Attractive-Spiral — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

99.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.73K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$49

Open exposure

$15

1 position

First seen

2026-01-03

last 10-24 17:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 45 days

Categories

Other

56% 97% $0

Crypto

40% 93% -$1

Tech

3% 100% +$0

Politics

1% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?	No		+15	$15	100¢	$15	+$0	10-24 17:18

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	1	$81	81	+81	No	+$0	06-07 09:29
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	1	$81	81	+81	No	+$0	06-03 03:37
bitcoin above 62k on june 15 2026	1	$81	81	+81	Yes	+$0	06-15 09:21
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?	1	$80	80	+80	No	+$0	05-03 06:31
elon musk of tweets april 6 april 8 240plus	1	$80	80	+80	No	+$0	04-05 03:12
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	1	$80	80	+80	No	+$0	05-31 07:21
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	1	$80	80	+80	No	+$0	05-28 09:34
elon musk of tweets march 14 march 16 115 139	1	$80	80	+80	No	+$0	03-16 07:12
bitcoin above 60k on march 7	1	$80	80	+80	Yes	+$0	03-06 03:58
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	1	$79	79	+79	No	+$0	05-12 02:05
elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 460 479	1	$79	79	+79	No	+$0	03-12 07:26
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 19?	1	$79	79	+79	Yes	+$0	05-19 02:21
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	1	$79	79	+79	No	+$0	05-14 07:19
elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 440 459	1	$79	79	+79	No	+$0	02-03 03:55
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 24?	1	$79	79	+79	Yes	+$0	05-24 06:28
elon musk of tweets february 28 march 2 215 239	1	$79	79	+79	No	+$0	03-01 08:37
bitcoin above 78k on february 9	1	$78	78	+78	No	+$0	02-09 07:30
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 985	1	$78	78	+78	Yes	+$0	01-30 03:22
bitcoin above 64k on february 15	1	$78	78	+78	Yes	+$0	02-15 08:48
ethereum above 3200 on january 25	1	$78	78	+78	No	+$0	01-25 06:45
elon musk of tweets april 18 april 20 240plus	1	$78	78	+78	No	+$0	04-18 10:52
bitcoin above 88k on january 18	1	$78	78	+78	Yes	+$0	01-17 06:04
elon musk of tweets march 30 april 1 215 239	1	$78	78	+78	No	+$0	03-30 07:49
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	1	$77	77	+77	No	+$0	05-08 06:19
bitcoin above 80k on march 27	1	$77	77	+77	No	+$0	03-26 06:33
bitcoin above 86k on january 12	1	$77	77	+77	Yes	+$0	01-12 03:32
bitcoin above 86k on january 8	1	$77	77	+77	Yes	+$0	01-08 02:43
elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 560 579	1	$77	77	+77	No	+$0	03-21 06:52
bitcoin above 82k on january 4	1	$77	77	+77	Yes	+$0	01-03 07:56
elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 540 559	1	$76	76	+76	No	+$0	04-14 02:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-24 17:18:51	Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x0d33cf…
09-27 13:16:14	Iran leadership change by September 30?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xd80856…
09-27 13:13:44	Will Azerbaijan win on 2026-09-27?	No	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0x55fa8a…
08-08 07:40:48	will wti dip to 30 in august 2026	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xc0657d…
06-15 09:21:30	bitcoin above 62k on june 15 2026	Yes	BUY	81	100¢	$81	0x54feef…
06-07 09:29:58	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	No	BUY	81	100¢	$81	0x10a17f…
06-03 03:37:01	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	No	BUY	81	100¢	$81	0x6afed0…
05-31 07:21:28	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x83d864…
05-28 09:34:46	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x5fde27…
05-24 06:28:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 24?	Yes	BUY	79	100¢	$79	0xd3b858…
05-19 02:21:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	79	100¢	$79	0x4363af…
05-14 07:19:23	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	79	100¢	$79	0x2b1ec4…
05-12 02:05:52	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	No	BUY	79	100¢	$79	0x4c4b65…
05-08 06:19:46	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	77	100¢	$77	0xfc564a…
05-08 06:19:36	Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on May 8?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x9512ca…
05-08 06:19:16	Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd8f6b5…
05-08 06:19:01	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C or higher on May 8?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xde1918…
05-03 06:31:36	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0xa2425f…
04-27 07:51:34	Will xAI have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	No	BUY	75	100¢	$75	0x627987…
04-22 10:58:34	bitcoin above 68k on april 23	Yes	BUY	75	100¢	$75	0xf9ec44…
04-22 10:58:22	Will Moonshot have the second best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x828bc1…
04-22 10:58:06	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe82a6f…
04-22 10:57:56	Will Amazon be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x0c8886…
04-18 10:52:02	elon musk of tweets april 18 april 20 240plus	No	BUY	78	100¢	$78	0xec5808…
04-14 02:31:51	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 540 559	No	BUY	76	100¢	$76	0xd4762b…
04-14 02:31:33	Will Elon Musk post 640-659 tweets in April 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe313b4…
04-14 02:31:11	elon musk of tweets april 13 april 15 215 239	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xfcfa1f…
04-09 11:09:15	elon musk of tweets april 9 april 11 190 214	No	BUY	76	100¢	$76	0x195b1b…
04-09 11:09:01	will threads be 2 free app in the us apple app store on april 10	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x7f71b2…
04-09 11:08:29	donald trump of truth social posts april 3 april 10 200plus	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc78255…
04-09 11:08:13	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x719b59…
04-05 03:12:03	elon musk of tweets april 6 april 8 240plus	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x9e2123…
03-30 07:49:12	elon musk of tweets march 30 april 1 215 239	No	BUY	78	100¢	$78	0x3bc06d…
03-26 06:33:57	bitcoin above 80k on march 27	No	BUY	77	100¢	$77	0xb5b3ae…
03-21 06:52:17	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 560 579	No	BUY	77	100¢	$77	0x693383…
03-21 06:52:03	will zai have the top ai model at the end of march 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x427fe6…
03-21 06:51:55	will tesla be the third largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb98f08…
03-16 07:12:13	elon musk of tweets march 14 march 16 115 139	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0xd82ebb…
03-12 07:26:17	elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 460 479	No	BUY	79	100¢	$79	0x426ac1…
03-06 03:58:27	bitcoin above 60k on march 7	Yes	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x001432…
03-01 08:37:23	elon musk of tweets february 28 march 2 215 239	No	BUY	79	100¢	$79	0x7d1238…
02-15 08:48:45	bitcoin above 64k on february 15	Yes	BUY	78	100¢	$78	0xc0f0fb…
02-09 07:30:17	bitcoin above 78k on february 9	No	BUY	78	100¢	$78	0x789d5e…
02-09 07:29:07	will moonshot have the 1 ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8ea4cd…
02-03 03:55:58	elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 440 459	No	BUY	79	100¢	$79	0x2daf6d…
01-30 03:22:44	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 985	Yes	BUY	78	100¢	$78	0x19167f…
01-25 06:45:34	ethereum above 3200 on january 25	No	BUY	78	100¢	$78	0xeb1e83…
01-21 02:02:50	will the price of bitcoin be between 102000 104000 on january 22	No	BUY	76	100¢	$76	0x7d41fb…
01-21 02:02:06	will procreate pocket be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on january 23	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb74161…
01-17 06:04:36	bitcoin above 88k on january 18	Yes	BUY	78	100¢	$78	0x117bb1…
01-12 03:32:16	bitcoin above 86k on january 12	Yes	BUY	77	100¢	$77	0xd2fc3b…
01-08 02:43:21	bitcoin above 86k on january 8	Yes	BUY	77	100¢	$77	0x1abbe8…
01-03 07:56:41	bitcoin above 82k on january 4	Yes	BUY	77	100¢	$77	0xe3dce6…
01-03 07:52:47	ethereum above 2600 on january 4	No	BUY	700	0¢	$2	0x950db6…
01-03 07:49:09	will saudi aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8e431c…
01-03 07:48:53	elon musk of tweets december 30 january 6 340 359	Yes	BUY	1,200	0¢	$2	0x0873e3…