Expensive-Ficlet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$910

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

68.5%

Resolved

804

Trades

1,213

lifetime

Volume

$16.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-07

last 07-23 21:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 44 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 68% -$881

Other

1% 14% -$23

Politics

0% 25% -$6

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-23).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	4	$202	127	127	+0	Up	+$44	05-01 15:38
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	6	$137	76	76	+0	Up	+$0	06-03 17:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	3	$107	94	52	+42	Up	+$12	05-31 22:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 21:00 UTC	2	$104	67	65	+2	Down	+$28	04-08 21:05
XRP Up or Down - May 16, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	5	$104	135	33	+102	Up	-$14	05-16 19:59
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-04 10:45 UTC	4	$103	62	62	+0	Down	+$17	06-04 10:54
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-15 21:15 UTC	3	$99	153	0	+153	Down	+$55	04-15 21:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	4	$94	51	51	+0	Down	+$3	06-03 18:29
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-03 21:00 UTC	5	$91	74	53	+22	Up	+$10	06-03 21:06
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-04 11:45 UTC	4	$90	53	53	+0	Up	+$4	06-04 11:58
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-04 12:00 UTC	5	$85	79	52	+27	Down	-$14	06-04 12:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	7	$80	50	50	+0	Down	+$2	06-02 17:55
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-04 11:30 UTC	5	$79	74	49	+25	Down	-$17	06-04 11:31
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 3, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	6	$79	84	84	+0	Up	-$13	06-03 16:47
XRP Up or Down - May 16, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	4	$76	129	0	+129	Down	-$76	05-16 17:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	2	$75	45	45	+0	Up	+$8	05-16 20:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	5	$74	102	0	+102	Down	+$28	05-01 14:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	5	$74	100	0	+100	Down	-$74	05-01 16:01
HYPE Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-03 16:30 UTC	2	$72	39	39	+0	Up	-$4	06-03 16:41
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-04 11:30 UTC	5	$72	51	51	+0	Down	+$4	06-04 11:39
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	2	$72	107	0	+107	Up	-$72	05-30 14:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	5	$71	98	0	+98	Up	+$27	05-16 15:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	5	$71	101	0	+101	Up	+$30	05-16 16:06
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-03 20:45 UTC	4	$71	43	43	+0	Down	+$15	06-03 20:56
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	3	$69	108	0	+108	Up	-$43	05-16 19:25
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-04 10:30 UTC	2	$69	39	39	+0	Up	-$1	06-04 10:33
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-12 15:15 UTC	2	$68	43	42	+1	Down	+$17	04-12 15:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	5	$67	88	0	+88	Up	+$21	05-16 16:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	2	$66	82	0	+82	Down	+$16	05-16 20:31
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	3	$66	86	0	+86	Down	-$66	05-01 16:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-23 21:00:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 21:00 UTC	Down	BUY	58	34¢	$20	0x93f467…
07-23 20:58:46	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 20:55 UTC	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x101515…
07-23 20:55:39	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 20:55 UTC	Down	BUY	38	39¢	$15	0xad7025…
07-23 20:52:39	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 20:50 UTC	Up	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0xac1129…
07-23 20:46:39	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 20:45 UTC	Up	BUY	11	38¢	$4	0x4593ae…
07-23 20:45:51	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 20:45 UTC	Up	BUY	31	49¢	$15	0x18e4ff…
07-23 20:43:06	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 20:40 UTC	Up	BUY	58	17¢	$10	0x371d2f…
07-23 20:40:55	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 20:40 UTC	Up	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0xf6cbf4…
07-23 20:19:25	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 20:15 UTC	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x8e8dd7…
07-23 20:18:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 20:15 UTC	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xc2fa6c…
07-23 20:03:36	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x8d596a…
07-23 19:49:13	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 19:45 UTC	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x06e36a…
07-23 19:38:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 19:35 UTC	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xcb3e16…
07-23 19:38:39	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 19:35 UTC	Down	BUY	12	93¢	$11	0xe4c60e…
07-23 19:29:24	Ethereum Up or Down - July 23, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xc3fff3…
07-23 19:23:46	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 19:20 UTC	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x1a7c2a…
07-23 19:18:37	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 19:15 UTC	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x78a544…
07-23 19:18:36	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 19:15 UTC	Up	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0x6f1fa9…
07-23 19:13:36	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 19:10 UTC	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$14	0x30138d…
07-23 19:09:21	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 19:05 UTC	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x30df5a…
07-23 19:09:19	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 19:05 UTC	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xd2e7c9…
07-23 18:54:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 18:50 UTC	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x2f864b…
07-23 18:53:46	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 18:50 UTC	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xa45b13…
07-23 18:53:46	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 18:50 UTC	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x3fb3b3…
07-23 18:39:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 18:35 UTC	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x84a4c4…
07-23 18:39:15	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 18:35 UTC	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xe27349…
07-23 17:09:13	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 17:05 UTC	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x822296…
07-23 16:58:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 16:55 UTC	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xbb7979…
07-23 16:39:13	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 16:35 UTC	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xd54763…
07-23 16:34:19	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 16:30 UTC	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xb21374…
07-23 16:33:42	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 16:30 UTC	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xd2dbe7…
07-23 16:29:28	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 16:25 UTC	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x50e8b5…
07-23 16:24:28	Solana Up or Down - July 23, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x30f374…
07-23 16:18:51	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 16:15 UTC	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x92c905…
07-23 16:14:09	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 16:10 UTC	Up	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0x4a03cb…
07-23 15:29:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 15:25 UTC	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x90817c…
07-23 15:24:12	Solana Up or Down - July 23, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x1a52c7…
07-23 15:23:43	Ethereum Up or Down - July 23, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	14	91¢	$13	0x50c4e5…
07-23 15:19:24	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 15:15 UTC	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x08bd13…
07-23 15:08:42	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 15:05 UTC	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xec225c…
07-23 15:08:34	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 15:05 UTC	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xf0f2ee…
07-23 15:04:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 15:00 UTC	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x3418c4…
07-23 15:04:12	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 15:00 UTC	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x957b58…
07-23 15:04:03	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 15:00 UTC	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x2f8502…
07-23 14:54:15	Solana Up or Down - July 23, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x0aeae4…
07-23 14:48:42	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 14:45 UTC	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xe6eb61…
07-23 14:39:04	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 14:35 UTC	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xfbe6cb…
07-23 14:38:42	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 14:35 UTC	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xd1d42a…
07-23 14:38:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 14:35 UTC	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x16f56f…
07-23 08:59:34	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 08:55 UTC	Up	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x8d6c76…
07-23 08:34:27	Ethereum Up or Down - July 23, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xccb356…
07-23 08:29:13	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 08:25 UTC	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x9f48d0…
07-23 08:29:13	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 08:25 UTC	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x0484f5…
07-23 08:24:27	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 08:20 UTC	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x626262…
07-23 08:23:34	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 08:20 UTC	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xd3ca4b…
07-23 08:09:06	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 08:05 UTC	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x816d10…
07-23 08:08:45	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 08:05 UTC	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xd80b55…
07-23 03:09:06	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 03:05 UTC	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xc59999…
07-23 03:04:30	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 03:00 UTC	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xad29f4…
07-23 02:59:22	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 02:55 UTC	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x9f11a2…
07-23 02:39:30	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 02:35 UTC	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x9a0be7…
07-23 02:34:33	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 02:30 UTC	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x4d0187…
07-23 02:23:49	Ethereum Up or Down - July 22, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xb3c6b4…
07-23 02:09:25	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 02:05 UTC	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x8ff232…
07-23 02:09:04	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 02:05 UTC	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xac75c6…
07-23 02:03:54	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 02:00 UTC	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xd38469…
07-23 01:43:40	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 01:40 UTC	Up	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0xf07ece…
07-23 01:39:31	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 01:35 UTC	Down	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0x3d5faf…
07-23 01:39:04	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 01:35 UTC	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x27b586…
07-23 01:34:30	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 01:30 UTC	Down	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x23fd5e…
07-23 01:29:33	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 01:25 UTC	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x11b67d…
07-23 01:19:07	Solana Up or Down - July 22, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xc66f01…
07-23 01:14:16	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 01:10 UTC	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x955b5a…
07-23 01:09:27	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 01:05 UTC	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xc06de4…
07-23 01:09:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 01:05 UTC	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x953573…
07-23 01:04:30	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 01:00 UTC	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xa9a7fb…
07-23 01:04:27	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 01:00 UTC	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x858916…
07-23 00:49:21	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 00:45 UTC	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x8019be…
07-23 00:39:09	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 00:35 UTC	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x0b1c50…
07-23 00:29:28	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 00:25 UTC	Up	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0xc18b64…
07-23 00:13:43	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 00:10 UTC	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x27076e…
07-23 00:09:06	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 00:05 UTC	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x9dba1d…
07-22 23:49:13	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 23:45 UTC	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xf0e0d3…
07-22 23:49:10	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 23:45 UTC	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x07580b…
07-22 23:48:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 23:45 UTC	Up	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0xd393e1…
07-22 23:39:30	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 23:35 UTC	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x63fedc…
07-22 23:39:19	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 23:35 UTC	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xa8ff31…
07-22 23:23:57	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 23:20 UTC	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x63f972…
07-22 23:23:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 23:20 UTC	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xaeff16…
07-22 23:23:34	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 23:20 UTC	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xf7d3f7…
07-22 23:03:52	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 23:00 UTC	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x5b9ca7…
07-22 22:54:09	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 22:50 UTC	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x5867b3…
07-22 22:49:19	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 22:45 UTC	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x7e358a…
07-22 22:34:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 22:30 UTC	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x7a00c2…
07-22 21:43:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 21:40 UTC	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xabe94b…
07-22 21:43:43	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 21:40 UTC	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x5d6611…
07-22 21:39:33	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 21:35 UTC	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x6dc1e8…
07-22 21:19:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 21:15 UTC	Down	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0x25d694…
07-22 21:14:21	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 21:10 UTC	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x480812…
07-22 20:49:15	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 20:45 UTC	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x4254be…