Thoughtful-Envelope — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$662

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

16.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$14.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$274

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-02

last 11-04 01:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 25 days

Categories

Other

85% 55% -$38

Sports

15% 80% +$700

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Texas vs. Tennessee: O/U 39.5	6	$10.1K	5,952	5,952	+0	Under	-$36	09-24 14:54
nhl fla nyr 2026 03 29 total 7pt5	1	$2.1K	2,800	0	+2,800	Under	+$700	03-29 13:50
will the fed decide differently in the next three decisions decjanmar	2	$1.6K	802	802	+0	No	+$0	02-02 16:13
Will Sheep in the Box win Best International Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	7	$47	23	23	+0	open	—	10-21 02:27
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on May 15?	2	$29	0	30	-30	No	-$1	05-14 01:49
Will the lowest temperature in London be 5°C or below on October 14?	2	$28	0	28	-28	No	$0	10-13 09:41
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on October 25?	4	$26	0	28	-28	No	-$2	10-24 10:24
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on October 5?	4	$25	0	26	-26	No	-$1	10-03 14:04
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C or higher on October 16?	1	$24	0	24	-24	No	$0	10-15 15:13
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 8°C on November 4?	3	$23	0	24	-24	No	$0	11-04 01:30
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on October 9?	3	$22	0	22	-22	No	$0	10-08 05:44
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on June 4?	1	$21	21	0	+21	No	+$0	06-03 01:16
Spread: Trail Blazers (-15.5)	3	$21	0	28	-28	Grizzlies	-$7	10-29 13:13
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on June 10?	1	$19	19	0	+19	No	+$0	06-09 01:03
will coin reach 177 50 by june 22 2026	1	$19	20	0	+20	No	+$1	06-25 01:03
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on May 7?	1	$17	18	0	+18	No	+$0	05-06 05:22
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on July 5?	1	$12	12	0	+12	No	+$0	07-04 03:40
fifwc fra sen 2026 06 16 spread away 1pt5	1	$12	12	0	+12	France	+$0	06-16 01:28
nhl pit phi 2026 04 22 total 7pt5	1	$11	12	0	+12	Under	+$1	04-20 11:20
Spread: Celtics (-21.5)	1	$10	14	0	+14	Bulls	+$4	10-30 14:54
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $225 on May 27?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-27 01:13
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $101 on May 19?	1	$9	9	0	+9	Yes	+$0	05-19 10:59
nhl cbj buf 2026 04 09 total 4pt5	1	$9	10	0	+10	Over	+$2	04-09 00:43
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on September 1?	1	$7	7	0	+7	No	+$0	08-31 15:18
will wti reach 80 by july 6 2026	1	$7	7	0	+7	No	+$0	07-06 09:00
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 21°C on October 1?	1	$7	7	0	+7	No	+$0	09-30 00:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 01:30:18	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 8°C on November 4?	No	SELL	7	98¢	$6	0x7c3a90…
11-04 01:30:04	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 8°C on November 4?	No	SELL	11	98¢	$11	0xfc506a…
11-04 01:29:31	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 8°C on November 4?	No	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x3a38e5…
10-30 14:54:18	Spread: Celtics (-21.5)	Bulls	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x1da5ac…
10-29 13:13:25	Spread: Trail Blazers (-15.5)	Grizzlies	SELL	7	74¢	$5	0x4bcd80…
10-29 13:12:58	Spread: Trail Blazers (-15.5)	Grizzlies	SELL	10	74¢	$8	0x044388…
10-29 13:12:23	Spread: Trail Blazers (-15.5)	Grizzlies	SELL	11	74¢	$8	0xcf65ff…
10-24 10:24:09	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on October 25?	No	SELL	0	92¢	$0	0x0d62e2…
10-24 06:56:42	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on October 25?	No	SELL	9	92¢	$9	0x326078…
10-24 06:56:30	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on October 25?	No	SELL	9	92¢	$9	0xf3177b…
10-24 06:56:03	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on October 25?	No	SELL	9	92¢	$9	0xfe46dd…
10-21 02:27:26	Will Sheep in the Box win Best International Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xeb8ce9…
10-21 02:21:05	Will Sheep in the Box win Best International Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x13a1cc…
10-21 02:20:15	Will Sheep in the Box win Best International Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xfe7d03…
10-21 01:21:29	Will Sheep in the Box win Best International Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x1eb280…
10-21 01:21:15	Will Sheep in the Box win Best International Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x91d387…
10-21 01:20:59	Will Sheep in the Box win Best International Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x3caa6c…
10-21 01:20:36	Will Sheep in the Box win Best International Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x37729d…
10-15 15:13:34	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C or higher on October 16?	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0x186867…
10-13 09:41:04	Will the lowest temperature in London be 5°C or below on October 14?	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x4bb721…
10-13 09:40:56	Will the lowest temperature in London be 5°C or below on October 14?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x94c97f…
10-08 05:44:01	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on October 9?	No	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x6975e8…
10-08 05:43:43	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on October 9?	No	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x21e3bb…
10-08 05:43:16	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on October 9?	No	SELL	7	99¢	$6	0x88b41c…
10-03 14:04:45	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on October 5?	No	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0x64f52f…
10-03 14:04:09	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on October 5?	No	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0xd62d3b…
10-03 14:03:57	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on October 5?	No	SELL	6	98¢	$5	0x4e470e…
10-03 14:03:39	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on October 5?	No	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0x78687c…
09-30 00:19:12	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 21°C on October 1?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xffce6c…
09-24 14:54:33	Texas vs. Tennessee: O/U 39.5	Over	SELL	2,552	85¢	$2,169	0xe0c5d0…
09-24 14:54:09	Texas vs. Tennessee: O/U 39.5	Over	SELL	1,984	84¢	$1,667	0x64e723…
09-24 14:53:59	Texas vs. Tennessee: O/U 39.5	Over	SELL	16	84¢	$13	0x7bc8a0…
09-24 14:47:48	Texas vs. Tennessee: O/U 39.5	Over	SELL	1,400	86¢	$1,204	0x5078f5…
09-24 01:40:08	Texas vs. Tennessee: O/U 39.5	Over	BUY	3,008	86¢	$2,587	0x185cf0…
09-24 01:39:55	Texas vs. Tennessee: O/U 39.5	Over	BUY	2,944	85¢	$2,502	0xeb0aff…
08-31 15:18:58	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on September 1?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x3a1c23…
07-06 09:00:38	will wti reach 80 by july 6 2026	No	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x9682f2…
07-04 03:40:32	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on July 5?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xc2251d…
06-25 01:03:11	will coin reach 177 50 by june 22 2026	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x0afb2e…
06-16 01:28:52	fifwc fra sen 2026 06 16 spread away 1pt5	France	BUY	12	97¢	$12	0xec5cd5…
06-09 01:03:03	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on June 10?	No	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0x5a5c1a…
06-03 01:16:07	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on June 4?	No	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0x65b6a9…
05-27 01:13:10	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $225 on May 27?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x55c470…
05-19 10:59:53	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $101 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	9	95¢	$9	0xbe94a4…
05-14 01:49:59	Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on May 15?	No	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0x848325…
05-14 01:49:50	Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on May 15?	No	SELL	20	96¢	$19	0x86806c…
05-06 05:22:08	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on May 7?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$17	0x9be17c…
04-20 11:20:50	nhl pit phi 2026 04 22 total 7pt5	Under	BUY	12	92¢	$11	0xb4cc87…
04-09 00:43:55	nhl cbj buf 2026 04 09 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	10	81¢	$9	0x45a4de…
03-29 13:50:56	nhl fla nyr 2026 03 29 total 7pt5	Under	BUY	2,800	75¢	$2,100	0xcbcf73…
02-02 16:13:42	will the fed decide differently in the next three decisions decjanmar	No	SELL	802	98¢	$786	0xb6fe56…
02-02 16:09:44	will the fed decide differently in the next three decisions decjanmar	No	BUY	802	98¢	$786	0xe95e87…