Unfortunate-Experience — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$488

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

60.7%

Resolved

266

Trades

517

lifetime

Volume

$10.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$19

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-07

last 10-01 18:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 58 days

Categories

Crypto

93% 35% -$418

Sports

3% 25% -$44

Other

2% 55% +$47

Politics

1% 20% -$36

Pop-Culture

1% 0% -$38

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 61 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	2	$345	215	215	+0	Up	+$55	09-09 19:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 20:20 UTC	5	$273	323	323	+0	Up	+$73	08-28 20:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	4	$235	217	217	+0	Down	+$145	09-08 21:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 22:45 UTC	2	$233	185	185	+0	Up	+$133	08-20 22:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 19:50 UTC	2	$199	125	125	+0	Up	+$49	08-20 19:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 20:40 UTC	4	$191	189	189	+0	Down	+$91	08-20 20:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 23:35 UTC	3	$178	110	109	+1	Down	+$39	03-25 23:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-07 02:40 UTC	3	$176	122	118	+4	Down	+$61	04-07 02:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 20:10 UTC	3	$160	138	138	+0	Down	+$110	08-20 20:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 23:20 UTC	1	$150	875	0	+875	Up	-$150	08-20 23:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 20:10 UTC	4	$141	288	212	+77	Up	-$9	08-28 20:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	5	$138	111	111	+0	Up	+$68	08-23 21:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 03:45 UTC	2	$138	76	76	+0	Up	+$8	08-28 03:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	2	$130	83	83	+0	Down	+$30	09-08 21:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 03:50 UTC	4	$128	139	139	+0	Up	+$38	08-28 03:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 20:05 UTC	3	$122	471	364	+107	Up	-$18	08-28 20:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 04:15 UTC	3	$122	93	88	+4	Down	+$56	04-20 04:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 04:55 UTC	3	$120	252	218	+33	Down	-$20	04-20 04:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-07 03:10 UTC	2	$114	80	77	+3	Up	+$37	04-07 03:14
will apple be the third largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	2	$111	73	73	+0	Yes	+$31	01-29 01:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 23:25 UTC	3	$108	70	68	+2	Down	+$30	04-06 23:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-03 19:20 UTC	4	$105	68	66	+2	Up	+$27	04-03 19:26
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-03 19:15 UTC	7	$105	94	90	+4	Up	+$37	04-03 19:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 00:35 UTC	3	$101	217	89	+128	Down	+$25	04-21 00:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 20:30 UTC	1	$100	159	0	+159	Up	-$100	08-20 20:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 03:50 UTC	3	$97	77	73	+4	Up	+$45	04-20 03:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 00:15 UTC	2	$96	70	67	+3	Up	+$39	04-21 00:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 20:05 UTC	2	$88	74	74	+0	Down	+$39	08-20 20:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 04:20 UTC	2	$85	58	56	+2	Down	+$27	04-20 04:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 00:40 UTC	4	$83	64	55	+8	Up	+$28	03-24 00:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-01 18:22:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xe13838…
09-29 19:12:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	233	15¢	$35	0x2b564c…
09-29 19:07:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x4a0e01…
09-09 20:08:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	SELL	53	38¢	$20	0xfbf65b…
09-09 20:06:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0x22b8dc…
09-09 20:04:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x126045…
09-09 20:04:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	43	70¢	$30	0xa7430a…
09-09 19:59:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	215	93¢	$200	0xd527dc…
09-09 19:58:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	215	68¢	$145	0x360534…
09-08 22:01:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0x49c36e…
09-08 22:00:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	125	16¢	$20	0xa82bb9…
09-08 21:51:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x449584…
09-08 21:51:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	114	22¢	$25	0x89d0b9…
09-08 21:49:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	SELL	83	96¢	$80	0x1b8709…
09-08 21:47:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	83	60¢	$50	0x5d74a0…
09-08 21:36:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	91	22¢	$20	0x655c0f…
09-08 21:33:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x5addb4…
09-08 21:32:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0x0762da…
09-08 21:30:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	SELL	217	88¢	$190	0xecc983…
09-08 21:28:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	70	21¢	$15	0xf2eb22…
09-08 21:27:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	71	21¢	$15	0x259547…
09-08 21:26:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	75	20¢	$15	0xe4fa2d…
09-08 21:24:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	SELL	53	93¢	$49	0x335e99…
09-08 21:22:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0xa7c014…
09-08 21:17:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	SELL	85	54¢	$46	0x640b1f…
09-08 21:16:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x3e8b0f…
09-08 21:15:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	47	32¢	$15	0x34ef72…
09-08 21:13:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x9dd644…
09-08 21:11:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	12	26¢	$3	0xd98299…
09-08 21:11:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0xf375ee…
08-30 16:54:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 16:50 UTC	Down	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0x20a2fd…
08-28 20:31:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 20:30 UTC	Up	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0xf679f1…
08-28 20:31:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 20:30 UTC	Up	BUY	133	15¢	$20	0xd5840a…
08-28 20:30:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 20:30 UTC	Up	BUY	183	30¢	$55	0x15e445…
08-28 20:28:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 20:25 UTC	Down	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x243b5d…
08-28 20:26:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 20:25 UTC	Down	BUY	65	31¢	$20	0x87c183…
08-28 20:24:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 20:20 UTC	Down	SELL	158	75¢	$119	0xaa2c9a…
08-28 20:22:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 20:20 UTC	Down	BUY	158	44¢	$70	0x523f94…
08-28 20:21:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 20:20 UTC	Up	SELL	165	33¢	$55	0x384fa3…
08-28 20:20:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 20:20 UTC	Up	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0x9bb6da…
08-28 20:20:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 20:20 UTC	Up	BUY	118	17¢	$20	0xe03b38…
08-28 20:17:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 20:15 UTC	Up	SELL	239	1¢	$2	0xe4b80d…
08-28 20:17:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 20:15 UTC	Up	SELL	69	4¢	$3	0x44de0a…
08-28 20:16:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 20:15 UTC	Up	BUY	308	13¢	$40	0x4b22b8…
08-28 20:13:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 20:10 UTC	Down	BUY	77	26¢	$20	0x644a03…
08-28 20:13:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 20:10 UTC	Down	SELL	212	31¢	$66	0xdb400a…
08-28 20:11:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 20:10 UTC	Down	BUY	83	24¢	$20	0x5ed6b8…
08-28 20:10:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 20:10 UTC	Down	BUY	128	27¢	$35	0xebaff8…
08-28 20:09:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 20:05 UTC	Down	BUY	107	28¢	$30	0x575cab…
08-28 20:08:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 20:05 UTC	Down	SELL	364	14¢	$52	0xddd77f…
08-28 20:07:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 20:05 UTC	Down	BUY	364	11¢	$40	0xebaaf1…
08-28 03:56:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 03:55 UTC	Up	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0xc7a121…
08-28 03:55:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 03:55 UTC	Up	BUY	86	29¢	$25	0xca4363…
08-28 03:55:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 03:55 UTC	Up	BUY	68	37¢	$25	0x19e300…
08-28 03:53:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 03:50 UTC	Up	SELL	36	92¢	$34	0xb0051d…
08-28 03:53:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 03:50 UTC	Up	BUY	36	41¢	$15	0x5d3763…
08-28 03:52:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 03:50 UTC	Down	SELL	102	48¢	$49	0x52a2e2…
08-28 03:50:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 03:50 UTC	Down	BUY	102	29¢	$30	0x0160d3…
08-28 03:49:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 03:45 UTC	Up	SELL	76	95¢	$73	0xfa903d…
08-28 03:48:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 03:45 UTC	Up	BUY	76	85¢	$65	0x0e2382…
08-27 20:18:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 20:15 UTC	Down	SELL	83	17¢	$14	0x6f5159…
08-27 20:17:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 20:15 UTC	Down	BUY	65	23¢	$15	0x797d1e…
08-27 20:17:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 20:15 UTC	Down	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xdcac2f…
08-27 20:16:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 20:15 UTC	Up	SELL	48	52¢	$25	0x6a7a72…
08-27 20:15:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 20:15 UTC	Up	BUY	48	41¢	$20	0x8e3226…
08-26 22:08:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 22:05 UTC	Up	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0xd60cf5…
08-26 03:18:18	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 03:15 UTC	Down	SELL	4	95¢	$3	0xd87df1…
08-26 03:17:01	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 03:15 UTC	Down	BUY	4	83¢	$3	0x1dcfe8…
08-24 04:02:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	67	3¢	$2	0xdb0d31…
08-24 04:02:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	SELL	6	94¢	$5	0x6226f0…
08-24 04:01:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x032dfc…
08-24 03:58:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	SELL	18	15¢	$3	0x38e1f5…
08-24 03:57:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xde43a5…
08-24 03:53:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x547b20…
08-24 03:52:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xd706cd…
08-24 03:52:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x745cd3…
08-23 21:27:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0xd12b2f…
08-23 21:26:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x719034…
08-23 21:26:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	28	35¢	$10	0x95e5e6…
08-23 21:26:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	24	63¢	$15	0x98ac94…
08-23 21:24:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	SELL	45	95¢	$42	0x4e0202…
08-23 21:22:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0xe5b35e…
08-23 21:16:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x3a3417…
08-23 21:16:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x90c962…
08-23 21:15:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	78	26¢	$20	0x88a103…
08-23 21:14:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	SELL	56	99¢	$55	0x3ea7bd…
08-23 21:14:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	SELL	55	87¢	$48	0xaf795c…
08-23 21:11:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0x9fecc8…
08-23 21:11:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	42	36¢	$15	0xac23e4…
08-23 21:10:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x3a5b73…
08-20 23:27:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 23:25 UTC	Down	SELL	151	2¢	$3	0x222800…
08-20 23:25:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 23:25 UTC	Down	BUY	151	23¢	$35	0x95ab45…
08-20 23:24:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 23:20 UTC	Down	BUY	875	17¢	$150	0x091883…
08-20 23:15:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 23:15 UTC	Down	BUY	152	33¢	$50	0xd4867c…
08-20 23:11:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 23:10 UTC	Down	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0x1c5c92…
08-20 23:10:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 23:10 UTC	Down	BUY	58	26¢	$15	0x1f8c94…
08-20 23:06:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 23:05 UTC	Down	BUY	231	13¢	$30	0xa43b4a…
08-20 22:57:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 22:55 UTC	Up	BUY	136	11¢	$15	0x4d32c0…
08-20 22:52:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 22:50 UTC	Down	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0x350086…
08-20 22:51:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 22:50 UTC	Down	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x645a2c…