Stingy-Modeling — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

95.3%

Resolved

Trades

1,711

lifetime

Volume

$16.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-02

last 06-09 12:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 16 days

Categories

Other

79% 96% +$0

Sports

17% 100% +$0

Crypto

4% 100% +$0

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

84 active days in 12wk • peak 44 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 12:30:51	wta volynet sonmez 2026 06 09 first set winner Volynets vs Sonmez	Sonmez	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7ac128…
06-08 21:37:12	France vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xaace0f…
06-08 12:03:42	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb0a560…
06-07 23:59:18	lol lll vks 2026 06 07 total games 2pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc8abd8…
06-07 21:58:15	mlb mil col 2026 06 07 spread away 1pt5	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x069ab3…
06-07 19:14:03	atp cobolli zverev 2026 06 07 set handicap away 1pt5	Cobolli	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0fa343…
06-07 18:53:00	Will Pierre Gasly finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x60e8ea…
06-07 18:51:40	Will Oscar Piastri finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3e0b61…
06-07 18:51:39	Will Kimi Antonelli finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6f54cd…
06-07 17:39:01	mlbb ts ver 2026 06 07 game1	Team Spirit	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1603e6…
06-07 16:59:30	cs2 bb3 m80 2026 06 07	BetBoom Team	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x319e42…
06-07 13:09:46	sc2 hero cure 2026 06 07	herO	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc12471…
06-07 00:58:55	crint can2 usa3 2026 06 06	USA	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1b38df…
06-06 23:09:45	codmw tex riyf 2026 06 06	OpTic Texas	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe8c6a0…
06-06 14:19:18	lol jdg blg 2026 06 06 game handicap home 1pt5	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x77f67d…
06-06 11:32:34	itf haavist petruze 2026 06 06	Lucie Petruzelova	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x148b44…
06-06 11:32:30	itf jovanov davies 2026 06 06	Allegra Korpanec Davies	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x21f019…
06-05 17:13:57	atp mensik zverev 2026 06 05 set totals 3pt5	Over 3.5	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc495f3…
06-05 15:45:15	atp mensik zverev 2026 06 05 set handicap away 2pt5	Mensik	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4ea4b9…
06-05 01:24:01	fda approves arvinas vepdegestrant 06 05 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb9ef93…
06-04 20:40:42	bkbsl bes bah 2026 06 04	Bahcesehir Koleji	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x84ca2a…
06-03 16:51:40	T20 Scotland Tri-Series, Women: Scotland vs Netherlands	Scotland	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x805824…
06-03 16:04:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 3?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x03fa36…
06-03 09:23:48	T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: China vs Oman	Oman	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0dd726…
06-03 04:48:16	T20 World Cup, Sub Regional Africa, Qualifier A: Ivory Coast vs Mali	Mali	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xa8c33c…
06-02 22:56:05	Valorant: SaD Esports vs NRG Academy - Map 2 Winner	NRG Academy	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd01d49…
06-02 15:24:30	Foggia: Mayar Sherif vs Carlota Martinez Cirez	Mayar Sherif	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf12830…
06-02 14:02:15	Will Pepe be included in Portugal's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x995a9f…
06-01 18:35:49	Slovakia vs. Malta: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x010a9e…
06-01 17:58:51	Bulgaria vs. Montenegro: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf452e2…
06-01 01:16:36	Will Luis Suárez score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf91207…
05-31 21:54:23	New York Yankees vs. Athletics: O/U 11.5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9c55f2…
05-31 19:09:25	Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles	Baltimore Orioles	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd3bfbc…
05-31 19:00:07	Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)	Baltimore Orioles	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x940721…
05-31 15:18:06	Rafael Jodar vs. Pablo Carreno Busta: Total Sets O/U 3.5	Over 3.5	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x063b22…
05-31 14:19:36	Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - FRAGgg Playoffs	HOTU	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5bdbec…
05-31 04:54:21	Spread: New York Yankees (-2.5)	Athletics	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfdd9bf…
05-31 04:44:17	Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)	Seattle Mariners	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7ca615…
05-30 22:09:43	San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 6.5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x754c4b…
05-30 19:01:16	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 9.5 Total Corners	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2797f6…
05-30 15:52:37	T20 Scotland Tri-Series, Women: Scotland vs Bangladesh	Scotland	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x376ee2…
05-30 14:25:16	PAOK vs. Panathinaikos	Panathinaikos	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf5a598…
05-30 13:13:43	Set Handicap: Cerundolo (-2.5) vs Svajda (+2.5)	Svajda	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9a1214…
05-30 12:29:35	O/U 2.5 Rounds	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe851a7…
05-30 12:01:35	Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf27f38…
05-30 05:37:26	ITF Men Luan: Completed Match: Eric Jr Olivarez vs Xiaofei Wang	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xb0e7c4…
05-30 04:48:16	Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	August Holmgren	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x877484…
05-30 04:48:16	Notts County FC vs. Salford City FC: O/U 1.5	Over	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x32a5df…
05-30 00:17:11	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9aff48…
05-29 21:58:37	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0a0ab3…
05-29 21:05:56	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc4b3ae…
05-29 21:05:56	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in May?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbd5643…
05-29 21:01:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5d8fb0…
05-29 20:26:18	Dinamo 1948 vs. FCSB: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbd67b3…
05-29 19:20:07	Fonseca vs. Djokovic: Match O/U 38.5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x248f03…
05-29 13:57:04	Borges vs. Rublev: Match O/U 36.5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x82515f…
05-29 08:22:56	ITF Tsaghkadzor: Daria Kuznetsova vs Anna Bazderova	Anna Bazderova	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfd8b5f…
05-28 17:33:02	Hurkacz vs. Tiafoe: Match O/U 40.5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x311b12…
05-28 16:52:16	Claude 4.8 released by May 31?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x496d85…
05-28 16:31:21	Notts County FC vs. Salford City FC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x6076ec…
05-28 16:31:21	Notts County FC vs. Salford City FC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x28fbef…
05-28 16:31:16	Notts County FC vs. Salford City FC: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x79079a…
05-28 16:30:39	Notts County FC vs. Salford City FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x215939…
05-28 16:30:39	Notts County FC vs. Salford City FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x0fd2cd…
05-28 12:33:00	Set 1 Winner: Sinner vs Cerundolo	Sinner	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfa7e3b…
05-28 03:39:03	Citrea FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x86369f…
05-28 02:32:34	Red Bull Bragantino vs. Carabobo FC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x44f232…
05-28 00:03:49	Spread: CR Vasco da Gama (-1.5)	CR Vasco da Gama	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x72f9ad…
05-27 19:37:41	Washington Nationals vs. Cleveland Guardians	Cleveland Guardians	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8423dc…
05-27 17:43:14	Anadolu Efes vs. Turk Telekom	Anadolu Efes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd41eeb…
05-27 17:22:35	Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 2 Winner	TheMongolz	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x31551e…
05-27 09:47:07	Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 2 Winner	TheMongolz	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x38b9fa…
05-27 07:24:59	Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb4cb54…
05-27 02:14:32	Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)	Cincinnati Reds	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x553e1b…
05-26 23:57:41	Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 6.5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2fbf30…
05-26 20:01:34	Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3ad049…
05-26 14:03:24	Set Handicap: Vacherot (-2.5) vs Faurel (+2.5)	Faurel	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2f1c9a…
05-26 13:17:57	Tallon Griekspoor vs. Matteo Arnaldi: Total Sets O/U 3.5	Over 3.5	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd15e6e…
05-26 13:02:14	Centurion: Philip Henning vs Connor Henry van Schalkwyk	Philip Henning	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5ea273…
05-25 08:09:11	T20 Series Sri Lanka A vs New Zealand A, Women: Sri Lanka A vs New Zealand A	New Zealand A	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x73dc31…
05-25 04:48:31	Will 1+ world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x08073d…
05-25 02:00:43	Washington Mystics vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 160.5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5b6d42…
05-25 01:24:37	Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe2e552…
05-24 22:14:39	Roland Garros ATP: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Novak Djokovic	Novak Djokovic	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8df6d5…
05-24 20:49:39	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 10.5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe7a69f…
05-24 19:25:18	Roland Garros ATP: Quentin Halys vs Mattia Bellucci	Quentin Halys	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa4e0b7…
05-24 17:22:22	LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	The Otter Side	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xe9f97a…
05-24 16:02:22	LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	The Otter Side	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xd17172…
05-24 16:02:22	LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	The Otter Side	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xcc391d…
05-24 15:29:51	AC Sparta Praha vs. FC Hradec Králové: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8e638d…
05-24 08:02:47	Brand Risk Promotions 14: Ray J vs. Supah Hot Fire	Supah Hot	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf0343f…
05-23 22:55:09	Minnesota United FC vs. Real Salt Lake: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd92f20…
05-23 21:04:01	Deportivo Alavés vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa1033d…
05-23 21:01:38	Spread: Real Betis Balompié (-2.5)	Levante UD	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xde9ca4…
05-23 16:16:05	LoL: Invictus Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 3 Winner	ThunderTalk Gaming	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x16f10a…
05-23 16:09:09	CSKA Moscow vs. Lokomotiv Kuban	CSKA Moscow	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8dbadc…
05-23 01:24:50	Minnesota Twins vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x819a6e…
05-22 20:37:19	Spread: Atalanta BC (-2.5)	ACF Fiorentina	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd36add…
05-22 17:12:39	Olympiacos B.C. vs. Fenerbahce	Olympiacos B.C.	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcff6d7…
05-22 11:51:14	Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Borna Gojo vs Jurij Rodionov	Jurij Rodionov	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9cb3c0…

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ucl psg1 cfc1 2026 03 11 spread away 2pt5	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-11 21:59
Notts County FC vs. Salford City FC: O/U 2.5	3	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-28 16:31
atp mena aboian 2026 04 15 match total 21pt5	3	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-26 02:50
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 2 Winner	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-27 17:22
atp mena aboian 2026 04 15 match total 22pt5	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-27 03:21
LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	3	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-24 17:22
ITF Men Luan: Completed Match: Eric Jr Olivarez vs Xiaofei Wang	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-30 05:37
highest temperature in panama city on april 7 2026 26corbelow	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-11 11:26
cs2 bca inf6 2026 02 25 game1	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-03 16:37
highest temperature in shanghai on april 9 2026 28c	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-09 07:09
Map Handicap: DRIP (-1.5) vs m1x (+1.5)	2	$20	10	10	+0	m1x	+$0	05-07 11:00
Notts County FC vs. Salford City FC: O/U 1.5	3	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-30 04:48
Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-01 01:24
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-30 04:48
blast open rotterdam 2026 will a player break something during a game	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-31 04:00
highest temperature in paris on april 15 2026 18c	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-15 20:32
Over $7M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-01 01:53
Istanbul: Laura Pigossi vs Lucia Cortez Llorca	2	$20	10	10	+0	Laura Pigossi	$-0	05-05 15:54
fl1 psg nan 2026 04 22 total 1pt5	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-22 17:37
bitcoin above 78k on april 24	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-24 17:11
Will Backpack launch a token by December 31, 2026?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-23 13:58
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-24 20:12
Will 1+ world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	05-25 04:48
mlb sf cin 2026 04 16 spread away 2pt5	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-16 19:14
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 10°C on April 25?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-26 04:25
will the match end in a draw or not be completed 766	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	03-12 09:04
will ethereum reach 2200 in march 2026	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	03-13 13:42
highest temperature in miami on april 8 2026 72 73f	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-08 19:28
cbb mcnst sfaus 2026 03 11 spread away 3pt5	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	03-11 23:24
mls dal min 2026 04 22 total 3pt5	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-23 02:54