Glum-Birdwatcher — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$441

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

76.0%

Resolved

Trades

284

lifetime

Volume

$17.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$63

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-15

last 06-03 07:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

87% 67% +$441

Other

6% — —

Sports

5% — —

Politics

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 114 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (18) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B	2	$907	590	590	+0	open	—	05-14 13:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	2	$637	386	386	+0	open	—	05-19 14:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	16	$582	335	335	+0	open	—	05-18 03:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	8	$529	481	481	+0	Down	$-31	05-12 06:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	2	$488	327	327	+0	open	—	05-14 07:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	6	$451	258	258	+0	Down	+$31	05-12 06:35
Spurs vs. Thunder	3	$438	316	316	+0	open	—	05-19 03:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	2	$397	209	209	+0	Up	+$17	05-07 05:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	2	$391	294	294	+0	Down	+$191	05-07 06:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	2	$387	249	249	+0	Up	+$107	05-09 04:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	2	$359	211	211	+0	open	—	05-19 14:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	2	$320	237	237	+0	Down	+$120	05-08 14:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	2	$318	196	196	+0	Up	+$74	05-07 03:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	2	$315	166	166	+0	Up	+$15	05-09 03:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	2	$277	160	160	+0	Down	+$40	05-09 03:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	1	$276	505	0	+505	open	—	05-19 14:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	2	$274	175	175	+0	Down	+$74	05-07 06:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	2	$267	168	168	+0	Up	+$67	05-07 06:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	2	$249	150	150	+0	Down	+$49	05-12 09:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	2	$241	143	143	+0	Up	+$41	05-07 06:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	3	$238	389	135	+254	Down	$-162	05-12 09:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	6	$233	231	231	+0	Up	+$33	05-12 06:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	2	$232	174	174	+0	open	—	05-15 07:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	1	$231	355	0	+355	open	—	05-19 15:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	2	$230	151	151	+0	open	—	05-19 13:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	2	$227	128	128	+0	Up	+$27	05-09 02:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	2	$225	127	127	+0	Down	+$25	05-09 02:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	2	$221	862	862	+0	open	—	05-18 01:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	4	$220	275	275	+0	open	—	05-19 14:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	4	$214	161	161	+0	Up	+$104	05-12 06:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-03 07:27:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	183	66¢	$121	0x2e4cc0…
06-03 05:39:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	SELL	132	9¢	$12	0x0afd8e…
06-03 05:35:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	132	50¢	$65	0x960e0d…
06-03 05:30:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	SELL	68	99¢	$67	0xd1f497…
06-03 05:29:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	68	94¢	$64	0xb04390…
06-03 05:24:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	SELL	65	99¢	$65	0x2a793c…
06-03 05:20:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	65	64¢	$42	0x6cf6a2…
06-03 04:50:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	SELL	43	99¢	$43	0x0e5eaf…
06-03 04:46:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	43	63¢	$27	0x63b914…
05-31 11:53:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	16	51¢	$8	0xd48391…
05-31 11:52:16	Trump on $250 bill this year?	Yes	SELL	108	8¢	$9	0xc05755…
05-31 11:12:54	Trump on $250 bill this year?	Yes	BUY	108	9¢	$10	0x25cd6d…
05-23 08:55:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x2f26fb…
05-23 05:25:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	365	46¢	$169	0x9107f3…
05-23 05:04:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	191	42¢	$81	0xf2a68d…
05-23 05:00:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	SELL	85	99¢	$84	0x79089d…
05-23 04:59:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	85	95¢	$81	0xd52d42…
05-23 04:40:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	SELL	82	100¢	$82	0x5f6432…
05-23 04:38:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	82	99¢	$81	0x56d1a4…
05-23 04:20:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	SELL	82	99¢	$81	0xead1ee…
05-23 04:19:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	82	59¢	$48	0x0c3100…
05-23 04:10:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0xa71a90…
05-23 04:09:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0x42fdbc…
05-23 03:40:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	SELL	46	99¢	$45	0xf7d65e…
05-23 03:39:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	46	85¢	$39	0x985363…
05-23 03:24:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	58	32¢	$18	0xe16e59…
05-23 03:19:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	701	9¢	$62	0xb6184b…
05-22 01:43:47	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	23,180	0¢	$23	0x385866…
05-22 01:34:46	Cavaliers vs. Knicks	Cavaliers	SELL	130	19¢	$25	0xe9561c…
05-20 13:16:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	61	50¢	$30	0x476758…
05-20 13:00:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	SELL	31	99¢	$31	0x179273…
05-20 13:00:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	31	99¢	$31	0x5eec27…
05-20 12:50:33	LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	Nongshim Red Force	SELL	307	10¢	$32	0x805da0…
05-20 11:03:24	LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	Nongshim Red Force	BUY	308	40¢	$123	0xb86b2f…
05-20 11:00:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	SELL	127	99¢	$126	0x8aabdc…
05-20 10:58:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	127	58¢	$74	0x76a978…
05-19 15:09:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	355	65¢	$231	0x3f0fb0…
05-19 14:53:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	505	55¢	$276	0xc358d7…
05-19 14:42:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	195	77¢	$150	0xff9c3b…
05-19 14:40:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	SELL	211	99¢	$209	0x5136a4…
05-19 14:36:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	211	71¢	$150	0xf1de3f…
05-19 14:30:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	386	99¢	$382	0x2a9716…
05-19 14:27:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	386	66¢	$255	0x7768aa…
05-19 14:13:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	68	19¢	$13	0x2484d2…
05-19 14:10:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	68	64¢	$43	0x4096e8…
05-19 14:10:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	SELL	45	99¢	$44	0x281506…
05-19 14:05:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	45	76¢	$34	0x6f0b9b…
05-19 14:04:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	SELL	40	87¢	$35	0x3eaa2f…
05-19 14:00:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	40	64¢	$26	0x4dbff6…
05-19 14:00:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0xf4cf0f…
05-19 13:57:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	26	88¢	$23	0x718899…
05-19 13:57:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	249	10¢	$25	0xe4bc93…
05-19 13:55:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	249	59¢	$146	0xd982aa…
05-19 13:51:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	SELL	151	100¢	$151	0x43a9ed…
05-19 13:45:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	151	53¢	$80	0x2a714f…
05-19 13:45:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	83	99¢	$82	0x7df401…
05-19 13:41:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	83	88¢	$73	0x447870…
05-19 13:40:11	Cavaliers vs. Knicks	Cavaliers	SELL	249	30¢	$75	0x1e4a19…
05-19 07:20:59	Cavaliers vs. Knicks	Cavaliers	BUY	249	31¢	$77	0x7b6764…
05-19 07:20:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	SELL	80	99¢	$79	0x6d1662…
05-19 07:16:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	80	57¢	$46	0x56ab17…
05-19 07:15:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	SELL	48	99¢	$47	0x9b5d95…
05-19 07:10:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	48	48¢	$23	0x4b8f51…
05-19 07:10:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	SELL	24	99¢	$23	0x2c0d8c…
05-19 07:08:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	24	97¢	$23	0xc7650e…
05-19 07:06:49	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	2,083	1¢	$24	0xb97860…
05-19 03:44:29	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	SELL	316	100¢	$316	0xe61e0b…
05-19 01:52:24	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	121	51¢	$61	0x183cb8…
05-19 00:29:25	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	196	31¢	$61	0x51e7a4…
05-18 03:20:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	SELL	335	99¢	$331	0xf03221…
05-18 03:17:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x160b93…
05-18 03:17:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	75¢	$4	0xd41c71…
05-18 03:17:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	27	75¢	$20	0x49b11d…
05-18 03:17:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x1c0238…
05-18 03:17:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x1b02d9…
05-18 03:17:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	75¢	$2	0xd86c0a…
05-18 03:17:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0xc4d141…
05-18 03:17:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	75¢	$1	0x46216c…
05-18 03:17:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x3d6993…
05-18 03:17:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	100	75¢	$75	0x1844e7…
05-18 03:17:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0xf82548…
05-18 03:17:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0xc3d389…
05-18 03:17:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	40	75¢	$30	0x9d81a6…
05-18 03:17:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	16	75¢	$12	0x99582a…
05-18 03:17:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	97	75¢	$73	0x97bcdc…
05-18 02:15:51	San Diego Padres vs. Seattle Mariners	San Diego Padres	SELL	148	100¢	$147	0x889327…
05-18 02:10:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	SELL	134	99¢	$133	0xce1ed0…
05-18 02:07:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	134	47¢	$64	0x6b3c95…
05-18 01:44:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	SELL	862	6¢	$53	0x4ea64a…
05-18 01:44:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	862	20¢	$168	0x103edc…
05-18 00:53:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	314	8¢	$25	0x34a1e0…
05-18 00:51:46	Spread: Pistons (-4.5)	Pistons	SELL	127	21¢	$27	0x398986…
05-17 23:27:02	Spread: Pistons (-4.5)	Pistons	BUY	127	48¢	$61	0xa83379…
05-17 23:25:33	San Diego Padres vs. Seattle Mariners	San Diego Padres	BUY	148	42¢	$62	0x0ea351…
05-17 04:21:05	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	2,083	3¢	$56	0x5cbd8e…
05-17 04:19:48	Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?	No	BUY	63,000	0¢	$63	0x29fbe9…
05-15 07:00:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	SELL	174	99¢	$173	0xb4f760…
05-15 06:59:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	174	34¢	$59	0xdf1026…
05-15 06:30:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	SELL	63	99¢	$62	0x7fc558…
05-15 06:25:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	63	62¢	$39	0x3f3037…