Keen-Sailing — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$14

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

66.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$22.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$322

Open exposure

$32

1 position

First seen

2026-03-24

last 10-19 06:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 17 days

Categories

Crypto

88% 86% +$3

Other

12% 100% +$11

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Ethereum reach $4,500 in October?	No		+32	$32	100¢	$32	$0	10-19 06:24

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ethereum above 2300 on march 24	7	$3.8K	2,230	1,639	+591	No	+$34	03-24 11:17
ethereum above 2300 on march 26	3	$2.5K	1,265	1,265	+0	No	-$2	03-26 07:36
bitcoin above 74k on march 26	4	$2.5K	1,273	1,273	+0	No	+$11	03-26 07:29
bitcoin above 74k on march 25	10	$2.5K	1,270	1,270	+0	No	-$4	03-25 13:02
elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 400 419	2	$2.5K	1,262	1,262	+0	No	+$10	03-24 12:59
ethereum above 2000 on march 26	7	$2.5K	1,300	1,300	+0	Yes	-$50	03-26 11:27
ethereum above 2300 on march 25	8	$1.9K	955	955	+0	No	+$6	03-25 10:09
will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on march 25	1	$1.2K	1,251	0	+1,251	No	+$1	03-25 13:50
will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on march 24	1	$1.2K	1,243	0	+1,243	No	+$1	03-24 14:13
bitcoin above 68k on march 25	7	$1.2K	591	591	+0	Yes	+$5	03-25 13:10
will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on march 25	2	$132	69	69	+0	No	+$0	03-25 12:57
elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 220 239	2	$78	40	40	+0	No	+$0	03-25 13:32
Will Ethereum reach $4,500 in October?	1	$32	32	0	+32	open	—	10-19 06:24
will bitcoin reach 100k in august 2026	1	$21	21	0	+21	No	+$0	08-08 04:28
will bitcoin reach 100k in july 2026	1	$21	21	0	+21	No	+$0	07-17 10:17
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	1	$21	21	0	+21	No	+$0	04-14 06:52
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	1	$21	21	0	+21	No	+$0	05-04 05:45
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in September?	1	$21	21	0	+21	No	+$0	09-08 15:59
will bitcoin reach 100k in june 2026	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	06-20 09:53
will bitcoin dip to 20k in march 2026	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	03-26 11:30
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on June 21?	1	$12	12	0	+12	No	+$0	06-20 09:54
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	1	$11	11	0	+11	No	+$0	09-08 15:59
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on August 8?	1	$11	11	0	+11	No	+$0	08-08 04:29
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	1	$11	11	0	+11	No	+$0	07-17 10:17
elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 540 559	1	$11	11	0	+11	No	+$0	04-14 06:53
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on May 4?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-04 05:45
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 25?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-25 05:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-19 06:24:20	Will Ethereum reach $4,500 in October?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0xdab8f8…
09-08 15:59:27	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x364086…
09-08 15:59:07	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in September?	No	BUY	21	98¢	$21	0x66fc2b…
08-08 04:29:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on August 8?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xb30062…
08-08 04:28:48	will bitcoin reach 100k in august 2026	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x33cc19…
07-17 10:17:36	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xedcf93…
07-17 10:17:19	will bitcoin reach 100k in july 2026	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xe847a5…
06-20 09:54:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on June 21?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xf5f139…
06-20 09:53:46	will bitcoin reach 100k in june 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x7e9944…
05-25 05:15:05	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 25?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb518f2…
05-04 05:45:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on May 4?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x83134a…
05-04 05:45:22	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x676cee…
04-14 06:53:05	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 540 559	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x9b4b78…
04-14 06:52:53	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x921296…
03-26 11:30:43	will bitcoin dip to 20k in march 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xcc822a…
03-26 11:27:09	ethereum above 2000 on march 26	Yes	SELL	414	92¢	$382	0xac4a4f…
03-26 11:26:41	ethereum above 2000 on march 26	Yes	SELL	281	92¢	$258	0xaaaa98…
03-26 11:26:21	ethereum above 2000 on march 26	Yes	SELL	100	93¢	$93	0xeff277…
03-26 11:24:49	ethereum above 2000 on march 26	Yes	SELL	175	93¢	$163	0x2fead0…
03-26 10:52:27	ethereum above 2000 on march 26	Yes	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xfc22f7…
03-26 09:52:19	ethereum above 2000 on march 26	Yes	SELL	325	95¢	$310	0x1abd2c…
03-26 09:31:31	ethereum above 2000 on march 26	Yes	BUY	1,300	97¢	$1,261	0x990df4…
03-26 07:36:35	ethereum above 2300 on march 26	No	SELL	260	99¢	$259	0x074abd…
03-26 07:34:59	ethereum above 2300 on march 26	No	SELL	1,005	100¢	$1,001	0xd56b0f…
03-26 07:30:59	ethereum above 2300 on march 26	No	BUY	1,265	100¢	$1,261	0x5f7eca…
03-26 07:29:39	bitcoin above 74k on march 26	No	SELL	382	99¢	$379	0xeda3ae…
03-26 07:26:07	bitcoin above 74k on march 26	No	SELL	255	99¢	$253	0x749b2d…
03-26 07:22:11	bitcoin above 74k on march 26	No	SELL	636	99¢	$631	0xb4643a…
03-26 06:45:33	bitcoin above 74k on march 26	No	BUY	1,273	98¢	$1,251	0x64e895…
03-25 13:50:27	will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on march 25	No	BUY	1,251	100¢	$1,250	0xe04faa…
03-25 13:32:47	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 220 239	No	SELL	40	98¢	$39	0xcfda37…
03-25 13:30:43	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 220 239	No	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0xab7dd1…
03-25 13:10:11	bitcoin above 68k on march 25	Yes	SELL	280	100¢	$279	0x8f270f…
03-25 13:07:03	bitcoin above 68k on march 25	Yes	BUY	143	99¢	$142	0xc36474…
03-25 13:06:53	bitcoin above 68k on march 25	Yes	BUY	137	99¢	$136	0x0d4352…
03-25 13:02:37	bitcoin above 74k on march 25	No	SELL	83	96¢	$80	0x64cbf0…
03-25 13:01:57	bitcoin above 74k on march 25	No	SELL	143	97¢	$139	0x6378de…
03-25 12:57:33	will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on march 25	No	SELL	69	97¢	$66	0x1e62e5…
03-25 12:57:11	will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on march 25	No	BUY	69	96¢	$66	0xf1023d…
03-25 12:53:43	bitcoin above 74k on march 25	No	SELL	173	99¢	$170	0x1d0da5…
03-25 12:42:43	bitcoin above 74k on march 25	No	SELL	399	98¢	$391	0x21222f…
03-25 12:38:53	bitcoin above 74k on march 25	No	SELL	55	98¢	$54	0xa29d14…
03-25 12:29:51	bitcoin above 74k on march 25	No	SELL	103	99¢	$102	0x07aa71…
03-25 12:28:13	bitcoin above 74k on march 25	No	SELL	27	99¢	$27	0x28f9a8…
03-25 12:22:03	bitcoin above 74k on march 25	No	SELL	286	99¢	$283	0xfc3d57…
03-25 12:21:01	bitcoin above 74k on march 25	No	BUY	74	99¢	$73	0x492a40…
03-25 12:20:53	bitcoin above 74k on march 25	No	BUY	1,196	98¢	$1,178	0x446b4b…
03-25 10:09:17	ethereum above 2300 on march 25	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xbf48f5…
03-25 10:03:47	ethereum above 2300 on march 25	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xe8df34…
03-25 10:02:37	ethereum above 2300 on march 25	No	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0xbb53e5…
03-25 09:18:43	bitcoin above 68k on march 25	Yes	SELL	172	99¢	$170	0xf5070a…
03-25 09:16:47	bitcoin above 68k on march 25	Yes	BUY	172	98¢	$169	0x3368a9…
03-25 08:28:27	ethereum above 2300 on march 25	No	SELL	267	98¢	$261	0x1c9531…
03-25 08:22:25	ethereum above 2300 on march 25	No	BUY	267	97¢	$260	0x07b6f5…
03-25 07:33:29	ethereum above 2300 on march 25	No	SELL	479	98¢	$470	0x9a4dcb…
03-25 06:24:47	ethereum above 2300 on march 25	No	SELL	200	98¢	$197	0x67a698…
03-25 06:21:33	ethereum above 2300 on march 25	No	BUY	680	97¢	$662	0x9f5edf…
03-25 06:21:31	bitcoin above 68k on march 25	Yes	SELL	139	98¢	$137	0x8d8bd9…
03-25 06:10:53	bitcoin above 68k on march 25	Yes	BUY	139	97¢	$135	0x5ae01e…
03-24 14:13:39	will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on march 24	No	BUY	1,243	100¢	$1,242	0x5d0f1e…
03-24 12:59:55	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 400 419	No	SELL	1,262	98¢	$1,242	0x05cfbf…
03-24 12:54:07	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 400 419	No	BUY	1,262	98¢	$1,232	0xcd2803…
03-24 11:17:43	ethereum above 2300 on march 24	No	SELL	343	99¢	$340	0x01b86f…
03-24 10:35:19	ethereum above 2300 on march 24	No	SELL	248	99¢	$246	0xdd0f7b…
03-24 09:54:37	ethereum above 2300 on march 24	No	BUY	1,182	97¢	$1,151	0x4448e9…
03-24 07:56:13	ethereum above 2300 on march 24	No	SELL	325	98¢	$318	0xb42cd8…
03-24 07:53:15	ethereum above 2300 on march 24	No	SELL	520	98¢	$510	0x9c0066…
03-24 07:39:07	ethereum above 2300 on march 24	No	SELL	203	99¢	$200	0x21d45f…
03-24 07:20:05	ethereum above 2300 on march 24	No	BUY	1,048	97¢	$1,021	0xa5db01…