Glum-Birdwatcher — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$441

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

76.0%

Resolved

Trades

312

lifetime

Volume

$21.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$67

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-15

last 06-30 04:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

84% 67% +$441

Other

11% — —

Sports

4% — —

Politics

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 114 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (17) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B	2	$907	590	590	+0	open	—	05-14 13:21
fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 spread home 2pt5	4	$806	868	868	+0	open	—	06-15 16:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	2	$637	386	386	+0	open	—	05-19 14:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	16	$582	335	335	+0	open	—	05-18 03:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	8	$529	481	481	+0	Down	$-31	05-12 06:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	2	$488	327	327	+0	open	—	05-14 07:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	6	$451	258	258	+0	Down	+$31	05-12 06:35
Spurs vs. Thunder	3	$438	316	316	+0	open	—	05-19 03:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	2	$397	209	209	+0	Up	+$17	05-07 05:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	2	$391	294	294	+0	Down	+$191	05-07 06:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	2	$387	249	249	+0	Up	+$107	05-09 04:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	2	$359	211	211	+0	open	—	05-19 14:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	2	$320	237	237	+0	Down	+$120	05-08 14:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	2	$318	196	196	+0	Up	+$74	05-07 03:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	2	$315	166	166	+0	Up	+$15	05-09 03:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	2	$277	160	160	+0	Down	+$40	05-09 03:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	1	$276	505	0	+505	open	—	05-19 14:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	2	$274	175	175	+0	Down	+$74	05-07 06:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	2	$267	168	168	+0	Up	+$67	05-07 06:00
btc updown 5m 1781553300	2	$266	154	154	+0	open	—	06-15 19:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	2	$249	150	150	+0	Down	+$49	05-12 09:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	2	$241	143	143	+0	Up	+$41	05-07 06:40
fifwc che can 2026 06 24 total 2pt5	2	$240	221	220	+0	open	—	06-24 11:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	3	$238	389	135	+254	Down	$-162	05-12 09:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	6	$233	231	231	+0	Up	+$33	05-12 06:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	2	$232	174	174	+0	open	—	05-15 07:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	1	$231	355	0	+355	open	—	05-19 15:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	2	$230	151	151	+0	open	—	05-19 13:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	2	$227	128	128	+0	Up	+$27	05-09 02:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	2	$225	127	127	+0	Down	+$25	05-09 02:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-30 04:39:53	btc updown 5m 1782794100	Down	SELL	134	99¢	$133	0x0114c0…
06-30 04:37:22	btc updown 5m 1782794100	Down	BUY	134	59¢	$79	0x59bd40…
06-28 20:49:31	fifwc rsa can 2026 06 28 total 2pt5	Under	SELL	107	100¢	$107	0x419dc4…
06-28 13:31:38	fifwc rsa can 2026 06 28 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	107	57¢	$61	0x92a38b…
06-26 04:45:16	btc updown 5m 1782448800	Up	SELL	82	99¢	$81	0xa0706d…
06-26 04:44:17	btc updown 5m 1782448800	Up	BUY	82	65¢	$53	0x4be870…
06-24 11:10:23	fifwc che can 2026 06 24 total 2pt5	Under	SELL	220	54¢	$119	0x46748a…
06-24 10:46:34	fifwc che can 2026 06 24 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	221	55¢	$121	0x4b6baa…
06-16 05:15:18	btc updown 5m 1781586900	Down	BUY	211	54¢	$114	0x7b04f1…
06-16 05:06:43	btc updown 5m 1781586300	Up	SELL	168	13¢	$22	0xc6535d…
06-16 05:05:19	btc updown 5m 1781586300	Up	BUY	168	59¢	$100	0x390220…
06-16 03:10:16	btc updown 5m 1781579400	Up	BUY	200	62¢	$124	0x9af770…
06-16 03:05:12	btc updown 5m 1781578800	Up	SELL	128	99¢	$127	0x7e0a5d…
06-16 03:01:45	btc updown 5m 1781578800	Up	BUY	128	70¢	$90	0x494432…
06-16 02:24:33	btc updown 5m 1781576400	Up	SELL	130	11¢	$15	0xba3c7a…
06-16 02:22:01	btc updown 5m 1781576400	Up	BUY	324	47¢	$152	0x97c706…
06-15 19:59:25	btc updown 5m 1781553300	Down	SELL	154	99¢	$152	0x1e9dc6…
06-15 19:57:09	btc updown 5m 1781553300	Down	BUY	154	74¢	$114	0x029a08…
06-15 19:54:37	btc updown 5m 1781553000	Up	SELL	121	96¢	$116	0x9628a3…
06-15 19:52:13	btc updown 5m 1781553000	Up	BUY	121	77¢	$93	0x777e21…
06-15 19:49:01	btc updown 5m 1781552700	Down	SELL	97	98¢	$95	0xccd9a4…
06-15 19:46:06	btc updown 5m 1781552700	Down	BUY	97	83¢	$80	0x66ed96…
06-15 18:29:51	btc updown 5m 1781547900	Down	BUY	169	99¢	$167	0xfe66ad…
06-15 17:35:12	btc updown 5m 1781544900	Up	BUY	167	53¢	$88	0x49de2d…
06-15 16:46:33	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 spread home 2pt5	Spain	SELL	424	22¢	$93	0xde5cbd…
06-15 16:06:16	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 spread home 2pt5	Spain	BUY	424	54¢	$229	0x596ab9…
06-15 16:05:31	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 spread home 2pt5	Spain	SELL	444	53¢	$235	0x366598…
06-15 10:31:45	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 spread home 2pt5	Spain	BUY	444	56¢	$249	0x875d8d…
06-03 07:27:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	183	66¢	$121	0x2e4cc0…
06-03 05:39:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	SELL	132	9¢	$12	0x0afd8e…
06-03 05:35:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	132	50¢	$65	0x960e0d…
06-03 05:30:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	SELL	68	99¢	$67	0xd1f497…
06-03 05:29:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	68	94¢	$64	0xb04390…
06-03 05:24:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	SELL	65	99¢	$65	0x2a793c…
06-03 05:20:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	65	64¢	$42	0x6cf6a2…
06-03 04:50:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	SELL	43	99¢	$43	0x0e5eaf…
06-03 04:46:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	43	63¢	$27	0x63b914…
05-31 11:53:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	16	51¢	$8	0xd48391…
05-31 11:52:16	Trump on $250 bill this year?	Yes	SELL	108	8¢	$9	0xc05755…
05-31 11:12:54	Trump on $250 bill this year?	Yes	BUY	108	9¢	$10	0x25cd6d…
05-23 08:55:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x2f26fb…
05-23 05:25:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	365	46¢	$169	0x9107f3…
05-23 05:04:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	191	42¢	$81	0xf2a68d…
05-23 05:00:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	SELL	85	99¢	$84	0x79089d…
05-23 04:59:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	85	95¢	$81	0xd52d42…
05-23 04:40:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	SELL	82	100¢	$82	0x5f6432…
05-23 04:38:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	82	99¢	$81	0x56d1a4…
05-23 04:20:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	SELL	82	99¢	$81	0xead1ee…
05-23 04:19:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	82	59¢	$48	0x0c3100…
05-23 04:10:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0xa71a90…
05-23 04:09:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0x42fdbc…
05-23 03:40:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	SELL	46	99¢	$45	0xf7d65e…
05-23 03:39:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	46	85¢	$39	0x985363…
05-23 03:24:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	58	32¢	$18	0xe16e59…
05-23 03:19:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	701	9¢	$62	0xb6184b…
05-22 01:43:47	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	23,180	0¢	$23	0x385866…
05-22 01:34:46	Cavaliers vs. Knicks	Cavaliers	SELL	130	19¢	$25	0xe9561c…
05-20 13:16:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	61	50¢	$30	0x476758…
05-20 13:00:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	SELL	31	99¢	$31	0x179273…
05-20 13:00:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	31	99¢	$31	0x5eec27…
05-20 12:50:33	LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	Nongshim Red Force	SELL	307	10¢	$32	0x805da0…
05-20 11:03:24	LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	Nongshim Red Force	BUY	308	40¢	$123	0xb86b2f…
05-20 11:00:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	SELL	127	99¢	$126	0x8aabdc…
05-20 10:58:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	127	58¢	$74	0x76a978…
05-19 15:09:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	355	65¢	$231	0x3f0fb0…
05-19 14:53:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	505	55¢	$276	0xc358d7…
05-19 14:42:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	195	77¢	$150	0xff9c3b…
05-19 14:40:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	SELL	211	99¢	$209	0x5136a4…
05-19 14:36:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	211	71¢	$150	0xf1de3f…
05-19 14:30:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	386	99¢	$382	0x2a9716…
05-19 14:27:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	386	66¢	$255	0x7768aa…
05-19 14:13:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	68	19¢	$13	0x2484d2…
05-19 14:10:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	68	64¢	$43	0x4096e8…
05-19 14:10:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	SELL	45	99¢	$44	0x281506…
05-19 14:05:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	45	76¢	$34	0x6f0b9b…
05-19 14:04:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	SELL	40	87¢	$35	0x3eaa2f…
05-19 14:00:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	40	64¢	$26	0x4dbff6…
05-19 14:00:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0xf4cf0f…
05-19 13:57:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	26	88¢	$23	0x718899…
05-19 13:57:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	249	10¢	$25	0xe4bc93…
05-19 13:55:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	249	59¢	$146	0xd982aa…
05-19 13:51:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	SELL	151	100¢	$151	0x43a9ed…
05-19 13:45:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	151	53¢	$80	0x2a714f…
05-19 13:45:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	83	99¢	$82	0x7df401…
05-19 13:41:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	83	88¢	$73	0x447870…
05-19 13:40:11	Cavaliers vs. Knicks	Cavaliers	SELL	249	30¢	$75	0x1e4a19…
05-19 07:20:59	Cavaliers vs. Knicks	Cavaliers	BUY	249	31¢	$77	0x7b6764…
05-19 07:20:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	SELL	80	99¢	$79	0x6d1662…
05-19 07:16:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	80	57¢	$46	0x56ab17…
05-19 07:15:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	SELL	48	99¢	$47	0x9b5d95…
05-19 07:10:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	48	48¢	$23	0x4b8f51…
05-19 07:10:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	SELL	24	99¢	$23	0x2c0d8c…
05-19 07:08:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	24	97¢	$23	0xc7650e…
05-19 07:06:49	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	2,083	1¢	$24	0xb97860…
05-19 03:44:29	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	SELL	316	100¢	$316	0xe61e0b…
05-19 01:52:24	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	121	51¢	$61	0x183cb8…
05-19 00:29:25	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	196	31¢	$61	0x51e7a4…
05-18 03:20:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	SELL	335	99¢	$331	0xf03221…
05-18 03:17:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x160b93…
05-18 03:17:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	75¢	$4	0xd41c71…