531	Up	+$91	10-20 21:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 8PM ET	5	$435	487	0	+487	Down	+$52	10-17 00:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	50	$426	243	223	+20	Up	+$15	05-21 19:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 1AM ET	5	$423	467	0	+467	Down	+$44	10-19 05:53
Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 9AM ET	5	$418	448	0	+448	Down	+$30	10-19 13:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 18:50:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	27	74¢	$20	0xfa903d…
10-27 18:36:36	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	SELL	25	48¢	$12	0x155654…
10-27 18:35:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0x659448…
10-27 18:14:53	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	33	99¢	$33	0x8265ae…
10-27 18:12:59	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	26	77¢	$20	0xafe282…
10-27 18:12:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	80¢	$6	0xabd782…
10-27 17:50:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	26	76¢	$20	0x2ab790…
10-27 16:57:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	26	77¢	$20	0xcda73f…
10-27 16:57:53	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	SELL	75	39¢	$29	0xc9d7ee…
10-27 16:55:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0x46e8a0…
10-27 16:52:51	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0xee2694…
10-27 16:50:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0x49d13f…
10-27 16:10:24	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0xe69321…
10-27 16:09:35	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0x4c1e2b…
10-27 16:09:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0x4c858e…
10-27 12:10:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	SELL	28	44¢	$12	0x278557…
10-27 12:06:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	28	72¢	$20	0x848ccd…
10-27 12:05:29	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0x40b757…
10-27 11:55:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	29	39¢	$11	0xc0109c…
10-27 11:52:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	29	68¢	$20	0x2f6020…
10-27 11:43:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	SELL	12	73¢	$9	0x3957a1…
10-27 11:43:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	SELL	14	77¢	$11	0x09c88f…
10-27 11:43:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	26	77¢	$20	0x6ea767…
10-27 11:24:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	25	79¢	$20	0xaef723…
10-27 09:43:27	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	SELL	76	43¢	$32	0x4c925e…
10-27 09:43:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	SELL	26	40¢	$10	0xc36dde…
10-27 09:41:47	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	26	77¢	$20	0xf17ddd…
10-27 09:41:15	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	25	79¢	$20	0x7ea3cd…
10-27 09:40:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	26	77¢	$20	0x0e43a6…
10-27 09:40:32	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0xe6d5aa…
10-27 09:11:42	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	SELL	10	40¢	$4	0x51e931…
10-27 09:11:41	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	SELL	16	36¢	$6	0xd250b8…
10-27 09:11:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	26	76¢	$20	0x7bf49d…
10-27 09:08:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	SELL	26	45¢	$12	0xa28efd…
10-27 09:05:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	26	76¢	$20	0xe5ba6c…
10-27 08:43:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	15	80¢	$12	0xa3e3dc…
10-27 08:26:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0x4af488…
10-27 07:11:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	25	79¢	$20	0x1222c1…
10-27 06:10:23	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	25	79¢	$20	0x893a1d…
10-27 06:10:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	SELL	25	49¢	$12	0x0056b2…
10-27 06:07:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0x29d4e3…
10-27 05:23:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0xffb507…
10-27 04:36:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	25	79¢	$20	0x844718…
10-27 04:28:23	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	26	78¢	$20	0xd844de…
10-27 04:24:14	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0x06baad…
10-27 04:24:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	26	78¢	$20	0xdccb9a…
10-27 04:12:50	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	SELL	26	35¢	$9	0x54c6d1…
10-27 04:12:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	26	76¢	$20	0x857e54…
10-27 03:51:27	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	26	78¢	$20	0xb03199…
10-27 03:50:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0x79bdf8…
10-27 03:10:32	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	SELL	25	50¢	$12	0xb801c8…
10-27 03:08:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0x8ccb45…
10-27 02:42:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	SELL	27	62¢	$17	0x511356…
10-27 02:35:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	27	73¢	$20	0x27da37…
10-27 02:22:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	25	79¢	$20	0xcf912a…
10-27 02:08:35	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	SELL	65	44¢	$29	0xc4d2bc…
10-27 02:08:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	SELL	29	38¢	$11	0xf2d663…
10-27 02:07:57	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	15	80¢	$12	0x7d2f7d…
10-27 02:07:24	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0x2b606f…
10-27 02:07:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	29	70¢	$20	0x3ba1d8…
10-27 02:05:17	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	25	79¢	$20	0xdb874b…
10-27 00:58:57	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	80¢	$6	0xe9b9b4…
10-26 23:55:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	SELL	26	42¢	$11	0x808005…
10-26 23:50:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	26	77¢	$20	0x823a3b…
10-26 22:55:56	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0x0dad05…
10-26 22:55:26	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	26	78¢	$20	0x1fc44d…
10-26 22:54:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0xa844dd…
10-26 22:53:51	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	25	79¢	$20	0x83e140…
10-26 22:41:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	SELL	27	39¢	$10	0x67c386…
10-26 22:35:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	27	75¢	$20	0x32b876…
10-26 22:28:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	28	72¢	$20	0x85e164…
10-26 22:06:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	25	79¢	$20	0x054ad0…
10-26 21:57:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0xc56909…
10-26 21:55:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	23	79¢	$18	0x1847a0…
10-26 20:55:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	SELL	76	47¢	$36	0x5e2dcf…
10-26 20:55:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	26	78¢	$20	0x56510b…
10-26 20:54:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0x0658e2…
10-26 20:53:38	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	26	78¢	$20	0x06cf2b…
10-26 20:42:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	29	69¢	$20	0x60f266…
10-26 20:42:26	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	26	77¢	$20	0x4bb3dd…
10-26 20:41:56	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	28	71¢	$20	0x593f15…
10-26 20:41:26	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	26	78¢	$20	0x335b3f…
10-26 20:21:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	27	40¢	$11	0xfbb72a…
10-26 20:21:50	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	25	42¢	$11	0xed4c3f…
10-26 20:20:51	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	25	79¢	$20	0xce0d7a…
10-26 20:20:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	27	75¢	$20	0x31433f…
10-26 19:55:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	SELL	77	44¢	$33	0xa97741…
10-26 19:53:56	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0x5a14c3…
10-26 19:52:56	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	27	75¢	$20	0xf4d25d…
10-26 19:51:39	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0xf69110…
10-26 19:51:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	27	74¢	$20	0xc1a7e0…
10-26 19:25:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	26	77¢	$20	0x605d07…
10-26 18:50:23	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0xd85797…
10-26 18:50:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	26	78¢	$20	0xc9d11e…
10-26 18:28:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0xa8feae…
10-26 18:25:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	25	79¢	$20	0x5911bc…
10-26 18:11:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	26	78¢	$20	0x79e484…
10-26 17:53:20	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	SELL	13	48¢	$6	0xdd7acd…
10-26 17:53:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	SELL	21	42¢	$9	0xc80a1f…
10-26 17:53:20	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	SELL	12	45¢	$5	0x95fe38…