Little-Arcade — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.12K

Unrealized P&L

-$66

Hit rate

67.1%

Resolved

248

Trades

1,028

lifetime

Volume

$14.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-26 14:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 119 days

Categories

Crypto

48% 30% +$1,357

Other

40% 37% -$324

Sports

10% 35% +$84

Tech

2% 75% +$15

Politics

0% 0% -$5

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$9

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

39 active days in 12wk • peak 81 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	+256	$12	3¢	$8	-$4	10-02 21:06
Abstract FDV above $400M one day after launch?	Yes	-10	$51	3¢	$-0	-$51	10-07 15:30
kanye west performs in russia by october 31	Yes	+100	$11	0¢	$0	-$11	09-24 06:46

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will "Heart of the Beast" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 23m?	26	$920	699	699	+0	Yes	+$376	09-28 20:15
ethereum above 2700 on september 23 2026	25	$522	789	789	+0	No	+$266	09-23 15:31
ethereum above 1700 on july 2 2026	16	$447	709	709	+0	No	+$93	07-02 15:09
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	12	$443	41,000	40,000	+1,000	No	+$117	06-03 16:20
ethereum above 1600 on june 27 2026	10	$380	400	400	+0	Yes	+$312	06-27 15:14
ethereum above 1600 on june 25 2026	6	$347	420	320	+100	No	+$225	06-25 14:53
Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 22m?	8	$344	567	0	+567	No	-$344	09-30 04:51
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	5	$336	800	800	+0	No	+$72	07-04 22:31
fifwc mex rsa 2026 06 11 team total home 1pt5	4	$319	200	200	+0	Over	+$77	06-11 20:41
ethereum above 1900 on july 26 2026	9	$312	300	300	+0	Yes	+$240	07-26 15:25
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?	23	$279	1,914	0	+1,914	No	-$279	08-27 22:12
Will Claude go down 5-7 times in August?	8	$271	200	200	+0	Yes	+$23	08-21 08:34
will solana reach 90 in july 2026	6	$266	200	200	+0	No	+$106	07-18 22:52
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 19?	5	$221	200	200	+0	No	+$143	10-19 16:03
Will Lionel Messi record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	8	$203	265	265	+0	No	+$59	07-16 12:51
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 280m?	6	$184	567	567	+0	Yes	+$113	08-02 21:17
will mrbeast hit 510 million subscribers by july 31 20260623145858515	2	$180	200	0	+200	Yes	+$20	07-27 02:35
Printr FDV above $50M one day after launch?	4	$157	200	200	+0	open	—	04-30 14:56
Abstract FDV above $600M one day after launch?	4	$156	348	348	-0	open	—	09-27 15:42
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-20?	2	$154	100	100	+0	Yes	+$34	09-20 14:43
megaeth market cap fdv 1pt5b one day after launch 371 844 879 681	7	$154	200	200	+0	Yes	-$6	04-30 18:42
Fabric FDV above $400M one day after launch?	10	$154	299	299	+0	No	-$2	02-28 20:53
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$146	500	500	+0	No	+$17	07-15 16:49
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 21?	4	$146	206	206	+0	Yes	+$110	10-21 15:06
Will England win on 2026-07-01?	2	$140	100	100	+0	Yes	+$46	07-01 17:52
grvt fdv above 250m one day after launch	2	$138	100	100	+0	Yes	+$58	07-31 18:53
Will the price of Solana be above $90 on May 14?	6	$136	200	100	+100	Yes	-$6	05-14 07:01
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-03?	2	$129	100	100	+0	Yes	+$71	05-03 20:59
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$126	300	300	+0	Yes	+$30	06-27 06:08
SC Freiburg vs. SC Braga: Both Teams to Score	3	$125	100	100	+0	Yes	+$75	05-07 20:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 14:09:54	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 27?	No	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0xc034ac…
10-26 08:27:06	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on October 26?	No	BUY	100	28¢	$28	0x0e7d0f…
10-26 06:15:39	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on October 26?	No	BUY	100	28¢	$28	0x12a35c…
10-25 13:41:14	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on October 25?	No	BUY	200	4¢	$8	0xc44ffa…
10-25 11:43:51	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on October 25?	No	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0xf44cbc…
10-25 11:41:21	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on October 25?	No	BUY	41	9¢	$4	0xa46c10…
10-25 11:40:23	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on October 25?	No	BUY	146	9¢	$13	0x32e038…
10-25 11:25:50	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on October 25?	No	BUY	133	9¢	$13	0xed31f3…
10-25 11:23:26	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on October 25?	No	BUY	64	9¢	$5	0xaea063…
10-25 11:22:06	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on October 25?	No	BUY	100	9¢	$9	0x0ebb2b…
10-25 11:19:02	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on October 25?	No	BUY	87	9¢	$8	0xb7ea9b…
10-23 22:47:09	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 24?	Yes	BUY	495	1¢	$3	0x7aac5f…
10-23 20:30:06	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 24?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x0b8541…
10-23 19:02:02	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 24?	Yes	BUY	0	1¢	$0	0xab4072…
10-23 16:25:33	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 24?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x694548…
10-23 16:11:32	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 24?	Yes	BUY	230	2¢	$5	0x2d1c24…
10-23 16:11:26	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 24?	Yes	BUY	260	2¢	$5	0x42418c…
10-23 16:07:35	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 24?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x3e5a60…
10-23 15:34:18	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 23?	No	BUY	1	24¢	$0	0x8f1f4c…
10-23 15:34:18	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 23?	No	BUY	29	24¢	$7	0x43e68f…
10-23 15:26:27	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 23?	No	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0xde36e9…
10-23 14:44:42	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 23?	No	BUY	38	27¢	$10	0xe3a2f8…
10-23 14:44:42	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 23?	No	BUY	12	27¢	$3	0xa20572…
10-23 13:41:35	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 23?	No	BUY	30	35¢	$10	0xd4a2e9…
10-22 16:53:18	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 22?	No	SELL	60	99¢	$59	0x217985…
10-22 16:01:03	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 22?	No	BUY	40	0¢	$0	0x7f080a…
10-22 15:58:05	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 22?	No	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0x1d129b…
10-22 15:34:14	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 22?	No	SELL	50	64¢	$32	0x560a43…
10-22 14:33:02	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 22?	No	BUY	50	34¢	$17	0x5e4946…
10-21 15:06:09	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 21?	Yes	SELL	206	62¢	$128	0xe37fa4…
10-21 14:39:33	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 21?	Yes	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0x2d3f59…
10-21 14:28:51	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 21?	Yes	BUY	6	13¢	$1	0x88418a…
10-21 11:56:24	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 21?	No	SELL	100	2¢	$2	0x702ff1…
10-21 09:44:54	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 21?	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0xdbe334…
10-21 06:31:35	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 21?	No	BUY	100	12¢	$12	0x70f765…
10-20 14:38:08	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 20?	No	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0xb4ec52…
10-20 14:27:41	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 20?	No	BUY	70	2¢	$2	0x317128…
10-20 14:26:53	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 20?	No	BUY	30	2¢	$1	0xc1ef20…
10-19 16:10:20	Abstract FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	290	1¢	$3	0xd703a1…
10-19 16:03:09	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 19?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xb1a642…
10-19 15:54:42	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 19?	No	SELL	100	82¢	$82	0xadbcda…
10-19 12:15:15	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 19?	No	BUY	50	19¢	$10	0x2a27a8…
10-19 12:15:14	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 19?	No	BUY	50	19¢	$10	0x3e9685…
10-19 12:15:12	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 19?	No	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0x01e2f3…
10-07 15:30:29	Abstract FDV above $400M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	211	2¢	$4	0xb72d23…
10-07 15:30:19	Abstract FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	300	2¢	$6	0xb73e5d…
10-07 09:26:15	Will "The Social Reckoning" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 13m?	Yes	BUY	40	3¢	$1	0xda296c…
10-07 09:26:15	Will "The Social Reckoning" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 13m?	Yes	BUY	40	3¢	$1	0xa9723c…
10-07 09:26:15	Will "The Social Reckoning" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 13m?	Yes	BUY	15	3¢	$0	0x1a70f1…
10-06 15:05:06	Will "The Social Reckoning" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 13m?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x5d7624…
10-03 00:54:30	Abstract FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	10	10¢	$1	0xec2df3…
10-02 23:34:54	Will "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 28m?	No	BUY	200	4¢	$7	0xc3900b…
10-02 21:06:08	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	165	5¢	$8	0x110ad9…
10-02 20:48:47	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	5¢	$2	0x843853…
10-02 18:58:03	Abstract FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	0	10¢	$0	0xba60c7…
10-02 18:57:29	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x69269f…
10-02 18:43:50	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x61b83a…
10-02 16:54:32	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	56	5¢	$3	0xb0daaf…
10-02 12:41:45	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on October 2?	Yes	BUY	75	9¢	$7	0x000fc1…
10-02 12:30:14	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on October 2?	Yes	BUY	25	9¢	$2	0x1eaea9…
10-01 14:08:05	Abstract FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	400	12¢	$48	0xac2e52…
09-30 20:27:08	Abstract FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	191	10¢	$19	0xfebd1a…
09-30 20:27:03	Abstract FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x7ad737…
09-30 20:26:59	Abstract FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	30	10¢	$3	0x7411b3…
09-30 20:26:57	Abstract FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	29	10¢	$3	0x4d63cc…
09-30 04:51:27	Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 22m?	Yes	BUY	50	27¢	$14	0xc7bcfc…
09-30 04:51:27	Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 22m?	Yes	BUY	50	27¢	$14	0x37da95…
09-29 19:28:50	Will "Digger" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 17m?	No	BUY	50	19¢	$10	0x08fe92…
09-29 14:11:21	Will "Digger" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 23m and 26m?	Yes	BUY	14	2¢	$0	0x65504f…
09-29 14:11:21	Will "Digger" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 23m and 26m?	Yes	BUY	117	2¢	$2	0x170dda…
09-29 05:14:12	Will "Digger" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 17m?	No	BUY	100	19¢	$19	0xc7b33d…
09-29 00:40:33	Will "Digger" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 23m and 26m?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0xeb73f0…
09-29 00:40:32	Will "Digger" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 23m and 26m?	Yes	BUY	33	2¢	$1	0xf11251…
09-28 23:29:14	Will "Digger" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 23m and 26m?	Yes	BUY	0	2¢	$0	0x119128…
09-28 23:29:14	Will "Digger" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 23m and 26m?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x118626…
09-28 22:57:15	Will "Digger" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 23m and 26m?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xd9dd8f…
09-28 22:55:39	Will "Digger" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 23m and 26m?	Yes	BUY	39	2¢	$1	0xc8d0ef…
09-28 22:55:15	Will "Digger" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 23m and 26m?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0xe3de3a…
09-28 22:55:15	Will "Digger" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 23m?	Yes	BUY	112	5¢	$6	0xd1b355…
09-28 22:55:15	Will "Digger" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 23m and 26m?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0xc893e6…
09-28 22:55:15	Will "Digger" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 23m and 26m?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0xc131f4…
09-28 22:55:15	Will "Digger" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 23m?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x9e404a…
09-28 22:55:15	Will "Digger" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 23m and 26m?	Yes	BUY	83	2¢	$2	0x95d89f…
09-28 22:55:15	Will "Digger" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 23m?	Yes	BUY	83	5¢	$4	0x4d50e2…
09-28 22:55:15	Will "Digger" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 17m?	No	BUY	50	19¢	$10	0x2376d6…
09-28 20:48:45	Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 22m?	Yes	BUY	100	37¢	$37	0x8873a6…
09-28 20:32:48	Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 22m?	Yes	BUY	60	48¢	$29	0x13d4b3…
09-28 20:15:45	Will "Heart of the Beast" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 23m?	Yes	SELL	599	99¢	$593	0x0b08c6…
09-27 21:29:21	Will "Heart of the Beast" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 23m?	Yes	BUY	67	23¢	$15	0x528b4d…
09-27 21:27:26	Will "Heart of the Beast" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 23m?	Yes	BUY	6	23¢	$1	0x752431…
09-27 21:27:24	Will "Heart of the Beast" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 23m?	Yes	BUY	26	23¢	$6	0x68d410…
09-27 21:27:20	Will "Heart of the Beast" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 23m?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x94a53e…
09-27 21:27:20	Will "Heart of the Beast" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 23m?	Yes	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0x014dbd…
09-27 21:27:17	Will "Heart of the Beast" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 23m?	Yes	BUY	3	23¢	$1	0x36dae5…
09-27 21:27:17	Will "Heart of the Beast" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 23m?	Yes	BUY	13	23¢	$3	0x2f518b…
09-27 21:27:17	Will "Heart of the Beast" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 23m?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x1334ed…
09-27 21:27:17	Will "Heart of the Beast" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 23m?	Yes	BUY	33	23¢	$8	0x06ba12…
09-27 15:44:41	Will "Heart of the Beast" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 23m?	Yes	BUY	100	60¢	$60	0x999406…
09-27 15:42:36	Abstract FDV above $600M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	348	22¢	$77	0x6aee2a…
09-27 15:41:45	Will Drake be the top artist for 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	5¢	$10	0xb85fd2…