Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$20

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

68.0%

Resolved

135

Trades

391

lifetime

Volume

$1.51K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-02-27

last 10-22 18:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 15 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 52% -$13

Politics

0% 0% -$7

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 56 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes		+42	$5	9¢	$4	-$1	10-22 17:39

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 00:10 UTC	4	$56	69	32	+37	Up	+$7	03-09 00:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 23:55 UTC	4	$49	52	51	+1	Down	+$7	03-08 23:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 19:35 UTC	9	$41	47	35	+12	Up	+$4	03-11 19:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 00:15 UTC	4	$39	46	22	+24	Down	+$6	03-09 00:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 23:40 UTC	3	$38	42	18	+23	Down	-$2	03-08 23:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 06:40 UTC	7	$38	40	39	+0	Down	$0	03-09 06:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 19:50 UTC	6	$35	38	16	+22	Up	-$3	03-11 19:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 19:40 UTC	5	$33	32	17	+14	Up	+$1	03-11 19:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	8	$33	34	34	+0	Down	+$3	10-21 22:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 00:40 UTC	4	$30	49	12	+37	Down	-$6	03-09 00:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 19:10 UTC	4	$29	31	16	+15	Up	+$4	03-11 19:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	6	$27	30	25	+4	Up	+$1	10-21 22:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 00:25 UTC	4	$27	34	15	+19	Up	+$2	03-09 00:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 06:25 UTC	3	$26	30	15	+15	Down	+$4	03-09 06:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 02:25 UTC	5	$26	30	14	+16	Down	+$2	03-09 02:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 19:20 UTC	5	$26	33	14	+19	Up	+$2	03-11 19:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 00:20 UTC	4	$25	31	13	+18	Down	+$1	03-09 00:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 23:45 UTC	2	$25	66	0	+66	Up	+$5	03-08 23:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 02:30 UTC	5	$25	38	13	+25	Up	+$1	03-09 02:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 02:20 UTC	5	$25	29	12	+17	Up	+$0	03-09 02:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 19:30 UTC	5	$24	29	12	+17	Up	+$0	03-11 19:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 23:30 UTC	4	$24	26	13	+13	Down	+$2	03-07 23:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 19:25 UTC	4	$22	28	11	+17	Down	-$1	03-11 19:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	3	$22	31	12	+19	Up	+$2	10-22 17:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 19:15 UTC	5	$22	30	19	+10	Up	-$5	03-11 19:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 00:00 UTC	3	$22	25	11	+14	Up	-$1	03-09 00:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 02:35 UTC	4	$22	58	11	+47	Up	$0	03-09 02:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	4	$22	23	23	+0	Up	+$2	10-21 21:37
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 19:45 UTC	3	$22	25	12	+14	Down	+$2	03-11 19:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	3	$21	24	11	+13	Up	+$1	10-21 22:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-22 18:00:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x672a0b…
10-22 18:00:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x8e3dd1…
10-22 17:56:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x4faa70…
10-22 17:56:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xb82720…
10-22 17:56:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xd4ec15…
10-22 17:55:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x9512fc…
10-22 17:53:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x639712…
10-22 17:52:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x9e29af…
10-22 17:41:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x4af6cf…
10-22 17:40:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x7d61d0…
10-22 17:39:26	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x787d4d…
10-21 22:41:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x64d9c0…
10-21 22:40:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x5c00b6…
10-21 22:38:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	SELL	17	2¢	$0	0x4141cd…
10-21 22:37:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x2c264f…
10-21 22:37:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x492e7e…
10-21 22:36:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x49fad8…
10-21 22:36:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xb31f12…
10-21 22:36:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xd8a045…
10-21 22:35:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xd5c796…
10-21 22:32:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xbd9d3e…
10-21 22:30:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0xd7056f…
10-21 22:28:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x98b9c2…
10-21 22:28:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	SELL	3	90¢	$3	0x9865a5…
10-21 22:27:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xa78be5…
10-21 22:27:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	SELL	13	44¢	$6	0x6eff93…
10-21 22:25:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xcb379b…
10-21 22:23:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0xba0a89…
10-21 22:23:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x87d34f…
10-21 22:22:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xa56972…
10-21 22:21:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	SELL	12	13¢	$2	0x557cf0…
10-21 22:20:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xf92792…
10-21 22:20:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x25ed0e…
10-21 22:17:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x2c2e1e…
10-21 22:16:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	SELL	17	74¢	$12	0x7f52c6…
10-21 22:16:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x8a5282…
10-21 22:15:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x29632e…
10-21 22:14:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x312310…
10-21 22:10:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x2e773a…
10-21 22:10:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x431b7b…
10-21 22:07:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	SELL	5	11¢	$1	0x8431d5…
10-21 22:06:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	SELL	6	84¢	$5	0x3e49b1…
10-21 22:05:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xb67158…
10-21 22:05:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x52e175…
10-21 22:01:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xfc02f2…
10-21 22:00:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x820660…
10-21 21:58:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	8¢	$0	0x13ec7e…
10-21 21:58:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	SELL	4	90¢	$4	0xd08af1…
10-21 21:57:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xf7927c…
10-21 21:56:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xffd45b…
10-21 21:37:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	SELL	10	3¢	$0	0xbe8d2e…
10-21 21:37:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	SELL	13	91¢	$12	0x3e6f83…
10-21 21:36:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xf34b71…
10-21 21:35:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x98474f…
10-21 21:33:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0xd052bc…
10-21 21:33:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	SELL	6	86¢	$5	0x526e7a…
10-21 21:32:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x83cef3…
10-21 21:30:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0xa63821…
10-21 21:28:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	SELL	7	10¢	$1	0xdb8fbd…
10-21 21:28:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	SELL	6	93¢	$5	0xd96938…
10-21 21:27:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0xb6d92c…
10-21 21:26:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x09f427…
10-21 21:21:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x8329d5…
10-21 21:20:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xb27d5f…
10-21 21:19:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xcbc1a1…
10-21 21:19:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x91628e…
10-21 19:16:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xf6f442…
03-18 18:42:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 18:40 UTC	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xeb65c0…
03-18 18:41:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 18:40 UTC	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x6953d9…
03-18 18:41:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 18:40 UTC	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xe3ad73…
03-18 18:12:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 18:10 UTC	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x1b50d8…
03-18 18:10:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 18:10 UTC	Up	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0xecaf25…
03-18 18:10:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 18:10 UTC	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x0b66db…
03-18 18:08:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 18:05 UTC	Up	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x769e5e…
03-11 20:03:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0x6542a6…
03-11 20:02:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xd30a1c…
03-11 20:01:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0xc9928b…
03-11 20:00:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	11	43¢	$5	0x508993…
03-11 19:59:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 19:55 UTC	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xbe8ee6…
03-11 19:55:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 19:55 UTC	Up	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x920e5f…
03-11 19:55:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 19:50 UTC	Up	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0x72fe80…
03-11 19:54:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 19:50 UTC	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x039686…
03-11 19:53:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 19:50 UTC	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xe59bde…
03-11 19:52:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 19:50 UTC	Up	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0x851d71…
03-11 19:51:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 19:50 UTC	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x37d152…
03-11 19:50:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 19:50 UTC	Down	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x73cf8b…
03-11 19:50:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 19:45 UTC	Down	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0xa7b1eb…
03-11 19:46:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 19:45 UTC	Down	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x980e6f…
03-11 19:45:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 19:45 UTC	Up	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xf2c467…
03-11 19:45:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 19:40 UTC	Up	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0x8435dd…
03-11 19:44:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 19:40 UTC	Down	BUY	4	80¢	$3	0xbfd7ad…
03-11 19:43:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 19:40 UTC	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x8eeee8…
03-11 19:42:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 19:40 UTC	Down	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0x2018ef…
03-11 19:41:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 19:40 UTC	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xe5d1f1…
03-11 19:40:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 19:35 UTC	Up	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x041d6c…
03-11 19:39:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 19:35 UTC	Up	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x3d2cdd…
03-11 19:39:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 19:35 UTC	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xab1a12…
03-11 19:39:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 19:35 UTC	Up	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0xc42b5b…
03-11 19:38:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 19:35 UTC	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x1b7deb…
03-11 19:36:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 19:35 UTC	Up	SELL	12	49¢	$6	0xf7f2cb…