Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$72

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

4.8%

Resolved

Trades

168

lifetime

Volume

$1.16K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-07-05

last 09-02 15:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 25 days

Categories

Other

55% 8% -$67

Politics

35% 0% -$13

Crypto

8% 26% +$18

Tech

1% 0% -$10

Sports

1% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 47 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	7	$172	150	149	+1	Yes	-$3	07-21 15:25
iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	14	$134	135	134	+1	No	-$1	07-23 19:11
Thermo Fisher (TMO) Q2 organic revenue growth (non-GAAP) 2%-4%?	9	$101	102	101	+1	No	-$4	07-11 10:27
will stripes valuation hit high 175 by july 31 20260629184728770	2	$77	50	50	+0	Yes	+$0	07-14 14:47
Coca-Cola (KO) Q2 organic revenue (non-GAAP) growth 3.5%-5%?	12	$60	103	102	+1	No	-$14	07-12 08:41
will lambdas valuation hit high 9b by december 31	2	$59	50	50	+0	Yes	-$1	07-14 21:52
will johnson johnson jnj q2 innovation medicine revenue be above 16pt35b 20260618022527836	3	$48	40	40	+0	Yes	-$3	07-10 13:14
Danaher (DHR) Q2 non-GAAP core revenue growth <0%?	4	$40	40	40	+0	No	-$2	07-10 10:34
iran full airspace closure by july 24	6	$37	60	60	+0	No	$0	07-20 19:06
cat quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 04 2026 6pt2	2	$33	20	20	+0	Yes	-$1	07-23 11:07
will cxmts closing ipo market cap be at least 3t yuan 20260723150635976	2	$21	20	20	+0	Yes	+$0	07-23 22:38
will altria mo q2 total domestic cigarettes shipment volume sticks in millions be above 15m 20260718021248121	2	$18	20	20	+0	Yes	-$9	07-19 15:43
will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 24 20260718000915874	2	$17	50	50	+0	No	+$0	07-21 10:12
Will Ed Case be the HI-01 Democratic nominee?	2	$16	20	20	+0	Yes	-$3	07-18 08:41
will apple aapl q3 mac revenue be above 8pt5b 20260717034907913	2	$16	20	20	+0	Yes	-$6	07-18 09:08
Coca-Cola (KO) Q2 organic revenue (non-GAAP) growth 5%-6.5%?	4	$16	15	14	+1	Yes	+$0	07-11 05:12
iran full airspace closure by august 15	2	$15	20	20	+0	No	-$1	07-20 09:14
copper cable hit with secpt 232 tariffs by december 31 2027 20260721191705882	2	$15	20	20	+0	open	—	07-23 03:00
Will "Arirang - BTS" be the top album for 2026?	2	$14	20	20	+0	open	—	07-20 18:38
israel military action against greater beirut by august 31 20260708214159403	3	$13	20	19	+1	No	-$1	07-26 20:07
mgm quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 29 2026 0pt6	2	$12	20	20	+0	No	-$3	07-16 13:46
will apple aapl q3 iphone revenue be above 55b 20260717035215861	3	$11	20	20	+0	No	-$10	07-18 03:00
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?	2	$11	20	20	+0	No	$0	07-23 23:27
Will Haley Stevens win Washtenaw County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?	3	$11	20	19	+1	No	-$6	07-21 17:14
Danaher (DHR) Q2 non-GAAP core revenue growth 3%-4.5%?	2	$11	20	20	+0	Yes	-$1	07-11 05:12
will apple aapl q3 mac revenue be above 9b 20260717034907914	2	$10	20	20	+0	Yes	-$3	07-18 19:30
ice quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 30 2026 1pt84	2	$10	20	20	+0	Yes	-$1	07-19 14:33
kkr quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 30 2026 1pt43	2	$10	20	20	+0	Yes	-$2	07-19 13:17
will brazil reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134475	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	07-05 22:02
f quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 28 2026 0pt35	2	$7	20	20	+0	Yes	-$4	07-16 11:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-02 15:46:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0xb2480c…
09-02 15:15:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0xac4a24…
09-02 15:01:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xa3ca87…
09-02 14:55:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0xb54fd3…
09-02 14:45:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x353886…
09-02 14:40:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x520aca…
09-02 14:36:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x1175e2…
09-02 14:30:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x3134f3…
09-02 14:21:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x8d69b7…
09-02 14:16:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0xb7f032…
09-02 14:05:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x6f79a2…
09-02 13:55:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x39588d…
09-02 13:40:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x19bb19…
09-02 13:35:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x0f53cf…
09-02 13:30:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xd2d2dc…
09-02 13:20:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x03650e…
09-02 13:10:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x5f28dc…
09-02 13:05:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x6a5b4f…
09-02 13:00:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x21a368…
09-02 12:56:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0xe208cc…
09-02 12:40:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0xe420f0…
09-02 12:20:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x482e48…
09-02 12:15:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x149ad9…
09-02 12:11:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0xec4a12…
09-02 12:05:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0xdf1ae1…
09-02 11:56:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x3202d0…
09-02 11:51:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x42da02…
09-02 11:35:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x34dbe8…
09-02 11:30:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0xf83f7a…
09-02 11:26:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0xb8ad5f…
09-02 11:21:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x2481ec…
09-02 11:15:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0xb0a8f1…
09-02 11:06:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x19cc5f…
09-02 10:55:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x972b79…
09-02 10:46:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0xcaedb5…
09-02 10:35:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0xe27530…
09-02 10:31:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x57f4f4…
09-02 10:26:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0xd45278…
09-02 10:10:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x28c6d7…
09-02 10:01:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x98aacd…
09-02 09:46:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x381770…
09-02 09:40:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-02 09:40 UTC	Down	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x40b528…
09-02 09:36:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x62202a…
09-02 09:30:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x814b07…
09-02 09:25:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0xe228ad…
09-02 09:21:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-02 09:20 UTC	Up	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0xb7071e…
09-02 09:15:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0xbb1f6e…
07-26 20:07:48	israel military action against greater beirut by august 31 20260708214159403	Yes	SELL	19	32¢	$6	0xdded85…
07-26 19:35:52	israel military action against greater beirut by august 31 20260708214159403	Yes	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0xc9fd64…
07-26 19:35:52	israel military action against greater beirut by august 31 20260708214159403	Yes	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0x43d69d…
07-26 15:15:04	Will "Beauty and a Beat - Justin Bieber ft. Nicki Minaj" be the #2 song this week?	No	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0x9394bb…
07-26 15:13:55	Will "Beauty and a Beat - Justin Bieber ft. Nicki Minaj" be the #2 song this week?	No	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0x8e3711…
07-24 03:30:04	Will Ralph Norman win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?	Yes	SELL	20	12¢	$2	0x3f189e…
07-24 03:29:00	Will Ralph Norman win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?	Yes	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0x010c34…
07-23 23:27:34	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	27¢	$5	0x225868…
07-23 23:22:16	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0x393024…
07-23 22:38:45	will cxmts closing ipo market cap be at least 3t yuan 20260723150635976	Yes	SELL	20	52¢	$10	0xa63842…
07-23 19:12:25	will cxmts closing ipo market cap be at least 3t yuan 20260723150635976	Yes	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0x5a7f65…
07-23 19:11:43	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	No	SELL	14	39¢	$5	0xb69b75…
07-23 19:06:25	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	No	BUY	15	39¢	$6	0x19520e…
07-23 18:45:52	pfe quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 04 2026 0pt68	No	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0xe958d8…
07-23 18:44:06	pfe quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 04 2026 0pt68	No	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0xfcbe9f…
07-23 11:07:39	Will Caterpillar (CAT) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	20	81¢	$16	0x0417e4…
07-23 11:06:31	cat quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 04 2026 6pt2	Yes	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0xaa4431…
07-23 03:00:12	copper cable hit with secpt 232 tariffs by december 31 2027 20260721191705882	No	SELL	20	23¢	$5	0xbd0b6a…
07-23 03:00:01	copper cable hit with secpt 232 tariffs by december 31 2027 20260721191705882	No	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x5a6433…
07-21 17:14:34	Will Haley Stevens win Washtenaw County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?	Yes	SELL	7	11¢	$1	0x5389ab…
07-21 17:14:16	Will Haley Stevens win Washtenaw County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?	Yes	SELL	12	13¢	$2	0x0b1798…
07-21 17:14:09	Will Haley Stevens win Washtenaw County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?	Yes	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0x3496fd…
07-21 15:25:15	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	SELL	50	32¢	$16	0x347398…
07-21 15:24:00	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	BUY	50	34¢	$17	0xdd32ce…
07-21 10:12:25	US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 24?	Yes	SELL	50	17¢	$8	0x49ab0c…
07-21 08:06:51	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 24 20260718000915874	Yes	BUY	50	17¢	$8	0x58ab8a…
07-21 07:12:03	US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?	No	SELL	49	63¢	$31	0x0736b2…
07-21 07:08:31	US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?	No	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0xd2154e…
07-21 07:08:31	US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?	No	BUY	40	65¢	$26	0x4d4eff…
07-20 19:14:54	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	No	SELL	20	50¢	$10	0xfb50cf…
07-20 19:13:45	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	No	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0xb69177…
07-20 19:06:37	iran full airspace closure by july 24	Yes	SELL	20	14¢	$3	0x0c883f…
07-20 18:38:55	Will "Arirang - BTS" be the top album for 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	32¢	$6	0x712c3e…
07-20 18:37:54	Will "Arirang - BTS" be the top album for 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0x4d4e64…
07-20 16:12:54	iran full airspace closure by july 24	Yes	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0xca0f18…
07-20 12:36:30	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	No	SELL	20	57¢	$11	0xe7db65…
07-20 12:21:43	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	No	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0xbb5b54…
07-20 09:14:36	iran full airspace closure by august 15	Yes	SELL	20	35¢	$7	0x0d19f7…
07-20 09:10:36	iran full airspace closure by august 15	Yes	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0x702905…
07-20 08:35:12	iran full airspace closure by july 24	Yes	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0x90b86c…
07-20 08:14:24	iran full airspace closure by july 24	Yes	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0x00c4c7…
07-20 07:28:33	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	No	SELL	50	74¢	$37	0xe597a7…
07-20 07:26:43	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	No	BUY	50	76¢	$38	0x93bdce…
07-19 20:22:51	iran full airspace closure by july 24	No	SELL	20	67¢	$13	0xc2bfad…
07-19 20:21:30	iran full airspace closure by july 24	No	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0xa8bdec…
07-19 17:17:16	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	Yes	SELL	20	50¢	$10	0x5a34d6…
07-19 17:17:16	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	No	SELL	20	47¢	$9	0x5932d8…
07-19 17:15:15	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	Yes	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x7cd539…
07-19 17:14:34	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	No	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0x827d3d…
07-19 15:43:16	will altria mo q2 total domestic cigarettes shipment volume sticks in millions be above 15m 20260718021248121	Yes	SELL	20	22¢	$4	0x3f8958…
07-19 15:43:07	will altria mo q2 total domestic cigarettes shipment volume sticks in millions be above 15m 20260718021248121	Yes	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0xc56de3…
07-19 14:52:24	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	Yes	SELL	20	49¢	$10	0x8b3f85…
07-19 14:47:45	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x620bc8…