Stained-Fry — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

395

lifetime

Volume

$155.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$395

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-07

last 06-06 12:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

38% — —

Sports

30% — —

Crypto

27% 100% +$1

Politics

5% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Leeds win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	4	$7.1K	3,563	3,563	+0	open	—	01-13 06:06
elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 0 19	8	$5.3K	2,656	2,656	+0	open	—	01-19 06:02
Will Ajax win the 2025–26 Champions League?	4	$4.6K	2,310	2,310	+0	open	—	01-14 02:49
elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 0 19	9	$4.2K	2,685	1,542	+1,144	open	—	01-15 05:45
Will Bournemouth win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$3.8K	1,882	1,882	+0	open	—	01-08 10:52
Will Trump nominate Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair?	14	$3.7K	1,860	1,858	+2	open	—	01-18 09:34
will ethereum reach 3800 january 5 11	3	$3.7K	1,863	1,838	+25	open	—	01-10 08:53
Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?	4	$3.6K	1,827	1,825	+2	open	—	01-17 02:35
Will Espanyol win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$3.5K	1,772	1,772	+0	open	—	01-14 07:41
Will Union Saint-Gilloise win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$3.5K	1,771	1,771	+0	open	—	01-14 12:59
Will West Ham win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$3.5K	1,756	1,756	+0	open	—	01-10 02:11
Will Fulham win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$3.4K	1,684	1,684	+0	open	—	01-11 01:33
Will the Utah Jazz win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$3.3K	1,660	1,660	+0	open	—	01-11 12:47
Will the Washington Wizards win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$3.3K	1,640	1,640	+0	open	—	01-12 01:12
will amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 453	14	$3.3K	1,655	1,627	+29	open	—	01-12 10:46
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 0 19	3	$3.3K	2,409	854	+1,555	open	—	02-02 13:34
will amazon be the third largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	21	$3.2K	1,625	1,623	+1	open	—	01-23 05:10
Will Club Brugge win the 2025–26 Champions League?	4	$3.2K	1,610	1,610	+0	open	—	01-13 11:31
elon musk of tweets january 13 january 20 20 39	19	$3.0K	1,695	1,277	+418	open	—	01-11 03:16
Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$2.8K	1,416	1,416	+0	open	—	01-13 11:31
will bitcoin reach 86k june 1 7 2026	1	$2.1K	2,093	0	+2,093	open	—	06-06 12:12
elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 20 39	2	$2.1K	1,049	1,038	+11	open	—	01-18 03:49
Will XRP reach $3.00 in April?	1	$2.1K	2,083	0	+2,083	open	—	04-21 06:02
elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 80 99	2	$2.0K	2,050	0	+2,050	open	—	04-14 13:00
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 100 119	1	$2.0K	2,031	0	+2,031	open	—	03-14 14:12
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 20 39	1	$2.0K	2,029	0	+2,029	open	—	03-13 12:39
elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 60 79	1	$2.0K	2,024	0	+2,024	open	—	03-12 02:45
bitcoin above 84k on march 11	1	$2.0K	2,022	0	+2,022	open	—	03-10 14:33
will xrp reach 1pt5 march 2 8	1	$2.0K	2,020	0	+2,020	open	—	03-09 02:10
elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 20 39	2	$2.0K	1,962	0	+1,962	open	—	02-05 07:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-06 12:15:24	will bitcoin reach 100k in june 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x32c70b…
06-06 12:12:06	will bitcoin reach 86k june 1 7 2026	No	BUY	2,093	100¢	$2,091	0x8275ed…
05-26 13:09:53	Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in May?	No	BUY	1,208	100¢	$1,207	0x2b1a0b…
05-19 06:16:33	Will Solana reach $150 May 18-24?	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0xdd9415…
05-19 06:16:21	Will Solana dip to $40 May 18-24?	No	BUY	161	100¢	$161	0x8f93ad…
05-19 06:16:12	Will Solana dip to $30 May 18-24?	No	BUY	161	100¢	$161	0xaeea03…
05-19 06:16:00	will solana dip to 20 may 18 24 2026	No	BUY	161	100¢	$161	0x312de0…
05-19 06:15:50	Will Solana dip to $10 May 18-24?	No	BUY	77	100¢	$77	0xc1ac86…
05-13 14:00:30	Will XRP dip to $0.20 in May?	No	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0xbc0a42…
05-13 13:53:19	Will XRP dip to $0.70 May 11-17?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xcf1a45…
05-08 13:59:36	Will the price of Solana be above $130 on May 11?	No	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0x09ae88…
05-08 13:55:36	Will XRP reach $2.10 May 4-10?	No	BUY	274	100¢	$274	0x0dc5e7…
05-07 15:09:09	Will the price of Solana be above $60 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	499	100¢	$499	0xc1ac87…
05-06 06:08:02	Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0xae97fa…
05-06 06:07:38	Will the price of XRP be above $1.80 on May 7?	No	BUY	208	100¢	$208	0x7e31d4…
05-06 06:05:08	Will XRP reach $2.10 May 4-10?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x57b85c…
04-21 06:02:16	Will XRP reach $3.00 in April?	No	BUY	2,083	100¢	$2,074	0x047910…
04-14 13:00:15	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 80 99	No	BUY	214	100¢	$214	0x8a85fd…
04-13 12:15:49	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 80 99	No	BUY	1,835	100¢	$1,833	0xd6f36d…
04-13 12:11:53	will the price of solana be greater than 130 on april 18	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xe727ad…
04-11 14:18:45	xrp above 1pt9 on april 13	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9087d9…
04-11 14:16:57	solana above 130 on april 13	No	BUY	209	100¢	$209	0x3e9d03…
04-11 14:12:53	will the price of solana be less than 30 on april 12	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x3366db…
04-05 08:35:07	will the price of xrp be greater than 1pt80 on april 7	No	BUY	479	100¢	$479	0x8ed543…
04-05 08:34:59	will the price of xrp be greater than 1pt80 on april 7	No	BUY	521	100¢	$520	0xe2088b…
04-05 08:34:09	will the price of solana be greater than 130 on april 8	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xcea7d6…
04-05 08:33:35	will the price of solana be between 120 130 on april 7	No	BUY	62	100¢	$62	0x7e0817…
04-05 08:33:15	will the price of solana be between 120 130 on april 7	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x163fa9…
04-05 08:32:41	will the price of solana be greater than 130 on april 7	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x2c96dc…
04-05 08:32:33	will the price of solana be greater than 130 on april 7	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x280795…
04-05 08:32:19	will the price of solana be greater than 130 on april 8	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x9ff81a…
04-05 08:31:37	will the price of solana be less than 40 on april 6	No	BUY	67	100¢	$67	0xfb8916…
03-29 13:19:18	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 40 59	No	BUY	1,314	100¢	$1,313	0x6b0906…
03-29 13:13:10	will the price of solana be between 130 140 on march 30	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xeec2d3…
03-29 13:12:56	will the price of solana be greater than 140 on march 30	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0xa52c8b…
03-29 13:11:08	will xrp dip to 1pt1 on march 29	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x818b8b…
03-29 13:07:32	will solana dip to 60 on march 29	No	BUY	85	100¢	$85	0xad532f…
03-29 13:04:40	will bitcoin reach 74k on march 29	No	BUY	450	100¢	$450	0x0763c2…
03-27 17:13:31	will bitcoin reach 75k on march 27	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x04f08f…
03-27 15:00:51	will bitcoin reach 75k on march 27	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0xe561e0…
03-23 02:23:07	will xrp dip to 1pt2 march 16 22	No	BUY	828	100¢	$827	0x84cc37…
03-23 02:05:35	will xrp reach 1pt55 on march 22	No	BUY	539	100¢	$539	0x590279…
03-23 02:05:25	will xrp reach 1pt6 on march 22	No	BUY	556	100¢	$555	0x4ec7bd…
03-23 02:05:05	will xrp reach 1pt65 on march 22	No	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0xd4032d…
03-21 02:24:19	will the price of xrp be less than 1pt00 on march 22	No	BUY	236	100¢	$235	0xed164a…
03-21 02:23:47	xrp above 1 on march 22	Yes	BUY	390	100¢	$389	0x21deb9…
03-21 02:21:27	xrp above 1pt9 on march 22	No	BUY	440	100¢	$440	0xebe719…
03-21 02:19:59	xrp above 0pt9 on march 22	Yes	BUY	671	100¢	$670	0x41e759…
03-21 02:18:57	xrp above 0pt9 on march 22	Yes	BUY	300	100¢	$299	0x7049ec…
03-19 14:01:43	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 160 179	No	BUY	1,956	100¢	$1,954	0xdba534…
03-18 02:36:43	will xrp reach 1pt7 on march 17	No	BUY	77	100¢	$77	0x039f4f…
03-14 14:12:13	elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 100 119	No	BUY	2,031	100¢	$2,029	0x965eae…
03-13 12:39:51	elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 20 39	No	BUY	2,029	100¢	$2,027	0xcbcc64…
03-13 03:06:07	will bitcoin dip to 66k on march 12	No	BUY	1,125	100¢	$1,123	0xfa89d1…
03-13 02:35:45	will bitcoin reach 72k on march 12	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x04f8b4…
03-13 02:31:51	will xrp reach 1pt6 on march 12	No	BUY	402	100¢	$400	0x431d37…
03-13 02:29:47	will solana dip to 75 on march 12	No	BUY	501	100¢	$500	0xc8df44…
03-12 02:45:27	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 60 79	No	BUY	2,024	100¢	$2,022	0x738ea8…
03-10 14:33:23	bitcoin above 84k on march 11	No	BUY	2,022	100¢	$2,020	0x6e0732…
03-09 02:10:51	will xrp reach 1pt5 march 2 8	No	BUY	2,020	100¢	$2,018	0x236448…
03-08 11:19:29	will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on march 8	No	BUY	716	100¢	$715	0x6458d3…
03-07 02:03:21	will the price of solana be greater than 130 on march 8	No	BUY	1,088	100¢	$1,087	0x7d2064…
03-07 02:00:35	solana above 120 on march 8	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x8d38de…
03-07 01:58:43	will bitcoin reach 72000 on march 6	No	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0x25d81a…
03-06 06:30:39	will the price of xrp be greater than 1pt80 on march 7	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xee9c7b…
03-06 04:59:07	will bitcoin dip to 70000 on march 5	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x4753db…
03-06 04:58:57	will bitcoin dip to 70000 on march 5	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd7e150…
03-05 14:52:01	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 76000 on march 5	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x794b91…
03-05 12:31:11	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 76000 on march 5	No	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x8ba06f…
03-04 06:32:27	will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on march 4	No	BUY	368	100¢	$368	0xfa27d3…
03-04 06:24:47	elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 80 99	No	BUY	100	100¢	$99	0x43b43e…
03-04 06:24:39	elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 80 99	No	BUY	323	100¢	$322	0x3ca423…
03-04 06:24:31	elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 80 99	No	BUY	200	100¢	$199	0xbd0026…
03-04 06:24:23	elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 80 99	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x676c74…
03-03 06:07:57	bitcoin above 74k on march 3	No	BUY	314	100¢	$313	0xbbcc78…
03-03 06:07:51	bitcoin above 74k on march 3	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5bf954…
03-03 06:07:27	bitcoin above 74k on march 3	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc6e89d…
03-03 06:07:19	bitcoin above 74k on march 3	No	BUY	342	99¢	$341	0xb17742…
03-03 06:04:47	elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 80 99	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x189b98…
03-03 06:04:33	elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 80 99	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x2a6e87…
03-03 06:03:59	elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 60 79	No	BUY	212	100¢	$212	0x781811…
03-03 06:03:51	elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 60 79	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0x5d85b2…
03-03 06:03:41	elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 40 59	No	BUY	57	100¢	$57	0xadb4ee…
03-03 06:03:33	elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 20 39	No	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0x9e2f51…
03-01 13:47:29	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 74000 on march 2	No	BUY	403	99¢	$400	0xe8a4da…
03-01 08:51:09	solana above 110 on march 1	No	BUY	145	100¢	$145	0xcd2a71…
03-01 08:50:17	solana above 110 on march 1	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x536ea9…
03-01 08:50:07	solana above 110 on march 1	No	BUY	57	100¢	$57	0x765622…
03-01 08:49:49	solana above 110 on march 1	No	BUY	64	100¢	$64	0x2a66b8…
03-01 08:48:59	solana above 110 on march 1	No	BUY	155	100¢	$155	0xdde548…
03-01 02:03:19	elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 60 79	No	BUY	132	100¢	$131	0xcc90da…
02-28 03:42:13	will bitcoin reach 75000 in february 858 936	No	BUY	326	100¢	$325	0xf0549e…
02-28 03:38:49	will bitcoin reach 75000 in february 858 936	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x5b1c86…
02-28 03:31:53	will bitcoin reach 75000 in february 858 936	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x45b576…
02-28 03:31:01	will bitcoin reach 75000 in february 858 936	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x387bf5…
02-28 03:20:51	will bitcoin reach 75000 in february 858 936	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8ce822…
02-28 02:56:53	will bitcoin reach 75000 in february 858 936	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x7608a1…
02-28 02:48:41	will bitcoin reach 75000 in february 858 936	No	BUY	320	100¢	$319	0x1ce4ef…
02-28 02:33:51	will bitcoin reach 75000 in february 858 936	No	BUY	68	100¢	$68	0xb2e488…
02-27 11:12:51	elon musk of tweets february 28 march 2 0 39	No	BUY	10	99¢	$9	0x7541a1…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xca8f…d963	123	$5.86K	6,271	04-17 09:43
Straight-Wrinkle 0x8765…ed81	89	$673	842	03-27 08:56
(anonymous) 0x90bb…531f	85	$1.90K	5,742	04-15 13:45
Well-Documented-Hit 0x30ce…6b2b	83	$561.0K	18,217	04-05 06:36
Different-Ecclesia 0xb6fa…abcf	79	$217.9K	5,296	03-21 16:45
Vivid-Macrofauna 0x63d4…a2f1	72	$868.6K	3,981	03-21 16:45
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	72	$3.97K	1,269	03-17 19:58
Real-Veteran 0xe8dd…ec86	70	$2.67M	22,465	03-23 21:45