Rusty-Refund — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$457

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

73.8%

Resolved

117

Trades

417

lifetime

Volume

$4.28K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-14

last 05-22 01:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

54% 43% -$411

Other

46% 58% -$46

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-22).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	3	$1.2K	875	455	+419	Down	+$54	05-22 00:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	1	$450	629	0	+629	Down	-$450	05-22 00:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	1	$450	460	0	+460	Down	+$10	05-22 00:49
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on May 17?	4	$131	66	66	+0	No	+$1	05-17 07:08
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on May 20?	6	$117	65	63	+2	No	-$4	05-20 06:06
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C or higher on May 20?	4	$115	62	56	+5	No	-$2	05-20 09:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	5	$114	518	146	+373	Up	-$26	05-22 01:08
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on May 21?	17	$113	72	72	-0	Yes	+$32	05-21 11:27
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 21?	16	$103	65	65	+0	Yes	+$27	05-21 11:27
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on May 17?	6	$93	60	40	+20	Yes	+$5	05-17 07:32
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on May 17?	2	$70	70	0	+70	No	+$0	05-17 05:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	2	$70	104	104	+0	Down	+$11	05-22 01:03
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on May 21?	2	$62	31	31	+0	No	+$0	05-21 03:00
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on May 21?	13	$55	51	40	+11	Yes	+$19	05-21 06:46
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 21°C on May 17?	1	$50	50	0	+50	No	+$0	05-17 03:00
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on May 20?	1	$50	51	0	+51	Yes	+$1	05-20 09:11
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on May 20?	2	$47	24	24	+0	No	+$0	05-20 23:55
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on May 17?	1	$45	45	0	+45	No	+$0	05-17 06:27
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 21?	10	$40	42	38	+4	No	+$6	05-21 06:41
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on May 21?	8	$38	30	30	+0	Yes	+$7	05-21 07:53
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on May 20?	1	$34	34	0	+34	No	+$0	05-20 08:01
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on May 20?	1	$33	33	0	+33	No	+$0	05-20 08:26
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 21?	14	$32	65	0	+65	No	-$32	05-21 06:13
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on May 20?	2	$31	31	0	+31	No	+$0	05-20 09:14
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on May 21?	17	$31	85	0	+85	No	-$31	05-21 05:34
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on May 15?	4	$31	33	0	+33	No	+$2	05-15 07:53
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 21?	12	$31	55	0	+55	No	-$31	05-21 06:17
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 21?	14	$28	66	0	+66	No	-$28	05-21 06:18
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on May 21?	9	$26	44	0	+44	Yes	+$17	05-21 07:17
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C or higher on May 15?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	05-15 06:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-22 01:08:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x3c0415…
05-22 01:07:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x7c6288…
05-22 01:07:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	259	12¢	$30	0x2e7800…
05-22 01:06:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	SELL	146	30¢	$44	0x998788…
05-22 01:06:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	146	21¢	$30	0xdb89da…
05-22 01:04:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xa679d4…
05-22 01:03:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	SELL	104	39¢	$40	0xc16144…
05-22 01:02:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	104	28¢	$29	0xe839e0…
05-22 00:58:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	629	72¢	$450	0xec4971…
05-22 00:53:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x6d286c…
05-22 00:52:22	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on May 21?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xea6e2d…
05-22 00:52:13	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on May 21?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x2db650…
05-22 00:52:04	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 59°F or below on May 21?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xdea1de…
05-22 00:51:57	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on May 21?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x149cb1…
05-22 00:49:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	460	98¢	$450	0xde1f56…
05-22 00:44:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	419	95¢	$400	0x8ca944…
05-22 00:44:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	SELL	455	95¢	$434	0x852705…
05-22 00:43:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	455	88¢	$400	0x7c6753…
05-21 21:16:16	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on May 21?	Yes	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0x7651d1…
05-21 18:01:36	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on May 21?	Yes	BUY	2	16¢	$0	0x5fe602…
05-21 18:00:37	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on May 21?	Yes	BUY	3	16¢	$1	0x2b271f…
05-21 12:58:58	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on May 21?	Yes	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xb993d0…
05-21 11:27:51	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 21?	Yes	SELL	65	100¢	$65	0x778831…
05-21 11:27:08	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on May 21?	Yes	SELL	72	100¢	$72	0xad9a96…
05-21 11:02:17	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 32°C on May 21?	Yes	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0x3d6602…
05-21 11:02:03	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 32°C on May 21?	Yes	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0xab3cfb…
05-21 11:01:05	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 29°C on May 21?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xd9def9…
05-21 10:42:53	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on May 21?	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x2f70d5…
05-21 10:25:19	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on May 21?	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xfd972a…
05-21 10:23:12	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on May 21?	Yes	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x0cd527…
05-21 10:22:51	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on May 21?	Yes	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xbe1975…
05-21 10:19:54	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 24°C on May 21?	Yes	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x042cfa…
05-21 10:16:05	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 23°C on May 21?	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x375507…
05-21 10:03:20	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 31°C on May 21?	Yes	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0x5e6322…
05-21 10:00:04	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 30°C on May 21?	Yes	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xdc9fc0…
05-21 10:00:04	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 29°C on May 21?	Yes	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x6574f4…
05-21 09:58:45	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 23°C on May 21?	Yes	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xb355c4…
05-21 09:58:35	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 23°C on May 21?	Yes	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xb1ef4e…
05-21 09:49:43	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 24°C on May 21?	Yes	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x67a19f…
05-21 09:42:08	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 24°C on May 21?	Yes	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xcea0d2…
05-21 09:41:38	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on May 21?	Yes	BUY	2	31¢	$1	0x86e249…
05-21 09:40:12	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on May 21?	Yes	BUY	1	31¢	$0	0x135044…
05-21 09:24:29	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 30°C on May 21?	Yes	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x2dbeff…
05-21 09:23:10	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 31°C on May 21?	Yes	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0xdbf8e4…
05-21 09:20:10	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on May 21?	Yes	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0x94db42…
05-21 09:19:00	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 59°F or below on May 21?	Yes	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xa19291…
05-21 09:17:31	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on May 21?	Yes	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xc5814c…
05-21 09:11:11	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 30°C on May 21?	Yes	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xd85b5e…
05-21 08:47:35	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on May 21?	Yes	BUY	4	33¢	$1	0xb28c54…
05-21 08:47:33	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on May 21?	Yes	BUY	1	33¢	$0	0x3197be…
05-21 08:24:54	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C or higher on May 21?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x89be02…
05-21 08:10:55	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on May 21?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xc2e2de…
05-21 08:05:18	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on May 21?	Yes	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x9b386a…
05-21 08:01:56	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on May 21?	Yes	BUY	4	5¢	$0	0x75ae0e…
05-21 08:01:13	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on May 21?	Yes	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x925281…
05-21 07:53:11	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on May 21?	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x2a7ff2…
05-21 07:34:42	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 21?	Yes	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x7bfc2c…
05-21 07:33:55	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on May 21?	Yes	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xf8416d…
05-21 07:33:25	Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 34°C on May 21?	Yes	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x951ec2…
05-21 07:24:21	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C or higher on May 21?	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x617b94…
05-21 07:22:27	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on May 21?	Yes	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x038613…
05-21 07:21:13	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on May 21?	Yes	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xb7f7bf…
05-21 07:19:23	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on May 21?	Yes	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0x4765f2…
05-21 07:18:57	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on May 21?	Yes	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x9e78c4…
05-21 07:18:46	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on May 21?	Yes	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x89dfcb…
05-21 07:18:17	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C or higher on May 21?	Yes	SELL	25	24¢	$6	0xa6ae95…
05-21 07:17:47	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C or higher on May 21?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x0abc46…
05-21 07:17:08	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C or higher on May 21?	Yes	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0xe3b4ee…
05-21 07:17:07	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on May 21?	Yes	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xb59954…
05-21 07:17:07	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C or higher on May 21?	Yes	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0x2da9c2…
05-21 07:15:06	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on May 21?	Yes	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0xabfb5b…
05-21 07:14:41	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C on May 21?	Yes	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xb95122…
05-21 07:14:29	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 21?	Yes	BUY	4	9¢	$0	0xe232ae…
05-21 07:14:24	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C or higher on May 21?	Yes	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0x32e64a…
05-21 07:14:24	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C or higher on May 21?	Yes	BUY	1	12¢	$0	0x177bac…
05-21 07:13:59	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C or higher on May 21?	Yes	BUY	0	12¢	$0	0xed3bd0…
05-21 07:13:02	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on May 21?	Yes	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x06ab89…
05-21 07:11:15	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C or higher on May 21?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xa6d3d2…
05-21 07:10:00	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on May 21?	Yes	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xd8bb85…
05-21 07:07:36	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on May 21?	Yes	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0xfedf76…
05-21 07:06:30	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on May 21?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x1e1ea6…
05-21 07:05:41	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on May 21?	Yes	BUY	4	18¢	$1	0xaeedb2…
05-21 07:02:21	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 21?	Yes	BUY	3	14¢	$0	0x880912…
05-21 07:01:43	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on May 21?	Yes	BUY	1	18¢	$0	0x921106…
05-21 07:01:36	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on May 21?	Yes	BUY	4	40¢	$2	0xd3b4a6…
05-21 07:01:22	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on May 21?	Yes	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x8450ac…
05-21 07:00:20	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on May 21?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xf26076…
05-21 06:59:26	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on May 21?	Yes	BUY	3	17¢	$0	0xd3f456…
05-21 06:59:26	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on May 21?	Yes	BUY	2	17¢	$0	0x9478df…
05-21 06:59:26	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on May 21?	Yes	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x2f55df…
05-21 06:59:19	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on May 21?	Yes	BUY	1	17¢	$0	0xb2288d…
05-21 06:59:17	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on May 21?	Yes	BUY	4	17¢	$1	0x731781…
05-21 06:59:14	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on May 21?	Yes	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xd2b6f4…
05-21 06:59:14	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on May 21?	Yes	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x53be49…
05-21 06:59:12	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on May 21?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xda972c…
05-21 06:59:12	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on May 21?	Yes	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x4520b7…
05-21 06:59:10	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on May 21?	Yes	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xfe3ff7…
05-21 06:59:05	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on May 21?	Yes	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x1199a7…
05-21 06:55:44	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 21?	Yes	BUY	1	14¢	$0	0xa38c9d…
05-21 06:55:14	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 21?	Yes	BUY	1	14¢	$0	0x561a8c…