Carefree-Cummerbund — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

61.7%

Resolved

Trades

291

lifetime

Volume

$361

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-16

last 07-07 07:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 53% +$1

Other

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 138 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (7) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	1	$47	0	47	-47	open	—	05-20 06:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	2	$14	150	150	+0	Up	+$10	05-14 06:14
sol updown 15m 1782983700	2	$9	5	5	+0	open	—	07-02 09:27
sol updown 5m 1782984600	2	$9	5	5	+0	open	—	07-02 09:32
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	1	$7	0	150	-150	open	—	05-14 12:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	7	$6	311	150	+161	Up	$-0	05-14 01:04
sol updown 15m 1782981900	3	$6	5	5	+0	open	—	07-02 08:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8AM ET	7	$6	13	13	+0	Down	+$0	05-06 12:48
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	2	$6	150	150	+0	open	—	05-14 08:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	2	$6	150	150	+0	open	—	05-14 07:24
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	2	$6	150	150	+0	open	—	05-14 09:44
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	2	$6	150	150	+0	open	—	05-14 10:18
btc updown 5m 1776851700	6	$5	6	6	+0	open	—	04-22 09:59
bnb updown 5m 1783409700	1	$5	0	5	-5	open	—	07-07 07:39
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	4	$5	150	150	+0	open	—	05-14 08:39
btc updown 5m 1776850800	6	$5	13	12	+1	open	—	04-22 09:44
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	6	$5	150	150	-0	open	—	05-14 08:33
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	9	$5	150	150	-0	open	—	05-14 10:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	1	$5	0	5	-5	Down	$-0	05-08 09:41
btc updown 5m 1776850500	4	$5	4	4	+0	open	—	04-22 09:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	Down	+$5	05-08 12:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	2	$5	10	0	+10	Up	$-5	05-08 12:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	2	$5	311	0	+311	open	—	05-14 07:04
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	1	$5	0	150	-150	open	—	05-14 08:23
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	6	$5	150	150	+0	open	—	05-14 08:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	2	$4	150	150	+0	open	—	05-14 08:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	3	$4	150	150	+0	Up	+$2	05-14 06:24
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	2	$4	150	150	+0	open	—	05-14 12:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	2	$4	150	150	+0	open	—	05-14 07:28
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	5	$4	150	150	-0	open	—	05-14 08:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-07 07:39:19	bnb updown 5m 1783409700	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x75b346…
07-07 07:34:05	bnb updown 5m 1783409400	Down	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x995ab5…
07-06 06:58:26	eth updown 5m 1783320900	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x5decf8…
07-03 06:42:49	doge updown 15m 1783060200	Up	SELL	5	15¢	$1	0x4c6cbd…
07-03 06:40:28	doge updown 15m 1783060200	Up	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0xb7105b…
07-02 09:47:05	sol updown 5m 1782985500	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x7a2cee…
07-02 09:32:07	sol updown 5m 1782984600	Up	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x63ce91…
07-02 09:31:53	sol updown 5m 1782984600	Up	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x539d23…
07-02 09:27:10	sol updown 15m 1782983700	Up	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x48cf1a…
07-02 09:25:16	sol updown 15m 1782983700	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xff5718…
07-02 08:55:14	sol updown 15m 1782981900	Up	SELL	1	69¢	$1	0xfa440c…
07-02 08:55:13	sol updown 15m 1782981900	Up	SELL	4	69¢	$3	0x77a4df…
07-02 08:54:32	sol updown 15m 1782981900	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x29e9a6…
06-30 07:39:31	btc updown 5m 1782804900	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xd48446…
06-30 07:20:02	btc updown 5m 1782803700	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x48813d…
06-30 06:53:16	btc updown 5m 1782802200	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xc7e10c…
06-30 06:49:19	btc updown 5m 1782801900	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x68ae22…
06-26 12:50:41	btc updown 5m 1782478200	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x68f22c…
05-25 07:19:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	SELL	47	2¢	$1	0x6bf220…
05-20 06:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	SELL	47	99¢	$47	0x0b037e…
05-14 12:43:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	SELL	150	4¢	$7	0xea130a…
05-14 12:39:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	SELL	75	2¢	$2	0x62b47b…
05-14 12:39:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0x7f9c9e…
05-14 12:39:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	SELL	25	2¢	$0	0x76f8f0…
05-14 12:24:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	150	1¢	$2	0x85788b…
05-14 12:23:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	SELL	150	2¢	$3	0xa4b324…
05-14 12:18:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	SELL	24	1¢	$0	0xf3a98f…
05-14 12:18:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	SELL	126	1¢	$1	0x475ae2…
05-14 12:14:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	150	1¢	$2	0xfc7979…
05-14 10:24:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0x541f9a…
05-14 10:24:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x244138…
05-14 10:24:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xfa30b8…
05-14 10:24:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xea2e05…
05-14 10:24:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xb53f33…
05-14 10:24:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0x3f85bb…
05-14 10:24:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	85	1¢	$1	0x366b52…
05-14 10:24:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x0a0db2…
05-14 10:23:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	SELL	150	2¢	$3	0xf9d9c3…
05-14 10:18:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	150	1¢	$2	0x82c152…
05-14 10:17:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	SELL	150	3¢	$4	0xe76488…
05-14 09:44:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	150	1¢	$2	0x9473b1…
05-14 09:43:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	SELL	150	3¢	$4	0x19c768…
05-14 08:49:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xbfca94…
05-14 08:49:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x3390a6…
05-14 08:49:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x3371c8…
05-14 08:49:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	72	1¢	$1	0x27636b…
05-14 08:49:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	52	1¢	$1	0x1b4725…
05-14 08:48:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	SELL	150	2¢	$3	0x9dfa89…
05-14 08:43:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	150	1¢	$2	0x7e22ed…
05-14 08:43:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	SELL	150	3¢	$4	0x327f10…
05-14 08:39:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	150	1¢	$2	0x70cdaf…
05-14 08:39:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	SELL	65	2¢	$1	0xc42c15…
05-14 08:39:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	SELL	8	2¢	$0	0x69be2c…
05-14 08:39:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	SELL	77	3¢	$2	0x0a422a…
05-14 08:33:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0xb730bd…
05-14 08:33:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xad28d4…
05-14 08:33:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	18	1¢	$0	0x681043…
05-14 08:33:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	99	1¢	$1	0x20c4b0…
05-14 08:33:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x1c3eee…
05-14 08:32:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	SELL	150	2¢	$3	0x005858…
05-14 08:29:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	117	1¢	$1	0x80b58c…
05-14 08:29:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x57f8af…
05-14 08:29:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	23	1¢	$0	0x272009…
05-14 08:29:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	SELL	34	2¢	$1	0x73a9a8…
05-14 08:29:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	SELL	116	2¢	$2	0xb32fa8…
05-14 08:23:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	SELL	150	3¢	$5	0x0d8ba7…
05-14 08:08:41	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	25	1¢	$0	0x3fbe54…
05-14 08:08:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	48	1¢	$0	0xa14971…
05-14 08:08:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x14a139…
05-14 08:08:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	72	1¢	$1	0x71ef64…
05-14 08:08:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	SELL	31	2¢	$1	0xd5838d…
05-14 08:08:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	SELL	60	2¢	$1	0xc70a83…
05-14 08:08:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	SELL	9	2¢	$0	0xa36827…
05-14 08:08:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0x60940f…
05-14 08:04:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	150	1¢	$2	0xb928f7…
05-14 08:03:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	SELL	150	2¢	$3	0x61882c…
05-14 07:54:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	104	1¢	$1	0xfb229f…
05-14 07:54:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	46	1¢	$0	0x8ab79c…
05-14 07:28:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	150	1¢	$2	0x1b7afb…
05-14 07:27:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	SELL	150	2¢	$3	0xf0fba9…
05-14 07:24:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	150	1¢	$2	0xbb6bd9…
05-14 07:23:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	SELL	150	3¢	$4	0x69a14b…
05-14 07:19:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	75	1¢	$1	0xbf4b3f…
05-14 07:14:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0x9ff356…
05-14 07:14:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	72	1¢	$1	0x15e25e…
05-14 07:14:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	SELL	75	3¢	$2	0x2852ad…
05-14 07:08:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	27	1¢	$0	0x356cbe…
05-14 07:08:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	25	1¢	$0	0xf5b5fb…
05-14 07:08:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xeb1ca6…
05-14 07:08:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	56	1¢	$1	0xd39c5a…
05-14 07:08:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xb5787d…
05-14 07:08:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x9cc376…
05-14 07:08:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	0	1¢	$0	0x4b7bbb…
05-14 07:08:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0xa03103…
05-14 07:08:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	SELL	150	2¢	$3	0xb833ff…
05-14 07:04:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	150	1¢	$2	0xd858de…
05-14 07:04:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	161	2¢	$3	0xb3a40b…
05-14 06:44:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xdd0811…
05-14 06:44:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xd1a70f…
05-14 06:44:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0x7bd386…