Limping-Veil — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$16.6K

Unrealized P&L

+$6.25K

Hit rate

83.8%

Resolved

101

Trades

311

lifetime

Volume

$656.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$2.11K

Open exposure

$33.7K

8 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-29 17:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 61 days

Categories

Politics

68% 86% +$13,111

Other

19% 39% -$163

Crypto

11% 91% +$4,993

Sports

2% 31% -$1,338

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

27 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions (8) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	+17,710	$8,485	80¢	$14.2K	+$5,683	10-29 17:17
will bitcoin reach 105k in october 2026	No	+5,291	$5,000	100¢	$5.3K	+$286	10-05 02:19
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in October?	No	+3,306	$3,000	100¢	$3.3K	+$301	10-11 03:48
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?	No	+3,161	$3,000	98¢	$3.1K	+$82	10-29 14:48
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+5,814	$3,014	46¢	$2.6K	-$369	10-27 23:20
Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October?	No	+2,123	$2,000	100¢	$2.1K	+$118	10-20 20:08
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	+2,034	$2,000	98¢	$2.0K	-$13	10-27 00:30
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	No	+1,163	$1,000	100¢	$1.2K	+$158	10-20 20:08

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	9	$43.6K	26,760	26,760	+0	No	+$5,824	04-01 11:38
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	17	$36.4K	38,833	21,123	+17,710	open	—	10-29 17:17
will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	7	$25.7K	20,860	7,798	+13,062	No	+$722	04-20 01:43
israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	8	$24.7K	18,518	10,379	+8,139	No	+$867	07-24 15:10
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	11	$23.7K	20,190	9,903	+10,287	No	+$782	05-27 20:02
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	12	$22.8K	35,722	29,908	+5,814	open	—	10-27 23:20
israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	8	$21.8K	19,918	4,756	+15,162	No	+$967	06-11 23:32
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	9	$20.1K	21,722	1,348	+20,374	No	+$2,425	03-13 06:49
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	6	$18.8K	18,837	2,488	+16,348	No	+$1,137	06-15 21:59
will another country conduct military action against iran by april 15 2026	7	$18.7K	19,326	851	+18,475	No	+$1,180	04-15 14:35
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	8	$17.7K	15,126	5,468	+9,658	No	+$1,385	07-08 22:27
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	7	$17.3K	17,150	3,023	+14,127	No	+$1,457	03-26 22:06
israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	5	$16.0K	17,874	0	+17,874	No	+$1,874	08-21 15:16
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	3	$15.0K	10,585	5,292	+5,292	No	+$341	06-04 02:21
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	2	$15.0K	15,871	0	+15,871	No	+$871	05-04 22:45
Will Trump visit Pakistan by April 30?	4	$14.0K	16,192	0	+16,192	No	+$2,192	04-19 22:22
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	3	$14.0K	16,931	0	+16,931	No	+$2,931	03-09 04:52
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	4	$13.0K	10,493	3,158	+7,335	No	+$336	05-11 00:02
atch will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by january 31	3	$13.0K	13,570	0	+13,570	No	+$570	01-22 16:37
israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	4	$12.1K	6,386	6,386	+0	No	+$57	07-12 22:00
us x iran ceasefire by march 6	3	$11.0K	11,712	0	+11,712	No	+$711	03-03 01:25
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	5	$10.5K	14,950	6,763	+8,186	Yes	-$4,457	04-01 17:15
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September?	1	$10.0K	10,509	0	+10,509	No	+$509	09-03 15:45
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	5	$9.8K	8,397	3,000	+5,397	Yes	-$5,376	06-14 10:21
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 30	4	$9.8K	5,585	5,585	+0	No	-$182	06-08 04:18
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by march 31	2	$9.4K	5,883	5,883	+0	No	-$564	03-17 10:23
israel closes its airspace by august 15	4	$9.1K	9,260	1,468	+7,792	No	+$857	08-02 02:58
Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	3	$9.0K	13,452	0	+13,452	Yes	-$9,000	09-06 02:03
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?	5	$8.7K	5,354	4,296	+1,059	No	-$195	05-12 02:24
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	5	$8.2K	1,613	9,307	-7,693	No	-$2,402	01-13 14:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 17:17:26	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	SELL	8,132	82¢	$6,707	0x3a2d0f…
10-29 17:17:26	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	SELL	591	82¢	$485	0x2e07ad…
10-29 14:48:44	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?	No	BUY	3,161	95¢	$3,000	0x58b65c…
10-27 23:21:15	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1,253	80¢	$1,000	0xdb7cd3…
10-27 23:20:57	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	1,163	43¢	$500	0x1064f9…
10-27 23:20:42	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	2,326	43¢	$1,000	0x07c230…
10-27 23:20:36	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	2,326	43¢	$1,000	0xb55a9f…
10-27 21:51:05	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1,300	77¢	$1,000	0x7992e3…
10-27 20:18:08	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1,252	64¢	$800	0x8a47dc…
10-27 20:17:53	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	7,020	24¢	$1,717	0x9adf4b…
10-27 00:30:35	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	2,034	98¢	$2,000	0x67c7ec…
10-25 23:18:08	Chiefs vs. Seahawks	Chiefs	BUY	1,071	42¢	$450	0xc758b6…
10-25 15:33:17	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	SELL	3,000	58¢	$1,746	0x64a86b…
10-23 02:42:00	Patriots vs. Bears	Patriots	BUY	114	22¢	$25	0x101a82…
10-20 20:08:41	Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October?	No	BUY	2,123	94¢	$2,000	0xb9826a…
10-20 20:08:32	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	No	BUY	1,163	86¢	$1,000	0xb3697f…
10-18 21:19:08	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1,667	60¢	$1,000	0xab1b64…
10-15 02:59:52	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	BUY	3,257	61¢	$2,000	0xf84039…
10-14 15:29:19	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	BUY	164	61¢	$100	0xcd610e…
10-14 03:32:55	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	BUY	3,333	60¢	$2,000	0x29e6ef…
10-14 01:43:13	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	BUY	33	60¢	$20	0x4f4960…
10-13 03:20:05	Bills vs. Rams	Bills	BUY	185	54¢	$100	0xf536de…
10-13 03:19:30	Bills vs. Rams	Bills	BUY	303	66¢	$200	0xb71785…
10-11 03:48:03	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in October?	No	BUY	3,306	91¢	$3,000	0xbf5606…
10-11 01:10:30	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?	No	BUY	2,083	96¢	$2,000	0x8aa377…
10-09 02:15:08	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?	No	BUY	3,333	90¢	$3,000	0x3700bb…
10-05 02:19:16	will bitcoin reach 105k in october 2026	No	BUY	5,291	94¢	$5,000	0xd9df57…
10-05 01:33:47	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	BUY	3,390	59¢	$2,000	0xaecc1e…
10-05 01:33:32	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	6,480	37¢	$2,398	0x2817a9…
10-05 00:58:58	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	BUY	2,542	59¢	$1,500	0x8e7dd8…
10-05 00:58:43	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	4,500	36¢	$1,620	0x48a6f3…
09-28 01:07:53	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	BUY	3,518	57¢	$2,000	0xfcf4a0…
09-24 02:48:25	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	BUY	7,723	52¢	$4,000	0x331bdf…
09-23 11:55:23	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	6,667	30¢	$2,000	0x674b69…
09-10 14:37:10	will bitcoin reach 90k in september 2026	No	BUY	2,222	90¢	$2,000	0xe15d15…
09-10 14:37:10	will bitcoin reach 90k in september 2026	No	BUY	2,217	90¢	$2,000	0xda96c2…
09-06 18:49:42	US Open ATP: Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz	Carlos Alcaraz	BUY	256	78¢	$200	0x3583f7…
09-06 18:48:51	US Open ATP: Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz	Carlos Alcaraz	BUY	250	80¢	$200	0x22279d…
09-06 18:46:31	US Open ATP: Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz	Carlos Alcaraz	BUY	588	85¢	$500	0x842762…
09-06 02:03:16	Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	No	BUY	5,912	34¢	$2,000	0xafc809…
09-03 15:45:46	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September?	No	BUY	10,509	95¢	$10,000	0xbfc999…
09-03 15:45:42	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in September?	No	BUY	7,850	89¢	$7,000	0x08d4fe…
09-01 02:41:16	Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	No	BUY	2,105	95¢	$2,000	0x7e903c…
08-31 16:09:13	Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	No	BUY	5,435	92¢	$5,000	0x169fc9…
08-30 01:19:19	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	3,778	30¢	$1,135	0xaac233…
08-27 17:12:58	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in August?	No	BUY	2,247	89¢	$2,000	0x629e39…
08-27 03:06:21	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?	No	BUY	2,307	87¢	$2,000	0x47e287…
08-25 23:27:21	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in August?	No	BUY	3,261	92¢	$3,000	0x6122d6…
08-25 23:27:13	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in August?	No	BUY	5,240	95¢	$5,000	0xfbdd84…
08-25 00:38:58	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?	No	BUY	2,614	77¢	$2,000	0xc9fe48…
08-23 01:28:13	will bitcoin reach 85k in august 2026	No	BUY	618	81¢	$500	0x45feef…
08-21 15:16:25	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	No	BUY	5,236	95¢	$5,000	0xfa3f4b…
08-16 18:50:49	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	5,014	30¢	$1,500	0x96f1d5…
08-09 04:01:57	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	BUY	1,190	84¢	$1,000	0xf364e0…
08-09 04:01:49	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	BUY	2,381	84¢	$2,000	0xded9e4…
08-09 04:01:37	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	BUY	3,226	93¢	$3,000	0x14150b…
08-05 23:25:27	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	Yes	BUY	3,240	93¢	$3,000	0xab62f9…
08-05 02:18:18	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	No	BUY	2,209	91¢	$2,000	0x2f9880…
08-02 02:58:27	israel closes its airspace by august 15	No	BUY	3,387	89¢	$2,998	0x73b25c…
08-02 01:22:12	israel closes its airspace by august 15	No	SELL	1,468	72¢	$1,063	0x1feaf9…
07-31 01:20:50	israel closes its airspace by august 15	No	BUY	2,273	88¢	$2,000	0xa46cc0…
07-28 08:17:24	israel closes its airspace by august 15	No	BUY	3,600	83¢	$3,000	0x3a1e0c…
07-24 15:10:10	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	No	SELL	2,000	77¢	$1,540	0xce6ddb…
07-22 17:21:19	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	10,097	39¢	$3,900	0xd7486c…
07-19 21:16:51	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	339	29¢	$100	0xa93654…
07-19 19:16:34	Spain leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	714	35¢	$250	0x43c28f…
07-19 19:15:39	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Spain	SELL	417	60¢	$249	0x2a26e9…
07-19 19:15:04	Argentina to win the second half?	Yes	BUY	806	31¢	$250	0xee2a91…
07-19 19:14:00	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Spain	BUY	417	60¢	$250	0x031dbb…
07-19 18:26:21	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1,460	41¢	$600	0xe661b2…
07-19 18:24:39	Will Kylian Mbappé record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	619	84¢	$520	0x71c94a…
07-17 05:54:10	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	540	96¢	$518	0x8c92b4…
07-17 05:53:51	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	405	60¢	$244	0x5e5102…
07-15 17:19:44	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	3,261	46¢	$1,500	0xdc55d7…
07-12 22:04:58	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	No	BUY	5,410	92¢	$5,000	0x9ea683…
07-12 22:01:25	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	No	SELL	3,750	84¢	$3,153	0xe44904…
07-12 22:00:47	israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	No	SELL	3,129	95¢	$2,981	0xceb3d9…
07-12 04:41:20	israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	No	SELL	3,257	94¢	$3,076	0x743ca4…
07-12 02:48:13	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	SELL	831	31¢	$258	0xf59e8b…
07-12 02:47:50	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 spread home 1pt5	Argentina	SELL	428	4¢	$17	0xa3a7ed…
07-12 01:12:40	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 spread home 1pt5	Argentina	BUY	428	47¢	$200	0x37629d…
07-12 01:12:31	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	656	76¢	$500	0xe40cbf…
07-10 22:34:37	Will Norway be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?	Yes	BUY	4,848	10¢	$500	0x7d593c…
07-10 17:05:55	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	No	BUY	3,134	96¢	$3,000	0x2eb2c7…
07-09 15:32:22	israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	No	BUY	3,195	94¢	$3,000	0x937638…
07-09 03:21:53	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	No	SELL	4,629	87¢	$4,035	0x5d5b1d…
07-09 02:33:05	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	175	57¢	$100	0x79408f…
07-09 02:32:28	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 team to advance	Morocco	BUY	783	23¢	$180	0xf1efac…
07-08 22:27:13	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	BUY	2,064	97¢	$2,000	0xa96924…
07-07 22:46:04	fifwc che col 2026 07 07 team to advance	Colombia	SELL	87	29¢	$25	0xfbd344…
07-07 22:45:31	fifwc che col 2026 07 07 team to advance	Colombia	BUY	87	23¢	$20	0x4de84a…
07-07 22:21:13	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	BUY	2,126	94¢	$2,000	0x4a7f43…
07-07 21:58:49	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	12,571	17¢	$2,200	0x6115fc…
07-07 21:58:25	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	13,229	17¢	$2,302	0x5f9135…
07-06 19:45:52	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	BUY	139	72¢	$100	0xf36fad…
07-06 19:45:35	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	BUY	278	72¢	$200	0x7044b0…
07-06 19:32:05	israel closes its airspace by august 31	No	BUY	3,409	88¢	$3,000	0xb2b8aa…
07-06 02:31:55	fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 team to advance	England	BUY	149	67¢	$100	0x4c116a…
07-06 02:02:32	Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	714	28¢	$200	0x2264e2…
07-06 00:17:20	Will England win on 2026-07-05?	Yes	BUY	184	38¢	$70	0x1fbf7e…