Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$15

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

56.7%

Resolved

959

Trades

1,235

lifetime

Volume

$3.69K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-17

last 10-19 05:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 48 days

Categories

Crypto

90% 61% +$18

Other

9% 0% -$3

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will there be no Meta Watermelon model release by October 31, 2026?	13	$104	156	34	+122	No	-$3	10-06 05:21
Will Hong Kong have between 120-210mm of precipitation in October?	11	$96	204	0	+204	open	—	10-05 17:47
Will Seattle have less than 1.75 inches of precipitation in October?	10	$82	141	21	+120	open	—	10-07 16:46
Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026?	6	$63	100	60	+40	open	—	10-05 21:03
Will Anthropic be the second-best AI lab at the end of December 2026?	2	$30	20	20	+0	open	—	10-19 05:07
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 06:40 UTC	2	$20	35	0	+35	Down	-$4	06-07 06:42
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	12	$19	37	0	+37	Up	-$19	05-17 12:49
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 02:30 UTC	2	$14	28	0	+28	Up	+$2	06-07 02:32
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 01:35 UTC	2	$14	19	0	+19	Down	-$6	06-07 01:37
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 06:45 UTC	2	$14	20	0	+20	Down	-$9	06-07 06:47
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 02:20 UTC	2	$13	22	0	+22	Up	-$3	06-07 02:23
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 07:05 UTC	2	$12	15	0	+15	Up	+$0	06-07 07:08
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 05:30 UTC	2	$11	15	0	+15	Down	+$3	06-07 05:31
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 06:40 UTC	1	$10	12	0	+12	Down	+$2	06-07 06:41
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 06:15 UTC	1	$10	23	0	+23	Up	-$10	06-07 06:16
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 06:45 UTC	1	$10	13	0	+13	Down	+$3	06-07 06:46
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 06:50 UTC	1	$10	13	0	+13	Up	+$3	06-07 06:51
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 06:35 UTC	1	$10	21	0	+21	Up	+$11	06-07 06:35
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 06:25 UTC	1	$10	14	0	+14	Up	-$10	06-07 06:25
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 05:40 UTC	1	$10	13	0	+13	Up	-$10	06-07 05:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 06:10 UTC	1	$10	19	0	+19	Down	+$10	06-07 06:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 05:40 UTC	1	$10	15	0	+15	Up	-$10	06-07 05:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 06:20 UTC	1	$10	14	0	+14	Up	+$5	06-07 06:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 06:00 UTC	1	$9	14	0	+14	Down	+$5	06-07 06:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 05:25 UTC	1	$9	13	0	+13	Down	+$4	06-07 05:26
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 06:30 UTC	1	$9	16	0	+16	Up	+$7	06-07 06:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 05:15 UTC	1	$9	11	0	+11	Up	+$2	06-07 05:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 05:50 UTC	1	$9	14	0	+14	Up	-$9	06-07 05:51
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 05:15 UTC	1	$9	25	0	+25	Up	+$16	06-07 05:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 05:10 UTC	1	$9	18	0	+18	Up	+$9	06-07 05:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-19 05:07:38	Will Anthropic be the second-best AI lab at the end of December 2026?	No	SELL	20	75¢	$15	0x790626…
10-07 16:46:41	Will Seattle have less than 1.75 inches of precipitation in October?	Yes	SELL	1	45¢	$1	0x580a5b…
10-06 22:47:32	Will Seattle have less than 1.75 inches of precipitation in October?	Yes	SELL	20	45¢	$9	0x7a0ba3…
10-06 12:52:22	Will Anthropic be the second-best AI lab at the end of December 2026?	No	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x492705…
10-06 08:58:51	Will Seattle have less than 1.75 inches of precipitation in October?	Yes	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0xae6666…
10-06 05:21:21	Will there be no Meta Watermelon model release by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	14	60¢	$8	0x163845…
10-06 04:42:31	Will there be no Meta Watermelon model release by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	60¢	$12	0x8a142b…
10-06 04:41:18	Will there be no Meta Watermelon model release by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	60¢	$0	0x971aae…
10-05 21:03:26	Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026?	Yes	SELL	60	27¢	$16	0x40d5fc…
10-05 19:46:26	Will there be no Meta Watermelon model release by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xb44aa9…
10-05 19:46:07	Will there be no Meta Watermelon model release by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0xc25cd6…
10-05 17:47:25	Will Hong Kong have between 120-210mm of precipitation in October?	Yes	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0x60a0b5…
10-05 16:44:41	Will Hong Kong have between 120-210mm of precipitation in October?	Yes	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0xa2acea…
10-05 15:57:07	Will Hong Kong have between 120-210mm of precipitation in October?	No	BUY	20	72¢	$14	0xcc167c…
10-05 15:50:52	Will there be no Meta Watermelon model release by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0xb83bf5…
10-05 15:50:02	Will there be no Meta Watermelon model release by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0xb441e2…
10-05 12:21:11	Will Seattle have less than 1.75 inches of precipitation in October?	Yes	BUY	11	33¢	$4	0xc2db61…
10-05 01:10:11	Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0x2e5f7b…
10-05 01:10:11	Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0x181dff…
10-04 21:31:16	Will Seattle have less than 1.75 inches of precipitation in October?	Yes	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0x13957d…
10-04 20:59:10	Will Hong Kong have between 120-210mm of precipitation in October?	Yes	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0xb8c5fb…
10-04 20:59:08	Will Hong Kong have between 120-210mm of precipitation in October?	Yes	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0x6ae0bd…
10-04 20:35:16	Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026?	No	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0x741bd7…
10-04 14:53:37	Will Seattle have less than 1.75 inches of precipitation in October?	Yes	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x650ea3…
10-04 10:21:19	Will there be no Meta Watermelon model release by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	32¢	$0	0xb97984…
10-04 09:11:56	Will Hong Kong have between 120-210mm of precipitation in October?	Yes	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0x6a1897…
10-04 08:26:28	Will there be no Meta Watermelon model release by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0xf26e78…
10-04 06:38:10	Will there be no Meta Watermelon model release by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0xb33bf0…
10-04 06:28:29	Will Hong Kong have between 120-210mm of precipitation in October?	Yes	BUY	4	41¢	$2	0xb37d8a…
10-04 04:25:19	Will Hong Kong have between 120-210mm of precipitation in October?	No	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0xf97055…
10-04 03:45:01	Will Hong Kong have between 120-210mm of precipitation in October?	Yes	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0x02ea3a…
10-04 01:49:50	Will Seattle have less than 1.75 inches of precipitation in October?	No	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0x0cc605…
10-04 00:16:35	Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0x5ad806…
10-03 23:58:59	Will there be no Meta Watermelon model release by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0xeedfbd…
10-03 23:39:10	Will Seattle have less than 1.75 inches of precipitation in October?	Yes	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0x3b32f5…
10-03 19:13:42	Will Hong Kong have between 120-210mm of precipitation in October?	No	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0x4b537d…
10-03 18:24:18	Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0x061a54…
10-03 15:11:38	Will there be no Meta Watermelon model release by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0xeb6a54…
10-03 15:08:42	Will Seattle have less than 1.75 inches of precipitation in October?	No	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0xca70c2…
10-03 15:08:32	Will Seattle have less than 1.75 inches of precipitation in October?	No	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0x1310d0…
10-03 14:33:14	Will there be no Meta Watermelon model release by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0xcb0c52…
10-03 14:28:21	Will Hong Kong have between 120-210mm of precipitation in October?	No	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0x4ee34e…
09-04 17:36:27	Ethereum Up or Down - September 4, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	79¢	$2	0x31cea1…
09-04 13:22:12	Ethereum Up or Down - September 4, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	77¢	$1	0x6927af…
09-04 10:17:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x938fb5…
09-03 13:31:18	Ethereum Up or Down - September 3, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	75¢	$2	0x24a918…
09-03 00:02:22	Ethereum Up or Down - September 2, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0xe01714…
09-02 14:12:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0xcb5729…
09-01 13:42:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x6954b6…
09-01 13:41:58	Ethereum Up or Down - September 1, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x0de916…
09-01 09:06:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x2e1c3b…
08-31 15:57:24	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 15:55 UTC	Down	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x7aa6ac…
08-30 23:06:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 23:05 UTC	Up	BUY	2	71¢	$2	0x14b8fd…
08-30 21:46:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 21:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	73¢	$2	0x7a90ee…
08-30 17:07:03	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 17:05 UTC	Down	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0xd6dfdb…
08-28 12:22:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 12:20 UTC	Up	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x9532d3…
08-28 02:22:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 02:20 UTC	Down	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x1e7950…
08-28 02:21:45	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 02:20 UTC	Down	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x06bfe8…
08-28 02:12:09	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 02:10 UTC	Down	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xf69c58…
08-27 22:41:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 22:40 UTC	Down	BUY	3	54¢	$2	0xcd62d5…
08-27 13:42:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 13:40 UTC	Down	BUY	2	67¢	$2	0x621e94…
08-26 13:01:18	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 13:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x560dc3…
08-25 09:43:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 09:40 UTC	Up	SELL	4	14¢	$1	0x2b955f…
08-25 09:41:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 09:40 UTC	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xdefb1b…
08-25 09:33:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 09:30 UTC	Up	SELL	3	83¢	$2	0xed4e59…
08-25 09:32:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 09:30 UTC	Up	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0xeb1d93…
08-25 08:12:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 08:10 UTC	Up	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x31e638…
08-25 08:12:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 08:10 UTC	Up	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x56711e…
08-25 06:52:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 06:50 UTC	Down	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x31856c…
08-25 00:27:49	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 00:25 UTC	Up	SELL	2	28¢	$1	0xdaeeb2…
08-25 00:26:19	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 00:25 UTC	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x43efda…
08-24 20:02:48	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 20:00 UTC	Down	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0x9ba225…
08-24 20:01:40	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	79¢	$2	0x51d696…
08-24 18:26:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 18:25 UTC	Up	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0xf918b7…
08-24 15:18:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 15:15 UTC	Up	SELL	3	93¢	$3	0xa058d8…
08-24 15:17:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 15:15 UTC	Up	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x28cc1c…
08-24 13:33:00	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 13:30 UTC	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xa05dfc…
08-24 13:31:36	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 13:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	77¢	$2	0x679238…
08-24 07:02:42	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 07:00 UTC	Up	SELL	2	64¢	$1	0x199c42…
08-24 07:02:06	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 07:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	74¢	$1	0x7d83f6…
08-23 20:31:58	Ethereum Up or Down - August 23, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$2	0x9276a4…
08-23 18:23:33	Ethereum Up or Down - August 23, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	SELL	3	13¢	$0	0x979c6e…
08-23 18:22:03	Ethereum Up or Down - August 23, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x2c941b…
08-23 17:01:52	Ethereum Up or Down - August 23, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	SELL	3	21¢	$1	0x03f624…
08-23 17:01:22	Ethereum Up or Down - August 23, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x32344e…
08-23 16:47:19	Ethereum Up or Down - August 23, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x7548ed…
08-23 16:21:43	Ethereum Up or Down - August 23, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	69¢	$2	0x246cc8…
08-23 15:11:52	Ethereum Up or Down - August 23, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	74¢	$1	0xfe0662…
08-23 00:03:30	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-23 00:00 UTC	Up	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0x52c44c…
08-23 00:01:28	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-23 00:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	70¢	$2	0x92fe9e…
08-22 15:32:43	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 15:30 UTC	Up	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0xd5d050…
08-22 15:32:30	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 15:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2	84¢	$1	0xb36bdf…
08-22 14:18:03	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 14:15 UTC	Down	SELL	3	92¢	$2	0xc8a8b0…
08-22 14:17:28	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 14:15 UTC	Down	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0xf734cb…
08-12 13:42:49	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 13:40 UTC	Down	SELL	2	28¢	$1	0xf3f57f…
08-12 13:41:18	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 13:40 UTC	Down	BUY	2	77¢	$2	0x691441…
08-11 15:56:37	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 15:55 UTC	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x54659f…
08-11 15:56:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 15:55 UTC	Up	BUY	2	74¢	$2	0x95b124…
08-10 18:37:22	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 18:35 UTC	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x025fa5…
08-10 18:36:49	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 18:35 UTC	Down	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0xdce6d4…