Unfortunate-Experience — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$139

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

27.7%

Resolved

Trades

364

lifetime

Volume

$5.63K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-07

last 08-15 21:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

88% 30% $-139

Sports

5% — —

Other

4% — —

Politics

3% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1774481700	3	$178	110	109	+1	open	—	03-25 23:40
btc updown 5m 1775529600	3	$176	122	118	+4	open	—	04-07 02:45
btc updown 5m 1776658500	3	$122	93	88	+4	open	—	04-20 04:19
btc updown 5m 1776660900	3	$120	252	218	+33	open	—	04-20 04:57
btc updown 5m 1775531400	2	$114	80	77	+3	open	—	04-07 03:14
will apple be the third largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	2	$111	73	73	+0	open	—	01-29 01:42
btc updown 5m 1775517900	3	$108	70	68	+2	open	—	04-06 23:30
btc updown 5m 1775244000	4	$105	68	66	+2	open	—	04-03 19:26
btc updown 5m 1775243700	7	$105	94	90	+4	open	—	04-03 19:20
btc updown 5m 1776731700	3	$101	217	89	+128	open	—	04-21 00:40
btc updown 5m 1776657000	3	$97	77	73	+4	open	—	04-20 03:54
btc updown 5m 1776730500	2	$96	70	67	+3	open	—	04-21 00:20
btc updown 5m 1776658800	2	$85	58	56	+2	open	—	04-20 04:25
btc updown 5m 1774312800	4	$83	64	55	+8	open	—	03-24 00:45
btc updown 5m 1774314300	5	$82	67	47	+20	open	—	03-24 01:11
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	2	$80	56	56	+0	open	—	02-02 20:12
btc updown 5m 1786636800	2	$80	61	61	+0	open	—	08-13 16:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	1	$78	154	0	+154	Up	$-78	05-05 05:19
btc updown 5m 1772811000	2	$78	59	58	+1	open	—	03-06 15:35
btc updown 5m 1774482300	3	$74	56	55	+1	open	—	03-25 23:50
btc updown 5m 1774480800	3	$74	51	51	+1	open	—	03-25 23:24
btc updown 5m 1786634100	3	$67	52	52	+0	open	—	08-13 15:19
btc updown 5m 1774481100	3	$64	56	55	+1	open	—	03-25 23:29
btc updown 5m 1776732000	4	$61	58	55	+2	open	—	04-21 00:44
btc updown 5m 1776659400	1	$60	126	0	+126	open	—	04-20 04:31
btc updown 5m 1774311600	3	$60	49	33	+17	open	—	03-24 00:25
btc updown 5m 1776658200	2	$58	43	42	+2	open	—	04-20 04:14
btc updown 5m 1786634400	2	$56	56	56	+0	open	—	08-13 15:23
will the seattle seahawks win super bowl 2026	1	$54	0	79	-79	open	—	02-02 20:12
btc updown 5m 1776919800	3	$54	71	52	+19	open	—	04-23 04:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-15 21:09:37	btc updown 5m 1786827900	Up	BUY	93	5¢	$5	0x98fcc9…
08-14 19:11:58	btc updown 5m 1786734600	Up	BUY	19	16¢	$3	0xc5aeb5…
08-14 19:10:55	btc updown 5m 1786734600	Up	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0x15ab5a…
08-14 19:09:15	btc updown 5m 1786734300	Down	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x3b0f7a…
08-13 17:29:25	btc updown 5m 1786641900	Down	SELL	15	95¢	$14	0x6e9084…
08-13 17:25:40	btc updown 5m 1786641900	Down	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xe96df5…
08-13 17:21:33	btc updown 5m 1786641600	Down	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0xb665f0…
08-13 16:27:31	btc updown 5m 1786638300	Up	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0xd5ba90…
08-13 16:26:37	btc updown 5m 1786638300	Up	BUY	42	36¢	$15	0x3ea9e8…
08-13 16:13:40	btc updown 5m 1786637400	Up	BUY	83	18¢	$15	0x07150d…
08-13 16:07:54	btc updown 5m 1786637100	Up	BUY	111	27¢	$30	0xbe9537…
08-13 16:04:48	btc updown 5m 1786636800	Up	SELL	61	99¢	$60	0xbbb280…
08-13 16:02:09	btc updown 5m 1786636800	Up	BUY	61	33¢	$20	0xafafc9…
08-13 15:57:24	btc updown 5m 1786636500	Up	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0x03b995…
08-13 15:27:06	btc updown 5m 1786634700	Up	SELL	31	4¢	$1	0xff1929…
08-13 15:25:36	btc updown 5m 1786634700	Up	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x3de55b…
08-13 15:23:48	btc updown 5m 1786634400	Down	SELL	56	92¢	$51	0xb570d5…
08-13 15:22:15	btc updown 5m 1786634400	Down	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x439a72…
08-13 15:19:46	btc updown 5m 1786634100	Up	SELL	52	99¢	$52	0x30ee8a…
08-13 15:15:33	btc updown 5m 1786634100	Up	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0xf6c3ce…
08-13 15:15:19	btc updown 5m 1786634100	Up	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0xb4db93…
08-13 15:11:48	btc updown 5m 1786633800	Down	BUY	25	12¢	$3	0xf88040…
08-13 15:05:57	btc updown 5m 1786633500	Up	BUY	23	13¢	$3	0x8cff3e…
08-11 18:27:01	btc updown 5m 1786472700	Down	SELL	30	91¢	$28	0x79ae99…
08-11 18:26:33	btc updown 5m 1786472700	Down	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x318439…
08-11 18:24:06	btc updown 5m 1786472400	Up	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x2d027b…
08-11 18:21:36	btc updown 5m 1786472400	Up	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0xf929de…
08-11 18:17:12	btc updown 5m 1786472100	Down	BUY	45	33¢	$15	0x41702f…
08-11 18:13:01	btc updown 5m 1786471800	Down	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x6bab16…
08-11 18:11:54	btc updown 5m 1786471800	Down	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x49cc80…
08-11 18:08:01	btc updown 5m 1786471500	Up	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0xff6a06…
06-09 19:30:48	btc updown 5m 1781033400	Down	BUY	11	36¢	$4	0x9f298a…
06-09 19:28:39	btc updown 5m 1781033100	Up	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0xf0a843…
06-04 04:27:54	btc updown 5m 1780547100	Up	BUY	15	18¢	$3	0xc1c50d…
06-04 04:25:58	btc updown 5m 1780547100	Up	BUY	74	27¢	$20	0x3f7847…
05-31 03:54:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	SELL	16	3¢	$0	0x62ac1b…
05-31 03:52:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xe05379…
05-31 03:51:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0xeba5ba…
05-31 03:49:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0x774ca7…
05-31 03:45:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x04ce84…
05-30 05:50:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	74	47¢	$35	0xe26ccc…
05-30 05:45:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	28	53¢	$15	0xa6d2cf…
05-30 05:43:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	SELL	36	66¢	$24	0x4f4e85…
05-30 05:41:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0x561da0…
05-30 05:37:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0xb8085a…
05-30 05:35:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x94cb65…
05-30 05:33:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	SELL	25	11¢	$3	0x1ca2be…
05-30 05:32:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0xd60378…
05-30 05:31:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0x16c204…
05-30 05:27:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	17	44¢	$7	0xe91c7f…
05-30 05:21:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xf8dd5b…
05-18 01:29:08	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Pistons	BUY	88	17¢	$15	0x8837ec…
05-15 01:25:07	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x8dd66d…
05-15 01:24:44	Will Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	36	5¢	$2	0xbdb282…
05-15 01:24:06	Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x5cc304…
05-15 01:23:53	Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	67	3¢	$2	0xcf93bc…
05-15 01:23:43	Will Trump say "Six Seven" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	38	5¢	$2	0x18101a…
05-15 01:23:32	Will Trump say "Hong Kong" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0xc051da…
05-15 01:20:34	Will Drake feature Morgan Wallen on ICEMAN?	Yes	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xe8c5d6…
05-15 01:20:08	Will Drake feature Yebba on ICEMAN?	Yes	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xfb3f4b…
05-15 01:19:26	Will Drake feature J. Cole on ICEMAN?	Yes	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x1e7c5a…
05-15 01:19:17	Will Drake feature Playboi Carti on ICEMAN?	Yes	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x94262e…
05-15 01:19:06	Will Drake feature Lil Wayne on ICEMAN?	Yes	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x27172a…
05-15 01:16:52	Will Drake feature Lil Baby on ICEMAN?	Yes	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0xf91003…
05-15 01:14:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x576059…
05-15 01:13:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x2ff354…
05-15 01:10:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x86ca7c…
05-12 03:23:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xf25ad8…
05-12 03:20:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xb15ce1…
05-12 02:11:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	28	25¢	$7	0xe28e9d…
05-12 02:05:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0x8c775f…
05-12 02:02:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0x1a5893…
05-12 02:01:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x8236c9…
05-12 01:58:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	SELL	48	62¢	$30	0xe9cb78…
05-12 01:56:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0xa0b1bb…
05-12 01:55:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xa35160…
05-12 01:16:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x525019…
05-12 01:15:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0xc8f9be…
05-12 01:10:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x8e29bd…
05-12 01:06:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x4d1403…
05-05 05:36:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x7a69ae…
05-05 05:31:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	45	55¢	$25	0x143738…
05-05 05:19:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	154	50¢	$78	0x2f13a9…
05-02 01:15:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	33	31¢	$10	0xbc808c…
05-02 01:13:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	9	79¢	$7	0x416502…
05-02 01:11:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0xcf428f…
05-02 01:10:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xcf92a0…
05-02 01:06:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x202d69…
04-30 20:46:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	47	53¢	$25	0xabc30f…
04-30 20:35:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x8c82c2…
04-30 20:30:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x81a1f3…
04-30 20:28:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	40	15¢	$6	0x993730…
04-30 20:27:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x02e438…
04-30 20:03:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xe36866…
04-23 05:11:06	btc updown 5m 1776921000	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xb53a8c…
04-23 05:06:00	btc updown 5m 1776920700	Up	BUY	39	33¢	$13	0x987b38…
04-23 05:03:04	btc updown 5m 1776920400	Down	SELL	81	9¢	$7	0x426e9e…
04-23 05:02:14	btc updown 5m 1776920400	Down	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0xb9dcf4…
04-23 05:01:52	btc updown 5m 1776920400	Down	BUY	44	34¢	$15	0x2a396b…
04-23 04:55:32	btc updown 5m 1776920100	Down	BUY	27	56¢	$15	0x755147…