Carefree-Rostrum — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$67

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

84.3%

Resolved

145

Trades

420

lifetime

Volume

$4.29K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-20

last 06-08 17:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 77% +$67

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 150 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	2	$188	98	98	+0	Up	+$6	05-05 18:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	2	$181	93	93	+0	Up	+$1	05-05 17:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	2	$152	83	83	+0	Down	+$12	05-11 12:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	2	$103	54	54	+0	Up	+$3	05-06 13:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	3	$96	95	48	+47	Up	$-7	05-11 11:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	3	$93	53	53	+0	Up	+$3	05-05 12:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	2	$90	49	49	+0	Down	+$0	05-06 14:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	4	$88	69	69	+0	Up	+$9	05-11 14:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	5	$84	50	50	+0	Down	+$4	05-05 13:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	2	$83	43	43	+0	Down	+$3	05-06 15:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	1	$76	78	0	+78	Down	+$2	05-06 11:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	4	$72	40	40	+0	Down	+$2	05-05 13:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	2	$63	38	38	+0	Up	+$3	05-11 16:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	3	$62	35	35	+0	Up	+$2	05-11 09:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	3	$61	72	27	+45	Up	+$4	05-11 17:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	2	$61	40	40	+0	Up	+$1	05-11 11:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	2	$61	123	123	+0	Up	$-59	05-11 12:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	2	$55	38	38	+0	Up	+$15	05-11 15:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	2	$53	29	29	+0	Up	+$3	05-11 16:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	2	$53	27	27	+0	Down	+$1	05-05 16:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	2	$53	33	33	+0	Up	+$13	05-12 04:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	2	$53	28	28	+0	Down	+$3	05-11 17:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	2	$52	28	28	+0	Up	+$2	05-06 15:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	3	$51	28	28	+0	Up	+$1	05-05 13:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	2	$50	28	28	+0	Down	+$0	05-06 05:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	4	$50	33	33	+0	Up	$-0	05-05 14:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	3	$46	39	27	+12	Up	$-4	05-12 04:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	5	$45	29	29	+0	Up	$-5	05-05 11:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	2	$44	25	25	+0	Up	+$4	05-06 15:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	2	$43	27	27	+0	Down	+$3	05-11 16:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-08 17:53:33	btc updown 5m 1780941000	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xc29dc3…
05-16 10:19:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	SELL	5	87¢	$5	0xc915d3…
05-16 10:19:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x9075b2…
05-16 10:14:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	SELL	26	94¢	$24	0x38efe8…
05-16 10:11:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	26	58¢	$15	0x851f12…
05-14 09:43:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	SELL	21	90¢	$18	0xf6a60c…
05-14 09:42:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	21	73¢	$15	0x3026e6…
05-14 06:27:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0xab35ee…
05-12 04:38:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	SELL	33	98¢	$33	0x734c00…
05-12 04:35:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	33	60¢	$20	0x58bfbc…
05-12 04:34:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x822a4d…
05-12 04:34:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	SELL	27	77¢	$21	0x6d1c7f…
05-12 04:32:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	27	74¢	$20	0x2534de…
05-12 04:12:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	26	76¢	$20	0x6ee665…
05-11 17:33:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	45	67¢	$30	0xa5681f…
05-11 17:33:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	SELL	27	39¢	$10	0xe19116…
05-11 17:32:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	27	78¢	$21	0x82b7cd…
05-11 17:07:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	SELL	28	97¢	$28	0xd5927a…
05-11 17:07:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	28	88¢	$25	0x083637…
05-11 17:02:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0xdf52d3…
05-11 16:58:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	SELL	27	85¢	$23	0xe2ece4…
05-11 16:56:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	27	73¢	$20	0xdb7a79…
05-11 16:32:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	SELL	38	86¢	$33	0xfd80c8…
05-11 16:31:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	38	78¢	$30	0x1806ee…
05-11 16:13:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	SELL	29	97¢	$28	0xa271b7…
05-11 16:11:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	29	86¢	$25	0x9202d0…
05-11 15:12:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	SELL	38	91¢	$35	0x2c0d68…
05-11 15:11:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0x04bc1d…
05-11 15:09:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	SELL	19	76¢	$14	0xa77cdc…
05-11 15:08:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	19	81¢	$15	0xd188cd…
05-11 14:59:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	SELL	26	98¢	$25	0xb6b53f…
05-11 14:58:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	26	77¢	$20	0x814f8a…
05-11 14:57:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	SELL	43	53¢	$23	0x07bf52…
05-11 14:56:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	43	46¢	$20	0x9e7aa3…
05-11 14:52:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	16	95¢	$15	0x11a078…
05-11 14:49:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	SELL	16	80¢	$13	0xfded69…
05-11 14:48:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x2f01ae…
05-11 12:18:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	SELL	123	1¢	$1	0x634a90…
05-11 12:18:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	123	49¢	$60	0xb37786…
05-11 12:09:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	SELL	83	98¢	$82	0x31d068…
05-11 12:07:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	83	84¢	$70	0x78afa4…
05-11 12:03:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	17	88¢	$15	0x59da12…
05-11 11:59:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	50	1¢	$0	0x1ed93e…
05-11 11:57:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	50	80¢	$40	0x40e6b4…
05-11 11:54:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	47	85¢	$40	0xfddb54…
05-11 11:53:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	SELL	48	43¢	$21	0xf3690a…
05-11 11:51:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	48	73¢	$35	0x3d97ec…
05-11 11:46:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	65	46¢	$30	0x2e7d38…
05-11 11:42:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	36	42¢	$15	0xdfdf00…
05-11 11:02:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	SELL	40	78¢	$31	0xa3ce2d…
05-11 11:02:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	40	74¢	$30	0x14a2f5…
05-11 10:37:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	41	73¢	$30	0x4b73cd…
05-11 09:59:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	SELL	35	91¢	$32	0xcbb23a…
05-11 09:58:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	18	82¢	$15	0x1dc8c4…
05-11 09:57:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	17	89¢	$15	0x1b2b44…
05-11 09:48:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	42	72¢	$30	0x421c9a…
05-11 09:46:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x72c62a…
05-11 09:43:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	SELL	7	4¢	$0	0x996332…
05-11 09:41:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xb3d726…
05-11 09:28:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x7e0a1e…
05-11 09:13:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x47d133…
05-11 09:09:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xe1c0d5…
05-11 09:03:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x9bcf0f…
05-07 12:58:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x0df3db…
05-07 12:39:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	34	89¢	$30	0x809b96…
05-07 12:33:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x904a98…
05-07 12:26:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x2858c0…
05-07 11:03:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	SELL	8	97¢	$8	0x9d3d43…
05-07 11:02:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x9ffcbf…
05-07 11:00:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc77cd3…
05-07 09:44:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	SELL	7	92¢	$6	0xe04bda…
05-07 09:43:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x4693cf…
05-07 09:32:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	11	73¢	$8	0xe25f23…
05-07 09:31:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x356cfd…
05-07 07:33:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x41fcb7…
05-07 07:31:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x73ea69…
05-07 07:29:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	SELL	11	97¢	$10	0xc2840a…
05-07 07:28:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x4a5ad9…
05-06 15:34:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	SELL	25	94¢	$24	0x6b9f5e…
05-06 15:32:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	25	79¢	$20	0x507f36…
05-06 15:29:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	SELL	43	98¢	$43	0x122066…
05-06 15:28:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	43	92¢	$40	0x3d2071…
05-06 15:24:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	SELL	28	98¢	$27	0x5fc331…
05-06 15:23:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	28	90¢	$25	0x448549…
05-06 15:08:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	SELL	8	79¢	$6	0x0d39b8…
05-06 15:06:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x5722df…
05-06 14:53:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	SELL	49	93¢	$45	0x6f9857…
05-06 14:52:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	49	92¢	$45	0xb2d6f0…
05-06 14:14:42	XRP Up or Down - May 6, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	SELL	6	81¢	$5	0x5874e6…
05-06 14:14:04	XRP Up or Down - May 6, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x423c2f…
05-06 14:09:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x122755…
05-06 13:34:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x1f2e5c…
05-06 13:33:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x3266eb…
05-06 13:14:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	SELL	54	99¢	$53	0x1ba38c…
05-06 13:12:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	54	93¢	$50	0xb575ee…
05-06 12:21:52	XRP Up or Down - May 6, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0xb9e4d4…
05-06 11:33:34	XRP Up or Down - May 6, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	SELL	7	92¢	$6	0x129ca7…
05-06 11:32:54	XRP Up or Down - May 6, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	7	89¢	$6	0xd3b612…
05-06 11:14:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	78	98¢	$76	0x3c6a5b…
05-06 10:27:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	13	74¢	$10	0x00d286…