Natural-Mitten — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$168

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

62.7%

Resolved

Trades

376

lifetime

Volume

$5.12K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-06

last 07-12 04:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 23 days

Categories

Other

100% 34% -$168

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-12).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 21?	9	$838	437	437	+0	No	+$9	06-21 07:41
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 37°C on June 27?	3	$443	227	227	+0	No	+$10	06-27 07:33
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on June 27?	15	$353	207	207	+0	No	-$4	06-27 07:25
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 12?	6	$326	251	251	-0	Yes	+$44	06-12 08:13
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on June 27?	9	$318	1,233	233	+1,000	No	-$8	06-27 07:07
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 21?	5	$288	147	147	+0	No	+$6	06-21 05:30
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on June 28?	11	$244	199	133	+65	Yes	-$49	06-28 06:58
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 13?	7	$241	295	0	+295	No	+$54	06-13 05:09
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 12?	3	$191	100	100	+0	No	+$9	06-12 06:16
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 13?	9	$159	232	113	+119	Yes	-$98	06-13 07:12
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C or below on June 13?	15	$143	398	0	+398	No	-$143	06-13 07:06
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 13?	4	$138	166	0	+166	No	+$28	06-13 05:11
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on July 12?	5	$125	137	0	+137	No	+$12	07-12 04:10
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 28?	17	$123	277	277	-0	No	-$30	06-28 05:11
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on June 28?	12	$97	177	90	+87	No	+$6	06-28 05:51
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on June 27?	8	$84	84	84	+0	Yes	+$35	06-27 07:25
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 14?	5	$83	71	71	+0	Yes	+$60	06-14 15:20
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 12?	12	$79	1,200	77	+1,123	No	-$6	06-12 07:08
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 21?	6	$75	64	64	+0	Yes	+$12	06-21 06:15
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 15?	4	$58	62	62	+0	Yes	+$44	06-15 07:45
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on May 31?	7	$49	42	42	+0	Yes	+$11	05-31 07:28
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 28?	4	$44	102	102	+0	No	-$18	06-28 02:23
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on May 25?	6	$37	38	38	+0	Yes	-$2	05-24 16:06
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 16?	4	$34	112	49	+63	No	-$15	06-15 18:14
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 14?	7	$33	76	76	+0	No	-$10	06-14 04:59
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on June 12?	3	$27	15	15	+0	No	+$3	06-12 07:58
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 24?	4	$23	20	20	+0	Yes	+$8	05-24 05:58
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on June 2?	4	$22	81	0	+81	No	-$22	06-02 01:17
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 13?	1	$21	22	0	+22	No	+$1	06-13 05:26
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 14?	6	$21	75	0	+75	No	-$21	06-12 14:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-12 04:59:58	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on July 12?	Yes	SELL	11	33¢	$4	0xb181c7…
07-12 04:12:37	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on July 12?	Yes	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0xc7815f…
07-12 04:10:38	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on July 12?	No	BUY	103	93¢	$96	0x911024…
07-12 03:23:20	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on July 12?	No	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0x7f8e9d…
07-12 03:23:11	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on July 12?	No	BUY	10	88¢	$8	0x827590…
07-12 03:23:01	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on July 12?	No	BUY	8	86¢	$7	0x614c5a…
07-12 03:22:53	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on July 12?	No	BUY	8	83¢	$7	0x9631e1…
07-12 03:17:26	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on July 12?	Yes	SELL	10	28¢	$3	0x286eaf…
07-12 03:13:49	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on July 13?	Yes	BUY	9	15¢	$1	0x0ff151…
07-12 03:13:32	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on July 13?	Yes	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0x4dd711…
07-12 03:13:22	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on July 13?	Yes	BUY	34	26¢	$9	0x4d0156…
07-11 18:34:19	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on July 12?	Yes	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0x906b70…
07-11 18:33:53	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on July 12?	Yes	BUY	11	32¢	$4	0xfc5272…
07-11 18:33:41	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on July 12?	Yes	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0xd9f5f3…
06-28 06:58:47	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on June 28?	No	BUY	33	55¢	$18	0xe4e717…
06-28 06:39:20	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on June 28?	No	BUY	32	64¢	$21	0xe1363e…
06-28 06:24:13	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on June 28?	Yes	SELL	20	44¢	$9	0xe13b76…
06-28 05:51:34	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on June 28?	Yes	SELL	13	56¢	$7	0x027aa4…
06-28 05:51:32	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on June 28?	Yes	SELL	5	56¢	$3	0xefa8a3…
06-28 05:51:32	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on June 28?	Yes	SELL	6	56¢	$3	0xd890fb…
06-28 05:51:14	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on June 28?	Yes	SELL	7	56¢	$4	0x4e5beb…
06-28 05:48:02	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on June 28?	Yes	BUY	20	37¢	$7	0xcca97a…
06-28 05:47:13	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on June 28?	Yes	SELL	15	56¢	$8	0x6f2bbb…
06-28 05:46:58	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on June 28?	Yes	SELL	26	58¢	$15	0x6a592d…
06-28 05:46:47	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on June 28?	Yes	SELL	18	59¢	$11	0xc49aa4…
06-28 05:11:01	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 28?	Yes	SELL	62	11¢	$7	0xe3f91d…
06-28 04:55:26	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 28?	Yes	BUY	30	15¢	$4	0xd93a2c…
06-28 04:53:05	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 28?	Yes	BUY	32	15¢	$5	0x8f90e0…
06-28 04:22:11	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 28?	Yes	SELL	66	6¢	$4	0x650398…
06-28 04:21:49	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 28?	Yes	SELL	11	7¢	$1	0x9212ac…
06-28 04:21:28	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on June 28?	No	SELL	43	66¢	$29	0x7e1cb5…
06-28 04:07:08	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 28?	Yes	SELL	42	21¢	$9	0x17aed8…
06-28 04:06:20	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 28?	Yes	SELL	13	20¢	$3	0x90d59a…
06-28 03:54:11	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 28?	Yes	SELL	30	25¢	$7	0x36baf5…
06-28 03:45:38	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on June 28?	No	SELL	43	85¢	$37	0xfa5724…
06-28 02:42:11	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on June 28?	Yes	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0x3dcd2a…
06-28 02:38:46	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on June 28?	No	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xc2933a…
06-28 02:37:13	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on June 28?	No	SELL	27	85¢	$23	0x9c7e14…
06-28 02:31:55	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on June 28?	Yes	BUY	55	35¢	$19	0x7d1c4d…
06-28 02:31:44	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on June 28?	Yes	BUY	8	34¢	$3	0x78bf73…
06-28 02:30:19	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 28?	Yes	SELL	54	30¢	$16	0xb9d5f2…
06-28 02:30:05	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on June 28?	No	BUY	50	86¢	$43	0xe37210…
06-28 02:29:29	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on June 28?	No	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x2b0637…
06-28 02:23:01	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 28?	Yes	SELL	102	13¢	$13	0x1cb1f3…
06-28 02:22:35	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 28?	Yes	SELL	113	2¢	$2	0xf654c6…
06-27 18:09:59	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 28?	Yes	BUY	35	29¢	$10	0x9ad300…
06-27 18:07:20	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 28?	Yes	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0xc4d2e5…
06-27 17:19:02	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 28?	Yes	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x08ed0b…
06-27 17:12:55	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 28?	Yes	BUY	59	29¢	$17	0x8aa291…
06-27 17:08:01	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 28?	Yes	BUY	35	18¢	$6	0x10391e…
06-27 17:06:38	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 28?	Yes	BUY	25	16¢	$4	0x0bc55e…
06-27 17:06:17	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on June 28?	Yes	BUY	71	20¢	$14	0x6aa46b…
06-27 17:03:47	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 28?	Yes	BUY	7	32¢	$2	0x1f15e2…
06-27 17:03:32	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 28?	Yes	BUY	15	30¢	$4	0x2ce5dd…
06-27 16:14:58	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 28?	Yes	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0xb1b033…
06-27 16:11:49	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 28?	Yes	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0xe5be5a…
06-27 16:11:25	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 28?	Yes	BUY	42	35¢	$15	0x6ef3cd…
06-27 16:11:10	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 28?	Yes	BUY	72	33¢	$24	0x2e426a…
06-27 07:48:29	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on June 28?	No	BUY	52	91¢	$48	0x6d7243…
06-27 07:33:56	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 37°C on June 27?	No	SELL	227	100¢	$227	0x031374…
06-27 07:25:58	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on June 27?	No	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0x422f54…
06-27 07:25:05	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on June 27?	No	SELL	16	93¢	$15	0x7ad584…
06-27 07:25:01	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on June 27?	No	SELL	30	93¢	$28	0x81176b…
06-27 07:25:01	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on June 27?	No	SELL	7	93¢	$7	0x0d72d4…
06-27 07:24:50	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on June 27?	No	SELL	63	93¢	$58	0x710ac5…
06-27 07:19:58	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on June 27?	No	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xcf55bf…
06-27 07:19:37	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on June 27?	No	BUY	0	10¢	$0	0x4758c6…
06-27 07:14:22	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on June 27?	No	SELL	12	81¢	$10	0x64d283…
06-27 07:12:35	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on June 27?	No	SELL	8	84¢	$7	0x1cbe75…
06-27 07:12:26	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on June 27?	No	SELL	8	83¢	$7	0x0f8ab8…
06-27 07:11:49	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on June 27?	No	SELL	39	86¢	$33	0x37160d…
06-27 07:11:40	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on June 27?	No	SELL	7	87¢	$6	0xae1c0c…
06-27 07:07:22	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on June 27?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xbc2d82…
06-27 07:04:34	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on June 27?	Yes	SELL	34	91¢	$31	0xc87e00…
06-27 07:04:25	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on June 27?	Yes	SELL	30	92¢	$28	0x11a46e…
06-27 07:01:55	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on June 27?	No	SELL	123	99¢	$122	0x07e30f…
06-27 07:00:50	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on June 27?	No	SELL	19	95¢	$18	0x636fd5…
06-27 06:59:29	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on June 27?	No	SELL	9	93¢	$8	0xb34f79…
06-27 06:25:32	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on June 27?	No	BUY	129	94¢	$121	0x0f12a5…
06-27 06:18:34	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on June 27?	No	BUY	45	91¢	$41	0x006631…
06-27 05:12:20	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on June 27?	No	BUY	151	92¢	$139	0xa3be38…
06-27 05:10:14	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on June 27?	Yes	SELL	82	8¢	$7	0x0f9c89…
06-27 04:14:56	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on June 27?	No	BUY	8	84¢	$7	0x742ead…
06-27 04:03:47	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on June 27?	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x69767e…
06-27 04:03:20	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on June 27?	Yes	BUY	22	30¢	$7	0x79e0f9…
06-27 04:00:26	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 37°C on June 27?	No	BUY	56	95¢	$54	0x69c83c…
06-27 04:00:02	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on June 27?	No	BUY	8	91¢	$7	0x0b3bf9…
06-27 03:12:07	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 37°C on June 27?	No	BUY	171	95¢	$163	0xeeb368…
06-27 03:10:52	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on June 27?	Yes	SELL	17	26¢	$4	0x6f1506…
06-27 03:08:19	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on June 27?	Yes	SELL	40	4¢	$2	0x3f47e8…
06-26 16:26:04	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 28?	Yes	BUY	43	13¢	$5	0x91a55b…
06-26 16:25:38	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on June 28?	Yes	BUY	33	18¢	$6	0xadf7d1…
06-26 16:25:22	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 28?	Yes	BUY	29	32¢	$9	0x3f84f3…
06-26 16:25:07	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 28?	Yes	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x6b20b4…
06-26 14:34:35	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on June 27?	Yes	BUY	19	40¢	$8	0x134eda…
06-26 14:33:41	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on June 27?	Yes	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0xf814d2…
06-26 04:32:10	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on June 27?	Yes	BUY	4	9¢	$0	0x8789c8…
06-26 03:15:02	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on June 27?	Yes	BUY	25	9¢	$2	0xe0bc35…
06-26 02:00:04	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on June 27?	Yes	BUY	17	16¢	$3	0x494c46…
06-26 01:59:50	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on June 27?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x8660b2…