Glum-Birdwatcher — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$216

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

67.8%

Resolved

182

Trades

442

lifetime

Volume

$32.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$74

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-15

last 08-08 03:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 39 days

Categories

Crypto

77% 64% +$118

Other

18% 25% -$110

Sports

3% 40% +$215

Politics

1% 25% -$7

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 11:10 UTC	2	$1.0K	697	697	+0	Up	+$253	07-16 11:13
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B	2	$907	590	590	+0	PARIVISION	+$271	05-14 13:21
fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 spread home 2pt5	4	$806	868	868	+0	Cabo Verde	-$149	06-15 16:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	2	$637	386	386	+0	Up	+$127	05-19 14:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 09:30 UTC	2	$603	392	392	+0	Up	+$172	07-01 09:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	16	$582	335	335	+0	Up	+$80	05-18 03:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	8	$529	481	481	+0	Down	-$31	05-12 06:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	2	$488	327	327	+0	Down	+$159	05-14 07:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 03:15 UTC	2	$455	477	477	+0	Down	-$67	07-06 03:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	6	$451	258	258	+0	Down	+$31	05-12 06:35
Spurs vs. Thunder	3	$438	316	316	+0	Spurs	+$194	05-19 03:44
Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%?	2	$429	310	310	+0	Yes	+$189	07-15 05:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	2	$397	209	209	+0	Up	+$17	05-07 05:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	2	$391	294	294	+0	Down	+$191	05-07 06:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 10:40 UTC	2	$391	287	287	+0	Down	+$178	08-05 10:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	2	$387	249	249	+0	Up	+$107	05-09 04:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-03 06:15 UTC	1	$376	660	0	+660	Up	+$284	07-03 06:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	2	$359	211	211	+0	Up	+$59	05-19 14:40
dota2 1win bb4 2026 08 05	3	$358	484	484	+0	1win	-$126	08-05 10:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 03:55 UTC	2	$356	983	0	+983	Up	-$356	07-06 03:57
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?	2	$350	220	220	+0	Yes	+$90	06-27 02:01
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-05 04:35 UTC	2	$342	225	225	+0	Up	+$103	07-05 04:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 08:40 UTC	2	$335	193	193	+0	Up	+$46	07-01 08:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 18:25 UTC	2	$334	169	169	+0	Down	+$0	06-15 18:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	2	$333	234	234	+0	Down	+$36	06-16 02:19
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C or higher on May 15?	2	$332	390	390	+0	No	-$21	05-14 05:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	2	$320	237	237	+0	Down	+$120	05-08 14:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	2	$318	196	196	+0	Up	+$74	05-07 03:31
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 07:05 UTC	2	$317	198	198	+0	Up	+$75	08-01 07:10
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 5?	2	$315	234	234	+0	No	-$62	07-05 04:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-08 03:41:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 03:40 UTC	Up	BUY	455	39¢	$177	0x77ce53…
08-08 03:14:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 03:10 UTC	Up	BUY	27	15¢	$4	0x00ed58…
08-08 03:12:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 03:10 UTC	Up	BUY	38	62¢	$23	0x202bcb…
08-08 03:12:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 03:10 UTC	Up	BUY	166	56¢	$92	0x5308d3…
08-08 02:59:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 03:00 UTC	Down	BUY	116	51¢	$60	0xbd826b…
08-05 11:13:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 11:10 UTC	Down	BUY	112	89¢	$100	0x5df79e…
08-05 10:45:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 10:40 UTC	Down	SELL	287	99¢	$284	0x362876…
08-05 10:41:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 10:40 UTC	Down	BUY	287	37¢	$106	0x8b0aa6…
08-05 10:28:45	dota2 1win bb4 2026 08 05	1win	SELL	484	24¢	$116	0x4d2cff…
08-05 06:01:05	dota2 1win bb4 2026 08 05	1win	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x7955b7…
08-05 06:00:36	dota2 1win bb4 2026 08 05	1win	BUY	481	50¢	$241	0x080d9f…
08-01 08:10:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 08:05 UTC	Up	SELL	135	99¢	$133	0x226f76…
08-01 08:08:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 08:05 UTC	Up	BUY	135	62¢	$84	0xc65964…
08-01 07:10:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 07:05 UTC	Up	SELL	198	99¢	$196	0x10c502…
08-01 07:07:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 07:05 UTC	Up	BUY	198	61¢	$121	0x203d90…
07-22 05:55:15	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 22?	Yes	SELL	12	0¢	$0	0x58636f…
07-22 03:30:01	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 22?	Yes	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xcb9a45…
07-16 11:13:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 11:10 UTC	Up	SELL	697	90¢	$631	0xe27f09…
07-16 11:10:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 11:10 UTC	Up	BUY	697	54¢	$378	0x0b50ad…
07-16 10:58:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 10:55 UTC	Down	SELL	764	2¢	$15	0xde2dc3…
07-16 10:58:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 10:55 UTC	Down	BUY	764	15¢	$117	0xe5565f…
07-15 05:40:07	Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%?	Yes	SELL	310	100¢	$309	0xc83e7e…
07-13 09:38:05	Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%?	Yes	BUY	310	39¢	$120	0xfe5453…
07-12 09:25:14	will vitality win blast bounty 2026 season 2 20260709150231151	Yes	BUY	722	16¢	$118	0x5143ef…
07-11 03:42:44	Will England win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	33	51¢	$17	0xfb5c64…
07-11 03:20:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	SELL	18	99¢	$17	0x9b2290…
07-11 03:19:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	18	40¢	$7	0xcf3547…
07-11 03:18:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x512fe1…
07-11 03:16:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x798995…
07-11 03:13:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 03:10 UTC	Down	SELL	29	14¢	$4	0xa06d9d…
07-11 03:10:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 03:10 UTC	Down	BUY	29	60¢	$18	0xb47e9b…
07-11 02:47:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	18	33¢	$6	0xcabca0…
07-06 04:03:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 04:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xbf08e8…
07-06 03:57:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 03:55 UTC	Down	BUY	869	36¢	$312	0xbafd8d…
07-06 03:57:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 03:55 UTC	Down	BUY	114	38¢	$44	0x070cef…
07-06 03:47:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 03:45 UTC	Down	BUY	588	30¢	$176	0x0e606b…
07-06 03:19:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 03:15 UTC	Up	SELL	477	41¢	$194	0xd207ae…
07-06 03:16:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 03:15 UTC	Up	BUY	477	55¢	$261	0x15af09…
07-06 02:50:17	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 6?	Yes	SELL	134	16¢	$21	0xc54bff…
07-06 02:48:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 02:45 UTC	Down	BUY	218	27¢	$59	0x076591…
07-06 02:32:04	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 6?	Yes	BUY	134	45¢	$60	0xba73ff…
07-05 09:39:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-05 09:35 UTC	Down	SELL	162	99¢	$161	0x2b3a21…
07-05 09:37:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-05 09:35 UTC	Down	BUY	162	32¢	$52	0x4305b2…
07-05 09:30:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-05 09:25 UTC	Down	SELL	55	99¢	$55	0x36483d…
07-05 09:28:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-05 09:25 UTC	Down	BUY	55	66¢	$36	0x5cb92d…
07-05 09:27:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-05 09:25 UTC	Up	SELL	97	40¢	$39	0xecbe72…
07-05 09:25:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-05 09:25 UTC	Up	BUY	97	62¢	$60	0x0f503e…
07-05 04:40:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-05 04:35 UTC	Up	SELL	225	99¢	$222	0x1a0b26…
07-05 04:36:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-05 04:35 UTC	Up	BUY	225	53¢	$120	0xfc430a…
07-05 04:18:59	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 5?	Yes	SELL	234	54¢	$127	0x2aed0f…
07-05 04:09:26	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 5?	Yes	BUY	234	80¢	$188	0xccab5a…
07-04 09:45:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	SELL	192	99¢	$190	0x74e4cc…
07-04 09:41:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-04 09:40 UTC	Up	BUY	192	62¢	$119	0xffd392…
07-04 08:39:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-04 08:35 UTC	Up	SELL	123	99¢	$122	0x272f87…
07-04 08:35:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-04 08:35 UTC	Up	BUY	123	67¢	$83	0xd97638…
07-04 08:30:46	Will Gracie Abrams attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	SELL	234	37¢	$88	0x1e5959…
07-04 07:26:50	Will Gracie Abrams attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	BUY	234	52¢	$121	0xabe9d1…
07-03 06:16:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-03 06:15 UTC	Up	BUY	660	57¢	$376	0x362950…
07-01 09:34:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 09:30 UTC	Up	SELL	392	99¢	$388	0x0f7e15…
07-01 09:30:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 09:30 UTC	Up	BUY	392	55¢	$215	0x6f4f5f…
07-01 08:45:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 08:45 UTC	Down	BUY	83	60¢	$50	0xd39788…
07-01 08:43:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 08:40 UTC	Up	SELL	193	99¢	$191	0x6598cd…
07-01 08:41:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 08:40 UTC	Up	BUY	193	75¢	$145	0x977f99…
07-01 08:33:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 08:30 UTC	Up	SELL	129	18¢	$23	0xa3c721…
07-01 08:31:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 08:30 UTC	Up	BUY	129	71¢	$91	0x90c3ad…
07-01 04:05:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 04:05 UTC	Up	BUY	93	51¢	$48	0xa9b5b7…
07-01 03:08:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	SELL	52	96¢	$50	0x3cf8bf…
07-01 03:05:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 03:05 UTC	Up	BUY	52	58¢	$30	0x5db39f…
07-01 02:45:13	Will Mexico vs. Ecuador end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	113	7¢	$8	0x6c2b99…
07-01 02:35:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 02:35 UTC	Up	BUY	23	69¢	$16	0x640433…
07-01 02:32:20	Will Mexico vs. Ecuador end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	239	7¢	$17	0x7b59f9…
07-01 02:01:19	Will Mexico vs. Ecuador end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	352	37¢	$130	0x31bb18…
06-30 04:39:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 04:35 UTC	Down	SELL	134	99¢	$133	0x0114c0…
06-30 04:37:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 04:35 UTC	Down	BUY	134	59¢	$79	0x59bd40…
06-30 04:22:08	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 30?	Yes	SELL	161	52¢	$84	0x3e893d…
06-30 03:16:35	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	46	65¢	$30	0x177af4…
06-30 03:15:10	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	114	66¢	$75	0x452921…
06-28 20:49:31	fifwc rsa can 2026 06 28 total 2pt5	Under	SELL	107	100¢	$107	0x419dc4…
06-28 13:31:38	fifwc rsa can 2026 06 28 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	107	57¢	$61	0x92a38b…
06-27 02:01:29	Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	SELL	220	100¢	$220	0x03cf1a…
06-26 21:09:23	Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	BUY	220	59¢	$130	0xdc7e30…
06-26 21:00:11	Will France win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	SELL	132	100¢	$132	0xbcb7e6…
06-26 07:59:16	Will France win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	BUY	132	61¢	$80	0xd8c870…
06-26 04:45:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-26 04:40 UTC	Up	SELL	82	99¢	$81	0xa0706d…
06-26 04:44:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-26 04:40 UTC	Up	BUY	82	65¢	$53	0x4be870…
06-26 03:31:16	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 27?	Yes	SELL	131	43¢	$56	0x906244…
06-26 03:28:58	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 27?	Yes	BUY	131	46¢	$61	0xe1b99d…
06-24 11:10:23	fifwc che can 2026 06 24 total 2pt5	Under	SELL	220	54¢	$119	0x46748a…
06-24 10:46:34	fifwc che can 2026 06 24 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	221	55¢	$121	0x4b6baa…
06-24 10:44:20	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 24?	Yes	SELL	124	99¢	$123	0x00d59e…
06-24 05:14:01	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 24?	Yes	BUY	124	44¢	$55	0xf5ce6c…
06-24 04:47:34	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 25?	Yes	SELL	135	43¢	$58	0xaabd9a…
06-24 01:11:11	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 25?	Yes	BUY	135	45¢	$61	0xffe026…
06-16 05:15:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 05:15 UTC	Down	BUY	211	54¢	$114	0x7b04f1…
06-16 05:06:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 05:05 UTC	Up	SELL	168	13¢	$22	0xc6535d…
06-16 05:05:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 05:05 UTC	Up	BUY	168	59¢	$100	0x390220…
06-16 03:10:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 03:10 UTC	Up	BUY	200	62¢	$124	0x9af770…
06-16 03:05:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 03:00 UTC	Up	SELL	128	99¢	$127	0x7e0a5d…
06-16 03:01:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 03:00 UTC	Up	BUY	128	70¢	$90	0x494432…
06-16 02:35:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	92	52¢	$48	0xd6dbed…