Whimsical-Insurgence — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$160

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

65.9%

Resolved

310

Trades

488

lifetime

Volume

$6.78K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-13

last 10-27 01:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 62 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 51% -$173

Sports

1% 67% +$9

Tech

0% 100% +$1

Other

0% 100% +$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes		+7	$5	63¢	$4	$0	10-16 11:20

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-21 01:30 UTC	2	$86	58	57	+1	Down	+$27	03-21 01:43
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-18 01:30 UTC	2	$86	58	57	+1	Down	+$26	03-18 01:45
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-21 01:45 UTC	6	$85	57	56	+1	Up	+$26	03-21 01:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-18 00:00 UTC	4	$84	55	54	+1	Up	+$25	03-18 00:13
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-18 00:00 UTC	6	$83	55	54	+1	Up	+$24	03-18 00:12
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-21 02:00 UTC	6	$66	56	36	+20	Up	+$24	03-21 02:14
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-11 09:00 UTC	2	$60	40	39	+1	Up	+$19	04-11 09:14
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-10 10:45 UTC	2	$59	41	39	+2	Up	+$20	04-10 10:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-11 08:30 UTC	2	$58	39	38	+1	Down	+$18	04-11 08:45
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-10 09:45 UTC	2	$58	39	38	+1	Down	+$18	04-10 10:00
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-10 14:30 UTC	4	$58	40	38	+1	Down	+$20	04-10 14:43
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-09 05:45 UTC	3	$58	40	38	+1	Down	+$19	04-09 05:56
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-02 10:00 UTC	2	$58	39	37	+1	Down	+$17	04-02 10:13
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-10 12:45 UTC	2	$58	38	37	+1	Down	+$17	04-10 12:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-11 06:15 UTC	2	$58	38	37	+1	Up	+$17	04-11 06:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-11 09:00 UTC	2	$58	38	37	+1	Up	+$17	04-11 09:15
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-10 12:00 UTC	2	$58	38	37	+1	Up	+$17	04-10 12:14
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-09 00:15 UTC	4	$57	39	37	+1	Down	+$18	04-09 00:28
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-17 23:30 UTC	2	$57	38	37	+1	Down	+$17	03-17 23:41
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-10 12:45 UTC	3	$57	38	37	+1	Down	+$18	04-10 12:58
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-09 07:15 UTC	4	$57	38	37	+1	Down	+$18	04-09 07:27
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-11 06:15 UTC	3	$57	37	36	+1	Up	+$16	04-11 06:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-02 08:00 UTC	2	$56	38	37	+1	Down	+$16	04-02 08:06
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-10 12:45 UTC	4	$56	38	37	+1	Down	+$17	04-10 12:59
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-11 07:45 UTC	2	$56	36	35	+1	Down	+$15	04-11 08:00
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-10 11:45 UTC	2	$56	36	35	+1	Down	+$15	04-10 12:00
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-09 00:45 UTC	2	$55	37	36	+1	Up	+$16	04-09 00:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-09 05:45 UTC	2	$55	36	35	+1	Down	+$16	04-09 05:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-09 07:15 UTC	3	$55	36	35	+1	Down	+$16	04-09 07:27
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-02 12:15 UTC	4	$47	38	27	+11	Up	+$17	04-02 12:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 01:27:14	XRP Up or Down - October 26, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xcad975…
10-16 11:20:07	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xa001d5…
10-09 07:13:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0x76c2d8…
10-09 06:45:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xba56de…
09-28 06:17:17	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-28 06:30 UTC	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xecac7e…
09-21 07:10:54	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-21 07:00 UTC	Down	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0x2860d0…
09-21 06:58:39	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-21 07:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xe5ac2c…
09-13 23:57:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x54a00f…
09-08 07:50:40	Ethereum Up or Down - September 8, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	14	95¢	$14	0xef234a…
09-08 07:50:39	Ethereum Up or Down - September 8, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xe223c8…
09-08 07:50:39	Ethereum Up or Down - September 8, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0x583330…
09-08 07:27:25	Ethereum Up or Down - September 8, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xe50e09…
08-30 09:42:28	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-30 09:30 UTC	Up	SELL	10	93¢	$9	0x29cc22…
08-30 09:28:37	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-30 09:30 UTC	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x12d1c8…
08-23 03:10:39	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-23 03:00 UTC	Down	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0x413ba4…
08-23 02:58:46	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-23 03:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x724d28…
08-06 06:13:24	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-06 06:15 UTC	Down	BUY	24	50¢	$12	0x18e63b…
08-06 06:13:05	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-06 06:15 UTC	Down	BUY	24	50¢	$12	0x366238…
08-06 06:12:47	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-06 06:15 UTC	Down	BUY	24	50¢	$12	0x01620d…
08-06 06:12:27	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-06 06:15 UTC	Down	BUY	24	51¢	$12	0x1bc57e…
07-29 19:23:20	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-29 19:15 UTC	Down	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xf34281…
07-29 19:23:20	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-29 19:15 UTC	Down	SELL	4	96¢	$4	0x2cd61c…
07-29 19:21:14	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-29 19:15 UTC	Down	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0x098279…
07-29 19:10:44	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-29 19:15 UTC	Down	BUY	12	48¢	$6	0x71c90b…
07-29 16:00:47	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-29 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x840107…
07-29 15:58:11	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-29 16:15 UTC	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x977e64…
07-25 07:59:58	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-25 07:45 UTC	Down	SELL	16	97¢	$16	0xe8c2ed…
07-25 07:32:21	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-25 07:45 UTC	Down	BUY	16	50¢	$8	0x06075b…
07-25 07:25:16	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-25 07:15 UTC	Up	BUY	14	57¢	$8	0x212735…
07-25 06:26:07	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-25 06:30 UTC	Up	BUY	15	55¢	$8	0x1ecd3d…
07-25 06:14:10	Solana Up or Down - July 25, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	SELL	15	81¢	$12	0xe5029c…
07-25 05:41:46	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-25 06:00 UTC	Up	BUY	15	53¢	$8	0x867a4e…
07-25 05:41:30	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-25 05:45 UTC	Up	BUY	15	55¢	$8	0xc60195…
07-25 05:30:10	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-25 05:45 UTC	Up	BUY	16	50¢	$8	0x444b61…
07-25 05:29:19	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-25 05:30 UTC	Up	BUY	16	51¢	$8	0x371e95…
07-25 05:14:07	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-25 05:00 UTC	Down	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0xce40a0…
07-25 05:14:06	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-25 05:00 UTC	Down	SELL	9	98¢	$9	0xed1732…
07-25 05:00:01	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-25 04:45 UTC	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xc06f77…
07-25 05:00:01	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-25 04:45 UTC	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xb3b9d4…
07-25 05:00:00	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-25 04:45 UTC	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x5291de…
07-25 04:43:24	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-25 05:00 UTC	Down	BUY	15	53¢	$8	0xd884ee…
07-25 04:42:42	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-25 04:45 UTC	Down	BUY	15	53¢	$8	0xb557ba…
07-25 04:28:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-25 04:15 UTC	Down	SELL	6	96¢	$6	0x4286d0…
07-25 04:28:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-25 04:15 UTC	Down	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0xe31131…
07-25 04:27:43	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-25 04:15 UTC	Down	SELL	7	96¢	$7	0x89619c…
07-25 04:23:25	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-25 04:15 UTC	Up	SELL	15	94¢	$14	0x291be5…
07-25 04:15:03	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-25 04:00 UTC	Up	SELL	15	98¢	$15	0x5205a8…
07-25 04:14:33	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-25 04:15 UTC	Down	BUY	15	52¢	$8	0x39ca0d…
07-25 03:54:46	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-25 04:15 UTC	Up	BUY	15	53¢	$8	0x74858f…
07-25 03:54:15	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-25 04:00 UTC	Up	BUY	15	53¢	$8	0x8945ff…
07-25 03:29:55	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-25 03:30 UTC	Up	BUY	15	53¢	$8	0xa2241b…
07-25 01:59:01	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-25 02:00 UTC	Up	BUY	16	51¢	$8	0x1049fe…
07-25 01:28:33	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-25 01:15 UTC	Up	SELL	17	96¢	$16	0x33f8ac…
07-25 01:17:00	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-25 01:15 UTC	Up	BUY	17	48¢	$8	0x6cbb58…
07-25 01:14:51	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-25 01:00 UTC	Down	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0x1c3f17…
07-25 00:59:51	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-25 01:00 UTC	Down	BUY	16	50¢	$8	0xd0f0a5…
07-25 00:14:33	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-25 00:15 UTC	Down	BUY	16	51¢	$8	0x2f5768…
07-25 00:00:48	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-25 00:15 UTC	Down	BUY	15	52¢	$8	0xa92d91…
07-25 00:00:34	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-25 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	14	59¢	$8	0x65c08f…
07-24 23:59:16	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-24 23:45 UTC	Up	SELL	22	77¢	$17	0x86eb6b…
07-24 23:48:30	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-24 23:45 UTC	Up	SELL	10	56¢	$6	0x39f531…
07-24 23:44:24	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-24 23:30 UTC	Up	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x718d9b…
07-24 23:44:22	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-24 23:30 UTC	Up	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x5beec3…
07-24 23:44:04	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-24 23:30 UTC	Up	SELL	9	98¢	$8	0x30e881…
07-24 23:44:03	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-24 23:30 UTC	Up	SELL	2	98¢	$1	0x7be45b…
07-24 23:30:55	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-24 23:45 UTC	Up	BUY	16	50¢	$8	0x06bbe6…
07-24 23:30:40	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-24 23:45 UTC	Up	BUY	16	50¢	$8	0x73d558…
07-24 23:30:01	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-24 23:30 UTC	Up	BUY	15	55¢	$8	0x2ec08c…
07-24 23:14:54	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-24 23:00 UTC	Down	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xeab28d…
07-24 23:14:54	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-24 23:00 UTC	Down	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0xb36874…
07-24 23:14:54	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-24 23:00 UTC	Down	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x5dc4a6…
07-24 22:59:19	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-24 22:45 UTC	Down	SELL	12	96¢	$12	0x60ad64…
07-24 22:59:19	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-24 22:45 UTC	Down	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0x22bc24…
07-24 22:59:18	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-24 22:45 UTC	Down	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x5fa017…
07-24 22:59:16	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-24 22:45 UTC	Down	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0xe7069a…
07-24 22:44:34	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-24 23:00 UTC	Down	BUY	16	50¢	$8	0x8fd5bb…
07-24 22:44:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-24 22:45 UTC	Down	BUY	15	53¢	$8	0x92e2bd…
07-24 22:12:13	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-24 22:15 UTC	Down	BUY	16	51¢	$8	0x58f24d…
07-24 20:43:06	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-24 21:00 UTC	Up	BUY	15	52¢	$8	0xe16ebd…
07-24 20:42:21	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-24 20:45 UTC	Up	BUY	16	51¢	$8	0xfc9e79…
07-24 19:26:21	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-24 19:15 UTC	Up	SELL	16	88¢	$14	0x29984b…
07-24 19:13:04	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-24 19:15 UTC	Up	BUY	16	51¢	$8	0x43c46e…
07-24 11:30:27	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-24 11:30 UTC	Down	BUY	7	62¢	$4	0x0b730a…
07-24 10:44:51	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-24 10:30 UTC	Down	SELL	1	97¢	$0	0xc07757…
07-24 10:44:48	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-24 10:30 UTC	Down	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0xdd7ab3…
07-24 10:44:48	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-24 10:30 UTC	Down	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0xba0697…
07-24 10:44:46	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-24 10:30 UTC	Down	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0x4f97db…
07-24 10:44:43	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-24 10:30 UTC	Down	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0x02468d…
07-24 10:29:07	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-24 10:30 UTC	Down	BUY	16	51¢	$8	0xb3e8ff…
07-24 10:11:58	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-24 10:00 UTC	Down	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0x1548c9…
07-24 10:11:57	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-24 10:00 UTC	Down	SELL	13	96¢	$12	0x3c4929…
07-24 10:11:55	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-24 10:00 UTC	Down	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xdae084…
07-24 10:11:49	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-24 10:00 UTC	Down	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xc4a79f…
07-24 09:58:34	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-24 10:15 UTC	Down	BUY	16	51¢	$8	0x8d5502…
07-24 09:57:34	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-24 10:00 UTC	Down	BUY	16	51¢	$8	0xe31daa…
07-24 08:14:31	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-24 08:15 UTC	Up	BUY	16	51¢	$8	0x57554f…
07-24 06:44:28	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-24 07:00 UTC	Down	BUY	15	53¢	$8	0xc509d5…
07-24 06:43:49	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-24 06:45 UTC	Down	BUY	15	55¢	$8	0x9636d7…
07-24 06:16:28	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-24 06:15 UTC	Down	SELL	27	65¢	$18	0xf978f8…
07-24 06:15:27	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-24 06:15 UTC	Down	BUY	13	61¢	$8	0x1238c2…