Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3.82K

Unrealized P&L

+$416

Hit rate

59.7%

Resolved

132

Trades

371

lifetime

Volume

$58.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$158

Open exposure

$213

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-28

last 06-25 17:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 49 days

Categories

Other

66% 53% +$3,302

Politics

21% 56% +$776

Pop-Culture

5% 75% -$539

Tech

3% 100% +$85

Crypto

3% 50% +$154

Sports

1% 100% +$42

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-25).

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
New pandemic in 2026?	No		-185	-$165	97¢	$-179	-$14	06-15 14:39
Will SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2026?	Yes		-2,578	-$464	1¢	$-34	+$431	06-25 17:34

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	8	$1.9K	1,284	1,284	+0	Yes	+$2	03-25 16:42
us strikes yemen by march 31 2026	8	$1.6K	1,101	1,101	+0	No	+$285	02-28 11:14
elc cha por 2025 12 06 por	4	$1.5K	1,119	1,119	+0	Yes	-$201	01-31 07:49
scop abe cel 2026 02 04 draw	2	$1.5K	937	937	+0	No	-$128	02-24 22:55
will bitcoin outperform nvidia nvda in march 2026	2	$1.4K	832	832	+0	Yes	+$150	03-30 15:19
will manchild sabrina carpenter win best music video at the 68th annual grammy awards	4	$1.2K	997	997	+0	No	+$30	01-31 18:04
Paramount x Warner Bros. acquisition announced by June 30?	4	$1.2K	713	713	+0	Yes	+$7	02-05 23:48
bun hsv b04 2026 01 13 draw	5	$1.1K	906	906	+0	No	-$190	02-22 21:25
will 30 to 59 tornadoes occur in the united states in february 2026	4	$1.1K	779	779	+0	Yes	+$0	02-22 05:21
will headshot be said 10 times during the pgl bucharest 2026 grand final	2	$1.1K	1,458	0	+1,458	Yes	+$364	04-07 20:11
naim qassem out as hezbollahs secretary general by march 31 2026	3	$1.1K	767	767	+0	No	-$31	03-18 13:36
will al green attend the 2026 state of the union address	4	$974	1,102	1,102	+0	Yes	-$4	02-21 04:56
houthi strike on israel by february 28	3	$963	547	547	+0	No	-$11	02-19 08:40
Will Gregor Heise be the Republican Nominee for TX-30?	3	$957	600	600	+0	No	-$39	02-25 21:51
will global temperature increase by between 1pt05c and 1pt09c in january 2026	2	$955	927	927	+0	Yes	-$102	01-30 01:14
will there be 12 14 inches of snow in nyc in january	4	$931	705	705	+0	Yes	+$381	01-30 17:52
will israel strike 4 countries in march 2026	4	$911	665	665	+0	No	+$73	03-11 11:01
will israel strike lebanon on february 14 2026	6	$874	620	611	+9	Yes	+$81	02-14 19:15
will nyc have less than 2 inches of precipitation in february	7	$835	795	795	+0	No	+$72	02-16 20:21
Will Olivia Rodrigo announce a new album by March 31?	3	$833	541	541	+0	No	+$173	03-21 19:22
will chris gober be the republican nominee for tx 10	5	$829	488	488	+0	Yes	+$9	02-19 17:35
will spacex starship flight test 12 superheavy explode 995 876 365 284 849 486 211 172 221 678 984 722	4	$823	735	735	+0	No	+$74	02-12 02:43
will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 20 2026 353	1	$817	958	0	+958	Yes	+$141	03-21 02:37
israel strike on yemen by march 31 2026	1	$815	1,314	0	+1,314	No	+$499	02-19 23:53
elc por ips 2026 01 04 ips	2	$780	857	857	+0	No	-$9	04-09 09:15
Critical Discord Incident by April 30?	2	$757	645	195	+450	No	+$59	04-27 08:20
will tisza win 100109 seats in the hungarian national assembly in this election	4	$742	438	437	+1	No	+$15	03-22 03:15
will hezbollah disarm by march 31	1	$727	730	0	+730	No	+$3	02-23 00:43
will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by february 8	3	$722	569	569	+0	No	+$29	02-01 02:34
will lady gaga win 2 grammys	6	$716	966	966	+0	Yes	-$714	02-02 17:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-25 17:34:01	Will SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,578	18¢	$464	0xc127ac…
06-15 14:39:07	New pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	185	89¢	$165	0xcdfbef…
06-15 14:11:01	Will New England Revolution vs. Houston Dynamo end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	483	63¢	$304	0x12cdd7…
06-15 14:10:39	Will New England Revolution vs. Houston Dynamo end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	414	63¢	$261	0xe8bbe8…
04-27 08:20:08	Critical Discord Incident by April 30?	No	SELL	195	94¢	$183	0x8fef4e…
04-24 04:31:34	Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	1,004	65¢	$653	0xc64469…
04-09 09:15:09	elc por ips 2026 01 04 ips	No	SELL	857	45¢	$386	0xafde8c…
04-08 00:30:07	elc por ips 2026 01 04 ips	No	BUY	857	46¢	$394	0xb8409d…
04-07 20:11:53	will headshot be said 10 times during the pgl bucharest 2026 grand final	Yes	BUY	741	75¢	$556	0xf5880c…
04-07 20:11:33	will headshot be said 10 times during the pgl bucharest 2026 grand final	Yes	BUY	717	75¢	$538	0xab46a7…
04-07 19:43:07	Critical Discord Incident by April 30?	No	BUY	645	89¢	$574	0xac3cd8…
03-31 03:41:01	pakistan military action against afghanistan by march 31	Yes	SELL	258	13¢	$34	0x5193d9…
03-30 15:19:37	will bitcoin outperform nvidia nvda in march 2026	Yes	SELL	832	94¢	$782	0x8d6365…
03-29 23:21:22	pakistan military action against afghanistan by march 31	Yes	BUY	258	27¢	$70	0x1069c1…
03-29 22:25:36	will bitcoin outperform nvidia nvda in march 2026	Yes	BUY	832	76¢	$632	0xb393b7…
03-29 19:32:50	Will there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	351	27¢	$95	0x2aecdc…
03-26 07:25:19	will tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in q1 2026	No	SELL	215	36¢	$77	0x75f9e0…
03-25 16:42:33	Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	No	SELL	62	77¢	$48	0x9ca471…
03-24 07:19:59	will tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in q1 2026	No	SELL	50	45¢	$22	0x36fb44…
03-23 01:40:03	will tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in q1 2026	No	BUY	265	39¢	$103	0xa5b30c…
03-22 07:42:23	Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	No	SELL	182	73¢	$133	0x44ab07…
03-22 03:17:01	Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	No	SELL	11	72¢	$8	0x501c04…
03-22 03:15:47	will tisza win 100109 seats in the hungarian national assembly in this election	No	SELL	200	87¢	$174	0xb4d971…
03-21 19:22:51	Will Olivia Rodrigo announce a new album by March 31?	No	SELL	290	93¢	$270	0xbd1e99…
03-21 19:21:39	Will Olivia Rodrigo announce a new album by March 31?	No	SELL	251	93¢	$233	0x18f42a…
03-21 19:13:25	will tisza win 100109 seats in the hungarian national assembly in this election	No	SELL	223	86¢	$192	0xd3e55c…
03-21 19:11:45	will tisza win 100109 seats in the hungarian national assembly in this election	No	SELL	14	86¢	$12	0x915b0d…
03-21 16:40:43	Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	No	SELL	145	73¢	$106	0xb2212a…
03-21 16:38:51	Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	No	SELL	172	73¢	$126	0x83ae15…
03-21 16:37:11	Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	No	SELL	183	73¢	$134	0x55b976…
03-21 16:35:25	Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	No	SELL	529	73¢	$386	0xf5f75f…
03-21 05:15:15	will tisza win 100109 seats in the hungarian national assembly in this election	No	BUY	438	83¢	$364	0x66dada…
03-21 02:37:39	will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 20 2026 353	Yes	BUY	958	85¢	$817	0x3f3593…
03-20 22:32:09	Will Olivia Rodrigo announce a new album by March 31?	No	BUY	541	61¢	$330	0xa18f25…
03-20 21:09:31	Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	No	BUY	1,284	73¢	$937	0xb4388d…
03-19 15:18:27	will khamenei tweet again on march 21 2026 649 572	No	SELL	377	13¢	$49	0x3ec6e5…
03-19 03:03:49	Will Cyprus be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	781	45¢	$351	0x418f50…
03-18 13:36:25	naim qassem out as hezbollahs secretary general by march 31 2026	No	SELL	362	69¢	$250	0x2bd603…
03-18 13:35:03	naim qassem out as hezbollahs secretary general by march 31 2026	No	SELL	405	69¢	$279	0x09b08a…
03-16 22:41:51	naim qassem out as hezbollahs secretary general by march 31 2026	No	BUY	767	73¢	$560	0x609ea5…
03-16 20:49:07	will khamenei tweet again on march 21 2026 649 572	No	BUY	377	28¢	$106	0x04f96a…
03-16 20:04:35	Will Cyprus be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	622	45¢	$280	0xe90c48…
03-16 20:04:21	Will Cyprus be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	159	45¢	$72	0x61a0b5…
03-11 11:01:05	will israel strike 4 countries in march 2026	No	SELL	57	74¢	$42	0x821b70…
03-11 11:00:17	will israel strike 4 countries in march 2026	No	SELL	262	74¢	$194	0x4e8877…
03-11 10:58:49	will israel strike 4 countries in march 2026	No	SELL	346	74¢	$256	0x621e50…
03-11 10:56:03	will forecastex self certify sports event contracts by march 31 2026	No	SELL	399	77¢	$307	0x6a9968…
03-11 10:54:51	will forecastex self certify sports event contracts by march 31 2026	No	SELL	37	77¢	$28	0x29d724…
03-10 12:13:55	Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.10 (LOW) by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	241	12¢	$29	0x19d9c4…
03-10 12:13:41	Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.10 (LOW) by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	250	12¢	$30	0xcb8f75…
03-10 12:13:27	Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.10 (LOW) by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	421	12¢	$51	0xcc9047…
03-07 03:53:01	will israel strike gaza on march 8 2026	No	BUY	341	84¢	$286	0x76c726…
03-07 02:45:59	spl kho qad 2026 03 05 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	149	38¢	$57	0x11b937…
02-28 23:08:43	will israel strike 4 countries in march 2026	No	BUY	665	63¢	$419	0xfbcc93…
02-28 22:13:03	Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?	Yes	SELL	45	47¢	$21	0x73168d…
02-28 21:11:25	Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.10 (LOW) by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	241	14¢	$34	0x3a4688…
02-28 21:11:07	Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.10 (LOW) by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	421	14¢	$59	0x701591…
02-28 21:10:51	Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.10 (LOW) by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	250	14¢	$35	0x18fc90…
02-28 21:04:21	will forecastex self certify sports event contracts by march 31 2026	No	BUY	436	85¢	$371	0x75e41e…
02-28 20:46:27	will seattle have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in march	Yes	BUY	8	42¢	$3	0x8da33f…
02-28 18:22:39	Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?	Yes	BUY	45	50¢	$22	0x20687b…
02-28 11:14:27	us strikes yemen by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	482	92¢	$443	0x1815b0…
02-28 11:14:09	us strikes yemen by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	56	92¢	$52	0xa10ac4…
02-28 05:37:23	will donald trump endorse john cornyn for the texas republican senate primary by march 2 2026	Yes	SELL	561	32¢	$180	0xeb57f4…
02-28 04:23:43	us strikes yemen by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1	38¢	$0	0xb486b2…
02-28 04:23:39	us strikes yemen by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	537	38¢	$204	0xa29b12…
02-28 03:15:07	will donald trump endorse john cornyn for the texas republican senate primary by march 2 2026	Yes	SELL	334	31¢	$104	0xfaa3c3…
02-28 01:32:47	will donald trump endorse john cornyn for the texas republican senate primary by march 2 2026	Yes	BUY	525	15¢	$79	0x3d2491…
02-28 01:32:35	will donald trump endorse john cornyn for the texas republican senate primary by march 2 2026	Yes	BUY	334	15¢	$50	0x771031…
02-28 01:32:19	will donald trump endorse john cornyn for the texas republican senate primary by march 2 2026	Yes	BUY	36	15¢	$5	0x47ce7b…
02-28 00:15:21	will global temperature increase by between 1pt10c and 1pt14c in february 2026 151	Yes	SELL	389	23¢	$90	0x2e894e…
02-28 00:14:51	will global temperature increase by between 1pt10c and 1pt14c in february 2026 151	Yes	SELL	208	23¢	$48	0xf49bd4…
02-26 10:50:26	will global temperature increase by between 1pt10c and 1pt14c in february 2026 151	Yes	SELL	703	25¢	$172	0x67d267…
02-26 08:12:18	lal ray ovi 2026 02 07 draw	No	SELL	386	37¢	$143	0x4e9478…
02-25 22:28:22	will the singers win best live action short film at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	381	32¢	$124	0xfe0c6e…
02-25 21:51:02	Will Gregor Heise be the Republican Nominee for TX-30?	No	SELL	220	76¢	$168	0x68fc49…
02-25 21:50:10	Will Gregor Heise be the Republican Nominee for TX-30?	No	SELL	380	77¢	$291	0x8d7291…
02-25 19:13:24	Will Gregor Heise be the Republican Nominee for TX-30?	No	BUY	600	83¢	$498	0xc730ce…
02-25 18:51:44	will the singers win best live action short film at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	381	24¢	$93	0x116948…
02-25 03:22:46	spl njm nsr 2025 12 21 nsr	Yes	SELL	48	85¢	$41	0x03fc41…
02-25 03:22:28	spl njm nsr 2025 12 21 nsr	Yes	SELL	70	85¢	$60	0x8cb050…
02-25 03:21:56	will trump say bitcoin in february	Yes	SELL	144	30¢	$43	0x7e9848…
02-25 01:02:02	will trump say bitcoin in february	Yes	BUY	144	27¢	$39	0xe9e96b…
02-25 00:54:22	val slp m80 2026 02 18	sleepers	BUY	114	52¢	$59	0xd6743b…
02-25 00:43:26	cbb mtnst jaxst 2026 01 24	Jacksonville State Gamecocks	BUY	520	84¢	$436	0x4a7cc7…
02-24 22:55:58	scop abe cel 2026 02 04 draw	No	SELL	937	71¢	$669	0x9fceea…
02-24 21:45:06	scop abe cel 2026 02 04 draw	No	BUY	937	85¢	$796	0xd01cbb…
02-24 20:02:46	microstrategy sells any bitcoin by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	86	1¢	$1	0x39ea05…
02-24 20:02:30	microstrategy sells any bitcoin by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	56	1¢	$1	0x2164ea…
02-24 20:02:12	microstrategy sells any bitcoin by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	9	1¢	$0	0xb20250…
02-24 19:46:46	Will Craig Federighi be the next CEO of Apple?	No	SELL	413	84¢	$347	0xa50b9f…
02-24 18:54:54	will trump say obama during the state of the union address 686	No	SELL	247	61¢	$151	0xdfacef…
02-24 18:54:04	will trump say obama during the state of the union address 686	No	SELL	75	61¢	$46	0x543e86…
02-24 18:26:20	will israel strike greater beirut by march 31	No	SELL	232	60¢	$139	0x550bf9…
02-24 18:04:38	spl njm nsr 2025 12 21 nsr	Yes	SELL	10	82¢	$8	0x0d53e8…
02-24 03:08:12	Will Craig Federighi be the next CEO of Apple?	No	BUY	413	88¢	$363	0x086971…
02-24 02:39:32	will trump say obama during the state of the union address 686	No	BUY	322	62¢	$200	0x3efd62…
02-24 00:30:04	us strikes yemen by march 31 2026	No	SELL	25	81¢	$20	0xfe8121…
02-23 23:51:26	will israel strike lebanon on february 26 2026	No	SELL	332	57¢	$189	0x1b40a3…
02-23 23:37:46	will the us next strike iran on march 8 2026 et	Yes	SELL	92	2¢	$2	0x6a9ac7…