Political-Crazy — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$226

Unrealized P&L

+$4

Hit rate

52.4%

Resolved

120

Trades

2,150

lifetime

Volume

$8.79K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$17

1 position

First seen

2026-04-18

last 06-03 15:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 49% +$226

Sports

3% — —

Politics

0% — —

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

28 active days in 12wk • peak 415 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (19) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	No		-63	$-21	27¢	$-17	+$4	06-03 15:08

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	28	$173	130	130	+0	Down	+$67	05-10 20:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	40	$155	200	200	+0	Up	$-35	05-10 16:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	30	$132	139	138	+1	open	—	04-30 14:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	19	$130	100	90	+10	Down	+$45	05-12 16:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	19	$116	95	85	+10	open	—	04-29 23:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	14	$108	67	67	+0	Down	+$18	05-11 00:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	11	$102	100	100	+0	Up	+$12	05-10 06:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	12	$91	100	40	+60	Down	+$35	05-08 23:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	12	$87	120	20	+100	Up	$-55	05-11 01:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	14	$85	115	0	+115	open	—	04-28 04:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	15	$81	150	0	+150	Up	+$69	05-12 23:18
btc updown 15m 1776976200	15	$81	200	0	+200	open	—	04-23 20:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	23	$81	109	98	+11	Down	$-38	05-10 16:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	10	$78	80	40	+40	Up	+$32	05-08 21:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	14	$77	140	60	+80	Up	$-7	05-10 02:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	17	$71	100	60	+40	Up	$-67	05-10 19:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	12	$71	120	20	+100	Down	+$40	05-08 23:29
btc updown 15m 1776979800	14	$71	201	0	+201	open	—	04-23 21:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	20	$67	100	100	+0	Down	$-18	05-10 16:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	20	$67	100	100	+0	Down	$-45	05-12 18:29
btc updown 15m 1776707100	10	$65	110	0	+110	open	—	04-20 17:50
btc updown 15m 1776564900	9	$64	89	0	+89	open	—	04-19 02:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	13	$64	70	70	+0	Down	$-20	05-12 15:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	17	$64	86	60	+26	Up	+$17	05-10 23:01
btc updown 15m 1776971700	11	$63	159	0	+159	open	—	04-23 19:28
Hurricanes vs. Canadiens	7	$62	80	93	-13	open	—	05-28 00:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	21	$61	100	100	+0	Up	$-32	05-12 17:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	10	$61	100	0	+100	Down	$-61	05-11 00:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	10	$61	100	0	+100	open	—	05-01 01:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	15	$60	100	100	+0	open	—	05-01 00:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-03 15:08:27	US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	No	SELL	63	34¢	$21	0x19b9f5…
05-31 02:42:38	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	19	82¢	$16	0xea0a60…
05-31 02:27:54	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	19	83¢	$16	0x720462…
05-31 02:27:54	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	24	83¢	$20	0x417046…
05-31 02:18:22	New York Yankees vs. Athletics	New York Yankees	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x7f0317…
05-31 02:18:20	New York Yankees vs. Athletics	New York Yankees	SELL	7	38¢	$3	0x7512fd…
05-31 02:18:18	New York Yankees vs. Athletics	New York Yankees	BUY	7	39¢	$3	0xa67207…
05-31 01:34:03	San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockies	Colorado Rockies	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x53534a…
05-31 01:05:53	Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals	St. Louis Cardinals	SELL	30	19¢	$6	0x22c86c…
05-31 00:59:40	Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals	St. Louis Cardinals	BUY	26	23¢	$6	0xce141e…
05-31 00:59:40	Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals	St. Louis Cardinals	SELL	10	22¢	$2	0x12d4b2…
05-31 00:59:33	Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals	St. Louis Cardinals	BUY	14	24¢	$3	0xe6d1c4…
05-31 00:15:17	Los Angeles Sparks vs. Connecticut Sun	Connecticut Sun	BUY	24	80¢	$19	0xd0786c…
05-30 23:55:16	Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds	Cincinnati Reds	SELL	5	47¢	$2	0xa10f6c…
05-30 23:55:14	Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds	Cincinnati Reds	BUY	5	48¢	$3	0xad2066…
05-30 03:47:09	San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockies	Colorado Rockies	SELL	22	74¢	$16	0xed2a78…
05-30 03:47:08	San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockies	Colorado Rockies	BUY	23	82¢	$18	0x3531c2…
05-30 02:47:27	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Houston Astros	Houston Astros	BUY	29	62¢	$18	0x9b0000…
05-28 00:57:49	Hurricanes vs. Canadiens	Hurricanes	SELL	17	92¢	$16	0x56fc67…
05-28 00:57:33	Hurricanes vs. Canadiens	Canadiens	SELL	54	6¢	$3	0xb887a3…
05-28 00:48:41	Hurricanes vs. Canadiens	Canadiens	BUY	27	36¢	$10	0x903932…
05-28 00:48:41	Hurricanes vs. Canadiens	Canadiens	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x4d093f…
05-28 00:37:24	Hurricanes vs. Canadiens	Hurricanes	BUY	17	56¢	$10	0x0c5382…
05-27 01:10:57	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x23e9b1…
05-25 22:21:54	Hurricanes vs. Canadiens	Canadiens	SELL	22	44¢	$10	0xa17a87…
05-25 22:21:47	Hurricanes vs. Canadiens	Canadiens	BUY	22	44¢	$10	0xe8c754…
05-20 21:57:21	Texas Rangers vs. Colorado Rockies	Colorado Rockies	SELL	10	21¢	$2	0xaadd00…
05-20 21:49:09	Texas Rangers vs. Colorado Rockies	Texas Rangers	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0xbe55ad…
05-20 21:46:16	Texas Rangers vs. Colorado Rockies	Colorado Rockies	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0x44254a…
05-13 01:38:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x33f619…
05-13 01:36:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x562b7e…
05-13 01:35:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0x8fcb1f…
05-13 01:31:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	SELL	10	42¢	$4	0x7e7aec…
05-13 01:31:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x44d106…
05-13 01:30:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x1d4fbd…
05-13 01:21:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0x808262…
05-13 01:21:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0xb7527e…
05-13 01:21:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xdeda2a…
05-13 00:35:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	SELL	10	37¢	$4	0x0d6447…
05-13 00:35:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0x19614b…
05-13 00:09:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	SELL	9	47¢	$4	0xd25ad1…
05-13 00:09:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	SELL	1	47¢	$0	0x6cb9d3…
05-13 00:07:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$4	0xf4f2fd…
05-13 00:07:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x8394de…
05-13 00:02:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	SELL	10	62¢	$6	0xfbde89…
05-13 00:02:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x96d12a…
05-12 23:50:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	SELL	10	41¢	$4	0xb74260…
05-12 23:47:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x35ebd4…
05-12 23:18:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xc152a7…
05-12 23:18:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x3c89a9…
05-12 23:18:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x870283…
05-12 23:18:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x1742f6…
05-12 23:18:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x8af531…
05-12 23:18:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xb0a03b…
05-12 23:18:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0xce2b96…
05-12 23:18:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x7d2c4e…
05-12 23:17:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0x948bb8…
05-12 23:17:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0xca0025…
05-12 23:17:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0x97c8ad…
05-12 23:17:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0x8f1c7b…
05-12 23:16:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0x753111…
05-12 23:16:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0x63359c…
05-12 23:15:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x720948…
05-12 23:13:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x7f77d8…
05-12 23:13:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	SELL	10	84¢	$8	0x106ca1…
05-12 23:07:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x25d084…
05-12 23:06:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x370931…
05-12 23:01:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	SELL	0	65¢	$0	0x601699…
05-12 23:01:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	SELL	9	65¢	$6	0xec2212…
05-12 23:00:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	49¢	$4	0xea7543…
05-12 23:00:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xc5eb9e…
05-12 23:00:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	49¢	$0	0x2806a2…
05-12 22:59:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	SELL	10	76¢	$8	0xf13b67…
05-12 22:45:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x36fef5…
05-12 22:37:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	SELL	10	39¢	$4	0x0b3157…
05-12 22:35:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0xd603fa…
05-12 22:28:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	SELL	10	11¢	$1	0x3369cf…
05-12 22:24:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	SELL	10	16¢	$2	0xa52858…
05-12 22:24:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	SELL	10	16¢	$2	0x89db7e…
05-12 22:23:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	9	17¢	$1	0xeddd3d…
05-12 22:23:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	17¢	$0	0x139da6…
05-12 22:19:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	26¢	$2	0x68df56…
05-12 22:19:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	26¢	$1	0x0b942e…
05-12 22:16:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x5a4ccf…
05-12 22:16:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	50¢	$3	0x381eaa…
05-12 21:59:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	SELL	10	67¢	$7	0xba5556…
05-12 21:59:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	SELL	10	62¢	$6	0xd3d7c8…
05-12 21:52:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0x3ad2d6…
05-12 21:52:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0x8afade…
05-12 21:52:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	29¢	$3	0xd12905…
05-12 21:52:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	29¢	$0	0xb81fdd…
05-12 21:49:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	26¢	$3	0x2ab942…
05-12 21:49:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	26¢	$3	0x0ea1a2…
05-12 21:49:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0xf11902…
05-12 21:49:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0xf347c9…
05-12 21:49:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x9430de…
05-12 21:49:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0xea904c…
05-12 21:49:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x7a3386…
05-12 21:49:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x071ba8…
05-12 21:16:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xa6dc1f…