Twin-Brotherinlaw — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$21

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

32.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$157

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-10

last 05-13 21:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 30% $-33

Politics

2% — —

Sports

2% 100% +$12

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 47 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	4	$23	21	21	+0	Up	$-3	05-11 07:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	2	$19	29	29	+0	Up	+$15	05-11 07:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	1	$14	720	0	+720	Up	$-14	05-10 09:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	4	$12	20	3	+17	Down	$-10	05-11 07:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	6	$7	14	14	+0	Down	$-1	05-13 20:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	2	$7	8	8	+0	Down	+$1	05-11 06:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	4	$6	9	9	+0	Up	+$2	05-11 06:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	6	$6	17	17	+0	Up	$-0	05-11 06:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	1	$5	500	0	+500	Down	$-5	05-11 06:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	1	$5	250	0	+250	Down	$-5	05-11 06:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	5	$4	61	27	+33	Down	$-2	05-11 07:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	4	$4	12	12	+0	Down	+$0	05-13 21:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	2	$4	113	0	+113	Up	$-4	05-10 06:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	3	$4	30	5	+25	Down	$-0	05-11 06:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	4	$4	6	5	+1	Down	$-2	05-11 07:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	05-13 20:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	4	$3	29	29	+0	Up	$-1	05-13 21:54
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	1	$3	15	0	+15	Sean Strickland	+$12	05-10 02:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	3	$3	102	2	+100	Down	$-1	05-11 07:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	Up	+$1	05-13 20:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	2	$2	3	3	+0	Up	+$0	05-13 20:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	Down	+$0	05-13 21:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	2	$1	7	7	+0	Down	$-1	05-11 06:44
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	1	$1	125	0	+125	open	—	05-11 06:40
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on May 14?	1	$1	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	05-13 19:24
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 11?	1	$1	1,000	0	+1,000	Yes	$-1	05-11 07:05
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	1	$1	167	0	+167	open	—	05-11 06:40
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 14?	1	$1	200	0	+200	open	—	05-13 19:23
Will Trump visit China by June 30?	1	$1	200	0	+200	open	—	05-11 06:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	1	$1	33	0	+33	Down	$-1	05-11 06:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-13 21:56:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x90ead9…
05-13 21:54:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	SELL	25	3¢	$1	0x2d6a3d…
05-13 21:54:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xdee21f…
05-13 21:53:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	SELL	4	20¢	$1	0xd8995b…
05-13 21:50:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x63b3cc…
05-13 21:49:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	SELL	10	18¢	$2	0x334d94…
05-13 21:49:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xd95824…
05-13 21:47:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	SELL	2	37¢	$1	0x6a2558…
05-13 21:45:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x9b7ae3…
05-13 21:42:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	58¢	$1	0x67391c…
05-13 21:40:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x6bbf7b…
05-13 20:49:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	SELL	7	19¢	$1	0x08c187…
05-13 20:48:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x427576…
05-13 20:47:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	SELL	4	27¢	$1	0xd5e55b…
05-13 20:46:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x03497d…
05-13 20:46:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	SELL	3	34¢	$1	0xdb700c…
05-13 20:45:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x9828df…
05-13 20:41:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x390d3f…
05-13 20:39:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	SELL	3	46¢	$1	0x823d79…
05-13 20:38:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xd121f0…
05-13 20:14:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	SELL	3	91¢	$3	0x5b8c3c…
05-13 20:10:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x16816e…
05-13 20:09:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x2ac337…
05-13 20:07:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x61d1d1…
05-13 19:24:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	22	4¢	$1	0xd25ca7…
05-13 19:24:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x2c35a5…
05-13 19:23:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x60cdad…
05-11 07:27:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	16	58¢	$9	0x7f119f…
05-11 07:27:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	SELL	3	34¢	$1	0xcdbb58…
05-11 07:27:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xe57a9f…
05-11 07:25:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x76c85d…
05-11 07:24:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xc89e79…
05-11 07:23:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	SELL	25	2¢	$0	0x196290…
05-11 07:22:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xa7774d…
05-11 07:21:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	SELL	2	42¢	$1	0x05dab6…
05-11 07:20:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xa10e12…
05-11 07:19:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	SELL	20	45¢	$9	0xeb08c5…
05-11 07:17:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0x7cbd4e…
05-11 07:17:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0x2558e7…
05-11 07:15:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x3a8080…
05-11 07:14:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x82c714…
05-11 07:12:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	SELL	5	16¢	$1	0x47602e…
05-11 07:11:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xc15a77…
05-11 07:10:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xbc5f4e…
05-11 07:09:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	SELL	29	60¢	$17	0xbf771b…
05-11 07:09:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0xaea39a…
05-11 07:05:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 11?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x88e827…
05-11 07:02:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x2af2aa…
05-11 07:00:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x29e338…
05-11 06:57:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	36¢	$1	0xecf62b…
05-11 06:55:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x8e87fd…
05-11 06:54:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	SELL	14	4¢	$1	0x45ccfd…
05-11 06:54:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xdf2300…
05-11 06:53:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x7355cf…
05-11 06:53:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xac9515…
05-11 06:52:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	SELL	2	72¢	$1	0xa606ab…
05-11 06:51:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xbe8764…
05-11 06:48:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xfc1a02…
05-11 06:44:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	SELL	7	2¢	$0	0x3a404a…
05-11 06:41:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x92902b…
05-11 06:41:06	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	No	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0xab23b3…
05-11 06:40:24	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	No	BUY	167	1¢	$1	0xe08b78…
05-11 06:40:13	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0x11bbdf…
05-11 06:37:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	SELL	8	45¢	$4	0xbdba28…
05-11 06:36:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0xc905da…
05-11 06:34:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xdf0f60…
05-11 06:33:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	SELL	5	38¢	$2	0x2f6037…
05-11 06:33:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x769d17…
05-11 06:29:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x2f246c…
05-11 06:28:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x50ff02…
05-11 06:26:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	SELL	6	29¢	$2	0x4dcd3d…
05-11 06:26:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x42fcea…
05-11 06:19:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0xb9910a…
05-11 06:15:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x721184…
05-10 09:03:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	720	2¢	$14	0x58357b…
05-10 06:09:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x02b195…
05-10 06:08:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	13	16¢	$2	0x534e91…
05-10 02:25:54	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Sean Strickland	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0xeb7e57…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Thrifty-Reamer 0xad64…9e67	29	$592	253	05-13 21:55
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	28	$29.2K	1,128	05-14 15:55
Mixed-Journal 0x2fe7…42c1	28	$699	175	05-13 21:56
(anonymous) 0xf8e3…fd17	26	$34.0K	3,357	05-13 21:56
Little-Fraction 0xcfb1…f694	26	$22.5K	355	05-13 21:56
Svelte-Chicory 0x9412…0cd0	26	$20.0K	1,760	05-13 21:56
(anonymous) 0x76d4…c512	26	$12.0K	1,818	05-13 21:57
Ambitious-Membership 0xc387…e4f4	26	$10.0K	799	05-13 21:56