Firm-Ukulele — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$19.1K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

67.9%

Resolved

3,466

Trades

26,704

lifetime

Volume

$904.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$34

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-27 02:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 198 days

Categories

Crypto

80% 57% -$13,201

Other

16% 47% -$5,071

Sports

3% 49% -$1,014

Politics

1% 80% +$150

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

39 active days in 12wk • peak 1526 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will France win on 2026-06-30?	2	$5.1K	2,900	2,900	+0	Yes	+$602	06-30 22:15
world cup goals h2h messi vspt ronaldo 20260604005506837	17	$4.9K	2,630	2,630	+0	Messi	+$51	06-22 17:42
fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 team to advance	3	$4.7K	4,427	2,427	+2,000	Argentina	-$127	07-04 00:37
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?	6	$4.2K	2,398	2,398	+0	Yes	-$125	07-01 07:48
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	2	$4.1K	2,127	2,127	+0	Yes	+$106	01-30 11:49
fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 spread home 2pt5	4	$4.0K	2,163	2,163	+0	Croatia	+$310	07-03 00:46
lol blg t1 2026 07 04 game1	16	$4.0K	3,000	2,999	+0	T1	+$1,358	07-04 07:28
lol t1 kc 2026 07 18	14	$3.9K	2,290	2,223	+68	Karmine Corp	+$93	07-18 13:32
lol ly fur 2026 07 03 game2	32	$3.9K	3,760	3,760	+0	LYON	-$1,291	07-04 04:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-07 15:30 UTC	8	$3.8K	3,663	3,247	+416	Up	-$480	02-07 15:44
Will United States win on 2026-07-01?	5	$3.8K	2,778	1,778	+1,000	Yes	+$769	07-02 02:06
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?	8	$3.6K	3,066	3,066	+0	Yes	-$809	07-07 18:05
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?	5	$3.2K	2,800	2,209	+591	Yes	+$840	07-04 18:45
fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 team to advance	6	$3.2K	1,855	1,855	+0	Argentina	+$231	07-12 03:34
nba mem nop 2026 01 30	2	$3.1K	1,575	1,575	+0	Pelicans	+$1	01-31 04:42
fifwc col gha 2026 07 03 total 1pt5	5	$3.0K	2,723	2,723	+0	Under	-$1,797	07-04 03:24
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-26 14:30 UTC	97	$2.9K	3,250	1,999	+1,250	Up	+$454	01-26 14:44
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?	2	$2.9K	1,617	1,617	+0	Yes	+$129	07-04 03:25
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 17:45 UTC	63	$2.7K	2,738	1,209	+1,529	Up	+$6	02-10 17:59
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?	2	$2.6K	2,000	1,000	+1,000	No	-$870	07-03 17:18
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 17:00 UTC	34	$2.5K	1,460	1,260	+200	Down	$0	02-10 17:16
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-02 06:30 UTC	25	$2.5K	1,500	1,000	+500	Up	+$7	02-02 06:44
lol blg dk 2026 07 17	9	$2.4K	2,000	1,000	+1,000	Dplus KIA	-$829	07-17 15:18
Will England win on 2026-07-01?	3	$2.2K	1,299	1,299	+0	Yes	+$246	07-01 18:01
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-07 15:45 UTC	51	$2.2K	1,676	1,650	+26	Down	+$740	02-07 15:53
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 17:30 UTC	24	$2.1K	1,426	1,224	+202	Up	-$2	02-10 17:44
Will Argentina score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$2.1K	1,144	1,144	+0	No	+$5	07-17 13:53
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 14:00 UTC	20	$2.1K	1,200	1,199	+1	Up	-$216	02-05 14:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-18 16:40 UTC	51	$2.1K	1,665	1,062	+603	Up	-$193	02-18 16:44
nba lal okc 2026 04 02	3	$2.1K	1,045	1,044	+1	Thunder	+$18	04-03 03:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 02:47:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	95	15¢	$14	0x876b52…
10-27 02:47:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x0893c3…
10-27 02:47:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	0	15¢	$0	0x0250c6…
10-27 02:45:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	100	48¢	$48	0xb53a20…
10-27 02:41:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	15¢	$1	0xaf7e8f…
10-27 02:41:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0xaaf67a…
10-27 02:41:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	53	15¢	$8	0xa3bfb9…
10-27 02:41:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0xa1ba36…
10-27 02:41:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	15	15¢	$2	0x9faad2…
10-27 02:41:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	15¢	$0	0x8b52b7…
10-27 02:41:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	15¢	$1	0x5e6aa5…
10-27 02:41:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	21	15¢	$3	0x3493d7…
10-27 02:41:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	15¢	$1	0x30ee1f…
10-27 02:41:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	78	15¢	$12	0x010d4c…
10-27 02:38:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	100	11¢	$11	0xe646af…
10-27 02:24:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xd974fb…
10-27 02:23:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xfa735e…
10-27 02:14:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0xf2fc50…
10-27 02:13:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	60	95¢	$57	0x4905d6…
10-27 02:13:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	95¢	$8	0x233ee7…
10-27 02:13:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	32	95¢	$30	0x16adf3…
10-27 02:08:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xe46fa6…
10-27 01:43:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x22ed9a…
10-27 01:22:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x81729e…
10-27 00:41:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0xe81b62…
10-26 09:54:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x2ff013…
10-26 09:39:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0x4b8ca0…
10-26 09:38:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x60954a…
10-26 08:12:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x8251aa…
10-26 07:56:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0x82dd4b…
10-26 07:34:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x6c56a4…
10-26 07:03:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xd116b4…
10-26 07:03:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	SELL	151	99¢	$149	0x8ba22b…
10-26 07:03:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x41e6c8…
10-26 07:03:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	SELL	33	99¢	$33	0x0e7fd2…
10-26 07:01:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	200	96¢	$192	0x8010c4…
10-26 05:34:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	100	11¢	$11	0xc9a33d…
10-26 03:19:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0xb0b67f…
10-26 02:59:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xdde5f5…
10-26 02:59:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	52	63¢	$33	0x5b560f…
10-26 02:59:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	45	63¢	$28	0x039b02…
10-26 02:59:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	100	65¢	$65	0x3d3d0a…
10-26 02:58:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0x3b5779…
10-26 02:51:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0x6cbf59…
10-26 02:43:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0x5eb5c4…
10-26 02:43:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x12a367…
10-26 02:38:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	37	95¢	$35	0x20ff38…
10-26 02:38:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	15	95¢	$14	0x8a6ddb…
10-26 02:38:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	28	95¢	$26	0x4723d3…
10-26 02:38:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x2a27a0…
10-26 02:23:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	SELL	200	99¢	$198	0x1f6a67…
10-26 02:23:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	63	99¢	$63	0x9ef7ce…
10-26 02:23:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	37	99¢	$36	0x3193a5…
10-26 02:21:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	100	92¢	$92	0xb67793…
10-26 02:20:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xe40676…
10-26 02:20:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xafb653…
10-26 02:20:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x52f846…
10-26 02:20:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	34	99¢	$33	0x17d502…
10-26 02:20:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	23	99¢	$22	0x365b79…
10-26 02:08:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x52718b…
10-26 02:07:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0x44472f…
10-26 02:04:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xef2d64…
10-26 02:04:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	97	99¢	$96	0x1e963b…
10-26 01:59:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0xfd8dd3…
10-26 01:59:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	83	99¢	$82	0xe2bd93…
10-26 01:52:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	25¢	$0	0xf70585…
10-26 01:52:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	109	25¢	$27	0xd615d6…
10-26 01:52:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x8d1712…
10-26 01:52:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	48	25¢	$12	0x5fb5c9…
10-26 01:52:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	30	25¢	$8	0x369c53…
10-26 01:52:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0x27cbcc…
10-26 01:51:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	25¢	$1	0x5e4963…
10-26 01:51:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	25¢	$1	0x472a46…
10-26 01:51:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	30	25¢	$8	0x1208f6…
10-26 01:51:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	133	25¢	$33	0xb0229a…
10-26 01:51:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	7	25¢	$2	0xd321c2…
10-26 01:51:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0xd10f6d…
10-26 01:51:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	7	25¢	$2	0xd0a413…
10-26 01:51:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0xb2e326…
10-26 01:51:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	25¢	$1	0x9c6529…
10-26 01:51:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	0	25¢	$0	0x53414f…
10-26 01:51:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x3896c4…
10-26 01:51:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x1398b5…
10-26 01:51:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	25¢	$1	0x047127…
10-26 01:46:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	4	84¢	$4	0xf77d8c…
10-26 01:46:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	4	84¢	$3	0x98bb98…
10-26 01:46:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	8	84¢	$6	0x9841d9…
10-26 01:46:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	74	84¢	$62	0x6dac5c…
10-26 01:46:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0x57e560…
10-26 01:43:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	81¢	$3	0x452763…
10-26 01:43:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	14	81¢	$12	0x7444b4…
10-26 01:43:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	20	81¢	$16	0x0900b5…
10-26 01:37:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	100	86¢	$86	0x7b3999…
10-26 01:33:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	100	54¢	$54	0x35694f…
10-26 01:32:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0xbaa968…
10-26 01:28:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	34	99¢	$34	0x5b6a48…
10-26 01:28:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	66	99¢	$65	0x41d60d…
10-26 01:27:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0xf7e6cf…
10-26 01:22:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xc43437…
10-26 01:22:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	100	93¢	$93	0xdc538c…