Composed-Lookout — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$178

Unrealized P&L

-$74

Hit rate

82.9%

Resolved

2,322

Trades

4,070

lifetime

Volume

$71.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$18

Open exposure

$35

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-20

last 11-05 23:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 182 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 59% -$7

Other

0% 50% +$188

Politics

0% 0% -$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

49 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+287	$68	6¢	$19	-$50	11-02 01:23
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+155	$40	11¢	$16	-$24	11-05 23:29

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-12 14:30 UTC	14	$880	575	571	+4	Down	+$88	02-12 14:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 04:00 UTC	3	$356	247	243	+4	Down	+$134	02-05 04:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-29 06:30 UTC	4	$297	194	194	+0	Down	+$87	03-29 06:45
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-27 22:45 UTC	2	$292	195	192	+3	Up	+$91	02-27 23:00
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-17 13:15 UTC	2	$289	196	193	+3	Up	+$96	02-17 13:30
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-21 22:45 UTC	4	$287	196	189	+7	Up	+$94	04-21 22:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-17 14:15 UTC	2	$285	184	181	+3	Up	+$77	03-17 14:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-17 13:45 UTC	2	$281	188	185	+3	Down	+$89	03-17 13:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-12 09:00 UTC	2	$281	196	193	+3	Up	+$104	02-12 09:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	9	$269	169	169	+0	Up	+$66	04-30 15:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-16 15:45 UTC	2	$268	172	170	+3	Down	+$71	03-16 15:55
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-19 18:15 UTC	6	$268	170	168	+2	Up	+$66	02-19 18:26
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-24 17:00 UTC	2	$267	171	168	+3	Up	+$69	02-24 17:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-10 21:15 UTC	18	$265	160	158	+2	Down	+$49	03-10 21:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 16:15 UTC	2	$265	167	164	+2	Down	+$63	02-03 16:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 13:00 UTC	3	$265	144	144	+1	Up	+$20	02-06 13:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-12 14:15 UTC	2	$262	164	162	+2	Down	+$61	02-12 14:30
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-21 17:00 UTC	2	$260	167	162	+5	Down	+$65	04-21 17:10
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-26 16:45 UTC	2	$254	160	158	+2	Down	+$61	02-26 16:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	2	$250	156	152	+4	Up	+$56	04-27 19:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 09:15 UTC	2	$249	154	152	+2	Down	+$54	02-04 09:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-15 14:15 UTC	6	$247	147	144	+3	Up	+$41	04-15 14:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	2	$246	145	145	+0	Down	+$41	04-28 14:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-03 04:45 UTC	4	$245	146	144	+2	Down	+$42	03-03 04:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-06 17:30 UTC	5	$243	149	148	+2	Down	+$51	03-06 17:41
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 08:15 UTC	14	$243	139	139	+0	Up	+$32	02-05 08:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 16:30 UTC	6	$242	123	123	+0	Down	+$2	02-04 16:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-26 08:15 UTC	2	$242	147	145	+2	Down	+$47	03-26 08:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	2	$241	143	143	+0	Up	+$41	05-04 14:24
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 23:30 UTC	2	$240	140	138	+2	Up	+$35	03-30 23:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-05 23:29:51	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	41	23¢	$9	0x3f33e9…
11-02 19:09:07	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	97	27¢	$26	0xca1aa9…
11-02 18:01:33	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	27¢	$5	0x4dad65…
11-02 01:23:33	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	15¢	$3	0x320971…
11-02 01:13:19	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	15¢	$4	0x27410c…
11-02 01:03:18	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	15¢	$4	0x479701…
11-02 00:33:00	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	15¢	$0	0xd0052a…
10-30 00:18:42	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	91	21¢	$19	0x5b1e17…
10-29 02:02:38	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	44	25¢	$11	0xf93041…
10-28 20:04:46	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	244	0¢	$1	0x5e705b…
10-08 16:03:50	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	33¢	$1	0x1c246a…
10-08 15:47:20	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	57	33¢	$19	0x5abb8c…
10-08 15:34:50	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	36¢	$8	0x0cecc6…
10-08 15:29:56	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x081ca7…
10-07 13:31:37	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0x657096…
10-07 12:02:10	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0x944126…
10-03 07:35:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0xece38e…
10-02 00:35:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x9f1e84…
10-01 18:43:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x07d5c1…
10-01 18:42:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xb7a473…
10-01 17:10:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	11	99¢	$10	0x2e152b…
10-01 17:06:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x273410…
10-01 15:55:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x116a81…
10-01 15:50:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xec4f49…
10-01 10:05:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x69fb45…
10-01 10:05:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xd89c14…
09-30 23:21:35	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 23:15 UTC	Up	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x0b4d79…
09-30 12:35:24	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 12:30 UTC	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xe561c4…
09-30 12:35:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 12:30 UTC	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x050b8d…
09-30 09:06:47	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 09:00 UTC	Up	SELL	11	99¢	$10	0xf6a571…
09-30 09:06:00	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xead3be…
09-30 04:56:29	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 04:45 UTC	Down	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0xc07eb6…
09-30 04:50:02	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 04:45 UTC	Down	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0xf978db…
09-29 05:56:41	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-29 05:45 UTC	Up	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xe0be22…
09-29 05:56:39	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-29 05:45 UTC	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x7c3cbb…
09-29 05:56:35	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-29 05:45 UTC	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x82168b…
09-29 05:50:02	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-29 05:45 UTC	Up	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x1ba2ed…
09-29 00:35:36	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-29 00:30 UTC	Up	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0xf44014…
09-28 13:42:20	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-28 13:30 UTC	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xc969e6…
09-28 13:42:18	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-28 13:30 UTC	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x6b8a13…
09-28 13:42:17	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-28 13:30 UTC	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x03c92c…
09-28 13:35:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-28 13:30 UTC	Up	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x439609…
09-28 10:13:39	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-28 10:00 UTC	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x19dca3…
09-28 10:12:45	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-28 10:00 UTC	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xc1ed6e…
09-28 10:12:45	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-28 10:00 UTC	Up	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x717227…
09-28 10:05:02	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-28 10:00 UTC	Up	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xbc1c22…
09-28 09:20:02	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-28 09:15 UTC	Up	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x045631…
09-28 07:55:14	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-28 07:45 UTC	Up	SELL	9	99¢	$8	0xbd8016…
09-28 07:55:14	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-28 07:45 UTC	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x7d3fe5…
09-28 07:55:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-28 07:45 UTC	Up	BUY	11	96¢	$10	0x5c88ce…
09-27 22:08:11	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-27 22:00 UTC	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x55668d…
09-27 22:08:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-27 22:00 UTC	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x31b070…
09-27 22:08:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-27 22:00 UTC	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x0c0de1…
09-27 22:05:02	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-27 22:00 UTC	Down	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x77f2f2…
09-27 14:27:51	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-27 14:15 UTC	Down	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xc120b3…
09-27 14:26:26	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-27 14:15 UTC	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x5fb779…
09-27 07:43:02	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-27 07:30 UTC	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x8c36ac…
09-27 07:42:38	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-27 07:30 UTC	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x718324…
09-26 20:41:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-26 20:30 UTC	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xa41d1a…
09-26 20:40:20	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-26 20:30 UTC	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x51ed83…
09-26 05:29:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-26 05:15 UTC	Down	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x056c46…
09-26 05:20:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-26 05:15 UTC	Down	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0xc89d6d…
09-25 10:43:33	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-25 10:30 UTC	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x48e035…
09-25 10:43:33	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-25 10:30 UTC	Up	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x03e4ed…
09-25 10:37:24	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-25 10:30 UTC	Up	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0xdf6ef0…
09-25 02:10:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xf8c011…
09-25 02:05:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-25 02:00 UTC	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xeeb7ce…
09-23 13:13:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x7f5baa…
09-23 13:08:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x1e961c…
09-23 11:25:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	SELL	14	99¢	$13	0x4f8e2d…
09-23 11:20:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0x91062f…
09-23 10:26:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x7fcb46…
09-23 10:25:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x5ca726…
09-23 08:55:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x3c3114…
09-23 08:50:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x5609a8…
09-23 02:26:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x5bef3e…
09-23 02:21:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xcef11b…
09-23 00:13:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0xf7a76d…
09-23 00:12:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x1b7096…
09-22 23:42:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x7edf05…
09-22 23:37:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	14	74¢	$11	0x964f0f…
09-22 16:55:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0xb23911…
09-22 16:50:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x434c2c…
09-22 13:26:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0xd1aad4…
09-22 13:20:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x21fcb3…
09-22 03:20:20	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-22 03:15 UTC	Down	BUY	17	67¢	$11	0xe6a05f…
09-19 16:28:08	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-19 16:15 UTC	Up	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x6c8daa…
09-19 16:20:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-19 16:15 UTC	Up	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x2e99de…
09-19 13:12:17	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-19 13:00 UTC	Down	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x041b90…
09-19 13:10:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-19 13:00 UTC	Down	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x94d4ad…
09-19 12:27:33	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-19 12:15 UTC	Down	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x5f75b6…
09-19 12:22:39	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-19 12:15 UTC	Down	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xe5707f…
09-19 11:10:17	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-19 11:00 UTC	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xbc9019…
09-19 11:10:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-19 11:00 UTC	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x124edb…
09-19 07:44:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0xd9b262…
09-19 07:40:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x980e4a…
09-19 01:29:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x35053a…
09-19 01:20:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x6e9bc2…
09-18 08:09:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-18 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x3a2508…
09-18 07:14:19	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-18 07:00 UTC	Up	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xfc3c92…