Pessimistic-Tuition — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$774

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

94.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$3.16K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$56

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 10-10 18:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 16 days

Categories

Other

95% 91% +$815

Sports

3% 0% -$24

Tech

2% 0% -$17

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $480 in May?	10	$833	1,042	0	+1,042	No	+$209	05-14 09:39
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $495 in June?	2	$400	488	0	+488	No	+$88	06-01 15:35
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $480 in June?	1	$300	411	0	+411	No	+$111	06-01 15:35
will tsla reach 525 in january	2	$221	273	0	+273	No	+$52	01-14 17:19
will tsla reach 495 in january	1	$200	370	0	+370	No	+$170	01-02 11:55
tsla above 490 on june 30 2026	1	$180	194	0	+194	No	+$14	06-01 16:19
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $510 in June?	2	$150	170	0	+170	No	+$20	06-01 15:35
will tsla reach 548 in january	2	$107	57	57	+0	No	+$7	01-14 17:18
will tsla reach 510 in january	1	$100	145	0	+145	No	+$45	01-02 11:57
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $405 in September?	1	$100	135	0	+135	No	+$35	09-01 18:43
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $525 in June?	1	$100	109	0	+109	No	+$9	06-01 15:33
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	1	$99	0	122	-122	No	-$23	01-26 07:57
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $450 in October?	1	$50	56	0	+56	No	+$6	10-10 18:07
Will SpaceX acquire Cursor by December 31, 2026?	1	$49	0	66	-66	Yes	-$17	05-13 15:50
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $435 in September?	2	$43	46	0	+46	No	+$3	09-01 18:42
will trumps greenland tariffs go into effect for germany by feburary 1	2	$35	20	20	+0	No	+$5	01-21 21:49
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $390 end of September?	2	$34	40	0	+40	No	+$6	09-14 18:36
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $465 in June?	1	$29	53	0	+53	No	+$24	06-01 15:36
Will Tesla reach $458 in April?	1	$27	28	0	+28	No	+$1	04-06 12:38
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $465 in September?	1	$20	21	0	+21	No	+$1	09-07 17:22
tsla above 480 on february 27 2026	1	$10	11	0	+11	No	+$1	02-04 13:08
will tesla deliver between 400000 and 425000 vehicles in q4 2025 924	1	$10	14	0	+14	Yes	+$4	01-02 11:54
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $450 in September?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	09-01 18:41
will trumps greenland tariffs go into effect for norway by feburary 1	2	$7	20	20	+0	No	-$7	01-21 21:48
Will Erling Haaland be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?	1	$6	0	6	-6	Yes	$0	05-13 15:50
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?	1	$5	16	0	+16	No	-$5	05-28 13:56
will tsla reach 503 in february	1	$5	6	0	+6	No	+$1	02-02 11:04
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $420 in September?	1	$5	6	0	+6	No	+$1	09-01 18:42
will tsla reach 480 in february	1	$5	8	0	+8	No	+$3	02-01 12:38
Will Manchester City finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?	1	$4	0	5	-5	Yes	-$1	05-13 15:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-10 18:07:40	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $450 in October?	No	BUY	56	89¢	$50	0xb89477…
09-14 18:36:07	Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $390 end of September?	No	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x81e6c7…
09-07 17:23:52	Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $410 end of September?	No	BUY	4	94¢	$4	0xdc19cb…
09-07 17:22:52	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $465 in September?	No	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x7c92cb…
09-01 18:48:24	Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $390 end of September?	No	BUY	35	85¢	$30	0x4a2cb1…
09-01 18:43:33	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $405 in September?	No	BUY	135	74¢	$100	0x1e633f…
09-01 18:42:33	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $420 in September?	No	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x2e2de9…
09-01 18:42:19	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $435 in September?	No	BUY	40	94¢	$38	0x8739a3…
09-01 18:41:46	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $450 in September?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x82eb9d…
09-01 18:39:45	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $435 in September?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x0c69cb…
07-06 15:38:25	will tsla reach 465 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x8b12d8…
07-06 15:37:50	tsla above 440 on july 31 2026	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xd9e742…
06-02 16:08:20	Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $500 end of June?	No	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0x8c803c…
06-01 16:19:24	tsla above 490 on june 30 2026	No	BUY	194	93¢	$180	0x95a7ec…
06-01 15:36:51	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $465 in June?	No	BUY	53	55¢	$29	0xbec48a…
06-01 15:35:51	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $510 in June?	No	BUY	57	88¢	$50	0x609669…
06-01 15:35:25	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $495 in June?	No	BUY	244	82¢	$200	0x45f219…
06-01 15:35:00	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $480 in June?	No	BUY	411	73¢	$300	0xe7bdf0…
06-01 15:34:48	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $495 in June?	No	BUY	244	82¢	$200	0xf99f8f…
06-01 15:34:36	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $510 in June?	No	BUY	114	88¢	$100	0xb06b2b…
06-01 15:33:56	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $525 in June?	No	BUY	109	92¢	$100	0x19a7ba…
05-28 13:56:25	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?	Yes	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xf23237…
05-14 09:39:35	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $480 in May?	No	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x62f7ec…
05-13 15:50:12	Will Manchester City finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?	Yes	SELL	5	84¢	$4	0x6fb829…
05-13 15:50:06	Will Erling Haaland be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?	Yes	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x4e3374…
05-13 15:50:05	Will SpaceX acquire Cursor by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	66	74¢	$49	0x73ce05…
05-09 09:08:11	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $480 in May?	No	BUY	333	75¢	$250	0xe9bbce…
05-09 08:24:24	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $480 in May?	No	BUY	129	78¢	$100	0x301ab9…
05-08 15:08:07	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $480 in May?	No	BUY	64	78¢	$50	0x9a20ec…
05-08 14:02:52	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $480 in May?	No	BUY	256	78¢	$200	0x9b432a…
05-08 13:55:19	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $480 in May?	No	BUY	47	82¢	$39	0x8fc823…
05-02 18:32:26	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $480 in May?	No	BUY	55	91¢	$50	0xa44725…
05-02 15:45:40	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $480 in May?	No	BUY	17	92¢	$16	0x794bae…
05-02 09:48:42	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $480 in May?	No	BUY	106	91¢	$97	0x2bc986…
05-02 09:47:44	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $480 in May?	No	BUY	31	91¢	$28	0x155281…
04-06 12:38:29	Will Tesla reach $458 in April?	No	BUY	28	96¢	$27	0x32aecf…
02-04 13:08:12	tsla above 480 on february 27 2026	No	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x16bd92…
02-02 11:04:06	will tsla reach 503 in february	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x3999f7…
02-01 12:38:24	will tsla reach 480 in february	No	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xdd0207…
01-26 07:57:17	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	122	81¢	$99	0x9aaec8…
01-24 16:41:18	epl bou liv 2026 01 24 bou	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x761ee3…
01-21 21:49:02	will trumps greenland tariffs go into effect for germany by feburary 1	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xc0b959…
01-21 21:48:34	will trumps greenland tariffs go into effect for norway by feburary 1	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0xe76416…
01-20 16:31:18	ucl bog1 mnc1 2026 01 20 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x6b633f…
01-20 16:31:00	ucl bog1 mnc1 2026 01 20 draw	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x2041d6…
01-20 16:30:54	ucl bog1 mnc1 2026 01 20 bog1	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xc1668e…
01-20 16:30:44	ucl bog1 mnc1 2026 01 20 btts	Yes	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0x6e8b06…
01-19 11:12:12	will trumps greenland tariffs go into effect for germany by feburary 1	No	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0x6143be…
01-19 11:10:58	will trumps greenland tariffs go into effect for norway by feburary 1	Yes	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0x263355…
01-14 17:19:34	will tsla reach 525 in january	No	BUY	23	92¢	$21	0x1a22b2…
01-14 17:18:22	will tsla reach 548 in january	No	SELL	57	99¢	$57	0xf3edc3…
01-02 12:00:51	will tsla reach 548 in january	No	BUY	57	87¢	$50	0x4ea2af…
01-02 11:57:03	will tsla reach 510 in january	No	BUY	145	69¢	$100	0x0e80d4…
01-02 11:56:49	will tsla reach 525 in january	No	BUY	250	80¢	$200	0xf0ea65…
01-02 11:55:41	will tsla reach 495 in january	No	BUY	370	54¢	$200	0xc13001…
01-02 11:54:09	will tesla deliver between 400000 and 425000 vehicles in q4 2025 924	Yes	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x2d987c…