Fluid-Ballot — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$981

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

87.6%

Resolved

1,616

Trades

3,719

lifetime

Volume

$52.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-09

last 07-19 16:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 121 days

Categories

Other

85% 89% -$586

Crypto

9% 75% -$353

Sports

6% 71% -$43

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$1

Politics

0% 0% $0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-19).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the price of solana be between 150 160 on january 19	5	$498	316	316	+0	No	-$102	01-19 02:34
will the price of solana be between 140 150 on january 18	4	$462	414	414	+0	Yes	-$338	01-18 16:40
ethereum above 3400 on january 18	4	$433	306	134	+172	No	+$5	01-18 16:51
bitcoin above 90k on january 13	2	$392	230	230	+0	Yes	-$8	01-12 20:35
elon musk of tweets january 17 january 19 65 89	3	$369	187	187	+0	No	+$0	01-19 02:35
bitcoin above 94k on january 15	1	$330	345	0	+345	Yes	+$15	01-14 23:17
bitcoin above 94k on january 17	3	$322	330	0	+330	Yes	+$8	01-16 23:25
will the price of xrp be between 1pt90 2pt00 on january 18	8	$250	127	127	+0	No	+$2	01-18 19:28
elon musk of tweets january 15 january 17 240plus	3	$250	258	0	+258	No	+$8	01-16 23:19
elon musk of tweets january 12 january 14 40 64	2	$239	2,128	2,128	+0	No	-$117	01-13 21:01
bitcoin above 96k on january 18	1	$222	231	0	+231	No	+$9	01-18 12:58
will the price of bitcoin be between 98000 100000 on january 19	2	$202	104	104	+0	No	+$2	01-19 02:34
cbb ind ohiost 2026 03 07	3	$201	101	101	+0	Ohio State Buckeyes	+$1	03-08 01:05
ethereum above 3000 on january 13	1	$200	211	0	+211	Yes	+$11	01-12 21:20
highest temperature in chicago on march 11 2026 46 47f	4	$182	93	93	+0	Yes	+$2	03-11 23:42
cbb howrd morgst 2026 02 28	6	$181	71	111	-40	Howard Bison	$0	03-01 00:05
elon musk of tweets january 12 january 14 115 139	2	$179	123	123	+0	Yes	-$21	01-14 11:50
bitcoin above 96k on january 15	2	$178	127	127	+0	Yes	-$24	01-15 01:30
cbb chsou ncashe 2026 02 28	7	$172	86	86	+0	Charleston Southern Buccaneers	+$0	02-28 21:29
cbb utahst unlv 2026 03 03	4	$161	81	81	+0	UNLV Runnin' Rebels	+$1	03-04 07:39
cbb merri niagra 2026 03 01	4	$160	80	80	+0	Merrimack College Warriors	+$0	03-01 21:16
cbb furman wcar 2026 02 28	4	$160	80	80	+0	Western Carolina Catamounts	+$0	03-01 00:42
cbb smu stan 2026 02 28	4	$160	80	80	+0	Stanford Cardinal	+$0	03-01 01:31
cbb vand uk 2026 02 28	4	$160	80	80	+0	Kentucky Wildcats	+$0	02-28 21:21
cbb oregst sanclr 2026 02 28	8	$160	80	80	+0	Santa Clara Broncos	+$0	03-01 04:02
cbb niowa drake 2026 03 01	4	$160	80	80	+0	Northern Iowa Panthers	+$0	03-01 22:02
cbb nebr usc 2026 02 28	4	$160	80	80	+0	Nebraska Cornhuskers	+$0	02-28 23:33
cbb tulane sfl 2026 03 01	6	$160	80	80	+0	South Florida Bulls	+$0	03-01 19:44
cbb narz ewash 2026 02 28	4	$160	80	80	+0	Eastern Washington Eagles	$0	02-28 22:57
cbb sc ga 2026 02 28	9	$158	79	79	+0	Georgia Bulldogs	+$0	02-28 23:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-19 16:36:13	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x6330e5…
07-13 22:00:05	will jalen hurts be on the cover of madden nfl 27	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x5be076…
07-13 21:59:55	will lamar jackson be on the cover of madden nfl 27	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x5408dd…
07-08 20:55:26	will jalen hurts be on the cover of madden nfl 27	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0xeaddd5…
07-06 01:00:46	england mexico game rescheduled to different time 20260703205906835	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xbd5700…
07-05 06:03:35	will the announcers say fan 5 times during the canada vs morocco fifa world cup match 20260703211750033	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x3e2967…
07-04 22:31:56	will the announcers say underdog during the paraguay vs france fifa world cup match 20260703212206512	Yes	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xb98c2c…
07-04 22:28:14	will the announcers say what a save during the paraguay vs france fifa world cup match 20260703212206519	Yes	BUY	2	28¢	$1	0xd827c9…
07-04 22:15:26	will the announcers say what a save during the paraguay vs france fifa world cup match 20260703212206519	Yes	BUY	1	28¢	$0	0xeda695…
07-04 22:15:26	will the announcers say what a save during the paraguay vs france fifa world cup match 20260703212206519	Yes	BUY	1	28¢	$0	0x537802…
07-04 19:26:08	will the announcers say var during the canada vs morocco fifa world cup match 20260703211750038	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xa7e0a2…
07-04 19:05:58	will the announcers say messi during the canada vs morocco fifa world cup match 20260703211750050	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x9b4a34…
07-04 18:47:17	will the announcers say goal 60 times during the canada vs morocco fifa world cup match 20260703211750028	Yes	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x1a4dd0…
07-04 18:46:16	will the announcers say fan 5 times during the canada vs morocco fifa world cup match 20260703211750033	Yes	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x9cced4…
07-04 18:45:46	will the announcers say tactical 3 times during the paraguay vs france fifa world cup match 20260703212206507	Yes	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x0e2b8d…
07-04 13:18:52	will the announcers say golden goal during the canada vs morocco fifa world cup match 20260703211750040	Yes	BUY	0	24¢	$0	0xd2972f…
07-04 12:49:31	will the announcers say dangerous during the canada vs morocco fifa world cup match 20260703211750037	Yes	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x5b8b09…
07-04 08:21:34	england mexico game rescheduled to different time 20260703205906835	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x3facaf…
07-04 08:10:22	will the announcers say golden goal during the canada vs morocco fifa world cup match 20260703211750040	Yes	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x2dc9e6…
07-04 07:37:34	will the announcers say penalty 5 times during the canada vs morocco fifa world cup match 20260703211750034	Yes	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x4682f4…
06-30 05:03:25	will the announcers say counter attack during netherlands vs morocco 20260628222742640	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xca1834…
06-30 03:58:11	will the announcers say cross 10 times during netherlands vs morocco 20260628222742633	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x9aa9c3…
06-29 18:39:46	will the announcers say sportsmanship during brazil vs japan 20260628222111469	Yes	BUY	4	20¢	$1	0x405982…
06-29 18:26:01	will the announcers say unbelievable during netherlands vs morocco 20260628222742639	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x072ab2…
06-29 16:22:23	will the announcers say sportsmanship during brazil vs japan 20260628222111469	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0xccbb62…
06-29 16:12:08	will the announcers say turnover or turn over during brazil vs japan 20260628222111477	Yes	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xbbca13…
06-29 15:58:08	will the announcers say cross 10 times during netherlands vs morocco 20260628222742633	Yes	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xa92285…
06-29 15:52:41	will the announcers say counter attack during netherlands vs morocco 20260628222742640	Yes	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x7dcdd9…
06-29 15:50:50	will lamar jackson be on the cover of madden nfl 27	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xb2701e…
06-27 19:06:10	ufc raf man6 2026 06 27 fiziev win by ko tko	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xe5c7a5…
06-27 17:25:31	ufc asu cha15 2026 06 27 win by submission	Yes	BUY	1	22¢	$0	0x183ce5…
06-27 17:02:40	ufc ikr bru8 2026 06 27 go the distance	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x79f46c…
06-27 16:37:43	ufc ikr bru8 2026 06 27 win by submission	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xbedb1e…
06-27 16:10:08	ufc ikr bru8 2026 06 27 go the distance	Yes	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x03fe23…
06-27 14:03:58	ufc asu cha15 2026 06 27 almabayev win by ko tko	Yes	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0x32da27…
06-27 14:02:07	ufc ikr bru8 2026 06 27 ferreira win by ko tko	Yes	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x96b9cd…
06-27 13:06:17	ufc raf man6 2026 06 27 go the distance	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xc6c681…
06-27 12:33:19	ufc raf man6 2026 06 27 totals 3pt5	Over	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x735aef…
06-27 09:48:35	ufc mic6 sha28 2026 06 27 win by submission	Yes	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0x166afa…
06-27 04:34:43	ufc mic6 sha28 2026 06 27 pereira win by ko tko	Yes	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0x86bc88…
06-26 20:09:40	ufc raf man6 2026 06 27 go the distance	Yes	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x73fc6f…
06-26 00:49:19	ufc raf man6 2026 06 27 totals 4pt5	Over	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x774f8f…
06-26 00:49:19	ufc raf man6 2026 06 27 totals 4pt5	Over	BUY	0	23¢	$0	0x6bdf06…
06-25 22:30:41	ufc raf man6 2026 06 27 fiziev win by ko tko	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xe54459…
06-25 21:10:02	Will Ghana win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x64bbfb…
05-20 12:25:25	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on May 20?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x5bc31c…
05-20 11:11:18	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on May 20?	No	BUY	12	97¢	$12	0x79669d…
05-08 18:59:43	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 74-75°F on May 8?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xba33f1…
05-08 18:39:36	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 74-75°F on May 8?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x58d08f…
05-08 18:18:06	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on May 8?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xe81361…
05-08 17:53:57	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 68-69°F on May 8?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x0c0d1e…
05-08 16:05:54	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 11°C on May 8?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xb0100c…
05-08 16:02:25	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 12°C on May 8?	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0xbcf6e8…
05-08 16:01:35	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 68-69°F on May 8?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x7be854…
05-08 15:30:15	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on May 8?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xcaacf0…
05-08 15:18:16	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on May 8?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x7849e8…
05-08 15:10:50	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on May 8?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xa73479…
05-08 15:09:47	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 11°C on May 8?	No	BUY	12	93¢	$11	0x87bfdf…
05-08 15:02:15	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on May 8?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x6f992d…
05-08 15:00:00	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on May 8?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x1fd36e…
05-08 13:46:06	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 8?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x71783d…
05-08 13:35:31	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on May 8?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc7fc24…
05-08 13:34:23	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on May 8?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xb70bf8…
05-08 13:33:32	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 8?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xcb4cc8…
05-08 12:50:54	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 8?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x17739b…
05-08 11:36:59	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on May 8?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xb7313d…
05-08 11:34:57	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on May 8?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x649d66…
05-08 11:34:15	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 8?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x8fb611…
05-08 08:56:45	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on May 8?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x832dd9…
05-08 07:39:03	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C or higher on May 8?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xbfc919…
05-08 06:28:31	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on May 8?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x230daa…
05-08 06:27:49	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 8?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xcb1234…
05-08 06:26:55	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 8?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x27f000…
05-08 06:26:27	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C or higher on May 8?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9a971b…
05-07 22:31:19	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on May 7?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x5b476e…
05-07 22:26:25	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on May 7?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xef0a67…
05-07 21:20:22	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 96-97°F on May 7?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xdbd538…
05-07 21:01:49	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on May 7?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x7fa5a6…
05-07 19:00:25	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on May 7?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xc6c224…
05-07 18:56:53	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 70-71°F on May 7?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xd6ff78…
05-07 18:56:48	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on May 7?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xff889e…
05-07 17:38:54	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on May 7?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0633d2…
05-07 17:37:42	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 96-97°F on May 7?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x3a4568…
05-07 17:37:23	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on May 7?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xf23f87…
05-07 17:28:50	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 70-71°F on May 7?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xa7b589…
05-07 16:05:55	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on May 7?	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0xe8a860…
05-07 15:49:19	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on May 7?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xccfdb9…
05-07 14:53:51	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C or higher on May 7?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x49d0ee…
05-07 14:53:51	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C or higher on May 7?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x385575…
05-07 14:50:12	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C or higher on May 7?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x14d940…
05-07 14:43:22	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C or higher on May 7?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x2bc30c…
05-07 14:19:43	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on May 7?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xe1be0a…
05-07 14:04:40	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 30°C or higher on May 7?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xab4b9a…
05-07 11:48:14	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on May 7?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x5abdee…
05-07 11:42:43	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 30°C or higher on May 7?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x720f21…
05-07 11:42:03	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C or higher on May 7?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xed01be…
05-07 10:36:18	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on May 7?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xafa507…
05-07 10:02:35	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on May 7?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x0cc332…
05-07 07:57:35	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on May 7?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x567632…
05-07 04:36:58	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 7?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x566d23…