Fumbling-Script — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

112

lifetime

Volume

$5.47K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$49

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 07-26 08:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

38% — —

Sports

33% — —

Crypto

15% 100% +$0

Other

14% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?	2	$1.3K	682	670	+12	open	—	01-03 05:29
Will Juventus win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$1.2K	602	600	+2	open	—	01-05 09:13
Will Trump nominate Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair?	2	$684	667	17	+650	open	—	01-16 02:25
Will Brighton win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$611	0	613	-613	open	—	01-27 04:43
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	5	$311	1,419	1,381	+39	open	—	03-07 01:02
will mike mccoy be fired by february 28	2	$82	43	43	+0	open	—	01-07 01:29
will ethereum reach 3000 in june 2026	2	$49	25	24	+1	open	—	06-26 04:47
will amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 453	2	$41	21	20	+1	open	—	03-06 01:11
will alibaba have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 712	2	$40	20	20	+0	open	—	03-06 01:11
will trump admin release any more epstein related files by january 24 671	2	$32	19	19	+0	open	—	01-25 02:15
will microsoft be the second largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	2	$30	15	15	+0	open	—	01-20 07:45
will the next government funding bill be passed on january 27 2026 511	2	$30	15	15	+0	open	—	01-27 04:42
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 4 million	2	$28	15	14	+0	open	—	01-20 07:45
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?	2	$28	14	14	+0	open	—	01-25 02:15
will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 889	2	$27	14	14	+0	open	—	01-25 02:15
will microstrategy be delisted from the msci index by march 31	2	$25	14	13	+1	open	—	03-06 01:11
nothing ever happens january 581	2	$24	15	15	+0	open	—	01-27 04:43
will bitcoin reach 86k june 1 7 2026	1	$23	23	0	+23	open	—	06-04 06:32
will bitcoin reach 100k in june 2026	1	$22	22	0	+22	open	—	06-04 06:31
will saudi aramco be the second largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	1	$22	22	0	+22	open	—	02-08 06:54
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	04-30 03:22
will amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	02-08 06:53
bitcoin above 58k on april 9	2	$19	10	9	+1	open	—	04-09 01:25
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 1?	1	$19	19	0	+19	open	—	04-30 03:22
will solana dip to 10 in june 2026	1	$18	18	0	+18	open	—	06-04 06:32
will bitcoin dip to 58k july 20 26 2026	1	$17	17	0	+17	open	—	07-26 08:15
will bitcoin reach 82pt5k in july 2026	1	$17	17	0	+17	open	—	07-26 08:14
will bitcoin dip to 52k march 2 8	1	$17	17	0	+17	open	—	03-07 01:03
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on May 13?	1	$17	17	0	+17	No	+$0	05-11 02:18
will ethereum reach 2500 in july 2026	1	$16	16	0	+16	open	—	07-26 08:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-26 08:15:22	will bitcoin dip to 58k july 20 26 2026	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x075c20…
07-26 08:15:00	will ethereum reach 2500 in july 2026	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x89bb27…
07-26 08:14:46	will bitcoin reach 82pt5k in july 2026	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x26e90b…
06-26 04:47:14	will ethereum reach 3000 in june 2026	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0x58b022…
06-04 06:33:13	will xrp dip to 0pt2 in june 2026	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xe2ae4c…
06-04 06:32:54	will solana dip to 10 in june 2026	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x2e6fda…
06-04 06:32:36	will ethereum reach 3000 in june 2026	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x43f94d…
06-04 06:32:13	will bitcoin reach 86k june 1 7 2026	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xbaa57a…
06-04 06:31:52	will bitcoin reach 100k in june 2026	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xeab524…
05-11 02:18:59	Will Solana dip to $10 in May?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xa2b8f3…
05-11 02:18:50	Will XRP dip to $0.20 in May?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x525bba…
05-11 02:18:41	Will Ethereum dip to $600 in May?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xe12cad…
05-11 02:18:31	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x32b69a…
05-11 02:18:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on May 14?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x79bf17…
05-11 02:18:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on May 13?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xb18fe8…
05-11 02:17:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on May 12?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x465a29…
05-11 02:17:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 11?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x196d13…
04-30 03:22:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 1?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xcb0004…
04-30 03:22:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 30?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xf7beee…
04-30 03:22:20	Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x60a693…
04-09 01:33:03	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 540 559	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x77f2bf…
04-09 01:32:55	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 480 499	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x158ebb…
04-09 01:32:45	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 360 379	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xa45a54…
04-09 01:25:57	bitcoin above 58k on april 9	Yes	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x8740d0…
04-08 03:57:07	Will XRP dip to $0.20 in April?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x6bce27…
04-08 03:56:53	Will Solana dip to $10 in April?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xc11d5e…
04-08 03:55:51	Will Ethereum dip to $200 in April?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xbd51c9…
04-08 03:55:37	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x8b1df3…
04-08 03:55:25	will the price of bitcoin be less than 58000 on april 10	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x30e935…
04-08 03:55:13	will the price of bitcoin be less than 58000 on april 9	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x281e14…
04-08 03:54:57	bitcoin above 56k on april 10	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x4e19f8…
04-08 03:54:43	bitcoin above 58k on april 9	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8887df…
04-02 03:25:07	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 580plus	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xd4bf73…
04-02 03:24:53	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 360 379	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x4c5cf5…
04-02 03:24:35	will the price of bitcoin be less than 58000 on april 3	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x2ce08a…
04-02 03:24:25	will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on april 2	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x942171…
04-02 03:24:11	will bitcoin dip to 54k march 30 april 5	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x75deef…
04-02 03:23:59	bitcoin above 58k on april 3	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x688739…
04-02 03:23:47	bitcoin above 62k on april 2	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x7d3333…
03-29 03:58:06	will bitcoin dip to 54k march 23 29	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x128347…
03-29 03:57:52	bitcoin above 80k on march 31	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x3a0a7d…
03-29 03:57:44	bitcoin above 78k on march 30	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xcad117…
03-17 11:07:13	ethereum above 1700 on march 18	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x08dcd5…
03-17 11:06:53	will xrp dip to 0pt2 in march 2026	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x74d8a1…
03-17 11:06:39	will solana dip to 10 in march 2026	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x294c5f…
03-17 11:06:21	will bitcoin reach 82k on march 17	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x96c711…
03-17 11:05:53	bitcoin above 78k on march 17	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xd85489…
03-08 07:22:37	nba ind por 2026 03 08	Trail Blazers	BUY	2	78¢	$1	0x498104…
03-08 07:22:21	nba was nop 2026 03 08	Pelicans	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0xb2368d…
03-08 07:22:13	nba dal tor 2026 03 08	Raptors	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0xe79be1…
03-08 07:22:07	nba nyk lal 2026 03 08	Knicks	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x47d421…
03-08 07:22:01	nba bos cle 2026 03 08	Celtics	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x08ef1f…
03-08 07:21:35	xrp updown 15m 1772954100	Down	BUY	11	35¢	$4	0xfc891a…
03-08 07:21:25	sol updown 15m 1772954100	Down	BUY	12	34¢	$4	0xb8463e…
03-08 07:21:07	eth updown 15m 1772954100	Up	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0x70a4b0…
03-08 07:20:55	btc updown 15m 1772954100	Up	BUY	7	57¢	$4	0xade47e…
03-08 07:20:41	xrp updown 5m 1772954400	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x2d1fe6…
03-08 07:20:31	sol updown 5m 1772954400	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x73c745…
03-08 07:19:57	eth updown 5m 1772954100	Up	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0x697654…
03-08 07:19:47	btc updown 5m 1772954100	Up	BUY	4	93¢	$4	0x72525e…
03-07 01:04:29	ethereum above 1700 on march 7	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xb49f6e…
03-07 01:03:59	will ethereum dip to 1300 march 2 8	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xf84b38…
03-07 01:03:49	will bitcoin dip to 64000 on march 6	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0deff1…
03-07 01:03:41	will bitcoin dip to 52k march 2 8	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x61459d…
03-07 01:03:33	will ethereum dip to 200 in march 2026	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xd0a6b4…
03-07 01:03:21	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x8fbdbc…
03-07 01:03:11	bitcoin above 62k on march 7	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x6bbef5…
03-07 01:02:11	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	SELL	929	11¢	$102	0x9e00b9…
03-06 13:09:19	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	BUY	545	9¢	$50	0x807418…
03-06 11:06:13	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	SELL	452	11¢	$50	0xcc0080…
03-06 09:29:57	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	BUY	452	12¢	$54	0x0079fc…
03-06 01:12:59	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	BUY	422	13¢	$54	0xdd4292…
03-06 01:11:45	will microstrategy be delisted from the msci index by march 31	No	SELL	13	99¢	$12	0x8cd840…
03-06 01:11:39	will alibaba have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 712	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x9cef24…
03-06 01:11:09	will amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 453	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xf23fcb…
02-08 06:55:01	will alibaba have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 712	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xe18e66…
02-08 06:54:41	will saudi aramco be the second largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x852bc9…
02-08 06:54:19	will amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 453	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x6172c8…
02-08 06:53:45	will amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xc858b4…
01-27 05:14:01	will the price of xrp be less than 1pt50 on january 27	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xe3f93e…
01-27 05:13:39	xrp above 2pt2 on january 27	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xbbf40a…
01-27 05:13:19	will the price of bitcoin be between 82000 84000 on january 27	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x033732…
01-27 05:13:01	ethereum above 2600 on january 27	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xbd438d…
01-27 04:43:13	Will Brighton win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xba3a41…
01-27 04:43:01	nothing ever happens january 581	No	SELL	15	80¢	$12	0x960661…
01-27 04:42:53	will the next government funding bill be passed on january 27 2026 511	No	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0xe65118…
01-25 02:34:30	nothing ever happens january 581	No	BUY	15	81¢	$12	0xac42a3…
01-25 02:34:08	Over $500K committed to the Bitway public sale?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x680a4a…
01-25 02:33:58	will diplo run the 5k in under 20 minutes 139	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x1ddb69…
01-25 02:33:40	will the next government funding bill be passed on january 27 2026 511	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xf1916f…
01-25 02:15:42	will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 889	No	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x87f690…
01-25 02:15:38	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?	No	SELL	14	98¢	$14	0xf367ff…
01-25 02:15:28	will trump admin release any more epstein related files by january 24 671	No	SELL	19	95¢	$18	0x18eae0…
01-20 07:45:50	will don lemon be criminally charged	No	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0xfc70a5…
01-20 07:45:36	will trump admin release any more epstein related files by january 24 671	No	BUY	19	73¢	$14	0x6949c0…
01-20 07:45:14	will microsoft be the second largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xe6b121…
01-20 07:45:00	will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 4 million	Yes	SELL	14	98¢	$14	0xd492bc…
01-16 02:31:40	will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 889	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0xfd92f1…
01-16 02:30:58	will apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 756	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x49248b…
01-16 02:30:46	will microsoft be the second largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xc8b363…