Flimsy-Med — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$6

Unrealized P&L

-$6

Hit rate

68.2%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

15 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$26

$26 lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-05-05

last 05-07 06:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

92% 62% +$6

Other

8% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on May 7?	Yes		-8	$-2	100¢	$-8	$-6	05-07 06:03

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	1	$4	8	0	+8	Up	+$4	05-06 05:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	1	$4	7	0	+7	Up	+$3	05-05 16:44
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on May 7?	1	$2	0	8	-8	open	—	05-07 06:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	1	$2	200	0	+200	open	—	05-07 06:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	1	$2	4	0	+4	Down	$-2	05-06 05:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	1	$2	4	0	+4	Down	+$2	05-06 08:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	1	$2	4	0	+4	Down	$-2	05-05 16:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Up	+$1	05-06 06:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Down	+$1	05-06 10:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Up	+$1	05-06 15:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Down	+$1	05-06 06:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	1	$1	3	0	+3	Up	$-1	05-06 14:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Down	$-1	05-06 04:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Down	+$1	05-05 17:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Down	$-1	05-05 16:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-07 06:33:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0xbd5510…
05-07 06:03:25	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on May 7?	Yes	SELL	8	28¢	$2	0x8a6ef8…
05-06 15:00:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x707d2f…
05-06 14:35:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xf812c8…
05-06 10:04:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xcd5153…
05-06 08:15:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xfa48e4…
05-06 06:50:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x333851…
05-06 06:19:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x1b29f7…
05-06 05:14:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0x0dd3f3…
05-06 05:09:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xf3e75c…
05-06 04:29:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xb7beb6…
05-05 17:04:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x117054…
05-05 16:44:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	7	59¢	$4	0xe344dc…
05-05 16:39:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0xe67627…
05-05 16:34:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xe96267…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	15	$4.46K	121	05-07 10:02
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	12	$11.7K	67	05-07 06:33
Novel-Morbid 0x4766…5a03	12	$524	44	05-06 15:02
Upset-Sight 0xe022…6603	11	$927	78	05-06 15:02
Angry-Culvert 0xa867…f165	9	$760	119	05-06 06:54
Svelte-Chicory 0x9412…0cd0	8	$947	16	05-06 08:19
Wordy-Biosphere 0xa689…559b	8	$529	11	05-06 15:02
Little-Fraction 0xcfb1…f694	7	$1.03K	17	05-06 08:19