Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$5

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

45.3%

Resolved

127

Trades

443

lifetime

Volume

$851

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-14

last 09-12 07:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 39 days

Categories

Other

87% 29% +$9

Crypto

12% 59% -$3

Politics

0% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets february 20 february 27 320 339	16	$62	112	126	-14	No	+$6	02-27 09:13
elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 340 359	12	$54	66	51	+15	No	-$2	02-24 15:26
elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 360 379	10	$41	57	57	+0	Yes	+$11	02-24 17:01
elon musk of tweets february 20 february 27 300 319	8	$38	75	40	+35	Yes	+$27	02-27 18:11
elon musk of tweets february 26 february 28 65 89	10	$26	53	55	-2	No	-$4	02-28 14:39
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?	11	$23	267	100	+167	No	-$1	07-31 15:46
elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 340 359	5	$22	89	89	+0	No	+$4	02-18 04:15
elon musk of tweets february 26 february 28 40 64	11	$22	130	141	-11	Yes	-$3	02-27 22:40
elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 300 319	8	$21	45	45	+0	Yes	-$1	02-19 09:58
elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 380 399	13	$20	2,023	1,523	+500	No	-$2	02-24 16:04
elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 320 339	6	$19	59	59	+0	No	+$1	02-18 11:44
elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 220 239	12	$19	59	59	+0	No	-$1	03-03 14:22
elon musk of tweets february 20 february 27 340 359	7	$18	53	53	+0	No	-$2	02-24 22:22
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?	13	$18	27	27	+0	Yes	+$2	08-03 15:31
elon musk of tweets february 20 february 27 280 299	4	$17	56	56	+0	No	-$1	02-25 06:02
elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 360 379	4	$16	94	94	+0	No	-$2	02-18 20:29
elon musk of tweets february 28 march 2 0 39	19	$15	828	828	+0	No	-$5	03-01 21:45
elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 320 339	6	$15	74	74	+0	No	-$1	02-28 22:24
elon musk of tweets march 2 march 4 40 64	8	$15	43	43	+0	No	+$1	03-04 10:52
elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 280 299	6	$15	41	41	+0	No	-$1	02-19 09:15
elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 200 219	10	$14	78	78	+0	Yes	+$0	03-03 14:11
elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 340 359	4	$13	49	49	+0	No	-$1	02-24 22:47
elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 240 259	3	$11	20	20	+0	Yes	+$6	02-16 15:44
elon musk of tweets march 5 march 7 0 39	8	$10	78	78	+0	No	-$2	03-06 19:26
elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 260 279	2	$8	12	12	+0	No	+$0	02-19 07:56
elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 400 419	2	$8	50	50	+0	No	+$6	02-20 20:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-25 09:20 UTC	3	$8	14	2	+12	Down	-$4	02-25 09:24
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from July 30 to August 1, 2026?	9	$8	91	91	+0	No	-$2	08-01 04:43
elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 300 319	4	$7	34	34	+0	No	-$1	02-28 22:24
elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 240 259	5	$7	15	15	+0	No	-$1	03-01 21:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-12 07:15:04	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	90	2¢	$2	0xca2612…
09-05 14:59:36	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from September 3 to September 5, 2026?	Yes	SELL	83	0¢	$0	0x9b189d…
09-05 14:57:36	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from September 3 to September 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	131	1¢	$1	0xba6eb6…
09-05 09:52:45	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from September 3 to September 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	3¢	$1	0x6436e6…
08-25 04:00:16	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	8¢	$1	0x463b61…
08-25 03:27:13	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	13¢	$1	0xcecabb…
08-22 15:43:42	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x208a67…
08-22 15:41:16	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x166aa6…
08-22 15:19:09	Will Capitão Wagner win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?	Yes	SELL	333	0¢	$0	0x8e033c…
08-22 15:11:40	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	73¢	$2	0x103a47…
08-22 15:10:04	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x4c2fa6…
08-22 04:24:36	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	20¢	$1	0xac959b…
08-22 03:48:13	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x820233…
08-20 23:59:36	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	54	2¢	$1	0xadae2b…
08-14 12:45:10	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	5¢	$1	0x93954c…
08-14 06:29:40	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	SELL	111	1¢	$1	0x6492ff…
08-13 04:09:52	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0x1fb83d…
08-13 04:04:48	Will Capitão Wagner win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0x0ae8a2…
08-12 07:47:36	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 10 to August 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x02b78d…
08-11 10:39:31	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	16¢	$2	0x90c8ab…
08-10 10:41:51	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 8 to August 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x15860b…
08-08 06:46:45	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	35¢	$1	0x069aa7…
08-08 02:17:01	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x1282fd…
08-07 14:58:19	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x5d2e48…
08-07 14:57:37	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	4¢	$0	0x88ad47…
08-07 09:50:54	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x37eb61…
08-07 03:49:46	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	33¢	$1	0xc2ad02…
08-07 01:13:55	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x08dda8…
08-05 13:59:30	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	1¢	$0	0x8faa18…
08-05 13:19:15	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	5¢	$1	0xf14f57…
08-05 10:33:27	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	34	3¢	$1	0x3d9f69…
08-05 05:39:05	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	91¢	$3	0x80f6ec…
08-05 04:17:45	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	6¢	$1	0x113006…
08-04 23:53:48	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x9eef87…
08-04 23:52:53	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	9¢	$1	0x0e7780…
08-04 23:52:03	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	8¢	$1	0x59f031…
08-04 21:16:56	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x2420c0…
08-04 21:15:03	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0xf6ec93…
08-04 14:07:56	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	Yes	SELL	42	2¢	$1	0xaadee0…
08-04 14:06:23	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	42	2¢	$1	0x5269fd…
08-04 13:53:41	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x354cdf…
08-03 15:31:51	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xf0fcdf…
08-03 15:26:36	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x5f027d…
08-03 15:04:41	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	28¢	$0	0x058210…
08-03 15:03:27	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	28¢	$0	0x5acaa2…
08-03 14:01:09	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	54¢	$2	0xbe27d6…
08-03 13:43:53	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x6e3047…
08-03 13:33:35	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	28¢	$1	0xc3dfa0…
08-03 13:31:38	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	31¢	$1	0x34aad9…
08-03 13:28:45	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	34¢	$2	0x5ee291…
08-03 13:26:45	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x31e650…
08-03 13:20:17	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x287fa3…
08-03 06:17:21	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	30¢	$2	0x81e746…
08-03 05:56:00	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0xabdabc…
08-01 23:55:32	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	Yes	SELL	45	1¢	$1	0xbefd31…
08-01 22:31:14	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	2¢	$1	0xf22552…
08-01 09:24:35	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 30 to August 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x595ef7…
08-01 04:43:08	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from July 30 to August 1, 2026?	Yes	SELL	24	2¢	$0	0x0e1a89…
08-01 04:36:51	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from July 30 to August 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	4¢	$1	0x8c083d…
08-01 04:04:03	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from July 30 to August 1, 2026?	Yes	SELL	21	2¢	$0	0xf16c6a…
08-01 02:34:41	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from July 30 to August 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0x19dde9…
08-01 02:33:05	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from July 30 to August 1, 2026?	Yes	SELL	33	4¢	$1	0x75698c…
08-01 01:10:21	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from July 30 to August 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0xc552e4…
08-01 00:52:24	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from July 30 to August 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xd5d6c0…
07-31 23:56:12	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from July 30 to August 1, 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	5¢	$1	0x9f23a7…
07-31 23:33:14	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 30 to August 1, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	30¢	$2	0xd3194f…
07-31 23:25:41	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 30 to August 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xa6201f…
07-31 23:25:09	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from July 30 to August 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x5356e7…
07-31 15:46:57	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	167	1¢	$1	0x402ebe…
07-31 15:29:15	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	4¢	$1	0xbde631…
07-31 15:25:35	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	10¢	$2	0x80d09b…
07-31 14:16:30	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	13¢	$2	0x2f0a82…
07-31 12:19:50	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	17¢	$2	0x951146…
07-30 19:52:35	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	35	7¢	$3	0xbe6a74…
07-30 10:52:51	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	14¢	$5	0xda1854…
07-30 07:19:12	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	38¢	$4	0xd131b6…
07-30 07:16:33	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	34	17¢	$6	0xefeacf…
07-30 02:05:14	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0xf97b73…
07-30 02:02:33	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0x248b20…
07-30 01:58:26	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	6¢	$0	0x79435a…
07-30 01:55:14	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	5¢	$1	0xa0480b…
07-29 14:05:56	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 27 to July 29, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	11¢	$6	0xfdeafd…
07-29 09:26:23	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 27 to July 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xd5d63e…
07-26 00:11:24	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x4499b2…
07-25 22:44:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 22:40 UTC	Down	SELL	1	38¢	$1	0x7e99b9…
07-25 22:42:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 22:40 UTC	Up	SELL	3	17¢	$0	0xa032ca…
07-25 22:40:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 22:40 UTC	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xf0aab7…
07-25 22:40:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 22:40 UTC	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xbf0f61…
07-25 22:36:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 22:35 UTC	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xc51888…
07-25 22:31:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 22:30 UTC	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x92d1f2…
07-25 10:22:28	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x9d56f5…
07-14 10:47:35	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x575a40…
07-14 09:41:56	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	107	1¢	$1	0x6ebd83…
06-08 07:27:45	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	9¢	$1	0x952a71…
06-07 13:21:24	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	6¢	$1	0x26e8f6…
06-07 13:20:07	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x1021c0…
06-07 02:52:19	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xbbaced…
06-07 02:52:00	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x04d1e2…
05-29 21:13:03	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xe652e2…
05-29 04:19:34	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	667	0¢	$2	0x620b97…