Probable-Tomorrow — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$9

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

75.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$184

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-22

last 05-10 14:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

77% 67% $-20

Sports

13% 100% +$11

Crypto

11% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-25?	3	$42	26	26	+0	open	—	04-25 15:29
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs K27 (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	2	$29	15	15	+0	Team Falcons	+$1	05-09 14:26
dfb lev bay 2026 04 22 bay	2	$26	16	16	+0	open	—	04-22 20:46
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs 9z (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	3	$24	30	3	+26	9z	$-23	05-10 14:52
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	3	$21	24	0	+24	Spirit	+$3	05-10 10:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-26 23:45
Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League final?	3	$18	26	12	+14	No	+$8	05-06 05:27
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?	1	$5	8	0	+8	No	+$3	04-26 23:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-10 14:52:03	Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs 9z (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	9z	SELL	3	18¢	$1	0x029da2…
05-10 14:50:04	Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs 9z (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	Team Falcons	BUY	26	82¢	$22	0xa47e2f…
05-10 14:20:54	Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs 9z (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	9z	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x77335a…
05-10 10:49:17	Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	Spirit	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x362418…
05-10 10:47:08	Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	Spirit	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x9548c1…
05-10 09:55:34	Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	Spirit	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x974d47…
05-09 14:26:48	Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs K27 (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	Team Falcons	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xebdb1c…
05-09 10:56:43	Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs K27 (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	Team Falcons	BUY	15	96¢	$14	0x1233bd…
05-06 05:27:14	Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League final?	No	BUY	14	49¢	$7	0x86d49d…
04-28 21:28:48	Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League final?	No	SELL	12	51¢	$6	0x874e32…
04-26 23:47:26	Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x8e9887…
04-26 23:47:16	Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League final?	No	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x4a7931…
04-26 23:45:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x581ac7…
04-26 23:44:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xda9f3b…
04-25 15:29:52	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0x176680…
04-25 15:15:02	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	BUY	12	88¢	$11	0x228c38…
04-25 15:13:04	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xe1a291…
04-22 20:46:02	dfb lev bay 2026 04 22 bay	Yes	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x484634…
04-22 18:21:58	dfb lev bay 2026 04 22 bay	Yes	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x22e8c6…