Self-Reliant-Closet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

40.4%

Resolved

Trades

276

lifetime

Volume

$275

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 06-13 02:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

39% 100% +$0

Politics

32% 0% $-0

Crypto

20% 50% +$0

Tech

5% — —

Sports

3% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

63 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Cerebras IPO before 2027?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	04-30 02:44
Israel military action against Iranian Power Plant by April 30?	4	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	04-06 02:12
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-27 01:50
will larry page be 2nd richest person on march 31	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-28 02:47
Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?	4	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	$-0	05-12 02:25
nothing ever happens microstrategy	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	02-20 07:05
russia x ukraine prisoner exchange by february 14 2026	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	02-05 02:28
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-01 02:09
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by June 5?	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-09 01:01
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $78 in May?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	05-07 01:17
will openai have the best ai model for math on march 31	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-27 06:25
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-23 01:47
P2P FDV above $5M one day after launch?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	04-02 01:56
will france strike iran by march 31	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-27 06:28
trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-28 02:46
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-02 01:59
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-30 02:40
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-25 02:19
Over $2M committed to the Printr public sale?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-29 01:42
spx opens up or down on february 18 2026	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	02-18 09:26
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-08 01:05
will the march 2026 unemployment rate be 4pt2	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-03 01:38
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 4?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-04 01:31
bitcoin above 64k on april 7	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-07 01:30
will us or israel strike iran on march 10 2026	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-10 01:31
will xai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 497	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-12 02:38
bitcoin above 72k on march 17	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-17 01:55
Espresso FDV above $100M one day after launch?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	$-0	02-11 01:15
Over $3M committed to the Infinex public sale?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	01-08 08:00
Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-03 01:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-13 02:56:03	will antonio gracias be on stage at a bell ceremony commemorating spacexs ipo 20260608220212487	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x3a5726…
06-13 02:55:21	will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	No	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0xf0ae89…
06-13 02:31:21	will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	No	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x8bfd4e…
06-13 02:25:27	will antonio gracias be on stage at a bell ceremony commemorating spacexs ipo 20260608220212487	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x498de2…
06-12 03:06:54	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	No	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0x52c181…
06-12 02:54:51	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xb7c534…
06-11 02:40:36	president trump to attend usa opening match 20260607163739001	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xf7ef59…
06-11 02:26:03	president trump to attend usa opening match 20260607163739001	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xc8df34…
06-11 02:09:57	will city protocol launch a token by june 30 2027	Yes	SELL	1	60¢	$1	0xba2482…
06-11 02:09:06	will city protocol launch a token by june 30 2027	No	SELL	1	39¢	$0	0x8f3bc4…
06-09 01:01:43	Will US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by June 5?	Yes	SELL	2	88¢	$2	0xbdc584…
06-09 00:59:39	Will US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by June 5?	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xa7025b…
06-09 00:57:12	Will US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by June 5?	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xad590a…
06-08 01:05:43	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x371003…
06-08 00:55:22	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xeb1576…
06-06 02:37:22	spacex ipo closing market cap above 3pt8t	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x2af0e6…
06-06 02:35:10	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 15 2026	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xd9a4a0…
06-06 02:15:09	spacex ipo closing market cap above 3pt8t	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x29305d…
06-06 02:08:57	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 15 2026	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x67cb07…
06-05 02:21:27	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x1bcf8b…
06-05 02:19:48	nba playoffs will president trump attend the nba finals	Yes	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xb8a281…
06-05 02:03:51	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x3e9d28…
06-05 01:54:43	nba playoffs will president trump attend the nba finals	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xaa7870…
06-04 01:51:42	will trump praise gianni infantino by june 30	Yes	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x68ed5d…
06-04 01:30:03	will trump praise gianni infantino by june 30	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x37be40…
06-03 01:21:27	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x3418bd…
06-02 00:58:46	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xc82951…
06-01 02:09:25	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0xb7ebfb…
06-01 02:07:25	Will Propr launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x32230d…
06-01 01:50:05	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x287cb7…
06-01 01:45:43	Will Propr launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xd0ef4e…
05-30 01:43:03	Will China blockade Taiwan by in 2026?	No	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0x8f5332…
05-30 01:41:48	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xe50574…
05-30 01:12:57	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xd8c67a…
05-29 01:32:37	Will Trump designate Brazil's PCC or CV as a terrorists by December 31?	Yes	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xf4e3c0…
05-29 01:21:25	Will Trump designate Brazil's PCC or CV as a terrorists by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x45b103…
05-27 01:50:07	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x8726d1…
05-27 01:21:18	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xa86031…
05-25 02:19:44	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0xb8c78b…
05-25 02:03:38	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x60a07a…
05-23 01:48:33	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x3005cd…
05-23 01:47:00	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x508025…
05-23 01:36:30	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x3d2f41…
05-23 01:30:56	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x9ba252…
05-22 02:04:42	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x162691…
05-22 01:37:08	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x58d99f…
05-21 02:26:28	Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0x1969c0…
05-21 02:23:43	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0x4b8d08…
05-21 02:06:15	Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x44bc77…
05-21 01:59:31	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xf5a6d8…
05-18 02:06:31	Will Trump announce AI export restrictions relief for China?	No	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x0bdb81…
05-18 01:53:33	Will Trump announce AI export restrictions relief for China?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xf333f3…
05-16 02:24:50	Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xd8f6de…
05-16 01:37:30	Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x4da526…
05-15 02:25:19	Gemini 3.5 released by July 31?	Yes	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0x088fcf…
05-15 02:19:25	Gemini 3.5 released by July 31?	Yes	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xada899…
05-14 01:52:33	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x38936b…
05-14 01:51:10	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	1	77¢	$1	0xd60d6d…
05-14 01:34:00	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x838276…
05-14 01:26:25	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x54fc7e…
05-13 02:27:44	Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in May 2026?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xb8000e…
05-13 02:19:37	Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in May 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x1f4688…
05-12 02:26:35	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $285 in May?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xb3f2d6…
05-12 02:25:09	Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xed159b…
05-12 02:17:18	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $285 in May?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa00484…
05-12 02:09:55	Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x0358fa…
05-11 01:56:05	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $62 in May?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x471956…
05-11 01:46:29	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $62 in May?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xdd7270…
05-09 01:22:51	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x6239fb…
05-09 01:10:54	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x9fee8b…
05-08 02:41:05	Will Romania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	66¢	$1	0x4af980…
05-08 02:39:34	Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x2ef17d…
05-08 02:33:40	Will Romania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x1924fc…
05-08 02:30:57	Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x52a838…
05-07 01:17:44	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $78 in May?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x8fe8d5…
05-07 01:09:15	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $78 in May?	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x06224b…
05-05 01:59:32	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xea876c…
05-05 01:50:36	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xaf09aa…
05-04 01:31:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 4?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x02b8a8…
05-04 01:21:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 4?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xcb13b9…
04-30 02:44:52	Cerebras IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xa82985…
04-30 02:40:28	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x9ec90e…
04-30 02:32:46	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xa13f0e…
04-30 02:26:00	Cerebras IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xf6e38b…
04-29 01:42:28	Over $2M committed to the Printr public sale?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x98021b…
04-29 01:40:08	Will gas hit (High) $4.50 by April 30?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xb7a94c…
04-29 01:34:00	Over $2M committed to the Printr public sale?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x9da5b4…
04-29 01:28:04	Will gas hit (High) $4.50 by April 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x5ea996…
04-28 01:37:56	Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0x64b269…
04-28 01:30:06	Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xd1618c…
04-27 01:28:40	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0xf60acc…
04-27 01:27:10	Putin meets with Iranian officials by May 15?	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x75e7b9…
04-27 01:13:46	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xa35f63…
04-25 01:45:38	Will the criminal investigation into Jerome Powell be dropped by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x02b132…
04-25 01:39:52	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Lakers vs. Rockets	Lakers	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0x476ca2…
04-25 01:31:06	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Lakers vs. Rockets	Lakers	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x893714…
04-25 01:27:20	Will the criminal investigation into Jerome Powell be dropped by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x0f8151…
04-24 01:37:30	Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xaf4bea…
04-24 01:34:58	bitcoin above 74k on april 24	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xaddbed…
04-24 01:31:54	bitcoin above 74k on april 24	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf02a72…