Stiff-Cupboard — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$19

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

53.3%

Resolved

Trades

3,293

lifetime

Volume

$35.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-23

last 05-11 16:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

63% 67% $-19

Politics

36% — —

Other

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

28 active days in 12wk • peak 197 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	6	$4.8K	3,813	3,813	+0	open	—	03-03 23:56
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	3	$4.4K	2,999	2,999	+0	open	—	03-05 23:31
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 5 748 625	3	$660	974	974	+0	open	—	03-05 00:16
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 4 844 575	2	$509	980	980	+0	open	—	03-05 00:17
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	3	$364	230	230	+0	open	—	04-05 17:44
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	3	$333	198	198	+0	open	—	04-05 17:44
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 3 345	3	$256	908	908	+0	open	—	03-04 00:36
will communist party of nepal uml win the third most seats in the nepal house of representatives election	4	$210	106	106	+0	open	—	03-10 17:33
btc updown 5m 1773408900	1	$186	194	0	+194	open	—	03-13 13:39
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 7 249 562	2	$124	173	173	+0	open	—	03-05 18:53
will balendra balen shah be the next prime minister of nepal	6	$120	61	61	+0	open	—	03-10 17:34
will gagan kumar thapa be the next prime minister of nepal	6	$120	60	60	+0	open	—	03-10 17:34
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 6 419 412 158 246 866 876 465	4	$104	238	238	+0	open	—	03-05 23:31
btc updown 5m 1773434700	12	$92	53	43	+10	open	—	03-13 20:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	8	$87	50	50	+0	Down	$-7	05-06 13:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	8	$86	49	49	+0	Down	$-6	05-06 18:04
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	1	$85	87	0	+87	open	—	04-07 17:00
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	1	$85	98	0	+98	open	—	04-07 17:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	7	$77	42	47	-5	Up	$-3	05-06 12:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	8	$77	48	48	-0	open	—	04-29 15:49
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	3	$76	109	34	+74	open	—	04-07 17:00
btc updown 5m 1773163200	1	$74	8,259	0	+8,259	open	—	03-10 17:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	9	$74	42	42	+0	Up	$-7	05-05 15:49
btc updown 5m 1773162600	1	$73	74	0	+74	open	—	03-10 17:14
btc updown 5m 1773152700	1	$72	73	0	+73	open	—	03-10 14:29
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	2	$71	104	0	+104	open	—	04-07 17:33
btc updown 5m 1773152400	2	$71	72	0	+72	open	—	03-10 14:24
btc updown 5m 1773151800	1	$69	71	0	+71	open	—	03-10 14:14
btc updown 5m 1773150900	1	$69	69	0	+69	open	—	03-10 13:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	5	$68	33	36	-3	Up	+$1	05-06 17:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-11 16:34:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0x06e247…
05-11 16:34:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x3ce1aa…
05-11 15:34:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xb092ef…
05-11 15:34:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x7fee69…
05-11 15:04:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	SELL	5	87¢	$5	0x930461…
05-11 15:04:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	SELL	5	88¢	$5	0xcbf241…
05-11 15:04:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x469b2c…
05-11 15:04:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x44faef…
05-11 14:59:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0x0627f8…
05-11 14:59:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	88¢	$5	0xf77f67…
05-11 14:59:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0x0707df…
05-11 14:59:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xb9d513…
05-11 14:49:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xeabfb5…
05-11 14:49:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x7078d4…
05-11 14:14:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x942073…
05-11 14:14:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xadeab3…
05-11 13:39:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0xc939db…
05-11 13:39:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x61b3f6…
05-11 12:29:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x96ffba…
05-11 12:29:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0x118df3…
05-11 12:29:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x2e10d5…
05-11 12:29:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xa88b8d…
05-11 12:29:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xbb5d0c…
05-08 15:09:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	SELL	5	76¢	$4	0x99855a…
05-08 15:09:29	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	SELL	5	76¢	$4	0x47e4bd…
05-08 15:09:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xb42e84…
05-08 15:09:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x4558be…
05-08 15:04:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x71ef86…
05-08 15:04:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x571b5d…
05-08 14:49:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	SELL	5	89¢	$5	0x59a4a0…
05-08 14:49:18	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x692288…
05-08 14:49:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	0	95¢	$0	0xfa40fe…
05-08 14:49:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xc90e4a…
05-08 14:49:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x4ae4cb…
05-08 14:49:13	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	8	96¢	$7	0xdae974…
05-08 14:49:13	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x6ce849…
05-08 14:39:30	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	SELL	8	78¢	$6	0x994607…
05-08 14:39:25	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	SELL	6	90¢	$5	0x41656b…
05-08 14:39:23	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	SELL	5	91¢	$5	0x21f299…
05-08 14:39:11	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0xdc54a8…
05-08 14:39:11	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xb3ec5d…
05-08 14:39:09	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	8	95¢	$7	0xec6254…
05-08 14:24:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x5a0861…
05-08 14:24:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x4f1930…
05-08 14:24:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xe0f231…
05-08 13:49:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	SELL	8	69¢	$5	0x2804d5…
05-08 13:49:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	SELL	6	80¢	$5	0x1e248d…
05-08 13:49:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0x17724a…
05-08 13:49:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x8dacba…
05-08 13:49:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0xb9704c…
05-08 13:49:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x2a3ad6…
05-08 13:44:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xb68aaa…
05-08 13:44:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x9c3eb1…
05-08 13:44:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0x81bf9c…
05-08 13:34:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xcaaf34…
05-08 13:34:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x4ea11f…
05-07 20:24:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0x9b99e9…
05-07 20:24:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xcdc4e6…
05-07 20:24:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xac0318…
05-07 20:24:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0xcdde97…
05-07 20:24:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xba41a1…
05-07 20:24:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x000da6…
05-07 20:14:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0xa779b6…
05-07 20:14:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x520df3…
05-07 20:14:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x0b1489…
05-07 20:09:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0xd59418…
05-07 20:09:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	7	96¢	$7	0x9036e8…
05-07 20:09:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x27ad04…
05-07 20:09:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x2541fa…
05-07 20:09:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xef3393…
05-07 19:54:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x3f5842…
05-07 19:54:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xfe8f22…
05-07 19:54:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0xe14115…
05-07 19:54:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0x5c1e58…
05-07 19:09:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	SELL	8	71¢	$5	0x6d4f95…
05-07 19:09:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	8	94¢	$7	0x6dfa92…
05-07 18:49:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xa261cf…
05-07 18:49:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0x8fa074…
05-07 18:49:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x2b4d96…
05-07 18:39:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x5a1c08…
05-07 18:34:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x8b37d8…
05-07 18:34:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x38cfff…
05-07 18:34:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0xebebec…
05-07 18:04:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x0e6654…
05-07 18:04:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xae1de6…
05-07 17:49:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0x98faee…
05-07 17:49:41	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0xea367e…
05-07 17:49:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xf91e9d…
05-07 17:49:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x7439a9…
05-07 17:49:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	0	95¢	$0	0x3acd97…
05-07 17:39:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xd7a9e4…
05-07 17:39:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x257cfe…
05-07 17:29:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x0b511b…
05-07 17:29:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x369b82…
05-07 16:34:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xeea9fd…
05-07 16:34:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xbbec30…
05-07 16:09:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	SELL	5	90¢	$5	0xdeee56…
05-07 16:09:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x499ccd…
05-07 15:44:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x2243e3…
05-07 15:44:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x3b94d4…