Stale-Berry — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$18

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

99.2%

Resolved

299

Trades

300

lifetime

Volume

$3.36K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-09

last 11-14 18:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 235 days

Categories

Other

95% 100% +$5

Politics

5% 89% -$23

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

72 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 15°C on November 15?	No		+9	$9	100¢	$9	+$0	11-14 18:16

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C or higher on May 14?	1	$26	26	+26	No	+$0	05-14 14:36
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$26	26	+26	No	-$26	05-15 04:54
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C or below on May 2?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	05-02 13:37
Trump out as President by April 30?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	04-30 08:47
Will Trump visit China by June 30?	1	$25	26	+26	Yes	+$1	05-03 03:31
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on April 29?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-29 12:57
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on April 28?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-28 10:36
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on April 27?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-28 01:34
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on April 27?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	04-27 10:27
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on April 26?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-27 01:29
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on April 26?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	04-26 09:11
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C or higher on April 25?	1	$24	25	+25	No	+$0	04-25 12:04
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 24th?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-24 10:39
highest temperature in seattle on april 23 2026 64 65f	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-24 01:55
highest temperature in tokyo on april 23 2026 19c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-23 07:17
highest temperature in manila on april 22 2026 35c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-22 10:12
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	1	$23	24	+24	No	+$1	04-21 04:22
highest temperature in lucknow on april 20 2026 43c	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-20 16:42
highest temperature in wellington on april 20 2026 17c	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-20 03:41
highest temperature in lucknow on april 19 2026 42c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-19 16:06
highest temperature in wellington on april 19 2026 18c	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-19 05:38
highest temperature in moscow on april 18 2026 10c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-18 15:17
highest temperature in wellington on april 18 2026 18c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-18 07:35
highest temperature in tokyo on april 17 2026 17c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-17 10:05
highest temperature in seattle on april 16 2026 54 55f	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-17 03:45
highest temperature in ankara on april 16 2026 23c	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-16 15:34
highest temperature in wellington on april 16 2026 18c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-16 08:24
highest temperature in miami on april 15 2026 80 81f	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-16 04:16
highest temperature in shanghai on april 15 2026 19c	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-15 10:54
highest temperature in denver on april 14 2026 56 57f	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-15 03:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-14 18:16:55	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 15°C on November 15?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x3fdb85…
11-13 10:03:16	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on November 13?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x14cf6a…
11-12 08:14:30	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 10°C on November 12?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x775fe4…
11-11 08:57:00	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on November 11?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x4ca31b…
11-09 03:05:34	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on November 9?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x3b0db6…
11-08 11:56:18	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 6°C on November 8?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x04cf55…
11-07 11:02:42	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 4°C or below on November 7?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x047c6b…
11-06 10:06:00	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on November 6?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xc381ea…
11-05 00:33:06	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 7°C or below on November 5?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x2f8887…
11-04 12:28:21	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 9°C on November 4?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xed76c8…
11-03 09:29:33	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 72-73°F on November 3?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x0b2b19…
11-02 13:08:07	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on November 2?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xbf6714…
10-31 17:45:21	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 19°C on November 1?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xedd7b1…
10-31 09:16:12	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xb548fb…
10-30 09:26:43	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x272315…
10-29 07:44:34	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on October 29?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x9210db…
10-28 05:00:07	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 10°C on October 28?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x7203e6…
10-27 07:59:14	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on October 27?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$8	0x346bc7…
10-26 05:34:32	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on October 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfd9681…
10-24 06:53:00	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 9°C on October 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd63b46…
10-22 09:52:29	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x73bfbf…
10-20 04:37:09	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on October 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5a0e8f…
10-19 07:11:57	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on October 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xec02ba…
10-18 07:34:20	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on October 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xaef628…
10-17 07:39:50	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on October 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8021da…
10-16 08:07:42	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on October 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8f99ec…
10-15 07:17:41	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on October 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xeab10f…
10-14 07:13:32	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd6f4a6…
10-13 05:34:52	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on October 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x551784…
10-12 04:27:11	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on October 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd8d9e5…
10-11 03:15:03	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C or below on October 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5dc458…
10-08 07:15:17	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on October 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3b121b…
10-07 08:56:17	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on October 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x21ee30…
10-06 07:14:52	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on October 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb6383d…
10-04 08:28:32	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on October 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x765983…
10-03 04:17:51	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on October 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x199583…
10-02 07:23:41	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdb1b6a…
10-02 03:15:11	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on October 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc6abef…
10-01 07:54:23	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf55841…
09-30 09:29:12	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on September 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x154932…
09-29 08:12:35	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa28028…
09-28 08:16:35	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x53f7f1…
09-27 08:10:11	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on September 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x20561a…
09-25 07:56:02	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on September 25?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x29988e…
09-24 06:43:36	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb89009…
09-23 05:16:59	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on September 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x16a255…
09-22 06:15:40	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on September 22?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xe7e7af…
09-21 08:24:57	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 21?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb57d27…
09-20 03:09:01	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 63°F or below on September 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6fdc25…
09-19 07:43:06	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on September 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xda23c1…
09-18 01:12:25	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on September 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7b7a3a…
09-17 03:44:45	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C or below on September 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9850f4…
09-16 08:47:52	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on September 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0e7f06…
09-15 23:36:28	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on September 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd9776c…
09-15 02:29:19	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on September 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x147ee6…
09-14 02:46:09	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on September 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa99bb3…
09-13 12:52:12	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on September 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0acd7d…
09-12 08:14:01	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x67296a…
09-11 06:28:21	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C or below on September 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x03eeb7…
09-10 01:49:42	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on September 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3076ea…
09-09 01:02:22	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 21°C on September 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd1bc1d…
09-08 01:10:27	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on September 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xaf5350…
09-07 01:52:25	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on September 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd63639…
09-06 01:16:33	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C on September 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6fc158…
09-05 09:22:12	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on September 5?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb63b95…
09-04 08:21:27	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x710c12…
09-03 01:32:34	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C or higher on September 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7bdacf…
09-01 01:26:48	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on August 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdefb9e…
08-30 01:02:07	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on August 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe0840b…
08-29 05:53:45	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C or higher on August 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf7ba91…
08-28 01:31:55	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on August 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0d2430…
08-27 01:20:04	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on August 27?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x2bf2cc…
08-26 02:04:12	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfca2a1…
08-25 08:11:28	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C or higher on August 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc7b45c…
08-24 07:22:27	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x110294…
08-23 07:24:12	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on August 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x537143…
08-22 06:32:24	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on August 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1599c2…
08-21 01:30:03	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on August 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfc5a70…
08-20 05:48:00	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on August 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3f77c2…
08-19 07:24:28	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb44b04…
08-18 01:15:13	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on August 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x56e90a…
08-17 06:08:49	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1557e8…
08-16 10:46:10	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5f286c…
08-15 02:35:43	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on August 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x445a05…
08-14 06:20:48	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C or higher on August 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1e32c8…
08-13 00:28:45	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C or higher on August 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfbfdd3…
08-12 06:49:40	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on August 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7b1964…
08-11 00:27:06	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C or below on August 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xef5bbc…
08-10 00:29:09	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on August 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x12ca3d…
08-09 00:59:37	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on August 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x853e27…
08-08 07:01:45	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on August 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x649474…
08-07 00:28:36	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on August 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x732177…
08-06 00:26:00	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on August 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa79ba0…
08-05 00:37:51	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on August 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8d4259…
08-04 03:28:47	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 4?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x15aae0…
08-03 01:04:41	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 102-103°F on August 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8fe177…
08-02 00:24:42	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on August 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7f94ef…
08-01 00:19:30	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on July 31?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3f338f…
07-31 07:15:47	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 37°C on July 31?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x36ad96…
07-30 00:21:44	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on July 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0d9869…