Self-Reliant-Closet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

40.4%

Resolved

Trades

389

lifetime

Volume

$388

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 07-28 03:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

35% 0% $-0

Other

34% 100% +$0

Crypto

20% 50% +$0

Tech

6% — —

Sports

3% — —

Pop-Culture

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

65 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	8	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	07-23 02:47
Cerebras IPO before 2027?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	04-30 02:44
Israel military action against Iranian Power Plant by April 30?	4	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	04-06 02:12
gpt 5pt6 released by july 24 2026 296 664 193 839	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	07-08 02:21
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-27 01:50
will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-21 02:36
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-28 02:27
will larry page be 2nd richest person on march 31	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-28 02:47
Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?	4	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	$-0	05-12 02:25
nothing ever happens microstrategy	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	02-20 07:05
russia x ukraine prisoner exchange by february 14 2026	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	02-05 02:28
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-01 02:09
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by June 5?	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-09 01:01
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	3	$3	2	1	+1	open	—	06-21 02:55
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $78 in May?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	05-07 01:17
will openai have the best ai model for math on march 31	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-27 06:25
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-23 01:47
P2P FDV above $5M one day after launch?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	04-02 01:56
will france strike iran by march 31	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-27 06:28
trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-28 02:46
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	2	$2	1	1	-0	open	—	07-11 02:23
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-02 01:59
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-30 02:40
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	07-30 02:22
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-25 02:19
Over $2M committed to the Printr public sale?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-29 01:42
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 24	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	07-24 02:44
spx opens up or down on february 18 2026	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	02-18 09:26
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-08 01:05
will the march 2026 unemployment rate be 4pt2	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-03 01:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-30 02:22:18	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xe1c61a…
07-30 02:04:11	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x6b0ce0…
07-28 03:05:52	will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xc51a52…
07-28 02:52:25	will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xde76cf…
07-28 02:27:39	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x865b41…
07-28 02:15:46	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xcd1f07…
07-27 02:16:43	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x449e80…
07-27 02:03:36	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xad2ce9…
07-27 01:56:09	iran military action against a gulf state on july 26 20260708212322951	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x127eaf…
07-27 01:49:16	iran military action against a gulf state on july 26 20260708212322951	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x8000fe…
07-25 03:12:25	Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x05b78d…
07-25 03:02:01	Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x6cc25d…
07-25 02:58:39	will gpt 6 be released by august 7 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x6e04ed…
07-25 02:31:15	will gpt 6 be released by august 7 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xec2671…
07-24 02:58:37	will cxmts closing ipo market cap be above 1pt5t cny 20260722211138919	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x7428d4…
07-24 02:48:36	will cxmts closing ipo market cap be above 1pt5t cny 20260722211138919	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xbda756…
07-24 02:44:48	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 24	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x57c9b1…
07-24 02:32:46	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 24	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x7402c2…
07-23 02:47:28	will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x5ad355…
07-23 02:20:57	will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x756b6a…
07-23 02:15:27	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xb42af1…
07-23 02:03:27	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xb1ffaf…
07-22 02:10:55	andrew tate released from custody by july 31 2026 20260719025109263	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x805486…
07-22 01:58:03	andrew tate released from custody by july 31 2026 20260719025109263	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xe7f5b5…
07-21 02:18:22	will xrp reach 1pt4 in july 2026	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xa28856…
07-21 02:07:09	will xrp reach 1pt4 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xa40b01…
07-20 03:59:10	will russia enter serhiivka by july 31	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xb636cc…
07-20 03:47:19	will russia enter serhiivka by july 31	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xcded31…
07-20 03:31:12	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x2d58c2…
07-20 03:17:21	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xc239ae…
07-18 02:53:54	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x3b383a…
07-18 02:26:10	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xec9be4…
07-17 02:29:28	will trump accuse north korea of election interference by july 16 20260714013930795	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x2075c9…
07-17 02:21:40	will trump accuse north korea of election interference by july 16 20260714013930795	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x907b34…
07-17 02:16:18	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 20 2026 20260714195149522	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xac7c3a…
07-17 01:55:43	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 20 2026 20260714195149522	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb713bc…
07-16 01:59:19	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x38ad71…
07-16 01:50:10	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xc44ebc…
07-16 01:46:29	Will Coldplay perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xca67b8…
07-16 01:35:04	Will Coldplay perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xd1b880…
07-15 02:13:59	iran military action against a gulf state on july 14 20260708212322939	Yes	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x8593f0…
07-15 02:08:35	iran military action against a gulf state on july 14 20260708212322939	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xc50700…
07-14 02:53:56	will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x587203…
07-14 02:39:34	will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x61c4d2…
07-13 03:04:52	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by august 31	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x2e179f…
07-13 02:55:23	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by august 31	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd252fa…
07-13 02:46:26	will france send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952740	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xdc7330…
07-13 02:28:28	will france send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952740	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x21badb…
07-11 02:23:43	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xb7abf2…
07-11 02:03:55	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x92f289…
07-11 02:00:34	will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xc23569…
07-11 01:55:05	will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x729b5e…
07-10 02:48:55	will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xd0867f…
07-10 02:28:52	will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xea4199…
07-09 02:21:43	will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in july 2026	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x288adb…
07-09 02:10:22	will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in july 2026	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x283501…
07-09 02:04:35	us iran final nuclear deal by august 13 2026 20260621201255152	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x972ff5…
07-09 01:54:46	us iran final nuclear deal by august 13 2026 20260621201255152	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xa2ff0b…
07-08 02:21:58	gpt 5pt6 released by july 24 2026 296 664 193 839	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xfe08ba…
07-08 02:11:29	gpt 5pt6 released by july 24 2026 296 664 193 839	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x8aa397…
07-07 02:44:04	gpt 5pt6 released by july 24 2026 296 664 193 839	Yes	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xeeb014…
07-07 02:24:31	gpt 5pt6 released by july 24 2026 296 664 193 839	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x923bd0…
07-06 01:52:52	gpt 5pt6 released by july 24 2026 296 664 193 839	Yes	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x627bb3…
07-06 01:37:55	gpt 5pt6 released by july 24 2026 296 664 193 839	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x48aadb…
07-04 01:50:02	israeli parliament dissolved by july 15	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x442822…
07-04 01:44:28	israeli parliament dissolved by july 15	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xd84908…
07-03 06:34:20	Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xe5903f…
07-03 04:58:28	Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xeea02a…
07-02 02:17:26	trump orders federal review of ai model releases by july 31	No	SELL	1	67¢	$1	0xb25d2f…
07-02 02:14:50	trump orders federal review of ai model releases by july 31	No	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x371770…
07-02 02:11:19	will taylor swift get married in manhattan 20260605211638230	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xb411e7…
07-02 01:56:20	will taylor swift get married in manhattan 20260605211638230	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd5aac7…
07-01 01:43:46	will abbas araghchi sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950073	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xac96a8…
07-01 01:32:17	will abbas araghchi sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950073	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x0955d2…
06-30 02:19:08	will bitcoin dip to 55k in june 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xb1fbe2…
06-30 02:10:25	will bitcoin dip to 55k in june 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xefe14d…
06-30 02:05:50	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x1950c4…
06-30 01:50:56	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x54b8b3…
06-29 03:19:40	will bitcoin reach 62500 in june 2026 from june 25	No	SELL	1	72¢	$1	0x729fbb…
06-29 03:18:19	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x3c4e6e…
06-29 03:04:10	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x34727b…
06-29 02:54:20	will bitcoin reach 62500 in june 2026 from june 25	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xc95e50…
06-27 01:55:11	will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x52a6e1…
06-27 01:44:56	will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x8943d5…
06-27 01:40:23	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x0a25f0…
06-27 01:33:26	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xfb24ec…
06-26 02:44:35	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x362d14…
06-26 02:31:17	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x3963f6…
06-25 03:13:20	Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	74¢	$1	0xe8e6b5…
06-25 03:12:31	will cambria launch a token by december 31 2027	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xbdb453…
06-25 03:02:35	Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xedddce…
06-25 02:57:02	will cambria launch a token by december 31 2027	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x19fbf2…
06-24 02:50:28	will the next uk prime minister be appointed by september 30 20260622183223873	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x4dc385…
06-24 02:35:59	will the next uk prime minister be appointed by september 30 20260622183223873	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x8dbb3c…
06-23 01:58:55	will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x81c2b0…
06-23 01:55:56	Will Austria advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x2233b0…
06-23 01:43:59	will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x6e729c…
06-23 01:37:25	Will Austria advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xa0c4fa…
06-22 02:25:59	will the us lift direct iran ofac sanctions by june 19 2026	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xb24632…
06-22 02:24:32	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 26	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x91b288…