Artistic-Orchard — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$19.6K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

89.8%

Resolved

474

Trades

1,967

lifetime

Volume

$168.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$86

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 11-01 10:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 113 days

Categories

Other

87% 67% +$17,572

Sports

11% 66% +$1,757

Politics

2% 56% +$225

Pop-Culture

0% 33% -$47

Crypto

0% 80% +$45

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 28 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Rodri join Barcelona?	38	$9.8K	6,669	6,669	+0	Yes	+$1,019	08-16 18:32
Will Emiliano Martinez stay at Aston Villa?	31	$9.6K	9,108	2,871	+6,237	No	+$1,370	08-30 08:23
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	29	$9.4K	8,626	9,625	-999	Yes	+$1,630	06-21 06:22
Arne Slot out as Liverpool Head Coach by May 31, 2026?	12	$5.4K	2,906	2,729	+177	Yes	-$86	05-30 11:28
will diogo dalot attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260807000827858	8	$4.4K	2,405	2,405	+0	No	+$139	08-13 17:55
will lionel messi attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630254	8	$4.3K	2,202	2,202	+0	No	+$29	08-13 17:19
Will Djed Spence be included in England's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	22	$4.3K	2,647	2,647	+0	Yes	+$811	05-22 07:04
Will Crysencio Summerville play for Roma in 2026-27?	12	$4.0K	2,417	2,417	+0	No	+$707	07-23 19:19
Will Julian Alvarez stay at Atletico Madrid?	27	$3.6K	3,180	2,733	+447	Yes	+$556	08-31 19:59
Will Yan Diomande join Real Madrid?	17	$3.6K	2,001	2,001	+0	Yes	+$200	08-05 15:39
will rio ferdinand attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260806201203759	8	$3.5K	1,941	1,941	-0	No	+$147	08-13 17:23
will casemiro attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630260	6	$2.9K	1,566	1,566	+0	No	+$80	08-13 17:23
Will Enzo Fernandez join Manchester City?	39	$2.8K	3,042	2,820	+222	Yes	+$533	09-01 13:39
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	7	$2.8K	2,303	1,308	+994	Yes	+$435	06-11 11:21
gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	49	$2.7K	5,440	5,440	+0	open	—	08-14 12:22
Will Rafael Leao stay at AC Milan?	18	$2.5K	1,738	1,738	-0	No	+$134	08-28 14:52
Will Leon Goretzka join AC Milan?	8	$2.5K	1,315	1,279	+37	No	+$114	08-25 11:37
Wes Streeting out as UK Health Secretary by May 31?	6	$2.4K	1,329	1,329	+0	Yes	+$204	05-14 12:03
Will Marcus Rashford stay at Manchester United?	8	$2.4K	1,283	1,283	+0	Yes	+$102	08-31 16:07
will marcelo attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630259	4	$2.2K	1,330	1,330	+0	No	+$258	08-13 16:34
will piers morgan attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630255	10	$2.1K	1,399	1,399	+0	No	+$219	08-13 16:34
will joao felix attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803204947260	5	$2.0K	1,043	1,043	+0	No	+$21	08-13 17:15
will sir alex ferguson attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630262	3	$1.9K	1,100	1,100	+0	No	+$183	08-13 17:23
Will Liam Rosenior be the next Chelsea manager?	19	$1.8K	1,339	613	+726	Yes	+$55	01-06 08:35
Will Roberto Mancini be the next head coach of the Italian National Soccer Team?	12	$1.8K	1,308	1,308	+0	Yes	+$675	07-28 11:28
Will Southampton achieve promotion from the EFL Championship to the English Premier League for the 2026-27 season?	13	$1.8K	2,398	1,194	+1,204	No	+$100	05-20 20:25
Wes Streeting out as UK Health Secretary by May 15??	3	$1.6K	847	847	+0	Yes	+$85	05-14 12:03
Will Elliot Anderson join Manchester City?	11	$1.6K	1,047	1,047	-0	Yes	+$499	06-26 20:44
Will Andoni Iraola be the next manager of AC Milan?	9	$1.4K	1,347	358	+988	No	+$259	06-10 21:46
Will Mohamed Salah play in Süper Lig next?	11	$1.3K	1,108	1,108	+0	Yes	+$551	08-04 18:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 10:06:30	Will Fabian Hurzeler be the first Premier League manager sacked in 2026-27?	No	BUY	96	97¢	$93	0xf41cbe…
10-30 12:58:40	Will Michael Carrick be out as Manchester United manager by April 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	437	90¢	$396	0x0567aa…
10-30 12:58:07	Will Michael Carrick be out as Manchester United manager by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	216	80¢	$173	0xf026ee…
10-30 12:56:37	Will Fabian Hurzeler be the first Premier League manager sacked in 2026-27?	No	BUY	19	87¢	$17	0x384e09…
09-14 19:54:28	Will Jalen Duren play for the Detroit Pistons in 2026-27?	No	BUY	270	12¢	$33	0x5100d8…
09-02 11:14:31	Will Jalen Duren play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x02150e…
09-02 11:13:10	Will Jude Bellingham win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	4,569	0¢	$5	0x2c5c5e…
09-01 13:39:55	Will Enzo Fernandez join Manchester City?	No	BUY	222	8¢	$18	0xb5742d…
09-01 11:29:25	Will Andy Burnham say "Starmer" during the next PMQ?	Yes	BUY	465	27¢	$123	0xad122f…
09-01 10:52:31	Will Eduardo Camavinga stay at Real Madrid?	No	BUY	733	1¢	$7	0x55dca8…
08-31 19:59:13	Will Julian Alvarez stay at Atletico Madrid?	Yes	SELL	115	87¢	$101	0xf6860d…
08-31 19:58:09	Will Julian Alvarez stay at Atletico Madrid?	Yes	SELL	100	88¢	$88	0x6499ee…
08-31 19:54:19	Will Enzo Fernandez join Manchester City?	Yes	SELL	463	85¢	$394	0x061732…
08-31 19:51:54	Will Jack Grealish join Aston Villa?	Yes	BUY	375	3¢	$12	0x476445…
08-31 19:49:15	Will Enzo Fernandez stay at Chelsea?	Yes	BUY	75	15¢	$12	0x5e820f…
08-31 18:32:25	Will Jack Grealish join Aston Villa?	Yes	BUY	0	4¢	$0	0xa11c11…
08-31 18:32:15	Will Jack Grealish join Aston Villa?	Yes	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0xf2ccd5…
08-31 18:32:13	Will Jack Grealish join Aston Villa?	Yes	BUY	95	4¢	$4	0xbaa4bd…
08-31 18:32:13	Will Jack Grealish join Aston Villa?	Yes	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0x490945…
08-31 18:32:12	Will Jack Grealish join Aston Villa?	Yes	BUY	84	4¢	$3	0xb00bc7…
08-31 16:14:07	Will Jack Grealish join Everton?	Yes	SELL	163	88¢	$143	0xb395a0…
08-31 16:07:06	Will Marcus Rashford stay at Manchester United?	Yes	SELL	924	99¢	$915	0x200cb2…
08-31 15:57:46	Will Cody Gakpo join Manchester City?	No	SELL	145	98¢	$142	0x003bab…
08-31 15:26:10	Will Cody Gakpo stay at Liverpool?	Yes	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xe33c37…
08-31 15:26:10	Will Cody Gakpo stay at Liverpool?	Yes	BUY	9	84¢	$8	0xbdf7ba…
08-31 15:12:58	Will Enzo Fernandez join Manchester City?	Yes	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xed1498…
08-31 15:12:42	Will Enzo Fernandez join Manchester City?	Yes	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0xf7f4d0…
08-31 15:11:18	Will Enzo Fernandez stay at Chelsea?	Yes	SELL	273	16¢	$43	0xb63b32…
08-31 15:11:01	Will Enzo Fernandez join Manchester City?	Yes	BUY	316	63¢	$199	0xb327db…
08-31 15:10:43	Will Enzo Fernandez stay at Chelsea?	Yes	SELL	182	18¢	$33	0xb85c19…
08-31 13:58:31	Will Enzo Fernandez stay at Chelsea?	Yes	BUY	166	36¢	$60	0x3b4a39…
08-31 13:27:09	Will Cody Gakpo join Manchester City?	No	BUY	145	47¢	$68	0x49a0c3…
08-31 13:05:15	Will Jack Grealish join Everton?	No	BUY	150	16¢	$24	0x32ec79…
08-31 11:43:42	Will Enzo Fernandez stay at Chelsea?	Yes	BUY	88	26¢	$23	0x44bd97…
08-31 11:34:09	Will Enzo Fernandez join Manchester City?	Yes	BUY	122	64¢	$78	0xa2f1f4…
08-30 08:23:52	Will Emiliano Martinez stay at Aston Villa?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x099a45…
08-30 08:22:18	Will Emiliano Martinez stay at Aston Villa?	No	BUY	5,399	100¢	$5,393	0x76ac5a…
08-30 08:18:10	Will Emiliano Martinez join Chelsea?	Yes	BUY	459	100¢	$458	0x9719ef…
08-30 08:17:51	Will Emiliano Martinez stay at Aston Villa?	No	BUY	356	100¢	$355	0x16d1e0…
08-30 08:17:43	Will Emiliano Martinez stay at Aston Villa?	No	BUY	468	100¢	$467	0x715bc0…
08-30 08:17:33	Will Emiliano Martinez join Chelsea?	Yes	BUY	248	100¢	$247	0x38c7e1…
08-29 22:19:51	Will Cody Gakpo join Manchester City?	Yes	BUY	92	64¢	$59	0x0f7ab3…
08-29 20:03:06	Will Cody Gakpo join Manchester City?	Yes	BUY	122	85¢	$104	0xbfe29c…
08-29 19:20:51	Will Cody Gakpo join Manchester City?	Yes	BUY	50	75¢	$38	0x1665a7…
08-29 19:09:13	Will Cody Gakpo join Manchester City?	Yes	BUY	33	45¢	$15	0x750f11…
08-29 19:02:48	Will Enzo Fernandez stay at Chelsea?	Yes	BUY	118	21¢	$24	0x6b4528…
08-29 11:26:39	Will Marcus Rashford stay at Manchester United?	Yes	SELL	268	92¢	$248	0x4db611…
08-29 11:07:52	Will Julian Alvarez join Arsenal?	Yes	SELL	366	18¢	$66	0xca3340…
08-29 11:05:58	Will Julian Alvarez stay at Atletico Madrid?	Yes	BUY	311	66¢	$205	0x4bcbb2…
08-29 11:03:40	Will Marcus Rashford stay at Manchester United?	Yes	SELL	20	92¢	$18	0xb233ae…
08-29 09:29:13	Will Marcus Rashford stay at Manchester United?	Yes	SELL	20	92¢	$18	0xe4d1da…
08-29 07:28:48	Will Marcus Rashford stay at Manchester United?	Yes	BUY	605	89¢	$537	0x6a790f…
08-29 06:47:16	Will Marcus Rashford stay at Manchester United?	Yes	BUY	144	84¢	$121	0x0e879b…
08-28 18:25:55	Will Bradley Barcola join Liverpool?	Yes	SELL	57	98¢	$55	0x53e50d…
08-28 17:32:28	Will Bradley Barcola join Liverpool?	Yes	SELL	68	97¢	$66	0x5f08ad…
08-28 16:22:54	Will Julian Alvarez join Barcelona?	No	SELL	149	98¢	$146	0xa40c21…
08-28 16:20:58	Will Julian Alvarez join Manchester City?	Yes	BUY	1,089	1¢	$10	0x95d81e…
08-28 14:52:16	Will Rafael Leao stay at AC Milan?	No	SELL	74	98¢	$72	0xc6db80…
08-28 14:52:07	Will Rafael Leao stay at AC Milan?	No	SELL	100	98¢	$98	0xa0f73f…
08-28 14:52:03	Will Rafael Leao stay at AC Milan?	No	SELL	100	98¢	$98	0x024491…
08-28 14:51:58	Will Rafael Leao stay at AC Milan?	No	SELL	100	98¢	$98	0xfb2107…
08-28 14:46:28	Will Rafael Leao join Galatasaray?	Yes	SELL	705	93¢	$656	0xc4aee0…
08-28 14:45:04	Will Rafael Leao join Galatasaray?	Yes	BUY	100	75¢	$75	0xb71649…
08-28 14:45:00	Will Rafael Leao join Galatasaray?	Yes	BUY	100	85¢	$85	0x5e46fe…
08-28 14:43:54	Will Rafael Leao join Galatasaray?	Yes	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x31db0a…
08-28 14:43:54	Will Rafael Leao join Galatasaray?	Yes	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x2414fb…
08-28 14:43:39	Will Rafael Leao join Galatasaray?	Yes	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0xb1a7ac…
08-28 14:42:46	Will Rafael Leao join Galatasaray?	Yes	BUY	76	87¢	$66	0xb610e9…
08-28 14:39:31	Will Rafael Leao join Galatasaray?	Yes	BUY	99	90¢	$89	0xd31bfb…
08-28 14:38:54	Will Rafael Leao join Galatasaray?	Yes	BUY	19	88¢	$17	0x61e4a7…
08-28 14:38:51	Will Rafael Leao join Galatasaray?	Yes	BUY	112	84¢	$94	0x745497…
08-28 14:38:43	Will Rafael Leao join Galatasaray?	Yes	BUY	94	77¢	$72	0xd3891d…
08-28 14:38:40	Will Rafael Leao join Galatasaray?	Yes	BUY	80	68¢	$55	0x439609…
08-28 12:42:49	Will Enzo Fernandez stay at Chelsea?	Yes	BUY	250	15¢	$38	0x19ffea…
08-28 11:02:51	Will Enzo Fernandez stay at Chelsea?	Yes	BUY	105	15¢	$16	0x79edfd…
08-28 07:18:31	Will Julian Alvarez join Barcelona?	No	SELL	18	98¢	$18	0xfb6474…
08-28 07:17:19	Will Julian Alvarez join Barcelona?	No	SELL	28	98¢	$27	0x827054…
08-28 07:17:04	Will Julian Alvarez join Barcelona?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xc83e4f…
08-28 07:17:00	Will Julian Alvarez join Barcelona?	No	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0xba2147…
08-28 07:17:00	Will Julian Alvarez join Barcelona?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x944b49…
08-28 07:16:58	Will Julian Alvarez join Barcelona?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xbca736…
08-27 19:46:30	Will Jack Grealish join Brighton?	Yes	SELL	40	5¢	$2	0xced962…
08-27 19:44:16	Will Brighton & Hove Albion qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Conference League?	Yes	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x324829…
08-27 18:57:48	Will Emiliano Martinez stay at Aston Villa?	No	SELL	257	98¢	$252	0xef3044…
08-27 18:57:48	Will Emiliano Martinez stay at Aston Villa?	No	SELL	550	98¢	$538	0x3c716b…
08-27 18:50:37	Will Emiliano Martinez stay at Aston Villa?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x74a4f3…
08-27 15:03:28	Will Julian Alvarez stay at Atletico Madrid?	Yes	SELL	351	55¢	$193	0x7e255b…
08-27 14:18:58	Will Bradley Barcola join Liverpool?	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xdb2827…
08-27 12:56:42	Will Julian Alvarez stay at Atletico Madrid?	Yes	BUY	155	49¢	$76	0x0432ab…
08-27 12:42:03	Will Jack Grealish join Sunderland AFC?	Yes	SELL	35	3¢	$1	0x0fdf2e…
08-27 12:41:34	Will Jack Grealish join Everton?	Yes	BUY	37	71¢	$26	0x1a4d81…
08-27 11:48:07	Will Emiliano Martinez stay at Aston Villa?	No	SELL	290	84¢	$244	0x6c3be3…
08-27 11:45:48	Will Emiliano Martinez stay at Aston Villa?	No	SELL	20	88¢	$18	0x61be4b…
08-27 11:43:54	Will Emiliano Martinez join Chelsea?	Yes	SELL	450	88¢	$396	0x91eb62…
08-27 11:07:39	Will Julian Alvarez stay at Atletico Madrid?	Yes	BUY	192	53¢	$102	0xb948b2…
08-27 11:07:34	Will Julian Alvarez stay at Atletico Madrid?	Yes	BUY	256	53¢	$135	0x217120…
08-27 11:05:30	Will Julian Alvarez join Barcelona?	No	BUY	49	92¢	$45	0xf5272d…
08-27 09:00:21	Will Jack Grealish join Everton?	Yes	BUY	194	52¢	$100	0x2bfcca…
08-26 20:57:19	Will Eduardo Camavinga stay at Real Madrid?	No	SELL	20	16¢	$3	0xedecc0…
08-26 20:17:31	Will Jack Grealish join Aston Villa?	Yes	BUY	17	18¢	$3	0xeed3c4…