Stained-Fry — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$132

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

68.1%

Resolved

219

Trades

443

lifetime

Volume

$177.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$400

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-07

last 09-30 14:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 104 days

Categories

Other

42% 93% +$89

Crypto

27% 98% +$69

Sports

27% 7% -$26

Politics

4% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Leeds win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	4	$7.1K	3,563	3,563	+0	No	-$4	01-13 06:06
elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 0 19	8	$5.3K	2,656	2,656	+0	No	+$0	01-19 06:02
Will Ajax win the 2025–26 Champions League?	4	$4.6K	2,310	2,310	+0	No	-$2	01-14 02:49
elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 0 19	9	$4.2K	2,685	1,542	+1,144	No	+$1	01-15 05:45
Will Bournemouth win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$3.8K	1,882	1,882	+0	No	-$2	01-08 10:52
Will Trump nominate Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair?	14	$3.7K	1,860	1,858	+2	No	+$0	01-18 09:34
will ethereum reach 3800 january 5 11	3	$3.7K	1,863	1,838	+25	No	+$0	01-10 08:53
Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?	4	$3.6K	1,827	1,825	+2	No	+$0	01-17 02:35
Will Espanyol win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$3.5K	1,772	1,772	+0	No	-$2	01-14 07:41
Will Union Saint-Gilloise win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$3.5K	1,771	1,771	+0	No	-$2	01-14 12:59
Will West Ham win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$3.5K	1,756	1,756	+0	No	-$2	01-10 02:11
Will Fulham win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$3.4K	1,684	1,684	+0	No	-$2	01-11 01:33
Will the Utah Jazz win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$3.3K	1,660	1,660	+0	No	-$2	01-11 12:47
Will the Washington Wizards win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$3.3K	1,640	1,640	+0	No	-$2	01-12 01:12
will amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 453	14	$3.3K	1,655	1,627	+29	No	+$0	01-12 10:46
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 0 19	3	$3.3K	2,409	854	+1,555	No	+$2	02-02 13:34
will amazon be the third largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	21	$3.2K	1,625	1,623	+1	No	-$1	01-23 05:10
Will Club Brugge win the 2025–26 Champions League?	4	$3.2K	1,610	1,610	+0	No	-$2	01-13 11:31
elon musk of tweets january 13 january 20 20 39	19	$3.0K	1,695	1,277	+418	No	+$0	01-11 03:16
Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$2.8K	1,416	1,416	+0	No	-$1	01-13 11:31
will bitcoin reach 86k june 1 7 2026	1	$2.1K	2,093	0	+2,093	No	+$2	06-06 12:12
elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 20 39	2	$2.1K	1,049	1,038	+11	No	+$0	01-18 03:49
Will XRP reach $3.00 in April?	1	$2.1K	2,083	0	+2,083	No	+$8	04-21 06:02
elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 80 99	2	$2.0K	2,050	0	+2,050	No	+$2	04-14 13:00
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 100 119	1	$2.0K	2,031	0	+2,031	No	+$2	03-14 14:12
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 20 39	1	$2.0K	2,029	0	+2,029	No	+$2	03-13 12:39
elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 60 79	1	$2.0K	2,024	0	+2,024	No	+$2	03-12 02:45
bitcoin above 84k on march 11	1	$2.0K	2,022	0	+2,022	No	+$2	03-10 14:33
will xrp reach 1pt5 march 2 8	1	$2.0K	2,020	0	+2,020	No	+$2	03-09 02:10
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	2	$2.0K	2,009	0	+2,009	No	+$2	06-14 15:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-30 14:48:05	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x601796…
09-12 14:11:18	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	No	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0x7b9278…
09-12 14:10:31	Will XRP dip to $0.20 in September?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xd40a28…
09-12 14:10:15	Will XRP reach $3.00 in September?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x755d2a…
08-11 13:29:00	will solana reach 130 august 10 16 2026	No	BUY	109	100¢	$109	0xbe003c…
08-11 13:19:45	will xrp reach 1pt6 august 10 16 2026	No	BUY	615	100¢	$614	0x15716b…
08-11 13:19:33	will xrp reach 1pt6 august 10 16 2026	No	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0x0d68f9…
08-11 13:18:07	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	No	BUY	178	100¢	$177	0x1bca6e…
08-11 13:16:15	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	No	BUY	400	100¢	$400	0x206694…
08-08 14:21:13	will xrp reach 3 in august 2026	No	BUY	503	100¢	$500	0xddf7e5…
08-02 13:32:05	will solana reach 160 in august 2026	No	BUY	76	100¢	$76	0xb3e635…
07-30 13:48:41	Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	BUY	1,310	100¢	$1,307	0x80235c…
07-23 07:00:43	Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xadcfda…
07-23 07:00:16	Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,195	100¢	$1,193	0x7fd08b…
07-23 06:59:34	will bitcoin reach 100k in july 2026	No	BUY	813	100¢	$812	0x8c004b…
07-23 06:58:31	will xrp reach 1pt6 july 20 26 2026	No	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0xc0a47a…
07-04 13:04:46	Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	No	BUY	528	100¢	$527	0x93f6e0…
07-04 13:04:04	Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	No	BUY	283	99¢	$280	0xd73b12…
07-04 13:00:44	Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x572f7f…
07-04 12:59:05	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	No	BUY	202	98¢	$198	0xf9a3f9…
07-04 12:58:50	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	No	BUY	103	98¢	$101	0xb95ed1…
06-27 06:10:34	will xrp dip to 0pt2 in june 2026	No	BUY	280	100¢	$280	0x80f7cd…
06-27 06:09:50	will xrp reach 3 in june 2026	No	BUY	541	100¢	$541	0x893faf…
06-25 13:50:14	will solana reach 120 june 22 28 2026	No	BUY	43	100¢	$43	0x22b236…
06-25 13:49:49	will solana reach 130 june 22 28 2026	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x3e646b…
06-25 02:39:43	will bitcoin reach 100k in june 2026	No	BUY	1,019	100¢	$1,018	0xd7e8f5…
06-24 13:35:04	will solana reach 120 june 22 28 2026	No	BUY	123	100¢	$123	0x0151fe…
06-14 15:03:01	will xrp reach 3 in june 2026	No	BUY	93	100¢	$92	0xa5b560…
06-14 15:02:34	Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	No	BUY	1,999	100¢	$1,997	0x3eebb6…
06-14 05:40:00	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xaab0f9…
06-14 05:39:36	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	No	BUY	791	99¢	$787	0x2a906d…
06-14 05:38:57	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	No	BUY	503	100¢	$500	0xa3bb7f…
06-14 05:37:39	Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5e7d75…
06-14 05:37:25	Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	No	BUY	793	100¢	$792	0x3eeb9a…
06-06 12:15:24	will bitcoin reach 100k in june 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x32c70b…
06-06 12:12:06	will bitcoin reach 86k june 1 7 2026	No	BUY	2,093	100¢	$2,091	0x8275ed…
05-26 13:09:53	Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in May?	No	BUY	1,208	100¢	$1,207	0x2b1a0b…
05-26 13:09:09	Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	No	BUY	796	100¢	$795	0xdddbab…
05-19 06:16:33	Will Solana reach $150 May 18-24?	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0xdd9415…
05-19 06:16:21	Will Solana dip to $40 May 18-24?	No	BUY	161	100¢	$161	0x8f93ad…
05-19 06:16:12	Will Solana dip to $30 May 18-24?	No	BUY	161	100¢	$161	0xaeea03…
05-19 06:16:00	will solana dip to 20 may 18 24 2026	No	BUY	161	100¢	$161	0x312de0…
05-19 06:15:50	Will Solana dip to $10 May 18-24?	No	BUY	77	100¢	$77	0xc1ac86…
05-16 15:06:28	Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0xf668f6…
05-14 15:23:52	Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	1,988	100¢	$1,986	0x4fc746…
05-13 14:01:14	Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	1,987	100¢	$1,985	0x24bb44…
05-13 14:00:30	Will XRP dip to $0.20 in May?	No	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0xbc0a42…
05-13 13:53:19	Will XRP dip to $0.70 May 11-17?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xcf1a45…
05-08 14:04:13	Will the price of XRP be greater than $1.80 on May 10?	No	BUY	123	100¢	$123	0x247eab…
05-08 14:03:45	Will the price of XRP be greater than $1.80 on May 10?	No	BUY	95	100¢	$94	0x87cc35…
05-08 14:00:43	Will the price of XRP be between $1.70 and $1.80 on May 9?	No	BUY	311	100¢	$311	0x8ecf5e…
05-08 13:59:36	Will the price of Solana be above $130 on May 11?	No	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0x09ae88…
05-08 13:55:36	Will XRP reach $2.10 May 4-10?	No	BUY	274	100¢	$274	0x0dc5e7…
05-07 15:11:47	Will the price of XRP be greater than $1.80 on May 9?	No	BUY	325	100¢	$325	0x759e6c…
05-07 15:11:36	Will the price of XRP be less than $0.90 on May 9?	No	BUY	240	100¢	$240	0x2a0dbf…
05-07 15:11:22	Will the price of XRP be greater than $1.80 on May 8?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xede6b2…
05-07 15:09:09	Will the price of Solana be above $60 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	499	100¢	$499	0xc1ac87…
05-06 06:17:34	Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	No	BUY	1,175	100¢	$1,174	0x8c2a54…
05-06 06:17:06	Will the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on May 7?	No	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0xa4bb30…
05-06 06:15:48	Will the price of XRP be less than $0.90 on May 7?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc50974…
05-06 06:15:16	Will the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on May 7?	No	BUY	146	100¢	$146	0xc2d7db…
05-06 06:08:02	Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0xae97fa…
05-06 06:07:38	Will the price of XRP be above $1.80 on May 7?	No	BUY	208	100¢	$208	0x7e31d4…
05-06 06:05:08	Will XRP reach $2.10 May 4-10?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x57b85c…
04-21 06:02:16	Will XRP reach $3.00 in April?	No	BUY	2,083	100¢	$2,074	0x047910…
04-14 13:00:15	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 80 99	No	BUY	214	100¢	$214	0x8a85fd…
04-13 12:15:49	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 80 99	No	BUY	1,835	100¢	$1,833	0xd6f36d…
04-13 12:11:53	will the price of solana be greater than 130 on april 18	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xe727ad…
04-11 14:18:45	xrp above 1pt9 on april 13	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9087d9…
04-11 14:16:57	solana above 130 on april 13	No	BUY	209	100¢	$209	0x3e9d03…
04-11 14:12:53	will the price of solana be less than 30 on april 12	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x3366db…
04-05 08:35:07	will the price of xrp be greater than 1pt80 on april 7	No	BUY	479	100¢	$479	0x8ed543…
04-05 08:34:59	will the price of xrp be greater than 1pt80 on april 7	No	BUY	521	100¢	$520	0xe2088b…
04-05 08:34:09	will the price of solana be greater than 130 on april 8	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xcea7d6…
04-05 08:33:35	will the price of solana be between 120 130 on april 7	No	BUY	62	100¢	$62	0x7e0817…
04-05 08:33:15	will the price of solana be between 120 130 on april 7	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x163fa9…
04-05 08:32:41	will the price of solana be greater than 130 on april 7	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x2c96dc…
04-05 08:32:33	will the price of solana be greater than 130 on april 7	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x280795…
04-05 08:32:19	will the price of solana be greater than 130 on april 8	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x9ff81a…
04-05 08:31:37	will the price of solana be less than 40 on april 6	No	BUY	67	100¢	$67	0xfb8916…
03-29 13:19:18	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 40 59	No	BUY	1,314	100¢	$1,313	0x6b0906…
03-29 13:13:10	will the price of solana be between 130 140 on march 30	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xeec2d3…
03-29 13:12:56	will the price of solana be greater than 140 on march 30	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0xa52c8b…
03-29 13:11:08	will xrp dip to 1pt1 on march 29	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x818b8b…
03-29 13:07:32	will solana dip to 60 on march 29	No	BUY	85	100¢	$85	0xad532f…
03-29 13:04:40	will bitcoin reach 74k on march 29	No	BUY	450	100¢	$450	0x0763c2…
03-27 17:13:31	will bitcoin reach 75k on march 27	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x04f08f…
03-27 15:00:51	will bitcoin reach 75k on march 27	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0xe561e0…
03-23 02:23:07	will xrp dip to 1pt2 march 16 22	No	BUY	828	100¢	$827	0x84cc37…
03-23 02:05:35	will xrp reach 1pt55 on march 22	No	BUY	539	100¢	$539	0x590279…
03-23 02:05:25	will xrp reach 1pt6 on march 22	No	BUY	556	100¢	$555	0x4ec7bd…
03-23 02:05:05	will xrp reach 1pt65 on march 22	No	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0xd4032d…
03-21 02:24:19	will the price of xrp be less than 1pt00 on march 22	No	BUY	236	100¢	$235	0xed164a…
03-21 02:23:47	xrp above 1 on march 22	Yes	BUY	390	100¢	$389	0x21deb9…
03-21 02:21:27	xrp above 1pt9 on march 22	No	BUY	440	100¢	$440	0xebe719…
03-21 02:19:59	xrp above 0pt9 on march 22	Yes	BUY	671	100¢	$670	0x41e759…
03-21 02:18:57	xrp above 0pt9 on march 22	Yes	BUY	300	100¢	$299	0x7049ec…
03-19 14:01:43	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 160 179	No	BUY	1,956	100¢	$1,954	0xdba534…
03-18 02:36:43	will xrp reach 1pt7 on march 17	No	BUY	77	100¢	$77	0x039f4f…
03-14 14:12:13	elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 100 119	No	BUY	2,031	100¢	$2,029	0x965eae…