Liquid-Nudge — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$7

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

61.2%

Resolved

125

Trades

714

lifetime

Volume

$1.27K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-03

last 05-11 17:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

94% 58% $-7

Sports

4% — —

Other

1% — —

Politics

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 446 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	6	$36	38	38	+0	open	—	05-03 00:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	14	$33	45	15	+31	open	—	05-03 01:45
Solana Up or Down - May 3, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	6	$29	16	16	+0	open	—	05-03 04:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	6	$26	16	16	+0	open	—	05-03 02:55
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Pistons vs. Magic	3	$26	15	15	+0	open	—	05-03 23:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	7	$25	28	11	+17	open	—	05-03 01:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	5	$22	113	13	+100	open	—	05-03 01:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	5	$22	12	12	+0	open	—	05-03 02:40
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	5	$21	23	0	+23	open	—	05-03 05:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	7	$19	13	13	+0	open	—	05-03 01:10
Solana Up or Down - May 3, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	5	$19	11	11	+0	open	—	05-03 04:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	8	$18	11	11	+0	open	—	05-03 05:20
Solana Up or Down - May 3, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	6	$16	9	9	+0	open	—	05-03 05:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	6	$16	11	11	+0	open	—	05-03 02:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	7	$16	13	13	+0	open	—	05-03 01:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	6	$15	11	11	+0	open	—	05-03 03:55
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Raptors vs. Cavaliers	4	$15	18	18	+0	open	—	05-04 02:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	6	$15	14	8	+6	open	—	05-03 03:30
Solana Up or Down - May 3, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	4	$15	8	8	+0	open	—	05-03 23:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	13	$15	258	4	+254	open	—	05-03 00:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	8	$14	19	0	+19	open	—	05-03 03:03
Solana Up or Down - May 3, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	3	$14	8	8	+0	open	—	05-03 05:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	10	$13	174	24	+150	open	—	05-03 00:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	8	$13	10	6	+4	open	—	05-03 00:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	5	$13	9	9	+0	open	—	05-03 01:30
Solana Up or Down - May 3, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	6	$13	15	5	+10	open	—	05-03 04:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	4	$12	7	7	+0	open	—	05-03 04:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	4	$12	9	9	+0	open	—	05-03 01:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	11	$12	37	2	+34	open	—	05-03 01:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	6	$12	12	7	+5	open	—	05-03 03:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-11 17:31:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0xc395ea…
05-11 17:30:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x263a13…
05-11 17:25:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xceacb6…
05-11 17:20:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x15af90…
05-11 17:15:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x660b0e…
05-08 00:47:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xed434f…
05-08 00:42:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0x4d568c…
05-08 00:42:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x0f63b8…
05-08 00:41:51	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xfbffd2…
05-08 00:37:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xa6f481…
05-08 00:36:41	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xc991f8…
05-08 00:30:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x3b5eee…
05-08 00:26:30	Solana Up or Down - May 7, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xeb7d2a…
05-08 00:26:18	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x76afd8…
05-08 00:25:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xba564a…
05-08 00:23:26	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xdd9d6f…
05-08 00:17:15	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x6feb6e…
05-08 00:12:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xba2b45…
05-08 00:01:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xaa92da…
05-07 22:53:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x29e670…
05-07 22:46:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x3cf6de…
05-07 22:41:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xb2a933…
05-07 22:37:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x7ba8fa…
05-07 20:46:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xa89d39…
05-07 20:42:02	Solana Up or Down - May 7, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x7812d7…
05-07 20:36:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xfdb43b…
05-07 20:31:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0xc57923…
05-07 20:26:19	Solana Up or Down - May 7, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xe06c55…
05-07 20:21:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x7c4abb…
05-07 20:16:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0xb1acf6…
05-07 20:11:32	Solana Up or Down - May 7, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x9dc60f…
05-07 20:07:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xf39999…
05-07 20:07:42	Solana Up or Down - May 7, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xb64a10…
05-07 20:07:30	Solana Up or Down - May 7, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xf089f2…
05-07 20:06:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x17ccfd…
05-07 20:02:38	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xb7574f…
05-07 20:02:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x23ab29…
05-07 19:51:21	Solana Up or Down - May 7, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xad1097…
05-07 19:46:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x4490ac…
05-07 19:41:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0xdac216…
05-07 19:41:33	Solana Up or Down - May 7, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x2d3e99…
05-07 19:36:40	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x5a8b60…
05-07 19:31:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	4	83¢	$3	0x197db5…
05-07 19:26:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x9cbd2a…
05-07 19:26:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0xdde8de…
05-07 19:24:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x77a94a…
05-07 19:21:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x57d50c…
05-07 19:16:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x732dd4…
05-07 19:12:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0x7c0e56…
05-07 19:12:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0x9df368…
05-07 19:06:34	Solana Up or Down - May 7, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x759f13…
05-07 19:06:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x4143ff…
05-07 19:01:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xbf5fe2…
05-07 18:51:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x16c056…
05-07 18:46:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x3431d4…
05-07 18:41:45	Solana Up or Down - May 7, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x19faf6…
05-07 18:36:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	4	66¢	$2	0x487dee…
05-07 18:31:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	92¢	$2	0x9a2e7a…
05-07 18:26:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	61¢	$3	0x465096…
05-07 18:22:09	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x9a9f5c…
05-07 18:21:38	Solana Up or Down - May 7, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	79¢	$1	0x064e48…
05-07 18:16:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	57¢	$2	0x7daa55…
05-07 18:12:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xa72039…
05-07 18:11:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	47¢	$2	0x292f27…
05-07 18:06:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	75¢	$2	0x2d8185…
05-07 18:01:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0xaa7280…
05-07 17:56:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x011216…
05-07 17:51:33	Solana Up or Down - May 7, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x97cb18…
05-07 17:46:22	Solana Up or Down - May 7, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x462e68…
05-07 17:41:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	74¢	$2	0x1ccbc8…
05-07 17:36:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x2895e0…
05-07 17:31:22	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xf7587a…
05-07 17:21:48	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	53¢	$2	0x6549e1…
05-07 17:16:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x6358fb…
05-07 17:11:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0xbbe096…
05-07 17:07:06	Solana Up or Down - May 7, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x3035be…
05-07 17:01:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x910a5f…
05-07 16:51:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x675948…
05-07 16:46:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$2	0xe851da…
05-07 16:41:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0x2ac53c…
05-07 16:36:41	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x07bd50…
05-07 16:26:34	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	79¢	$1	0xee9de3…
05-07 16:22:31	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x58a64b…
05-07 16:22:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xc482f7…
05-07 16:16:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xbe2e49…
05-07 16:16:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x35e296…
05-07 16:06:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xca38dd…
05-07 16:06:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x12faa8…
05-07 08:01:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xd3e445…
05-07 07:57:01	Solana Up or Down - May 7, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xce788d…
05-07 07:51:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x3a555d…
05-07 07:36:54	Solana Up or Down - May 7, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x572575…
05-07 07:27:06	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x690e33…
05-07 07:27:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x8bf927…
05-07 07:21:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	0	66¢	$0	0xf4605a…
05-07 07:16:45	Solana Up or Down - May 7, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x11f1bb…
05-07 07:16:24	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x62b866…
05-07 07:07:12	Solana Up or Down - May 7, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x806d91…
05-07 07:07:00	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x6c9abf…
05-07 06:57:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x91141a…