Joyous-Blanket — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

72.7%

Resolved

Trades

265

lifetime

Volume

$1.69K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-18

last 05-15 18:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

63% — —

Crypto

17% 56% $-4

Politics

17% — —

Tech

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 43 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will crude oil cl hit low 65 by end of march 687 631 179 583 222 896 946 953 469 231 749	16	$248	128	128	+0	open	—	03-25 07:19
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	10	$153	80	80	+0	open	—	03-17 05:31
will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of march 644 777 281 682 546 253	8	$126	65	65	+0	open	—	03-24 08:36
will crude oil cl hit low 70 by end of march 122 549 218 531 991 459	9	$125	64	64	+0	open	—	03-24 15:08
will crude oil cl hit low 60 by end of march 293 652 791 525 614 229 628 379 727 681 774	9	$121	62	62	+0	open	—	03-15 14:21
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	3	$84	51	34	+17	open	—	01-29 13:44
odds trump acquires greenland before 2027 hit 30 by march 31 645	2	$58	35	35	+0	open	—	01-22 13:12
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	2	$53	46	46	+0	open	—	01-29 10:16
will trump visit china by march 31	2	$35	24	24	+0	open	—	02-26 13:25
fed rate cut by march 2026 meeting	2	$34	17	17	+0	open	—	03-07 02:47
us forces enter iran by march 7	3	$34	17	17	+0	open	—	03-07 01:18
will us or israel strike iran on march 7 2026	2	$34	17	17	+0	open	—	03-06 17:22
will iran strike israel on march 3	2	$34	17	17	+0	open	—	03-06 14:46
will bitcoin reach 80k february 23 march 1	2	$34	17	17	+0	open	—	02-26 23:33
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	4	$30	16	16	+0	open	—	03-09 11:39
will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	3	$30	15	15	+0	open	—	03-08 11:37
will crude oil cl hit low 55 by end of march 636 962 469 326 685 977 449 282 342 385 842	2	$30	15	15	+0	open	—	03-07 11:57
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	2	$29	15	15	+0	open	—	04-20 23:09
Zama FDV above $2B one day after launch?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	02-03 04:38
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	4	$20	23	23	+0	Up	+$4	05-10 14:23
btc updown 15m 1771730100	1	$18	18	0	+18	open	—	02-22 03:29
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	6	$17	12	12	+0	Up	+$1	05-13 13:54
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	1	$17	17	0	+17	open	—	02-26 23:35
highest temperature in chongqing on april 4 2026 22corbelow	1	$15	15	0	+15	open	—	04-03 12:35
highest temperature in wuhan on march 29 2026 18corbelow	1	$14	14	0	+14	open	—	03-28 14:35
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	8	$12	33	33	+0	Up	+$2	05-10 14:44
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	5	$10	16	10	+6	Down	$-2	05-10 14:14
highest temperature in wuhan on april 2 2026 17corbelow	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	04-01 09:00
highest temperature in beijing on march 28 2026 18c	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	03-27 14:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	4	$9	6	6	+0	open	—	05-15 18:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-15 18:54:02	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	SELL	3	8¢	$0	0xe6b5df…
05-15 18:53:29	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x8f665f…
05-15 18:43:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xc66ac1…
05-15 18:43:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	SELL	3	10¢	$0	0x547e29…
05-15 18:41:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xc198ba…
05-15 18:40:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xfbf631…
05-15 18:39:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x98123e…
05-15 18:39:20	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x498514…
05-15 18:37:30	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xf1aee2…
05-15 18:36:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	SELL	2	81¢	$1	0x81fc27…
05-15 18:36:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x808bbb…
05-15 18:33:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x3dec26…
05-15 18:32:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x2ba703…
05-15 18:31:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	SELL	3	77¢	$3	0x2bd93c…
05-15 18:30:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0xba93fa…
05-15 18:28:27	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xb4bd4d…
05-15 18:28:12	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xfae629…
05-15 18:27:52	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	64¢	$1	0x0fed18…
05-15 18:26:48	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x735c37…
05-15 18:26:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	70¢	$1	0x873481…
05-15 18:26:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xc4ee17…
05-15 18:22:09	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0x49d0c8…
05-15 18:21:24	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xe54298…
05-15 18:17:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	SELL	2	91¢	$1	0x0a8d3f…
05-15 18:16:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x12bf39…
05-15 18:13:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	SELL	3	85¢	$2	0x6f3146…
05-15 18:13:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x79938d…
05-15 18:12:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	SELL	3	85¢	$3	0x299e77…
05-15 18:12:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xcde804…
05-15 18:09:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xba2263…
05-15 18:08:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xeee718…
05-15 18:00:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x34cd55…
05-15 17:59:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	71¢	$1	0x2d3b0f…
05-15 17:58:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x95b17c…
05-15 17:57:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	SELL	6	30¢	$2	0x15f473…
05-15 17:57:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xb42524…
05-15 17:54:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x3f48b9…
05-15 17:53:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xeaa0a3…
05-13 14:34:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xac80e0…
05-13 14:33:08	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xd64967…
05-13 14:32:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x843d41…
05-13 14:32:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xfc51be…
05-13 14:29:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xf08fca…
05-13 14:28:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x274c61…
05-13 14:22:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x6c6add…
05-13 14:19:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xa81416…
05-13 14:19:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x812a8c…
05-13 14:14:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x388535…
05-13 14:11:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	SELL	4	33¢	$1	0x4085c0…
05-13 14:11:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x7d5a19…
05-13 14:08:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	SELL	4	41¢	$2	0x503fb3…
05-13 14:06:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x997503…
05-13 14:04:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x20a82a…
05-13 13:57:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	6¢	$0	0xe23e57…
05-13 13:55:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x2c0c7b…
05-13 13:54:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	SELL	6	91¢	$5	0xaf66e8…
05-13 13:54:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x8f460b…
05-13 13:54:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	SELL	3	76¢	$3	0xef8821…
05-13 13:53:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0xc153af…
05-13 13:52:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	SELL	3	42¢	$1	0x992c57…
05-13 13:52:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x800ce3…
05-13 13:51:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	SELL	2	70¢	$1	0x93c97f…
05-13 13:51:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x6fc588…
05-13 13:46:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x202830…
05-13 13:43:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	SELL	3	71¢	$2	0x415adf…
05-13 13:40:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x7a8d63…
05-13 13:36:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x492c4a…
05-13 13:36:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x3188a0…
05-13 13:34:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x7f2895…
05-13 13:34:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x4e07b0…
05-13 13:34:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x9ee5ee…
05-13 13:32:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	SELL	5	58¢	$3	0x1ac801…
05-13 13:32:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x1bbede…
05-13 13:25:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x6bc930…
05-13 13:23:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x364477…
05-13 13:22:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	SELL	9	46¢	$4	0x267a6d…
05-13 13:21:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x4abdc1…
05-13 13:19:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	SELL	3	75¢	$2	0xf6ffce…
05-13 13:17:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x2eb6b6…
05-13 13:16:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	SELL	3	54¢	$1	0x511324…
05-13 13:16:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x65e105…
05-10 14:52:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	8¢	$1	0xd6bfd9…
05-10 14:51:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xdde075…
05-10 14:47:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	SELL	2	78¢	$2	0x878952…
05-10 14:46:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x60956e…
05-10 14:44:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	SELL	4	36¢	$2	0x6cd8e9…
05-10 14:44:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x530a40…
05-10 14:44:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	SELL	8	22¢	$2	0x2bcf32…
05-10 14:42:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xbd55b0…
05-10 14:41:29	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	SELL	21	16¢	$3	0x3b6a15…
05-10 14:41:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x7517a4…
05-10 14:40:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x9110d1…
05-10 14:40:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x95f78b…
05-10 14:38:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xe2a7f5…
05-10 14:36:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x82f072…
05-10 14:35:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x7244f7…
05-10 14:35:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xf7df5e…
05-10 14:32:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	SELL	5	78¢	$4	0x455f48…
05-10 14:31:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x691b24…
05-10 14:30:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xaee117…