Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$325

Unrealized P&L

+$11

Hit rate

93.1%

Resolved

120

Trades

175

lifetime

Volume

$81.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$466

Open exposure

$641

2 positions

First seen

2026-08-17

last 10-29 13:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 40 days

Categories

Crypto

53% 96% -$209

Politics

27% 89% +$129

Other

18% 82% +$359

Tech

1% 100% +$45

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

54 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?	No		+417	$400	98¢	$408	+$8	10-24 13:04
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes		+235	$230	99¢	$233	+$3	10-28 14:40

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 September 28-October 4?	5	$2.0K	1,076	1,076	+0	No	+$43	10-04 19:27
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?	4	$2.0K	1,049	1,049	+0	No	+$38	09-14 12:43
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	2	$1.6K	851	851	+0	No	+$41	08-28 16:12
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	2	$1.1K	607	607	+0	Yes	+$95	09-26 08:57
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?	2	$1.0K	556	556	+0	No	+$49	09-01 05:08
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	2	$1.0K	556	556	+0	open	—	10-29 13:13
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	2	$1.0K	568	568	+0	Yes	+$45	09-12 16:17
iran oman hormuz agreement by august 22	2	$1.0K	538	538	+0	No	+$32	08-22 18:39
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	2	$1.0K	534	534	+0	Yes	+$32	09-22 09:36
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in August?	2	$1.0K	532	532	+0	No	+$21	08-31 04:37
us x iran ceasefire continues through august 25	2	$1.0K	526	526	+0	Yes	+$19	08-24 12:54
Ukraine strikes another tanker in the Caspian Sea by August 31, 2026?	2	$1.0K	540	540	+0	No	+$19	09-10 19:05
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	2	$1.0K	526	526	+0	Yes	+$15	10-23 11:49
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?	2	$1.0K	519	519	+0	No	+$15	09-01 05:09
Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?	2	$1.0K	525	525	+0	No	+$7	09-30 09:44
will bitcoin dip to 80k on october 17 2026	1	$1.0K	1,021	0	+1,021	No	+$21	10-17 15:25
Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 on October 21?	1	$1.0K	1,021	0	+1,021	No	+$21	10-21 18:23
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 19?	1	$1.0K	1,013	0	+1,013	Yes	+$13	10-19 09:51
will bitcoin dip to 79k on october 16 2026	1	$1.0K	1,040	0	+1,040	No	+$40	10-16 18:06
Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on October 19?	1	$1.0K	1,011	0	+1,011	No	+$11	10-19 19:10
Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 15?	1	$1.0K	1,011	0	+1,011	No	+$11	10-15 20:07
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 22?	2	$1.0K	1,025	0	+1,025	Yes	+$25	10-22 14:29
bitcoin above 84k on october 15 2026	1	$1000	1,029	0	+1,029	No	+$29	10-15 07:14
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 14?	1	$1000	1,022	0	+1,022	Yes	+$22	10-13 21:05
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22?	2	$993	513	513	+0	No	-$7	09-22 19:43
Will the Serbian National Assembly be dissolved by August 31?	2	$966	542	542	+0	No	-$34	08-23 08:29
Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on October 18?	1	$900	923	0	+923	No	+$23	10-18 16:17
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 23?	2	$900	925	0	+925	Yes	+$25	10-23 14:02
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	2	$833	435	435	+0	Yes	+$33	10-26 08:19
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?	2	$832	440	440	+0	No	+$32	09-13 19:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 13:13:07	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	556	98¢	$546	0xdbc101…
10-29 09:09:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 29?	No	BUY	413	97¢	$400	0x4db3a5…
10-29 09:08:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 29?	Yes	BUY	514	97¢	$500	0xe9e1e8…
10-29 08:41:01	Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31?	Yes	SELL	900	2¢	$18	0xea415c…
10-28 22:23:07	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 28?	No	BUY	508	98¢	$500	0xe35d81…
10-28 20:56:31	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 40–60%?	Yes	SELL	415	99¢	$411	0x74d9aa…
10-28 14:40:50	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	235	98¢	$230	0x1127cb…
10-28 08:19:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 28?	No	BUY	512	98¢	$500	0x3bc968…
10-28 06:40:08	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	357	98¢	$351	0x8cf69d…
10-27 21:20:32	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	357	84¢	$300	0xa71a05…
10-27 18:48:30	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 27?	No	BUY	411	97¢	$400	0xec9856…
10-27 08:00:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 27?	No	BUY	715	98¢	$700	0x4d7da0…
10-27 07:59:17	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	SELL	406	99¢	$403	0x7380b4…
10-27 07:57:59	Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31?	Yes	BUY	500	60¢	$300	0xe85a63…
10-26 18:22:06	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on October 26?	No	BUY	618	97¢	$600	0x0a6f95…
10-26 08:21:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 26?	No	BUY	518	96¢	$500	0xb2455f…
10-26 08:19:21	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	SELL	435	100¢	$433	0x3eb478…
10-25 21:06:30	Will the Student List win 50% or more of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	517	97¢	$500	0xcbaa71…
10-25 15:27:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 25?	Yes	BUY	605	99¢	$600	0x80fd19…
10-24 16:29:54	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on October 24?	No	BUY	614	98¢	$600	0x2cae18…
10-24 13:04:53	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?	No	BUY	417	96¢	$400	0xb45d5a…
10-24 13:04:05	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	556	90¢	$500	0x589acb…
10-24 13:03:09	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	BUY	406	99¢	$400	0x88151a…
10-24 12:21:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 24?	Yes	BUY	723	97¢	$700	0x17e545…
10-23 20:58:36	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on October 23?	No	BUY	616	97¢	$600	0x556f3b…
10-23 20:58:05	Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on October 23?	No	BUY	710	99¢	$700	0x879866…
10-23 14:02:35	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 23?	Yes	BUY	504	99¢	$500	0xe3542b…
10-23 11:49:53	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	SELL	526	98¢	$515	0xe5d47c…
10-23 08:36:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 23?	No	BUY	515	97¢	$500	0x4522eb…
10-23 08:36:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 23?	Yes	BUY	421	95¢	$400	0xe945ee…
10-22 21:35:54	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on October 22?	No	BUY	605	99¢	$600	0x1d00ef…
10-22 21:33:57	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 22?	No	BUY	411	97¢	$400	0x8c9c67…
10-22 18:23:24	Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on October 22?	No	BUY	528	95¢	$500	0x762f7f…
10-22 14:29:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 22?	Yes	BUY	505	99¢	$500	0x1e3109…
10-22 07:51:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 22?	Yes	BUY	520	96¢	$500	0x4f2966…
10-22 07:50:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 22?	No	BUY	518	97¢	$500	0xca2732…
10-21 20:35:02	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 on October 21?	No	BUY	311	96¢	$300	0xf12bd3…
10-21 18:23:29	Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 on October 21?	No	BUY	1,021	98¢	$1,000	0x8ea20a…
10-21 16:38:15	Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?	No	SELL	247	85¢	$210	0x89d69f…
10-21 14:17:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 21?	Yes	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x967767…
10-21 13:32:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 21?	Yes	BUY	412	97¢	$400	0x09274c…
10-21 08:14:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 21?	Yes	BUY	605	99¢	$600	0x825fcd…
10-21 07:52:45	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 60 and 80 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	309	97¢	$300	0xaa3306…
10-20 18:49:05	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 on October 20?	No	BUY	505	99¢	$500	0xa60bd3…
10-20 18:48:36	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on October 20?	No	BUY	507	99¢	$500	0x6a3cd8…
10-20 18:47:00	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	BUY	526	95¢	$500	0x5d56a4…
10-20 08:44:28	Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	324	94¢	$305	0x6728bd…
10-20 07:00:35	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 20?	Yes	BUY	421	95¢	$400	0x23b707…
10-20 06:58:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 20?	No	BUY	615	98¢	$600	0xaf5618…
10-20 06:56:22	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 40–60%?	Yes	BUY	415	96¢	$400	0xf9b98a…
10-19 22:12:28	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on October 19?	No	BUY	708	99¢	$700	0x66334e…
10-19 20:24:38	Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?	No	BUY	247	81¢	$200	0xf7a5f8…
10-19 20:23:32	Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	324	93¢	$300	0x47e31b…
10-19 19:10:14	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on October 19?	No	BUY	1,011	99¢	$1,000	0xfa5815…
10-19 12:11:29	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 19?	No	BUY	517	97¢	$500	0x9510a1…
10-19 09:51:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 19?	Yes	BUY	1,013	99¢	$1,000	0x46aeb5…
10-19 07:04:06	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	BUY	435	92¢	$400	0xbef0f4…
10-18 16:17:27	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on October 18?	No	BUY	923	98¢	$900	0xa72e95…
10-18 15:05:29	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 18?	No	BUY	501	100¢	$500	0x5c1052…
10-18 07:19:38	Will "Street Fighter" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 30m and 35m?	Yes	BUY	510	98¢	$500	0xb986e4…
10-17 15:29:23	Will "Whalefall" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?	Yes	BUY	513	97¢	$500	0x93c140…
10-17 15:25:21	will bitcoin dip to 80k on october 17 2026	No	BUY	1,021	98¢	$1,000	0x7583df…
10-17 12:51:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 17?	No	BUY	310	97¢	$300	0xb783b2…
10-17 10:16:08	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?	Yes	BUY	313	96¢	$300	0xdb4ab2…
10-17 10:15:32	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?	Yes	BUY	412	97¢	$400	0x1e5459…
10-16 18:06:35	will bitcoin dip to 79k on october 16 2026	No	BUY	1,040	96¢	$1,000	0xee1a9b…
10-16 18:06:03	will bitcoin reach 83k on october 16 2026	No	BUY	412	97¢	$400	0xfbd977…
10-16 11:55:46	russia ukraine peace talks by october 31 2026	No	SELL	395	92¢	$364	0x4f863f…
10-16 08:05:39	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?	Yes	BUY	412	97¢	$400	0x70fe83…
10-16 06:17:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 16?	No	BUY	520	96¢	$500	0xf100ec…
10-16 06:17:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 16?	Yes	BUY	520	96¢	$500	0x9ecf79…
10-15 20:07:59	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 15?	No	BUY	1,011	99¢	$1,000	0x433cf3…
10-15 13:12:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 15?	No	BUY	208	96¢	$200	0x071c60…
10-15 09:15:59	bitcoin above 78k on october 15 2026	Yes	BUY	507	99¢	$500	0x88ee37…
10-15 07:14:50	bitcoin above 84k on october 15 2026	No	BUY	1,029	97¢	$1,000	0x2b23c6…
10-14 20:53:15	will bitcoin dip to 79k on october 14 2026	No	BUY	508	98¢	$500	0x3e069f…
10-14 12:12:54	bitcoin above 86k on october 14 2026	No	BUY	622	96¢	$600	0x5f8a78…
10-14 05:41:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 14?	Yes	BUY	645	93¢	$600	0x0cc913…
10-13 21:05:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 14?	Yes	BUY	1,022	98¢	$1,000	0x25a23a…
10-13 20:58:37	will bitcoin reach 85k on october 13 2026	No	BUY	616	97¢	$600	0xc7c6b1…
10-13 12:43:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 13?	Yes	BUY	320	94¢	$300	0x2d1ecb…
10-13 07:19:07	will bitcoin dip to 81k on october 13 2026	No	BUY	518	97¢	$500	0xcfbc77…
10-13 07:17:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 13?	No	BUY	514	97¢	$500	0x50dff2…
10-12 20:25:51	Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 12?	No	BUY	512	98¢	$500	0x8cc1c1…
10-12 08:28:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 12?	Yes	BUY	515	97¢	$500	0xa05557…
10-12 08:23:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 12?	No	BUY	616	97¢	$600	0x8b21de…
10-11 18:43:45	Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 on October 11?	No	BUY	518	97¢	$500	0x21f818…
10-11 18:24:13	Will "The Social Reckoning" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 5m and 7m?	Yes	BUY	432	92¢	$400	0x349805…
10-11 18:20:30	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 on October 11?	No	BUY	456	88¢	$400	0x4241d4…
10-11 09:44:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 11?	Yes	BUY	311	97¢	$300	0x28716b…
10-10 16:28:43	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on October 10?	No	BUY	318	94¢	$300	0xcdf2ee…
10-10 16:26:13	Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 on October 10?	No	BUY	734	95¢	$700	0x3e4ed9…
10-09 11:18:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 9?	No	BUY	313	96¢	$300	0x1e049f…
10-09 07:17:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 9?	Yes	BUY	412	97¢	$400	0x37b68c…
10-09 07:14:24	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	395	76¢	$300	0x8bd61b…
10-09 07:13:07	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?	Yes	BUY	419	95¢	$400	0xc0cd2b…
10-08 19:30:48	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on October 8?	No	BUY	332	90¢	$300	0x34ddf3…
10-08 15:49:54	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on October 8?	No	BUY	524	95¢	$500	0x3a960d…
10-08 08:16:32	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 7?	Yes	SELL	319	100¢	$318	0x4330a3…
10-08 08:15:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 8?	Yes	BUY	723	97¢	$700	0xb159ed…