Glum-Birdwatcher — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$441

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

76.0%

Resolved

Trades

349

lifetime

Volume

$26.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$75

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-15

last 07-16 11:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

86% 67% +$441

Other

10% — —

Sports

3% — —

Politics

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

27 active days in 12wk • peak 114 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (13) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1784200200	2	$1.0K	697	697	+0	open	—	07-16 11:13
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B	2	$907	590	590	+0	open	—	05-14 13:21
fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 spread home 2pt5	4	$806	868	868	+0	open	—	06-15 16:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	2	$637	386	386	+0	open	—	05-19 14:30
btc updown 5m 1782898200	2	$603	392	392	+0	open	—	07-01 09:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	16	$582	335	335	+0	open	—	05-18 03:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	8	$529	481	481	+0	Down	$-31	05-12 06:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	2	$488	327	327	+0	open	—	05-14 07:05
btc updown 5m 1783307700	2	$455	477	477	+0	open	—	07-06 03:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	6	$451	258	258	+0	Down	+$31	05-12 06:35
Spurs vs. Thunder	3	$438	316	316	+0	open	—	05-19 03:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	2	$397	209	209	+0	Up	+$17	05-07 05:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	2	$391	294	294	+0	Down	+$191	05-07 06:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	2	$387	249	249	+0	Up	+$107	05-09 04:00
btc updown 5m 1783059300	1	$376	660	0	+660	open	—	07-03 06:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	2	$359	211	211	+0	open	—	05-19 14:40
btc updown 5m 1783310100	2	$356	983	0	+983	open	—	07-06 03:57
btc updown 5m 1783226100	2	$342	225	225	+0	open	—	07-05 04:40
btc updown 5m 1782895200	2	$335	193	193	+0	open	—	07-01 08:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	2	$320	237	237	+0	Down	+$120	05-08 14:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	2	$318	196	196	+0	Up	+$74	05-07 03:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	2	$315	166	166	+0	Up	+$15	05-09 03:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	2	$277	160	160	+0	Down	+$40	05-09 03:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	1	$276	505	0	+505	open	—	05-19 14:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	2	$274	175	175	+0	Down	+$74	05-07 06:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	2	$267	168	168	+0	Up	+$67	05-07 06:00
btc updown 5m 1781553300	2	$266	154	154	+0	open	—	06-15 19:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	2	$249	150	150	+0	Down	+$49	05-12 09:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	2	$241	143	143	+0	Up	+$41	05-07 06:40
fifwc che can 2026 06 24 total 2pt5	2	$240	221	220	+0	open	—	06-24 11:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-16 11:13:53	btc updown 5m 1784200200	Up	SELL	697	90¢	$631	0xe27f09…
07-16 11:10:02	btc updown 5m 1784200200	Up	BUY	697	54¢	$378	0x0b50ad…
07-16 10:58:56	btc updown 5m 1784199300	Down	SELL	764	2¢	$15	0xde2dc3…
07-16 10:58:31	btc updown 5m 1784199300	Down	BUY	764	15¢	$117	0xe5565f…
07-11 03:13:26	btc updown 5m 1783739400	Down	SELL	29	14¢	$4	0xa06d9d…
07-11 03:10:41	btc updown 5m 1783739400	Down	BUY	29	60¢	$18	0xb47e9b…
07-06 04:03:11	btc updown 5m 1783310400	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xbf08e8…
07-06 03:57:16	btc updown 5m 1783310100	Down	BUY	869	36¢	$312	0xbafd8d…
07-06 03:57:16	btc updown 5m 1783310100	Down	BUY	114	38¢	$44	0x070cef…
07-06 03:47:17	btc updown 5m 1783309500	Down	BUY	588	30¢	$176	0x0e606b…
07-06 03:19:37	btc updown 5m 1783307700	Up	SELL	477	41¢	$194	0xd207ae…
07-06 03:16:05	btc updown 5m 1783307700	Up	BUY	477	55¢	$261	0x15af09…
07-06 02:48:47	btc updown 5m 1783305900	Down	BUY	218	27¢	$59	0x076591…
07-05 09:39:10	btc updown 5m 1783244100	Down	SELL	162	99¢	$161	0x2b3a21…
07-05 09:37:11	btc updown 5m 1783244100	Down	BUY	162	32¢	$52	0x4305b2…
07-05 09:30:11	btc updown 5m 1783243500	Down	SELL	55	99¢	$55	0x36483d…
07-05 09:28:07	btc updown 5m 1783243500	Down	BUY	55	66¢	$36	0x5cb92d…
07-05 09:27:35	btc updown 5m 1783243500	Up	SELL	97	40¢	$39	0xecbe72…
07-05 09:25:17	btc updown 5m 1783243500	Up	BUY	97	62¢	$60	0x0f503e…
07-05 04:40:17	btc updown 5m 1783226100	Up	SELL	225	99¢	$222	0x1a0b26…
07-05 04:36:43	btc updown 5m 1783226100	Up	BUY	225	53¢	$120	0xfc430a…
07-04 09:41:01	btc updown 5m 1783158000	Up	BUY	192	62¢	$119	0xffd392…
07-04 08:39:41	btc updown 5m 1783154100	Up	SELL	123	99¢	$122	0x272f87…
07-04 08:35:49	btc updown 5m 1783154100	Up	BUY	123	67¢	$83	0xd97638…
07-04 08:30:46	Will Gracie Abrams attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	SELL	234	37¢	$88	0x1e5959…
07-04 07:26:50	Will Gracie Abrams attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	BUY	234	52¢	$121	0xabe9d1…
07-03 06:16:04	btc updown 5m 1783059300	Up	BUY	660	57¢	$376	0x362950…
07-01 09:34:25	btc updown 5m 1782898200	Up	SELL	392	99¢	$388	0x0f7e15…
07-01 09:30:08	btc updown 5m 1782898200	Up	BUY	392	55¢	$215	0x6f4f5f…
07-01 08:45:56	btc updown 5m 1782895500	Down	BUY	83	60¢	$50	0xd39788…
07-01 08:43:31	btc updown 5m 1782895200	Up	SELL	193	99¢	$191	0x6598cd…
07-01 08:41:38	btc updown 5m 1782895200	Up	BUY	193	75¢	$145	0x977f99…
07-01 08:33:31	btc updown 5m 1782894600	Up	SELL	129	18¢	$23	0xa3c721…
07-01 08:31:26	btc updown 5m 1782894600	Up	BUY	129	71¢	$91	0x90c3ad…
07-01 04:05:37	btc updown 5m 1782878700	Up	BUY	93	51¢	$48	0xa9b5b7…
07-01 03:05:26	btc updown 5m 1782875100	Up	BUY	52	58¢	$30	0x5db39f…
07-01 02:35:38	btc updown 5m 1782873300	Up	BUY	23	69¢	$16	0x640433…
06-30 04:39:53	btc updown 5m 1782794100	Down	SELL	134	99¢	$133	0x0114c0…
06-30 04:37:22	btc updown 5m 1782794100	Down	BUY	134	59¢	$79	0x59bd40…
06-28 20:49:31	fifwc rsa can 2026 06 28 total 2pt5	Under	SELL	107	100¢	$107	0x419dc4…
06-28 13:31:38	fifwc rsa can 2026 06 28 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	107	57¢	$61	0x92a38b…
06-26 04:45:16	btc updown 5m 1782448800	Up	SELL	82	99¢	$81	0xa0706d…
06-26 04:44:17	btc updown 5m 1782448800	Up	BUY	82	65¢	$53	0x4be870…
06-24 11:10:23	fifwc che can 2026 06 24 total 2pt5	Under	SELL	220	54¢	$119	0x46748a…
06-24 10:46:34	fifwc che can 2026 06 24 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	221	55¢	$121	0x4b6baa…
06-16 05:15:18	btc updown 5m 1781586900	Down	BUY	211	54¢	$114	0x7b04f1…
06-16 05:06:43	btc updown 5m 1781586300	Up	SELL	168	13¢	$22	0xc6535d…
06-16 05:05:19	btc updown 5m 1781586300	Up	BUY	168	59¢	$100	0x390220…
06-16 03:10:16	btc updown 5m 1781579400	Up	BUY	200	62¢	$124	0x9af770…
06-16 03:05:12	btc updown 5m 1781578800	Up	SELL	128	99¢	$127	0x7e0a5d…
06-16 03:01:45	btc updown 5m 1781578800	Up	BUY	128	70¢	$90	0x494432…
06-16 02:24:33	btc updown 5m 1781576400	Up	SELL	130	11¢	$15	0xba3c7a…
06-16 02:22:01	btc updown 5m 1781576400	Up	BUY	324	47¢	$152	0x97c706…
06-15 19:59:25	btc updown 5m 1781553300	Down	SELL	154	99¢	$152	0x1e9dc6…
06-15 19:57:09	btc updown 5m 1781553300	Down	BUY	154	74¢	$114	0x029a08…
06-15 19:54:37	btc updown 5m 1781553000	Up	SELL	121	96¢	$116	0x9628a3…
06-15 19:52:13	btc updown 5m 1781553000	Up	BUY	121	77¢	$93	0x777e21…
06-15 19:49:01	btc updown 5m 1781552700	Down	SELL	97	98¢	$95	0xccd9a4…
06-15 19:46:06	btc updown 5m 1781552700	Down	BUY	97	83¢	$80	0x66ed96…
06-15 18:29:51	btc updown 5m 1781547900	Down	BUY	169	99¢	$167	0xfe66ad…
06-15 17:35:12	btc updown 5m 1781544900	Up	BUY	167	53¢	$88	0x49de2d…
06-15 16:46:33	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 spread home 2pt5	Spain	SELL	424	22¢	$93	0xde5cbd…
06-15 16:06:16	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 spread home 2pt5	Spain	BUY	424	54¢	$229	0x596ab9…
06-15 16:05:31	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 spread home 2pt5	Spain	SELL	444	53¢	$235	0x366598…
06-15 10:31:45	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 spread home 2pt5	Spain	BUY	444	56¢	$249	0x875d8d…
06-03 07:27:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	183	66¢	$121	0x2e4cc0…
06-03 05:39:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	SELL	132	9¢	$12	0x0afd8e…
06-03 05:35:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	132	50¢	$65	0x960e0d…
06-03 05:30:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	SELL	68	99¢	$67	0xd1f497…
06-03 05:29:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	68	94¢	$64	0xb04390…
06-03 05:24:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	SELL	65	99¢	$65	0x2a793c…
06-03 05:20:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	65	64¢	$42	0x6cf6a2…
06-03 04:50:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	SELL	43	99¢	$43	0x0e5eaf…
06-03 04:46:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	43	63¢	$27	0x63b914…
05-31 11:53:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	16	51¢	$8	0xd48391…
05-31 11:52:16	Trump on $250 bill this year?	Yes	SELL	108	8¢	$9	0xc05755…
05-31 11:12:54	Trump on $250 bill this year?	Yes	BUY	108	9¢	$10	0x25cd6d…
05-23 08:55:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x2f26fb…
05-23 05:25:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	365	46¢	$169	0x9107f3…
05-23 05:04:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	191	42¢	$81	0xf2a68d…
05-23 05:00:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	SELL	85	99¢	$84	0x79089d…
05-23 04:59:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	85	95¢	$81	0xd52d42…
05-23 04:40:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	SELL	82	100¢	$82	0x5f6432…
05-23 04:38:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	82	99¢	$81	0x56d1a4…
05-23 04:20:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	SELL	82	99¢	$81	0xead1ee…
05-23 04:19:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	82	59¢	$48	0x0c3100…
05-23 04:10:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0xa71a90…
05-23 04:09:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0x42fdbc…
05-23 03:40:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	SELL	46	99¢	$45	0xf7d65e…
05-23 03:39:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	46	85¢	$39	0x985363…
05-23 03:24:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	58	32¢	$18	0xe16e59…
05-23 03:19:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	701	9¢	$62	0xb6184b…
05-22 01:43:47	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	23,180	0¢	$23	0x385866…
05-22 01:34:46	Cavaliers vs. Knicks	Cavaliers	SELL	130	19¢	$25	0xe9561c…
05-20 13:16:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	61	50¢	$30	0x476758…
05-20 13:00:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	SELL	31	99¢	$31	0x179273…
05-20 13:00:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	31	99¢	$31	0x5eec27…
05-20 12:50:33	LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	Nongshim Red Force	SELL	307	10¢	$32	0x805da0…
05-20 11:03:24	LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	Nongshim Red Force	BUY	308	40¢	$123	0xb86b2f…
05-20 11:00:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	SELL	127	99¢	$126	0x8aabdc…