Defensive-Stimulus — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.36K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

86.0%

Resolved

Trades

375

lifetime

Volume

$23.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$62

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 10-25 15:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 41 days

Categories

Other

52% 56% +$211

Sports

43% 64% +$1,145

Crypto

4% 67% +$1

Politics

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
nba phx cha 2026 04 02	4	$1.9K	1,140	1,140	+0	Hornets	+$387	04-03 02:17
arg slo est 2026 04 03 est	5	$1.9K	930	930	+0	No	+$5	04-04 00:24
nba lal okc 2026 04 02	6	$1.7K	1,000	1,000	+0	Thunder	+$249	04-03 05:32
nba min det 2026 04 02	3	$1.4K	900	900	+0	Pistons	+$359	04-03 02:17
cbb uconn ill 2026 04 04 spread home 1pt5	15	$1.1K	1,061	1,061	+0	Connecticut Huskies	+$1	04-04 06:19
spx opens up or down on april 6 2026	12	$980	1,000	1,000	+0	Up	+$10	04-05 20:34
lal ovi bet 2026 01 10 ovi	4	$957	1,058	0	+1,058	No	+$101	01-10 14:52
nba ind cha 2026 04 03	2	$953	500	499	+1	Hornets	+$45	04-04 01:08
nba nop sac 2026 04 03	4	$809	600	600	+0	Kings	+$389	04-04 06:18
nba min phi 2026 04 03	2	$780	500	500	+0	76ers	+$220	04-04 02:26
aus ccm per 2026 04 04 spread home 1pt5	6	$613	310	310	+0	Perth Glory FC	+$6	04-04 08:29
mex pue jua 2026 04 03 spread away 1pt5	4	$595	300	300	+0	Club Puebla	+$5	04-04 03:01
nba orl dal 2026 04 03	6	$577	800	200	+600	Magic	-$178	04-04 02:42
nba mil lal 2026 01 09	4	$507	1,000	0	+1,000	Bucks	-$7	01-10 04:50
mex pue jua 2026 04 03 jua	13	$483	360	175	+185	No	+$9	04-04 03:00
sea lec ata 2026 04 04 ata	6	$435	221	221	+0	Yes	+$6	04-06 14:33
nhl phi nyi 2026 04 03 spread home 1pt5	5	$417	211	211	+0	Flyers	+$6	04-04 02:26
kor jej bch 2026 04 04 bch	5	$408	205	205	+0	No	+$2	04-04 06:59
por gil avs 2026 04 03 gil	3	$398	200	200	+0	Yes	+$2	04-03 16:23
mex tij tig 2026 04 03 spread home 2pt5	7	$392	200	200	+0	Tigres de la UANL	+$7	04-04 05:06
nba nyk phx 2026 01 09	3	$303	630	0	+630	Suns	+$27	01-10 04:12
lal vil ala 2026 01 10 vil	7	$272	280	0	+280	Yes	+$8	01-10 16:42
nor vif vik 2026 04 06 vik	6	$268	136	136	+0	Yes	+$3	04-06 14:37
nba hou mem 2026 03 27	2	$214	114	114	+0	Rockets	+$14	03-28 02:42
Will Al Fayha Saudi Club win on 2026-05-04?	3	$209	107	107	+0	Yes	+$5	05-04 18:24
chi ron qin 2026 04 03 qin	7	$202	214	0	+214	No	+$12	04-03 12:40
epl ars liv 2026 01 08 ars	1	$200	526	0	+526	No	+$326	01-08 17:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	26	$199	200	200	+0	Down	+$1	05-26 13:49
spx opens up or down on april 9 2026	6	$197	200	200	+0	Up	+$3	04-09 06:29
mex nec maz 2026 04 03 spread away 1pt5	2	$197	100	100	+0	Club Necaxa	+$3	04-04 06:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 15:47:23	Exact Score: Hull City AFC 5 - 1 Brentford FC?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3e8669…
10-25 15:46:56	Exact Score: Hull City AFC 5 - 1 Brentford FC?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x624ee4…
10-25 15:46:06	Exact Score: Hull City AFC 5 - 1 Brentford FC?	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x0c7cf8…
10-25 15:36:35	Exact Score: Any Other Score?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xeeea6f…
10-25 15:34:50	Exact Score: Liverpool FC 5 - 5 Brighton & Hove Albion FC?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf93918…
10-25 03:56:53	Warriors vs. Suns: O/U 199.5	Over	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x1c9384…
10-25 03:55:33	Warriors vs. Suns: O/U 197.5	Over	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xe90763…
10-24 17:36:15	LoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Anyone's Legend	BUY	85	47¢	$40	0x1fefcd…
09-13 16:57:22	Will Le Mans FC win on 2026-09-13?	No	BUY	40	88¢	$35	0x77a988…
08-23 14:23:24	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-08-23?	No	BUY	50	77¢	$38	0xaad375…
07-03 15:15:44	Australia vs. Egypt: Draw at halftime?	No	BUY	100	51¢	$51	0x242fa3…
06-29 16:26:58	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 btts	No	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0xc6c1f9…
06-18 17:36:23	fifwc cze rsa 2026 06 18 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x6edacd…
06-18 17:36:22	fifwc cze rsa 2026 06 18 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0xdfdfcd…
06-18 16:54:19	will xauusd dip to 4000 in june 2026	No	SELL	100	74¢	$74	0x1dfa18…
06-18 16:36:53	will xauusd dip to 4000 in june 2026	No	BUY	100	84¢	$84	0x410d64…
06-18 16:02:41	will spy dip to 710 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	100	11¢	$11	0x4a6203…
06-18 15:53:52	will spy dip to 710 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	100	12¢	$12	0xc120f3…
06-18 15:32:17	will spy reach 760 by june 15 2026	Yes	SELL	100	4¢	$4	0x0d5f49…
06-18 14:02:38	will spy reach 760 by june 15 2026	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xce3423…
05-26 13:54:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	17	49¢	$9	0x0b515e…
05-26 13:54:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	6	49¢	$3	0xfde138…
05-26 13:53:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	44	50¢	$22	0xdec8b7…
05-26 13:53:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	20	51¢	$10	0x7a7a1b…
05-26 13:53:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	8	51¢	$4	0x2a5b1b…
05-26 13:51:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	48¢	$3	0x956ec5…
05-26 13:51:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x329b8f…
05-26 13:51:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	48¢	$1	0xd747cc…
05-26 13:51:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	48¢	$2	0x2739da…
05-26 13:51:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x14ee65…
05-26 13:50:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x09f932…
05-26 13:50:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x441f9d…
05-26 13:50:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xb7eaeb…
05-26 13:50:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xa095b6…
05-26 13:50:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x5cc108…
05-26 13:50:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x2aa5ae…
05-26 13:50:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xf2ce30…
05-26 13:50:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xc6f2a7…
05-26 13:50:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xc2acb7…
05-26 13:50:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x8fde68…
05-26 13:50:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x7aef95…
05-26 13:50:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x543704…
05-26 13:50:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x2769bf…
05-26 13:50:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x143681…
05-26 13:50:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x47cbdb…
05-26 13:50:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x3fc458…
05-26 13:50:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	100	51¢	$51	0x1a6019…
05-26 13:49:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	SELL	41	53¢	$22	0x09e5b0…
05-26 13:49:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	SELL	9	53¢	$5	0x0ac474…
05-26 13:49:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	SELL	50	47¢	$24	0x3e9eab…
05-26 13:48:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	SELL	37	52¢	$19	0xc34771…
05-26 13:48:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	SELL	13	52¢	$7	0x175cec…
05-26 13:48:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	SELL	50	49¢	$24	0x817ee3…
05-26 13:47:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x023752…
05-26 13:45:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	0	49¢	$0	0x7fcd69…
05-26 13:45:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xd150c0…
05-26 13:45:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xcb6d23…
05-26 13:45:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xb8e99f…
05-26 13:45:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xa967a5…
05-26 13:45:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x96d3eb…
05-26 13:45:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x5bd8cf…
05-26 13:45:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x2ec15c…
05-26 13:45:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x186781…
05-26 13:45:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xfa7735…
05-26 13:45:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xe18175…
05-26 13:45:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x7300b6…
05-26 13:45:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x640752…
05-26 13:45:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x5442b0…
05-26 13:45:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x3a8ba2…
05-26 13:45:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x0953fa…
05-26 13:45:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x2780b4…
05-26 13:45:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x530396…
05-26 13:45:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	15	49¢	$7	0xc74fd2…
05-26 13:44:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	SELL	32	51¢	$16	0xc5c01c…
05-26 13:44:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	SELL	18	51¢	$9	0xd98846…
05-26 13:44:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0xb69064…
05-26 13:44:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	SELL	20	51¢	$10	0x87e7d1…
05-26 13:44:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	SELL	3	51¢	$1	0xb594de…
05-26 13:44:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	SELL	11	51¢	$6	0xf4e54b…
05-26 13:44:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	SELL	6	51¢	$3	0xb8ee7a…
05-26 13:44:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	SELL	9	51¢	$4	0x78e8db…
05-26 13:42:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	100	51¢	$51	0xa7a143…
05-26 08:59:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	65	49¢	$32	0x0e1bc7…
05-26 08:59:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	60	50¢	$30	0x3329ec…
05-19 09:20:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	45¢	$0	0x5f6152…
05-19 09:20:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x44c27b…
05-19 09:20:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x0b057e…
05-19 09:20:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	12	45¢	$6	0x057b7d…
05-19 09:19:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0xf2b60b…
05-19 09:19:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	12	53¢	$6	0x93b459…
05-19 09:19:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	0	53¢	$0	0xfd76a3…
05-19 09:19:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x8a6ec9…
05-19 09:19:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x35f339…
05-19 09:19:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	23	53¢	$12	0x71ff22…
05-19 09:19:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	30	47¢	$14	0x9b8334…
05-19 09:15:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xf8538c…
05-19 09:15:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0xc4298b…
05-19 09:14:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0x50a45b…
05-19 09:14:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x1776f6…
05-19 09:13:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x980020…