Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$15

Unrealized P&L

-$7

Hit rate

63.5%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.01K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$21

Open exposure

$37

2 positions

First seen

2026-07-11

last 10-28 07:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 23 days

Categories

Other

81% 52% -$19

Politics

9% 80% +$18

Sports

6% 20% -$21

Crypto

4% 25% +$6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes		+1,786	$25	1¢	$22	-$3	08-02 12:41
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes		+40	$19	36¢	$14	-$5	10-28 07:24

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will PAM win the next Moroccan legislative elections?	3	$269	199	199	+0	Yes	+$70	09-21 08:55
CNN, Politico, or MS NOW unbanned from White House by October 31?	2	$255	151	151	+0	Yes	+$46	09-24 06:07
CNN, Politico, or MS NOW unbanned from White House by September 30?	2	$225	193	193	+0	Yes	-$10	09-21 18:22
will the united states send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952741	2	$171	144	72	+72	No	+$43	07-30 10:42
Will Flávio Bolsonaro return to Brazil by November 30, 2026?	3	$130	426	0	+426	Yes	-$130	10-28 07:38
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	2	$105	103	103	+0	No	+$45	08-07 18:12
will the announcers say qatar or russia during the england vs argentina fifa world cup match 20260713142905974	2	$83	57	57	+0	No	-$10	07-15 17:10
Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?	2	$73	115	115	+0	No	-$72	08-30 09:39
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?	3	$53	59	59	+0	Yes	+$13	07-15 11:23
Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?	2	$50	110	110	+0	No	-$30	09-13 07:31
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 12?	2	$41	21	21	+0	No	+$1	07-12 13:43
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on August 7?	2	$38	21	21	+0	No	+$4	08-07 18:11
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?	2	$37	35	35	+0	open	—	10-04 04:06
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	2	$34	43	43	+0	Yes	+$14	07-26 20:27
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-13?	2	$32	22	22	+0	Yes	+$12	09-13 17:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	4	$31	16	16	+0	Down	+$1	07-12 04:11
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?	2	$28	99	99	+0	No	+$12	10-01 17:31
us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	2	$27	19	19	+0	Yes	+$7	08-07 18:13
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 105m and 115m?	3	$25	42	42	+0	No	+$5	07-15 11:23
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	1	$25	1,786	0	+1,786	open	—	08-02 12:41
will olivia wilde be nominated for best director at the 99th academy awards 20261013180153422	2	$23	40	0	+40	open	—	10-17 16:20
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?	2	$22	28	28	+0	open	—	10-05 05:44
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on September 15?	1	$22	41	0	+41	No	-$22	09-15 07:49
fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 team to advance	1	$20	27	0	+27	Argentina	+$7	07-11 10:13
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	1	$19	40	0	+40	open	—	10-28 07:24
any of the cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime	1	$19	40	0	+40	open	—	10-01 09:47
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$17	17	17	+0	Yes	-$3	07-17 17:41
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	1	$15	43	0	+43	Yes	-$15	07-21 13:09
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 12?	5	$15	24	24	+0	No	+$5	07-12 13:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 17:10 UTC	2	$13	12	12	+0	Down	+$11	07-17 17:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 07:38:23	Will Flávio Bolsonaro return to Brazil by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	200	25¢	$50	0x5eb37d…
10-28 07:38:23	Will Flávio Bolsonaro return to Brazil by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	26	30¢	$8	0x4ecd3e…
10-28 07:35:16	Will Flávio Bolsonaro return to Brazil by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	200	36¢	$72	0xf433c0…
10-28 07:24:40	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	40	47¢	$19	0x9c8a98…
10-17 16:20:24	will olivia wilde be nominated for best director at the 99th academy awards 20261013180153422	Yes	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0x6b3bfa…
10-17 16:18:51	will olivia wilde be nominated for best director at the 99th academy awards 20261013180153422	Yes	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0x85647f…
10-05 05:44:55	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	28	34¢	$9	0xac2f1a…
10-04 04:06:47	Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?	Yes	SELL	35	33¢	$12	0xbb8338…
10-01 17:31:54	Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?	Yes	SELL	99	20¢	$20	0xab3b56…
10-01 10:00:00	Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?	Yes	BUY	35	73¢	$26	0xaecc79…
10-01 09:55:24	israel accuses iranproxies of plane stabbing incident by oct 31	Yes	BUY	99	8¢	$8	0xc44ce6…
10-01 09:47:39	any of the cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime	Yes	BUY	40	47¢	$19	0x39604b…
09-30 16:30:42	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	28	45¢	$12	0x6c4010…
09-24 06:07:18	CNN, Politico, or MS NOW unbanned from White House by October 31?	Yes	SELL	151	100¢	$150	0xf9cfef…
09-21 18:22:34	cnn politico or ms now unbanned from white house by october 31	Yes	BUY	151	69¢	$104	0x89a0c5…
09-21 18:22:10	CNN, Politico, or MS NOW unbanned from White House by September 30?	Yes	SELL	193	56¢	$108	0xcef0e0…
09-21 17:17:04	CNN, Politico, or MS NOW unbanned from White House by September 30?	Yes	BUY	193	61¢	$118	0x8ff0fa…
09-21 08:55:45	Will PAM win the next Moroccan legislative elections?	Yes	SELL	199	85¢	$170	0x069b4f…
09-15 07:49:45	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on September 15?	Yes	BUY	41	53¢	$22	0x627aa5…
09-13 17:27:03	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-13?	Yes	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x6a3af5…
09-13 07:41:01	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-13?	Yes	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x5abbee…
09-13 07:31:06	Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?	Yes	SELL	110	9¢	$10	0x3102bc…
08-30 09:39:39	Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?	Yes	SELL	115	0¢	$0	0x9c868d…
08-08 12:04:12	icelandic european union membership negotiations referendum passes 20260609135241589	Yes	BUY	115	63¢	$72	0xa3e701…
08-08 11:50:27	iran charges hormuz fees by september 30	Yes	BUY	110	36¢	$40	0x42bd4f…
08-07 18:13:01	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	SELL	19	89¢	$17	0x697bff…
08-07 18:12:42	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	Yes	SELL	103	73¢	$75	0x2fea31…
08-07 18:11:36	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on August 7?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0xf9207b…
08-06 19:03:39	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on August 7?	No	BUY	21	80¢	$17	0x69c49d…
08-04 14:05:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 14:05 UTC	Up	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x55aa30…
08-03 06:59:09	will anyone say usurper during house of the dragon e7 s3 20260727205600955	Yes	SELL	7	0¢	$0	0x50cfc1…
08-02 12:41:12	Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	1,786	1¢	$25	0x55bddf…
08-01 18:56:21	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	Yes	BUY	103	29¢	$30	0xd8cf56…
07-30 10:43:50	Will PAM win the next Moroccan legislative elections?	Yes	BUY	132	50¢	$66	0xa10d45…
07-30 10:42:45	will the united states send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952741	No	SELL	72	99¢	$71	0x036dd2…
07-30 10:27:15	Will PAM win the next Moroccan legislative elections?	Yes	BUY	67	50¢	$34	0x5e2659…
07-28 18:18:01	will anyone say usurper during house of the dragon e7 s3 20260727205600955	Yes	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xb71684…
07-28 18:08:19	will trump say tough cookie during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556637	Yes	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0xa3ab0f…
07-26 20:27:45	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	43	55¢	$24	0x1086cc…
07-21 16:13:55	Will U.S. viewership of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be at least 58 million?	Yes	BUY	11	77¢	$9	0x2d9c48…
07-21 13:09:51	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	43	35¢	$15	0xd6505f…
07-18 17:58:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 17:55 UTC	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x512446…
07-18 17:53:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 17:50 UTC	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x68369c…
07-18 17:49:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 17:45 UTC	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xe2d480…
07-18 17:44:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 17:40 UTC	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xfd876c…
07-18 17:44:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 17:40 UTC	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x83e80e…
07-18 17:37:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 17:35 UTC	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xa3d8c5…
07-18 17:35:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 17:30 UTC	Up	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x0a6ec1…
07-18 17:34:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 17:30 UTC	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xfc58cc…
07-18 17:33:49	will the odyssey score at least 95 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260709174417838	No	SELL	29	8¢	$2	0x98314d…
07-17 18:18:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x51533e…
07-17 18:09:34	will the odyssey score at least 95 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260709174417838	No	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x5aca92…
07-17 17:50:30	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0x460bf2…
07-17 17:50:22	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xd90674…
07-17 17:41:45	Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	17	39¢	$7	0xb7a704…
07-17 17:33:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 17:30 UTC	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x8803c2…
07-17 17:28:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 17:25 UTC	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xc8a7f0…
07-17 17:22:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 17:20 UTC	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x942bc3…
07-17 17:19:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 17:15 UTC	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xb2c9aa…
07-17 17:15:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 17:10 UTC	Down	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x41026c…
07-17 17:11:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 17:10 UTC	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x10a4bf…
07-17 17:06:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 17:05 UTC	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x2a7f8c…
07-17 17:02:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 17:00 UTC	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xe203ce…
07-17 16:59:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 16:55 UTC	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xd85817…
07-17 16:55:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 16:50 UTC	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xdfe3a9…
07-17 16:54:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 16:50 UTC	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x817a97…
07-17 16:27:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 16:25 UTC	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xaa9a9b…
07-16 04:13:37	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x047bd0…
07-15 17:10:26	will the announcers say qatar or russia during the england vs argentina fifa world cup match 20260713142905974	Yes	SELL	57	64¢	$37	0xb7c44b…
07-15 13:41:10	will the announcers say qatar or russia during the england vs argentina fifa world cup match 20260713142905974	Yes	BUY	57	82¢	$47	0x82e000…
07-15 11:23:35	Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 105m and 115m?	Yes	SELL	25	37¢	$9	0x50acb4…
07-15 11:23:34	Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?	Yes	SELL	34	55¢	$18	0xa0a152…
07-15 11:06:58	Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 105m and 115m?	Yes	SELL	17	37¢	$6	0xf84a45…
07-15 11:06:43	Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?	Yes	SELL	25	56¢	$14	0x7bb22d…
07-14 14:34:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 14:30 UTC	Down	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0x1cb8fb…
07-14 13:55:07	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	26	6¢	$2	0xb2dc48…
07-14 12:02:13	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	26	34¢	$9	0x41a14b…
07-13 03:39:49	Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 105m and 115m?	Yes	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0x68ecaf…
07-13 03:38:32	Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?	Yes	BUY	59	34¢	$20	0x447c01…
07-12 20:05:22	will the united states send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952741	No	BUY	144	70¢	$100	0x4f2bf4…
07-12 19:56:08	Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	134	4¢	$6	0x6c5d7d…
07-12 13:43:40	Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 12?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x250d4b…
07-12 13:42:55	Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 12?	Yes	SELL	0	41¢	$0	0x92306c…
07-12 13:42:44	Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 12?	Yes	SELL	0	41¢	$0	0x849621…
07-12 13:41:53	Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 12?	Yes	SELL	2	41¢	$1	0xca5cff…
07-12 13:41:14	Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 12?	Yes	SELL	22	41¢	$9	0x9e54a7…
07-12 12:42:23	Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 12?	No	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0x0519ec…
07-12 12:07:10	Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 12?	Yes	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0xbf38c8…
07-12 11:53:29	Will Alexander Zverev be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	No	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0x417f0b…
07-12 10:43:05	Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0x1da267…
07-12 06:31:55	Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x9c379b…
07-12 04:59:55	Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	107	5¢	$5	0xb0f1e8…
07-12 04:11:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0xfe3db8…
07-12 04:09:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x47aacf…
07-12 04:09:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xa61377…
07-12 04:09:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x849d03…
07-11 10:13:41	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	27	75¢	$20	0xc1990d…
07-11 10:02:16	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 team to advance	Norway	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x2533f7…