Villainous-Sequel — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$568

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

70.8%

Resolved

3,460

Trades

44,534

lifetime

Volume

$98.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-14

last 05-15 05:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 12 days

Categories

Crypto

93% 59% +$568

Politics

5% — —

Other

2% 0% $-0

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

50 active days in 12wk • peak 3090 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (7) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	19	$1.1K	1,097	1,471	-374	open	—	04-08 06:26
btc updown 5m 1775977200	49	$753	450	434	+16	open	—	04-12 07:03
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	28	$480	486	557	-72	open	—	04-12 14:50
bitcoin up or down april 20 2026 7pm et	123	$440	234	233	+1	open	—	04-20 23:52
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	27	$429	490	490	+0	open	—	04-20 23:55
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	18	$397	372	399	-27	open	—	04-14 23:38
Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?	11	$348	156	198	-42	open	—	04-12 22:32
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	17	$262	127	149	-22	open	—	04-21 10:18
dota2 xtreme ts8 2026 04 22 game1	13	$256	279	257	+22	open	—	04-22 15:08
us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	29	$236	457	457	+0	open	—	04-14 00:53
eth updown 5m 1773627300	40	$230	446	0	+446	open	—	03-16 02:19
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	19	$224	214	214	+0	open	—	04-15 03:16
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	8	$215	142	142	+0	open	—	04-20 23:45
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	9	$210	106	106	-0	No	$-0	04-15 08:56
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	15	$209	255	255	+0	open	—	04-10 22:09
btc updown 5m 1776764700	15	$203	249	28	+220	open	—	04-21 09:50
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	11	$203	107	107	+0	open	—	04-11 16:48
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	14	$195	331	68	+263	open	—	04-19 05:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	37	$184	113	104	+9	Up	+$5	05-09 13:39
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	10	$181	106	106	+0	Down	+$31	05-08 01:14
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	9	$172	93	93	+0	open	—	04-15 03:25
ethereum up or down april 20 2026 7pm et	49	$169	188	0	+188	open	—	04-20 23:43
DeepSeek V4 released by May 15?	2	$168	100	100	+0	open	—	04-07 05:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7PM ET	17	$166	146	74	+72	Down	+$21	05-09 23:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	22	$163	130	61	+68	Up	+$24	05-09 15:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	16	$160	169	10	+159	Down	+$18	05-09 19:27
btc updown 15m 1775866500	5	$149	228	0	+228	open	—	04-11 00:27
bitcoin up or down april 19 2026 7am et	22	$148	76	86	-10	open	—	04-19 11:38
will fideszkdnp win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	5	$146	74	91	-17	open	—	04-12 18:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	13	$141	116	62	+55	Up	+$14	05-09 11:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-15 05:01:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0x8651b7…
05-15 05:00:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	7	65¢	$4	0x0b14b0…
05-15 04:55:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	82¢	$2	0x03e772…
05-15 04:55:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x391a08…
05-15 04:51:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x83228a…
05-15 04:51:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xcb3b96…
05-15 04:51:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	7	36¢	$2	0xf8ae2e…
05-15 04:51:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xaf898d…
05-15 04:49:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0x00f5db…
05-15 04:45:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	7	56¢	$4	0x621d17…
05-15 04:45:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0x8f79f6…
05-15 04:44:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xd30955…
05-15 04:41:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	27¢	$2	0xfd8e26…
05-15 04:41:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xbd562d…
05-15 04:41:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	80¢	$2	0x9868cc…
05-15 04:41:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x0d5d75…
05-15 04:40:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xdcb308…
05-15 04:38:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xabe5f7…
05-15 04:38:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x160d88…
05-15 04:38:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x62f0a1…
05-15 04:37:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	7	21¢	$1	0x1a4746…
05-15 04:37:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0x45f1bf…
05-15 04:36:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x7e340d…
05-15 04:36:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x0b10c8…
05-15 04:17:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x127749…
05-15 04:12:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xee433c…
05-15 04:11:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x6909a4…
05-15 04:10:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x52cc22…
05-15 04:08:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xe3cd17…
05-15 04:07:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x126733…
05-15 04:06:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xffef4a…
05-15 04:06:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x80b53f…
05-15 04:02:54	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xd70f28…
05-15 04:01:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	83¢	$2	0xec33d1…
05-15 04:01:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	83¢	$1	0x69abfb…
05-15 04:01:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x932412…
05-15 04:01:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	4	83¢	$3	0x23c89b…
05-15 02:47:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xaf7d57…
05-15 02:46:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x5bd5cd…
05-15 02:43:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	7	79¢	$5	0x169d5b…
05-15 02:41:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	SELL	12	43¢	$5	0x541330…
05-15 02:39:22	XRP Up or Down - May 14, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0xa887bc…
05-15 02:38:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	SELL	10	22¢	$2	0x9ebb9f…
05-15 02:37:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0x4caf5d…
05-15 02:36:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x53fbf7…
05-15 02:36:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	SELL	4	23¢	$1	0xaed761…
05-15 02:35:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x347d0a…
05-15 02:35:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xa561bb…
05-15 02:35:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x37008f…
05-15 02:35:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x226731…
05-15 02:35:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	68¢	$4	0xa31155…
05-15 02:35:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x7b7803…
05-15 02:33:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x8d1921…
05-15 02:31:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0xa5180d…
05-15 02:30:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x1fbd16…
05-15 02:26:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x409235…
05-15 02:26:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	20¢	$1	0xc6ddb0…
05-15 02:26:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	SELL	4	68¢	$3	0xff8084…
05-15 02:22:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	44¢	$2	0x4df739…
05-15 02:22:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x619c6c…
05-15 02:22:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x76ce22…
05-15 02:22:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	42¢	$2	0x67fe58…
05-15 02:21:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	76¢	$1	0x710933…
05-15 02:20:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0xefdcec…
05-15 02:19:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x261279…
05-15 02:19:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	SELL	5	58¢	$3	0xec3159…
05-15 02:18:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x1bab11…
05-15 02:18:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	SELL	12	12¢	$1	0x3a3410…
05-15 02:17:47	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x3477dc…
05-15 02:17:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x908b21…
05-15 02:17:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0x6bdc22…
05-15 02:17:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	SELL	6	82¢	$5	0x96df86…
05-15 02:17:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	SELL	4	51¢	$2	0xcf20a4…
05-15 02:17:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	12	12¢	$1	0x4e86b7…
05-15 02:15:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	4	35¢	$1	0xe3eca5…
05-15 02:15:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x3ca06a…
05-15 02:15:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	45¢	$4	0xa53e2e…
05-15 02:15:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xae4e90…
05-15 02:15:29	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	47¢	$1	0xf79383…
05-15 02:15:29	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	47¢	$1	0x1695b7…
05-15 02:01:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	38¢	$2	0xe37dbd…
05-15 02:01:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	31¢	$1	0xc6a614…
05-15 02:01:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	44¢	$2	0x99b895…
05-15 02:00:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x8bdfa2…
05-15 01:56:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x7c3d63…
05-15 01:52:46	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x55ca2b…
05-15 01:51:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0x9add20…
05-15 01:48:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0xafccf1…
05-15 01:47:41	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x36ba35…
05-15 01:47:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	82¢	$3	0x31e181…
05-15 01:47:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	87¢	$3	0x311ea4…
05-15 01:32:26	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x412aa5…
05-15 01:27:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	SELL	5	13¢	$1	0x1ee881…
05-15 01:26:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xff803c…
05-15 01:20:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0x6c4970…
05-15 00:57:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xa519d8…
05-15 00:57:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x840f05…
05-15 00:57:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$1	0x8dc9d8…
05-15 00:56:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	47¢	$2	0xef5bfb…
05-15 00:55:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xfb949a…