Shrill-Wood — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$299

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

54.8%

Resolved

Trades

109

lifetime

Volume

$2.72K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$25

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-30

last 10-26 18:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 29 days

Categories

Crypto

51% 54% +$34

Other

26% 17% -$566

Sports

12% 33% -$26

Politics

11% 67% +$259

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	4	$279	974	0	+974	No	-$279	03-03 22:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 21:45 UTC	4	$227	262	259	+3	Up	+$53	03-01 21:49
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	2	$164	431	0	+431	No	-$164	05-30 15:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 21:30 UTC	2	$139	110	109	+1	Down	-$37	03-01 21:34
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$136	124	124	+0	Yes	+$92	07-19 10:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 21:25 UTC	2	$133	90	89	+1	Down	+$44	03-01 21:30
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	2	$123	76	76	+0	Yes	+$23	03-08 16:38
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$113	303	0	+303	No	-$113	07-11 01:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 09:50 UTC	4	$99	119	117	+2	Up	-$11	03-03 09:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-02 11:20 UTC	2	$87	68	67	+1	Up	+$47	03-02 11:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 11:20 UTC	5	$85	154	53	+100	Up	+$3	03-03 11:23
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	1	$58	298	0	+298	Yes	+$241	02-27 23:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	2	$53	28	28	+0	Down	+$3	09-20 17:45
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$52	41	41	+0	Yes	+$30	05-30 19:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 13:55 UTC	4	$52	34	34	+1	Up	+$4	04-20 13:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	2	$51	28	28	+0	Up	+$4	09-01 11:53
will giannis antetokounmpo not be traded	2	$47	44	44	+0	Yes	-$3	01-31 15:29
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	2	$46	61	61	+0	No	-$4	03-01 21:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	2	$45	25	25	+0	Up	+$3	09-01 11:19
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	2	$42	37	37	+0	No	+$2	03-29 17:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-02 11:15 UTC	2	$42	48	48	+1	Up	+$12	03-02 11:19
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	2	$41	25	25	+0	Yes	+$7	01-31 05:03
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	2	$41	26	26	+0	Yes	+$2	03-29 19:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 21:55 UTC	1	$40	89	0	+89	Up	+$49	03-01 21:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 21:50 UTC	2	$40	116	0	+116	Down	-$40	03-01 21:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	1	$39	105	0	+105	Down	-$39	05-30 21:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 10:45 UTC	2	$31	19	19	+0	Down	+$1	04-23 10:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	2	$31	19	19	+0	Up	+$7	05-01 08:14
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	1	$29	135	0	+135	No	-$29	10-26 18:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 09:10 UTC	3	$22	58	38	+20	Up	+$1	08-18 09:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 18:11:56	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	135	21¢	$29	0x3ff07d…
09-20 17:45:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	SELL	28	99¢	$28	0xa8c0c4…
09-20 17:43:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	28	89¢	$25	0x368983…
09-01 11:53:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	SELL	28	99¢	$27	0x53998a…
09-01 11:51:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	28	85¢	$23	0x4406c1…
09-01 11:22:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	SELL	14	1¢	$0	0x8f9a2b…
09-01 11:21:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xea7573…
09-01 11:19:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	SELL	25	99¢	$24	0x2a49f2…
09-01 11:17:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	25	85¢	$21	0x52a7c2…
08-18 09:13:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 09:10 UTC	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x8f25a5…
08-18 09:12:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 09:10 UTC	Down	SELL	38	31¢	$12	0x24f9b9…
08-18 09:12:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 09:10 UTC	Down	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0xa8643c…
08-18 09:07:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 09:05 UTC	Up	BUY	31	28¢	$9	0xf31401…
07-19 10:13:36	Will Lamine Yamal win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	463	2¢	$10	0x8c1c30…
07-19 10:04:00	Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	124	92¢	$114	0x5255ef…
07-11 01:24:08	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	303	37¢	$113	0xcae0f6…
06-16 19:26:02	Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	124	18¢	$22	0xde9e74…
06-16 19:16:37	Will Iraq win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	BUY	55	7¢	$4	0x25852e…
05-30 21:18:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	105	37¢	$39	0xf4df70…
05-30 19:10:43	Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	41	99¢	$41	0x6c7489…
05-30 15:54:33	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	Yes	BUY	192	38¢	$73	0xf1b178…
05-30 15:16:32	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	Yes	BUY	239	38¢	$91	0xd3c020…
05-22 00:29:16	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on May 22?	Yes	BUY	25	56¢	$14	0x165306…
05-11 07:28:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	14	79¢	$11	0xe7b8ef…
05-01 08:30:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	7	58¢	$4	0x4fa406…
05-01 08:30:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x712505…
05-01 08:27:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	3	36¢	$1	0xbf5e35…
05-01 08:25:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x547046…
05-01 08:23:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x569f6a…
05-01 08:20:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	SELL	11	79¢	$8	0x39ce22…
05-01 08:20:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x3f4e47…
05-01 08:14:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0x4306a7…
05-01 08:10:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	19	63¢	$12	0xc1c735…
05-01 08:09:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xcc57e7…
05-01 08:06:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xceaabc…
05-01 08:03:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x438ef3…
04-23 10:46:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 10:45 UTC	Up	SELL	19	87¢	$16	0x4337dd…
04-23 10:45:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 10:45 UTC	Up	BUY	19	79¢	$15	0x1ac548…
04-20 13:57:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 13:55 UTC	Up	SELL	16	96¢	$15	0xf170f1…
04-20 13:56:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 13:55 UTC	Up	BUY	16	88¢	$14	0x1cbeef…
04-20 13:56:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 13:55 UTC	Up	SELL	18	69¢	$12	0x86b5b1…
04-20 13:55:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 13:55 UTC	Up	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x6229a7…
04-15 21:15:12	Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	41	26¢	$11	0x1165cd…
04-14 21:52:34	Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	182	5¢	$10	0x471f49…
04-14 08:54:09	highest temperature in tel aviv on april 14 2026 26c	Yes	BUY	4,997	0¢	$5	0xdcffe8…
04-14 08:51:41	highest temperature in tel aviv on april 14 2026 26c	Yes	BUY	10,000	0¢	$10	0xb10562…
04-14 08:48:49	highest temperature in tel aviv on april 14 2026 26c	Yes	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0x65fbb7…
04-14 08:48:13	highest temperature in tel aviv on april 14 2026 26c	Yes	BUY	66	2¢	$1	0x5911b2…
04-14 08:39:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 08:35 UTC	Up	BUY	22	67¢	$15	0xaf1c99…
04-14 08:30:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 08:30 UTC	Down	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0xbb1fde…
04-07 21:55:33	US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?	Yes	SELL	22	56¢	$12	0x0583a0…
04-01 20:51:13	US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?	Yes	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x378072…
03-29 19:50:26	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	SELL	26	83¢	$21	0x369a9c…
03-29 17:44:16	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	Yes	SELL	37	60¢	$22	0xd253c6…
03-29 17:21:14	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	BUY	26	75¢	$19	0x8d6a07…
03-29 17:17:12	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	Yes	BUY	37	53¢	$20	0xd0181c…
03-23 10:57:33	Will Wolves be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	No	BUY	666	2¢	$14	0xf57bcc…
03-19 01:32:43	netanyahu out by march 31 854	Yes	BUY	645	3¢	$20	0xf81328…
03-08 16:38:59	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	SELL	76	97¢	$73	0x5aa101…
03-03 22:40:57	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	BUY	266	17¢	$44	0xc8b794…
03-03 22:39:25	Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	Yes	BUY	135	4¢	$5	0x5e1d9d…
03-03 17:33:15	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	BUY	76	66¢	$50	0xdfc587…
03-03 11:54:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 11:50 UTC	Down	BUY	26	78¢	$20	0x52f660…
03-03 11:48:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 11:45 UTC	Up	BUY	24	62¢	$15	0x955474…
03-03 11:47:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 11:45 UTC	Down	SELL	8	38¢	$3	0x3d9793…
03-03 11:47:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 11:45 UTC	Down	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0x9bb650…
03-03 11:36:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 11:35 UTC	Up	BUY	23	87¢	$20	0x7044d6…
03-03 11:23:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 11:20 UTC	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x4e9863…
03-03 11:22:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 11:20 UTC	Up	SELL	21	97¢	$20	0x37567a…
03-03 11:22:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 11:20 UTC	Up	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x115918…
03-03 11:21:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 11:20 UTC	Up	SELL	32	73¢	$24	0x80f3eb…
03-03 11:21:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 11:20 UTC	Up	BUY	33	61¢	$20	0xe6944f…
03-03 11:17:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 11:15 UTC	Up	SELL	3	2¢	$0	0x7e1b58…
03-03 11:15:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 11:15 UTC	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x9573fc…
03-03 11:11:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 11:10 UTC	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x2761ab…
03-03 10:22:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 10:20 UTC	Down	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x539005…
03-03 09:54:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 09:50 UTC	Down	SELL	48	13¢	$6	0x57f530…
03-03 09:52:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 09:50 UTC	Down	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0xbf2c34…
03-03 09:51:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 09:50 UTC	Down	SELL	69	55¢	$38	0x076972…
03-03 09:50:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 09:50 UTC	Down	BUY	70	43¢	$30	0x78ae32…
03-03 09:12:39	solana above 90 on march 3	Yes	BUY	140	5¢	$7	0xe705ef…
03-03 08:33:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 08:30 UTC	Up	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0xdb3e6f…
03-02 11:25:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-02 11:20 UTC	Up	SELL	67	99¢	$67	0xf999ce…
03-02 11:23:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-02 11:20 UTC	Up	BUY	68	29¢	$20	0x8cef26…
03-02 11:19:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-02 11:15 UTC	Up	SELL	48	56¢	$27	0x7fa28d…
03-02 11:18:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-02 11:15 UTC	Up	BUY	48	31¢	$15	0xb9078a…
03-01 21:59:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 21:55 UTC	Up	BUY	89	45¢	$40	0xe3af50…
03-01 21:54:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 21:50 UTC	Up	BUY	99	30¢	$30	0xd89261…
03-01 21:52:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 21:50 UTC	Up	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x1e528f…
03-01 21:49:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 21:45 UTC	Up	SELL	130	77¢	$100	0xfa3328…
03-01 21:49:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 21:45 UTC	Up	BUY	131	37¢	$49	0x8815d7…
03-01 21:49:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 21:45 UTC	Up	SELL	129	30¢	$39	0xe1e625…
03-01 21:46:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 21:45 UTC	Up	BUY	130	31¢	$40	0x406d09…
03-01 21:34:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 21:30 UTC	Up	SELL	109	47¢	$51	0x61a2a1…
03-01 21:34:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 21:30 UTC	Up	BUY	110	80¢	$88	0xf79b1e…
03-01 21:30:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 21:25 UTC	Down	SELL	89	99¢	$88	0x0cd6ea…
03-01 21:29:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 21:25 UTC	Down	BUY	90	50¢	$45	0x567613…
03-01 21:27:51	Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	SELL	61	34¢	$21	0x6bc026…
03-01 15:45:43	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	BUY	283	23¢	$65	0x52cc94…
03-01 10:55:17	Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	61	41¢	$25	0xb27c4d…