Witty-Deviance — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.65K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.2%

Resolved

Trades

314

lifetime

Volume

$8.97K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$29

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-31

last 07-15 14:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Politics

70% 100% +$1,650

Crypto

23% 42% $-3

Other

7% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 40 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	2	$1.8K	1,746	1,746	+0	Yes	+$1,650	05-09 05:47
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	3	$1.7K	1,606	1,606	+0	open	—	04-08 02:12
jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 10	3	$1.1K	807	588	+218	open	—	04-10 16:12
us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	2	$634	377	377	+0	open	—	04-10 15:34
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	2	$574	803	803	+0	open	—	04-09 20:06
btc updown 5m 1775639400	2	$392	307	292	+15	open	—	04-08 09:16
James Comey arrested by April 30?	2	$292	295	295	+0	open	—	04-29 14:34
btc updown 5m 1774947000	2	$133	86	84	+3	open	—	03-31 08:55
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?	1	$100	629	0	+629	open	—	05-28 14:32
btc updown 5m 1775047500	2	$100	1,702	0	+1,702	open	—	04-01 12:47
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?	1	$100	1,195	0	+1,195	open	—	05-26 04:47
jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 11 335	2	$98	533	0	+533	open	—	04-11 13:10
btc updown 5m 1775033700	2	$95	78	74	+4	open	—	04-01 08:59
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	2	$93	83	83	+0	open	—	04-23 04:35
btc updown 5m 1775049900	1	$80	381	0	+381	open	—	04-01 13:26
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?	1	$60	1,562	0	+1,562	open	—	04-20 05:01
Kash Patel out by April 30?	1	$60	472	0	+472	open	—	04-23 05:49
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	2	$54	833	833	+0	open	—	06-07 04:21
btc updown 5m 1774950000	1	$50	5,000	0	+5,000	open	—	03-31 09:45
btc updown 5m 1775046600	1	$50	82	0	+82	open	—	04-01 12:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	2	$50	83	0	+83	open	—	06-01 15:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	6	$49	44	44	+0	open	—	06-01 05:25
btc updown 5m 1776019200	2	$48	33	32	+1	open	—	04-12 18:44
James Comey arrested by May 15?	2	$46	321	321	+0	open	—	04-29 15:28
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	4	$46	1,024	1,024	+0	open	—	04-13 07:53
btc updown 5m 1775031000	2	$43	34	33	+2	open	—	04-01 08:16
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	2	$40	1,034	1,034	+0	open	—	04-13 07:53
btc updown 5m 1775835600	2	$38	95	88	+7	open	—	04-10 15:44
btc updown 5m 1774946100	2	$37	29	27	+1	open	—	03-31 08:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	11	$35	80	0	+80	open	—	06-03 10:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-15 14:45:22	btc updown 5m 1784126700	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xb7ac46…
07-15 14:14:49	btc updown 5m 1784124600	Down	BUY	23	4¢	$1	0x265f3f…
07-15 14:09:17	btc updown 5m 1784124300	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x63734b…
06-07 04:21:18	btc updown 5m 1780806000	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xa528e4…
06-07 04:21:18	btc updown 5m 1780806000	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x9555d3…
06-07 04:21:16	btc updown 5m 1780806000	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x2b53fb…
06-07 04:21:00	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	Yes	SELL	833	0¢	$4	0xc42b6f…
06-05 10:23:52	btc updown 5m 1780654800	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x6671ff…
06-05 10:20:27	btc updown 5m 1780654800	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x93c61e…
06-03 16:56:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x147694…
06-03 16:56:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x1c11d7…
06-03 15:51:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x59e82f…
06-03 13:43:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xe8c239…
06-03 13:43:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xb5f600…
06-03 13:43:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x342037…
06-03 13:43:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xf74f3e…
06-03 13:43:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xb35eda…
06-03 13:43:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x5ac847…
06-03 13:43:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x538dca…
06-03 13:43:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x0856d5…
06-03 13:43:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x2d218c…
06-03 13:43:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x0d1dd8…
06-03 10:40:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xf11c49…
06-03 10:40:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x857756…
06-03 10:40:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x398553…
06-03 10:40:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xba0b90…
06-03 10:40:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xaa497c…
06-03 10:40:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x72ca7a…
06-03 10:40:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x140e3b…
06-03 10:40:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x57ab3f…
06-03 10:40:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xc5864b…
06-03 10:40:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x2a0de9…
06-03 10:40:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	57	44¢	$25	0x1c346f…
06-03 05:20:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	52	48¢	$25	0xab151d…
06-03 04:45:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x558e7f…
06-02 16:49:43	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	833	6¢	$50	0x3e1715…
06-02 11:55:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x3e145d…
06-02 11:55:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xf4d37a…
06-02 11:55:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x8d68e8…
06-02 11:55:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x83dab4…
06-02 04:22:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xac9b21…
06-02 04:22:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xbaf686…
06-02 04:22:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x8c3580…
06-02 04:22:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	15	6¢	$1	0x683b45…
06-02 04:22:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x745c78…
06-02 04:10:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xc9ed21…
06-02 04:10:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xced583…
06-02 04:10:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x11392a…
06-02 04:10:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xf78689…
06-02 04:10:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xa17e3e…
06-02 04:10:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xee8a70…
06-02 04:10:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xc8bde6…
06-02 04:10:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x744456…
06-02 02:36:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xc63d56…
06-02 02:36:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x92607a…
06-02 02:36:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xaba6f6…
06-02 02:01:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xeba5a1…
06-02 02:01:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x549171…
06-02 02:01:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xe2720a…
06-02 02:01:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x2864ba…
06-02 02:01:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xb38506…
06-01 18:10:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x581f8b…
06-01 18:10:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x6b4696…
06-01 17:17:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x6ffbe8…
06-01 17:17:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x0e91f8…
06-01 17:17:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x6616c6…
06-01 17:17:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x2a09c4…
06-01 17:17:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x1f5c41…
06-01 17:17:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xf06006…
06-01 17:17:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xb8bccf…
06-01 17:17:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x955fa6…
06-01 17:17:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x265288…
06-01 17:16:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x411c92…
06-01 17:06:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x2be19a…
06-01 17:06:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xbdb60c…
06-01 17:06:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x91ec91…
06-01 17:06:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x5e0964…
06-01 17:06:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x2b7abe…
06-01 16:51:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xd67607…
06-01 16:51:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xc02842…
06-01 16:51:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x0cfd66…
06-01 16:51:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xcdfec6…
06-01 16:51:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x8db365…
06-01 16:51:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x81a434…
06-01 16:51:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x122a02…
06-01 16:51:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x0fcbec…
06-01 15:55:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	42	60¢	$25	0x903bf0…
06-01 15:55:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	42	60¢	$25	0x3e0c87…
06-01 08:01:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xc4c4d1…
06-01 08:01:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xab2de4…
06-01 08:01:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x9c751f…
06-01 08:01:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xf5a8a0…
06-01 08:01:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xe31c9f…
06-01 08:01:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x9699bf…
06-01 08:01:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x246d5a…
06-01 05:25:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	SELL	44	99¢	$44	0x7ae5a7…
06-01 05:21:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x7cc0e0…
06-01 05:21:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xdd259d…
06-01 05:21:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xc65b97…
06-01 05:21:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x2c2580…