Hairy-Contrast — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$11

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

66.9%

Resolved

Trades

479

lifetime

Volume

$10.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$21

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-04

last 07-05 07:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

73% 33% +$4

Politics

15% 0% $-15

Other

12% — —

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

42 active days in 12wk • peak 28 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	10	$468	696	583	+113	open	—	04-22 05:46
btc updown 5m 1773697500	2	$277	182	179	+3	open	—	03-16 21:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1PM ET	4	$260	170	170	+0	Up	+$30	05-12 17:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9AM ET	5	$259	300	196	+104	open	—	05-19 13:57
btc updown 5m 1773500700	2	$236	139	137	+1	open	—	03-14 15:10
btc updown 5m 1773698400	2	$234	136	135	+1	open	—	03-16 22:05
btc updown 5m 1773499500	2	$223	125	124	+1	open	—	03-14 14:50
btc updown 5m 1773695700	2	$220	122	121	+1	open	—	03-16 21:20
btc updown 5m 1773696000	2	$216	118	117	+0	open	—	03-16 21:25
btc updown 5m 1773696900	2	$207	118	118	+0	open	—	03-16 21:39
btc updown 5m 1773697800	4	$203	165	164	+1	open	—	03-16 21:55
btc updown 5m 1773499200	2	$187	110	109	+1	open	—	03-14 14:45
btc updown 5m 1773695400	2	$169	102	100	+1	open	—	03-16 21:15
btc updown 5m 1773502500	2	$167	258	0	+258	open	—	03-14 15:39
btc updown 5m 1773696600	2	$142	94	93	+1	open	—	03-16 21:35
btc updown 5m 1773853800	2	$141	83	82	+1	open	—	03-18 17:16
btc updown 5m 1781162700	2	$126	128	128	+0	open	—	06-11 07:29
btc updown 5m 1773694500	2	$123	75	74	+1	open	—	03-16 21:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6AM ET	5	$119	102	102	+0	open	—	05-19 10:49
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	2	$118	69	69	+0	open	—	05-24 05:22
btc updown 5m 1773498900	2	$117	68	68	+1	open	—	03-14 14:40
will the price of bitcoin be between 78000 80000 on april 17	1	$110	429	0	+429	open	—	04-17 14:01
btc updown 4h 1774713600	1	$110	149	0	+149	open	—	03-28 18:53
btc updown 5m 1773697200	2	$108	205	168	+37	open	—	03-16 21:42
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	2	$108	143	143	+0	open	—	04-13 16:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2PM ET	1	$105	188	0	+188	open	—	05-19 18:49
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	5	$103	2,625	52	+2,573	open	—	03-23 17:00
Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	5	$103	117	117	+0	open	—	04-06 09:40
btc updown 5m 1773698100	2	$100	63	62	+1	open	—	03-16 22:00
btc updown 5m 1781162100	1	$100	116	0	+116	open	—	06-11 07:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-05 07:12:22	btc updown 5m 1783235400	Up	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x40a734…
07-03 16:14:13	btc updown 5m 1783095000	Down	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0xbb9827…
07-02 17:19:10	btc updown 5m 1783012500	Up	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0xdd2f83…
07-02 16:59:41	btc updown 5m 1783011300	Up	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x508ed9…
06-30 15:24:04	btc updown 5m 1782832800	Down	SELL	28	18¢	$5	0x396404…
06-30 15:23:53	btc updown 5m 1782832800	Down	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0xb2d426…
06-20 19:42:43	btc updown 5m 1781984400	Up	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0xdcfbf9…
06-20 15:11:41	btc updown 5m 1781968200	Down	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0xc4322f…
06-19 13:09:58	btc updown 5m 1781874300	Down	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x3646db…
06-15 18:14:54	btc updown 5m 1781547000	Up	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0xb16fdf…
06-15 15:22:25	btc updown 5m 1781536800	Down	SELL	17	87¢	$15	0x5a4709…
06-15 03:47:01	will iran close its airspace by june 15 20260609184136053	Yes	SELL	23	1¢	$0	0xf5c1be…
06-14 14:46:51	btc updown 5m 1781448300	Down	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0xcd856d…
06-14 14:46:39	btc updown 5m 1781448300	Up	SELL	16	52¢	$8	0xca722d…
06-14 14:45:39	btc updown 5m 1781448300	Up	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0xebc94b…
06-13 15:18:00	btc updown 5m 1781363700	Up	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x3fe990…
06-13 11:24:31	btc updown 5m 1781349600	Down	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x4436d9…
06-13 11:13:42	btc updown 5m 1781349000	Up	BUY	29	37¢	$11	0x68232f…
06-13 08:32:03	btc updown 5m 1781339400	Up	SELL	17	72¢	$12	0x4cf5b9…
06-13 08:30:52	btc updown 5m 1781339400	Up	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0xdc9997…
06-13 08:26:24	btc updown 5m 1781339100	Up	SELL	19	77¢	$14	0xc53c63…
06-13 08:25:12	btc updown 5m 1781339100	Up	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0xcad699…
06-13 08:14:52	btc updown 5m 1781338200	Down	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0xeb50fc…
06-13 07:14:57	btc updown 5m 1781334600	Up	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x681d2b…
06-13 07:14:45	btc updown 5m 1781334600	Up	SELL	12	61¢	$8	0x7002bb…
06-13 07:13:33	btc updown 5m 1781334600	Up	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0x6c45c0…
06-13 05:34:52	btc updown 5m 1781328600	Down	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x2e3b5c…
06-13 05:31:55	btc updown 5m 1781328600	Up	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x95f403…
06-13 05:30:48	btc updown 5m 1781328600	Up	SELL	15	82¢	$12	0x497974…
06-11 14:54:15	btc updown 5m 1781189400	Up	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x34d0a0…
06-11 14:44:10	btc updown 5m 1781188800	Down	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0xb07c28…
06-11 14:23:12	btc updown 5m 1781187600	Up	SELL	17	93¢	$16	0x309501…
06-11 14:22:28	btc updown 5m 1781187600	Up	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x6ae944…
06-11 14:19:15	btc updown 5m 1781187300	Down	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xa248b4…
06-11 14:11:03	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 12 20260607232556274	Yes	BUY	78	6¢	$5	0x9b6117…
06-11 14:04:39	btc updown 5m 1781186400	Down	BUY	32	93¢	$30	0xc81174…
06-11 12:07:28	btc updown 5m 1781179500	Down	BUY	35	85¢	$30	0x889468…
06-11 07:29:37	btc updown 5m 1781162700	Down	SELL	128	20¢	$26	0x3d3efc…
06-11 07:26:27	btc updown 5m 1781162700	Down	BUY	128	78¢	$100	0x609f04…
06-11 07:23:39	btc updown 5m 1781162400	Up	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x30777a…
06-11 07:18:30	btc updown 5m 1781162100	Up	BUY	116	86¢	$100	0x0bcee1…
06-11 07:14:54	btc updown 5m 1781161800	Up	BUY	33	92¢	$30	0x2faaeb…
06-11 04:23:57	btc updown 5m 1781151600	Down	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0x529185…
06-11 04:17:39	btc updown 5m 1781151300	Down	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x8d9a68…
06-11 04:12:55	btc updown 5m 1781151000	Up	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x659f0c…
06-11 04:09:19	btc updown 5m 1781150700	Down	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x016c3b…
06-10 16:07:25	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 15 20260607232556275 193	Yes	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0xe5691b…
06-10 15:06:42	btc updown 15m 1781103600	Down	SELL	17	78¢	$13	0x193a53…
06-10 15:00:28	btc updown 15m 1781103600	Down	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x218fbd…
06-10 14:57:51	btc updown 15m 1781102700	Down	SELL	14	75¢	$11	0x312b39…
06-10 14:56:10	btc updown 15m 1781102700	Down	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0xec12b8…
06-10 14:54:15	btc updown 15m 1781102700	Down	SELL	20	68¢	$14	0x9f7da5…
06-10 14:47:06	btc updown 15m 1781102700	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x11494e…
06-10 14:41:49	btc updown 15m 1781101800	Up	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0xbc209d…
06-10 14:41:37	btc updown 15m 1781101800	Up	SELL	29	57¢	$17	0xa4632e…
06-10 14:41:18	btc updown 15m 1781101800	Up	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x1e583b…
06-10 14:35:22	btc updown 5m 1781101800	Down	SELL	32	99¢	$31	0x997be3…
06-10 14:34:27	btc updown 5m 1781101800	Down	BUY	32	95¢	$30	0x6d4a12…
06-10 14:29:34	btc updown 15m 1781100900	Up	BUY	33	90¢	$30	0xd7cb85…
06-10 14:27:34	btc updown 15m 1781100900	Up	SELL	14	83¢	$12	0x4f4816…
06-10 14:26:58	btc updown 15m 1781100900	Up	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x24434b…
06-10 14:25:00	btc updown 15m 1781100900	Up	SELL	16	85¢	$14	0xaffb4e…
06-10 14:24:13	btc updown 15m 1781100900	Up	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x99566e…
06-10 11:25:24	btc updown 15m 1781090100	Down	SELL	16	96¢	$15	0x4c81de…
06-10 11:24:46	btc updown 15m 1781090100	Down	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0xc9055b…
06-10 11:18:43	btc updown 15m 1781090100	Down	SELL	21	59¢	$12	0x28436b…
06-10 11:17:40	btc updown 15m 1781090100	Down	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x7864b7…
06-10 11:02:09	btc updown 15m 1781089200	Up	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x83d031…
06-10 10:31:09	btc updown 15m 1781087400	Up	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0xe6e121…
06-10 10:25:31	btc updown 15m 1781086500	Up	SELL	19	68¢	$13	0x59c62c…
06-10 10:23:46	btc updown 15m 1781086500	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x2723ad…
06-10 10:09:30	btc updown 15m 1781085600	Up	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0x0ab04f…
06-10 09:58:10	btc updown 15m 1781084700	Up	SELL	14	91¢	$12	0xbbd525…
06-10 09:54:42	btc updown 15m 1781084700	Up	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0x0fe5fe…
06-05 19:41:42	btc updown 15m 1780687800	Down	SELL	16	96¢	$15	0xd55d28…
06-05 19:35:55	btc updown 15m 1780687800	Down	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x1e5cf1…
06-05 16:17:37	btc updown 15m 1780676100	Down	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x55db16…
06-05 15:39:01	btc updown 15m 1780673400	Down	SELL	12	96¢	$12	0x61ac68…
06-05 15:35:49	btc updown 15m 1780673400	Down	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x555310…
06-05 15:24:22	btc updown 15m 1780672500	Up	SELL	33	93¢	$31	0xe77d57…
06-05 15:23:48	btc updown 15m 1780672500	Up	BUY	33	90¢	$30	0x0f0d34…
06-05 15:17:40	btc updown 15m 1780672500	Up	SELL	23	66¢	$15	0x10fa1b…
06-05 15:15:43	btc updown 15m 1780672500	Up	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x345d66…
06-05 15:09:37	btc updown 15m 1780671600	Down	SELL	30	69¢	$21	0x325419…
06-05 15:05:01	btc updown 15m 1780671600	Down	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x34eefe…
06-05 14:59:52	btc updown 15m 1780670700	Up	SELL	58	94¢	$55	0xbc6fc4…
06-05 14:58:07	btc updown 15m 1780670700	Up	BUY	58	51¢	$30	0xbe4c5f…
06-02 11:21:01	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	128	8¢	$10	0xc38148…
05-29 16:54:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x7dd8aa…
05-29 15:51:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x689539…
05-29 15:40:42	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	SELL	75	32¢	$24	0xbf49af…
05-26 06:45:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0xc22899…
05-24 05:22:29	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	SELL	69	98¢	$68	0x14b64e…
05-23 13:03:07	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	69	72¢	$50	0x283443…
05-23 08:40:44	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	38	93¢	$36	0x044779…
05-19 19:07:15	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0x04d0c4…
05-19 18:49:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	188	56¢	$105	0x44ed9a…
05-19 13:57:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9AM ET	Up	SELL	155	22¢	$34	0x6892dc…
05-19 13:57:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	104	74¢	$77	0x95ca0e…
05-19 13:55:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	155	68¢	$105	0xd2967d…