Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$159

Unrealized P&L

+$4

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$5.29K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$100

Open exposure

$263

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 07-01 04:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

52% 0% $-159

Other

41% — —

Crypto

7% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?	No	-162	$-143	92¢	$-148	$-5	05-28 06:01
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	-73	$-62	94¢	$-68	$-5	06-10 17:58
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	+73	$32	64¢	$47	+$15	05-28 23:50

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x venezuela military engagement by december 31 391 819 722 945 174 285 817 971 353 859 836 598 255 382 192 983	1	$1.3K	0	1,264	-1,264	open	—	01-04 09:23
will crude oil cl hit high 75 by end of march 216 621 736 725 922 826 757	2	$616	357	357	+0	open	—	03-01 18:10
ukraine election called by december 31 2026	1	$500	589	0	+589	open	—	06-25 07:01
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	2	$480	691	10	+681	open	—	04-30 07:56
us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	2	$371	229	229	+0	open	—	02-07 14:13
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?	2	$362	214	214	+0	open	—	01-24 18:52
will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	2	$350	393	0	+393	open	—	07-01 04:53
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	2	$201	251	0	+251	open	—	06-14 07:18
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?	1	$143	0	162	-162	open	—	05-28 06:01
us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	1	$119	151	0	+151	open	—	01-15 17:19
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	1	$99	138	0	+138	Yes	$-99	05-08 05:22
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	1	$62	0	73	-73	open	—	06-10 17:58
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 31 483 852 436 833 347 948	1	$60	80	0	+80	open	—	03-01 07:20
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	1	$54	104	0	+104	open	—	03-03 02:34
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	1	$50	100	0	+100	open	—	06-14 07:18
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	1	$50	76	0	+76	open	—	01-15 17:20
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	1	$50	108	0	+108	Yes	$-50	05-08 05:36
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	1	$49	0	49	-49	open	—	06-10 17:59
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	1	$47	115	0	+115	open	—	04-29 05:08
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 6 419 412 158 246 866 876 465	2	$46	51	40	+11	open	—	03-04 01:21
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	1	$32	73	0	+73	open	—	05-28 23:50
maduro mugshot released by monday	1	$32	104	0	+104	open	—	01-04 09:36
ukraine strikes another tanker in black sea by january 15 2026	1	$30	70	0	+70	open	—	01-10 03:12
will crude oil cl hit low 65 by end of march 687 631 179 583 222 896 946 953 469 231 749	1	$30	51	0	+51	open	—	03-01 07:38
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	1	$28	0	75	-75	open	—	05-28 05:55
ukraine strikes another tanker in black sea by january 31 2026	1	$20	106	0	+106	open	—	01-10 03:13
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	1	$20	31	0	+31	open	—	03-23 00:32
will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	2	$20	58	0	+58	open	—	03-02 03:45
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	2	$16	100	100	+0	open	—	04-04 22:42
will crude oil cl hit high 90 by end of march 124 949 438 563 647 712 323	1	$15	41	0	+41	open	—	03-01 19:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-01 04:53:07	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	No	BUY	115	87¢	$100	0xed6023…
06-25 07:01:47	ukraine election called by december 31 2026	No	BUY	589	85¢	$500	0x06dd80…
06-25 06:56:52	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	No	BUY	278	90¢	$250	0xb18634…
06-14 07:18:42	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x3ed990…
06-14 07:18:21	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	132	76¢	$101	0xe062d9…
06-12 22:09:13	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	120	84¢	$100	0x413d7f…
06-10 17:59:27	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	No	SELL	49	99¢	$49	0x78ea1a…
06-10 17:58:49	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	SELL	73	86¢	$62	0xe87cac…
05-28 23:50:43	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	BUY	73	44¢	$32	0x514b44…
05-28 06:01:47	Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	162	88¢	$143	0x523931…
05-28 05:55:48	Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	75	37¢	$28	0x8c2946…
05-24 03:35:16	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through December 31?	No	BUY	31	35¢	$11	0xa12044…
05-23 17:58:40	Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	Rico	BUY	125	8¢	$10	0xd59c82…
05-08 05:40:48	Will Putin visit China by May 31?	No	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xf140e6…
05-08 05:38:21	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	No	BUY	23	4¢	$1	0x0c06ab…
05-08 05:36:45	Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	No	BUY	108	46¢	$50	0x8a937a…
05-08 05:24:07	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2027?	No	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x4175de…
05-08 05:22:40	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	BUY	138	72¢	$99	0xc4d7f3…
04-30 07:56:58	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x437077…
04-29 05:08:24	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	No	BUY	115	41¢	$47	0xd77011…
04-09 03:17:33	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	22	44¢	$10	0x1136e0…
04-07 02:01:15	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	No	BUY	691	68¢	$470	0xa702f3…
04-04 22:42:15	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	SELL	100	4¢	$4	0xf4f484…
03-23 00:32:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	31	65¢	$20	0x914a2c…
03-23 00:28:13	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	BUY	100	12¢	$12	0xd628e0…
03-04 01:21:47	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 6 419 412 158 246 866 876 465	Yes	SELL	40	64¢	$26	0xb4f61a…
03-03 02:34:35	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	104	52¢	$54	0xe1c34c…
03-02 03:45:09	will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	Yes	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x793a96…
03-02 03:43:47	will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	Yes	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x40c3f2…
03-01 19:59:51	will crude oil cl hit high 90 by end of march 124 949 438 563 647 712 323	No	BUY	41	37¢	$15	0xe11f7b…
03-01 18:10:21	will crude oil cl hit high 75 by end of march 216 621 736 725 922 826 757	Yes	SELL	357	95¢	$339	0xfb7b0e…
03-01 07:38:21	will crude oil cl hit low 65 by end of march 687 631 179 583 222 896 946 953 469 231 749	Yes	BUY	51	59¢	$30	0x1c6acc…
03-01 07:23:43	will crude oil cl hit high 75 by end of march 216 621 736 725 922 826 757	Yes	BUY	357	78¢	$277	0x483d71…
03-01 07:20:09	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 31 483 852 436 833 347 948	Yes	BUY	80	75¢	$60	0x96f1ca…
03-01 07:19:29	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 6 419 412 158 246 866 876 465	Yes	BUY	51	39¢	$20	0x8076f3…
03-01 07:05:33	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	SELL	333	0¢	$1	0x2c78d0…
02-28 23:16:31	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	BUY	333	3¢	$9	0xc69120…
02-07 14:13:31	us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	No	SELL	229	93¢	$213	0xfb1477…
02-05 23:39:25	will nvidia be the second largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x4e2080…
02-05 23:39:05	will alphabet be the second largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	Yes	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x9c128f…
01-28 05:34:07	us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	No	BUY	229	69¢	$158	0x9e6fb3…
01-24 19:16:42	will trumps greenland tariffs go into effect for denmark by feburary 1	Yes	BUY	118	2¢	$2	0x206f68…
01-24 18:52:28	First to 5k: Gold or ETH?	Gold	SELL	214	99¢	$212	0x046c52…
01-21 04:51:30	will andr ventura win the 2026 portugal presidential election	Yes	BUY	115	3¢	$4	0x920827…
01-15 17:20:42	us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	No	BUY	76	66¢	$50	0xa80b7f…
01-15 17:19:54	us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	No	BUY	151	79¢	$119	0x80e5be…
01-10 04:05:58	First to 5k: Gold or ETH?	Gold	BUY	214	70¢	$150	0x4d3745…
01-10 03:30:32	bitcoin up or down on january 10	Up	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x1f5426…
01-10 03:13:20	ukraine strikes another tanker in black sea by january 31 2026	No	BUY	106	19¢	$20	0x972c78…
01-10 03:12:40	ukraine strikes another tanker in black sea by january 15 2026	No	BUY	70	43¢	$30	0xf0a23c…
01-04 09:36:57	maduro mugshot released by monday	Yes	BUY	104	31¢	$32	0x315595…
01-04 09:25:03	maduro in us custody by january 31	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$2	0x44d791…
01-04 09:23:25	us x venezuela military engagement by december 31 391 819 722 945 174 285 817 971 353 859 836 598 255 382 192 983	No	SELL	1,264	100¢	$1,263	0xee0723…