Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$0
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
4
lifetime
Volume
$13
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$13
4 positions
First seen
2026-05-05
last 05-06 00:22
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
100%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
2 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Viktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026? No +5,000 $5 $5 +$0 05-05 18:08
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30? Yes +500 $2 $3 +$1 05-06 00:22
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3? Yes +719 $5 $3 $-2 05-05 16:07
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? Yes +1,000 $1 $1 +$0 05-05 17:29