Understated-Project — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$748

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

40.1%

Resolved

289

Trades

4,693

lifetime

Volume

$15.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-13

last 05-27 19:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 46% -$753

Other

2% 20% -$29

Politics

2% 100% +$34

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-27).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	65	$493	1,037	0	+1,037	Up	-$100	05-26 19:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	55	$449	2,682	0	+2,682	Down	-$35	05-26 18:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	61	$290	1,813	0	+1,813	Down	-$6	05-26 13:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	75	$271	549	0	+549	Up	-$15	05-26 19:08
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	5	$266	800	1,000	-200	No	+$34	05-27 19:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	51	$228	914	0	+914	Up	-$78	05-26 13:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	67	$184	683	0	+683	Up	-$16	05-26 18:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	44	$178	307	0	+307	Up	-$45	05-26 20:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	58	$156	402	0	+402	Down	-$1	05-26 17:25
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-13 21:00 UTC	2	$154	78	78	+0	Up	+$2	02-13 21:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	41	$146	272	0	+272	Down	+$3	05-26 13:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-13 21:05 UTC	2	$146	89	87	+1	Up	+$28	02-13 21:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	46	$138	287	0	+287	Down	-$10	05-26 13:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	49	$133	367	0	+367	Down	+$6	05-26 17:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	44	$120	229	0	+229	Up	-$8	05-25 22:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	28	$120	818	0	+818	Up	-$76	05-25 13:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	59	$117	236	0	+236	Up	-$5	05-25 14:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	28	$115	143	0	+143	Up	+$11	05-25 22:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	35	$114	197	0	+197	Down	-$28	05-26 15:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	14	$112	182	0	+182	Down	+$9	05-26 13:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	42	$112	212	0	+212	Up	-$7	05-26 12:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-13 21:00 UTC	2	$111	60	60	+0	Up	+$8	02-13 21:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	15	$110	193	0	+193	Down	+$14	05-26 18:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	43	$110	219	0	+219	Up	-$7	05-26 12:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	40	$107	987	0	+987	Up	-$38	05-26 17:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	37	$106	189	0	+189	Down	-$10	05-26 19:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	31	$105	222	0	+222	Up	+$2	05-26 14:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	15	$103	1,485	0	+1,485	Up	-$56	05-26 16:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	36	$98	180	0	+180	Up	-$15	05-26 12:49
dota2 ty heroic 2026 02 13	3	$97	170	170	+0	Team Yandex	-$2	02-13 18:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-27 19:52:52	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	800	15¢	$120	0x6721c3…
05-27 19:52:52	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	15¢	$30	0x477641…
05-27 19:26:08	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	400	14¢	$56	0x17bd15…
05-27 18:42:51	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	15¢	$30	0xd6be1c…
05-27 18:30:41	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	15¢	$30	0xf6d633…
05-26 20:39:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0xdc2a87…
05-26 20:39:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0x4a4df0…
05-26 20:38:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	7	87¢	$6	0x8df379…
05-26 20:38:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0x023fb0…
05-26 20:38:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x434762…
05-26 20:38:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0xa07b7c…
05-26 20:38:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	7	32¢	$2	0x0080b2…
05-26 20:37:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x22c2b6…
05-26 20:37:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xb619a7…
05-26 20:37:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x789d4d…
05-26 20:37:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	8	32¢	$3	0x6b1f57…
05-26 20:37:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	8	32¢	$2	0xa6cee9…
05-26 20:37:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0xb9812b…
05-26 20:37:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x98a77f…
05-26 20:36:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x4db4a0…
05-26 20:36:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	8	34¢	$3	0x7f87a6…
05-26 20:36:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x9e45bd…
05-26 20:36:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x63ff17…
05-26 20:36:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xe01a42…
05-26 20:36:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	73¢	$5	0x68d647…
05-26 20:36:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0xadec9a…
05-26 20:36:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	60¢	$4	0x287644…
05-26 20:36:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	7	61¢	$4	0x0e1bf3…
05-26 20:36:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	61¢	$4	0x0a61fa…
05-26 20:36:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	7	40¢	$3	0xf7759b…
05-26 20:36:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xd6151b…
05-26 20:36:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0x9379f8…
05-26 20:36:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0xf39cdb…
05-26 20:36:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xb44c08…
05-26 20:36:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0x5d2e53…
05-26 20:36:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0xd8712d…
05-26 20:36:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0x979363…
05-26 20:36:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0x05082e…
05-26 20:36:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	59¢	$4	0xe683b1…
05-26 20:36:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	53¢	$2	0xb988b1…
05-26 20:36:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xdf7828…
05-26 20:36:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0xdf0d41…
05-26 20:36:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x4caa33…
05-26 20:36:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x065317…
05-26 20:36:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	7	66¢	$4	0xc4b6fb…
05-26 20:36:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xee5725…
05-26 20:36:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	7	66¢	$5	0xa449ca…
05-26 20:36:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0x93c17c…
05-26 20:36:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0x71627f…
05-26 20:36:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	7	66¢	$5	0x0bebcc…
05-26 20:35:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x15bee2…
05-26 20:35:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	7	61¢	$4	0x57c596…
05-26 20:35:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0x2cb7aa…
05-26 20:35:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	9	44¢	$4	0xad45f9…
05-26 20:35:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	57¢	$4	0x38c546…
05-26 20:35:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x6c470e…
05-26 20:35:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	57¢	$4	0x2fb0ab…
05-26 20:35:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	55¢	$3	0x76b094…
05-26 20:35:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x0cf72c…
05-26 20:33:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xdafa02…
05-26 20:33:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x523c43…
05-26 20:33:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	92¢	$6	0x55417b…
05-26 20:33:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	91¢	$5	0x18743b…
05-26 20:32:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0xdd0587…
05-26 20:32:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	55¢	$3	0xa69d66…
05-26 20:31:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x00882f…
05-26 20:31:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0xbe8bcf…
05-26 20:31:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	77¢	$2	0x477c71…
05-26 20:31:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	9	32¢	$3	0x294f19…
05-26 20:31:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0x226c29…
05-26 20:31:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0xa5b12c…
05-26 20:31:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x18be22…
05-26 20:31:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xdf3eac…
05-26 20:31:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0xcc789a…
05-26 20:31:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x7f5c96…
05-26 20:31:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x76b85c…
05-26 20:31:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x2381d3…
05-26 20:31:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0xb0f296…
05-26 20:31:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x0755ef…
05-26 20:30:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	74¢	$1	0xe957ef…
05-26 20:30:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	74¢	$1	0x1bf1ba…
05-26 20:30:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	63¢	$4	0x53bb05…
05-26 20:30:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0x16e221…
05-26 20:30:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x8367ce…
05-26 20:30:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x1198fb…
05-26 20:30:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xac92e2…
05-26 20:30:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	7	52¢	$3	0x0eedf2…
05-26 20:30:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	7	52¢	$4	0x9774c8…
05-26 20:30:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0x4c4484…
05-26 20:26:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	4	56¢	$2	0xb8c7b2…
05-26 20:26:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	SELL	4	45¢	$2	0x7c62fe…
05-26 20:26:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	16	38¢	$6	0x636947…
05-26 20:26:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	SELL	32	63¢	$20	0x40794b…
05-26 20:25:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	33¢	$1	0x9292b1…
05-26 20:25:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	16	51¢	$8	0x00d887…
05-26 20:25:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	16	50¢	$8	0xfee60e…
05-26 20:25:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	68¢	$3	0xab8417…
05-26 20:25:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	16	51¢	$8	0x46778c…
05-26 20:24:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0xec3712…
05-26 20:23:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	16	54¢	$9	0x0e7570…