Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$21

Unrealized P&L

+$18

Hit rate

49.0%

Resolved

Trades

126

lifetime

Volume

$476

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-18

last 07-15 17:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 38 days

Categories

Other

55% 16% +$11

Politics

43% 18% -$27

Tech

1% 0% -$3

Crypto

0% 0% -$1

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$1

Sports

0% 0% -$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-15).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes		-1,951	-$23	0¢	$-5	+$18	07-15 17:20

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will rory mcilroy win the 2026 masters tournament	5	$86	73	73	+0	Yes	+$42	04-12 23:16
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	2	$37	77	77	+0	Yes	+$17	04-08 05:18
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	3	$34	81	43	+38	No	+$26	04-08 05:23
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	2	$27	28	28	+0	Yes	+$18	04-07 22:40
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?	2	$23	0	1,951	-1,951	open	—	07-15 17:20
Will Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	1	$16	327	0	+327	No	-$16	04-19 20:18
will scottie scheffler win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$15	50	50	+0	No	-$7	04-12 17:51
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	1	$11	220	0	+220	Yes	-$11	04-09 22:49
will uae strike iran by march 31	2	$10	50	50	+0	No	$0	03-17 15:54
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?	2	$8	26	26	+0	No	-$4	04-16 03:35
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	2	$7	16	16	+0	Yes	-$1	02-28 05:41
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	1	$7	7,260	0	+7,260	Yes	-$7	04-09 20:50
will monthly inflation increase by 0pt2 in february 422	2	$7	11	11	+0	No	+$1	02-28 23:04
us strike on somalia by february 28 399	3	$7	33	17	+16	Yes	-$1	02-25 14:24
Will Lori Chavez-DeRemer be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	2	$7	10	10	+0	Yes	+$1	04-12 17:52
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	2	$6	20	20	+0	No	-$2	04-12 17:55
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	4	$6	41	41	+0	No	-$2	04-15 23:28
will the us next strike iran during the week of march 1 7 2026 et	2	$6	16	16	+0	No	+$1	02-25 14:14
Iran leadership change by April 30?	2	$6	36	36	+0	No	-$2	04-15 23:29
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	2	$6	8	8	+0	No	$0	03-23 03:20
Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?	2	$6	10	10	+0	No	$0	03-18 18:34
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	2	$5	12	12	+0	No	-$1	03-23 03:20
will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165	2	$5	1,000	1,000	+0	No	-$1	04-04 21:27
us forcibly removes khamenei from power by march 31	1	$5	38	0	+38	No	-$5	02-28 23:06
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$5	413	0	+413	Yes	-$5	04-15 23:30
iran leadership change by march 31	2	$4	25	25	+0	No	-$2	03-23 03:26
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?	1	$4	4,250	0	+4,250	Yes	-$4	04-13 01:42
donald trump of truth social posts april 10 april 17 100 119	2	$4	6	6	+0	No	+$0	04-12 17:55
will trump say finish the job this week march 29	1	$4	7	0	+7	No	-$4	03-23 05:22
will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	2	$4	7	7	+0	No	$0	02-18 19:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-15 17:20:28	Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,232	1¢	$13	0xec869b…
07-15 15:10:11	Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	719	1¢	$10	0xd7d358…
05-31 14:15:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on May 31?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x8458ae…
05-31 14:14:52	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xdd8f71…
05-31 14:12:41	Will Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?	Yes	SELL	5	43¢	$2	0x5676f8…
04-23 04:03:28	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x13b5e7…
04-19 20:18:24	Will Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	327	5¢	$16	0x8a38b6…
04-16 03:36:08	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	11	6¢	$1	0x7b42b1…
04-16 03:35:58	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?	Yes	SELL	26	7¢	$2	0x7c1045…
04-15 23:30:36	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	363	1¢	$4	0xca2b88…
04-15 23:29:32	Iran leadership change by April 30?	Yes	SELL	36	6¢	$2	0x3ddb98…
04-15 23:28:50	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	SELL	24	2¢	$0	0xda6fc4…
04-13 01:42:41	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?	No	BUY	4,250	0¢	$4	0xd7b50d…
04-12 23:16:19	will rory mcilroy win the 2026 masters tournament	Yes	SELL	43	100¢	$43	0x8f00d7…
04-12 17:59:07	Will Anthropic have the second-best Coding AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	9	9¢	$1	0x0f8354…
04-12 17:56:45	will rory mcilroy win the 2026 masters tournament	Yes	BUY	31	35¢	$11	0xbba2b8…
04-12 17:55:47	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	SELL	20	12¢	$2	0xe9daab…
04-12 17:55:17	donald trump of truth social posts april 10 april 17 100 119	Yes	SELL	6	34¢	$2	0x6da8e7…
04-12 17:54:19	Trump out as President by April 30?	Yes	SELL	53	1¢	$1	0xc5620e…
04-12 17:52:59	Will Lori Chavez-DeRemer be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	Yes	SELL	10	40¢	$4	0x7654df…
04-12 17:52:43	will rory mcilroy win the 2026 masters tournament	Yes	BUY	12	35¢	$4	0xe8737c…
04-12 17:51:07	will scottie scheffler win the 2026 masters tournament	Yes	SELL	50	8¢	$4	0xf44f87…
04-11 18:39:41	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?	Yes	BUY	26	23¢	$6	0xdb4f4b…
04-11 18:38:53	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 15	Yes	BUY	18	17¢	$3	0x8feb5c…
04-11 07:48:43	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	No	BUY	33	2¢	$1	0x7f17f0…
04-11 07:46:33	Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?	No	BUY	56	2¢	$1	0x2f69d7…
04-11 07:45:59	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	429	1¢	$3	0x3d4520…
04-11 07:45:45	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	300	1¢	$3	0x222e1a…
04-11 07:45:31	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x002241…
04-11 07:45:17	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xf2111c…
04-11 01:02:03	will rory mcilroy win the 2026 masters tournament	Yes	SELL	30	69¢	$20	0xff029f…
04-09 22:49:33	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	No	BUY	220	5¢	$11	0x75f472…
04-09 22:47:41	Will Anthropic have the second-best Coding AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x4ea504…
04-09 22:45:21	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x315d21…
04-09 22:43:55	will rory mcilroy win the 2026 masters tournament	Yes	BUY	30	24¢	$7	0x32ea80…
04-09 20:57:49	will scottie scheffler win the 2026 masters tournament	Yes	BUY	50	22¢	$11	0x0557fd…
04-09 20:50:09	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	7,260	0¢	$7	0xd80a5d…
04-09 02:22:29	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 220 239	Yes	SELL	7	36¢	$2	0x5cf493…
04-08 05:25:29	donald trump of truth social posts april 10 april 17 60 79	Yes	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0xd54888…
04-08 05:25:19	donald trump of truth social posts april 10 april 17 100 119	Yes	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x9cbc26…
04-08 05:25:05	donald trump of truth social posts april 10 april 17 80 99	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x449da7…
04-08 05:23:55	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	Yes	BUY	38	3¢	$1	0x1e507e…
04-08 05:23:27	Trump out as President by April 30?	Yes	BUY	53	2¢	$1	0x216d87…
04-08 05:19:49	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x9a6e80…
04-08 05:18:37	Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	77	35¢	$27	0x498f3d…
04-07 22:40:57	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	Yes	SELL	28	81¢	$22	0xc51609…
04-04 21:34:43	Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0x36edcf…
04-04 21:27:59	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	BUY	24	4¢	$1	0xc2d42b…
04-04 21:27:51	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 220 239	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x013390…
04-04 21:27:29	will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$2	0x3f6306…
04-04 21:26:53	will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$3	0xbe6760…
04-04 21:26:37	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	Yes	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x1e1ac7…
04-04 21:26:03	Iran leadership change by April 30?	Yes	BUY	36	11¢	$4	0x16e9d7…
04-04 21:25:27	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0xd83306…
04-04 21:23:39	Will Lori Chavez-DeRemer be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xf270ec…
03-24 07:02:41	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	91	0¢	$0	0x0df2ee…
03-23 05:22:21	will trump say finish the job this week march 29	Yes	BUY	7	58¢	$4	0x0dfba7…
03-23 03:27:51	will crude oil cl hit low 65 by end of march 687 631 179 583 222 896 946 953 469 231 749	Yes	SELL	28	2¢	$1	0xc9f8c3…
03-23 03:27:07	trump out as president by march 31	Yes	SELL	111	0¢	$0	0xbf8e79…
03-23 03:26:13	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	SELL	43	2¢	$1	0x272fa0…
03-23 03:26:01	iran leadership change by march 31	Yes	SELL	25	6¢	$2	0xe31f41…
03-23 03:22:31	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	SELL	18	11¢	$2	0x0a171f…
03-23 03:22:15	will trump send tomahawk to ukraine by march 31	Yes	SELL	110	1¢	$1	0x11cf07…
03-23 03:20:37	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	Yes	SELL	12	18¢	$2	0x2766da…
03-23 03:20:29	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	SELL	8	36¢	$3	0xdd2702…
03-18 18:34:33	Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	10	25¢	$2	0xad59f6…
03-17 22:13:17	will india strike pakistan by march 31	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x2556f2…
03-17 22:13:01	will trump send tomahawk to ukraine by march 31	Yes	BUY	110	1¢	$1	0xe12395…
03-17 15:54:33	will uae strike iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	50	9¢	$4	0xd8e4ae…
03-17 15:54:01	will uae strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x7c6ac6…
03-17 15:51:39	trump out as president by march 31	Yes	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0x9dc396…
03-17 15:51:15	Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x0e185b…
03-17 15:50:39	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0xe6d33b…
03-17 15:50:23	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	91	1¢	$1	0x0802da…
03-17 15:45:13	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	BUY	18	17¢	$3	0x5df0f9…
03-17 15:44:49	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	12	24¢	$3	0x5e3d52…
03-17 15:44:25	iran leadership change by march 31	Yes	BUY	25	12¢	$3	0x8e7496…
03-17 15:41:03	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	BUY	43	5¢	$2	0x260803…
03-17 15:40:35	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0x818eee…
03-17 15:40:19	will crude oil cl hit low 65 by end of march 687 631 179 583 222 896 946 953 469 231 749	Yes	BUY	28	4¢	$1	0x8c9c44…
03-17 15:39:53	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	Yes	BUY	12	26¢	$3	0xbe3154…
03-17 15:35:09	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	SELL	43	71¢	$30	0xdd3ee4…
02-28 23:06:57	us forcibly removes khamenei from power by march 31	Yes	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x9bb9ef…
02-28 23:04:39	will monthly inflation increase by 0pt2 in february 422	Yes	SELL	11	36¢	$4	0x80692f…
02-28 23:04:31	will bad bunny have the greatest number of monthly spotify listeners this month 952	Yes	SELL	13	9¢	$1	0x2139e1…
02-28 14:01:27	will bad bunny have the greatest number of monthly spotify listeners this month 952	Yes	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0x9d905b…
02-28 05:41:29	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	SELL	16	21¢	$3	0x089fdd…
02-25 14:24:38	us strike on somalia by february 28 399	No	BUY	16	20¢	$3	0x90a978…
02-25 14:23:42	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	BUY	43	7¢	$3	0x492711…
02-25 14:14:50	will the us next strike iran during the week of march 1 7 2026 et	Yes	SELL	16	22¢	$4	0x4ee8ce…
02-25 14:14:34	us strike on somalia by february 28 399	No	SELL	17	18¢	$3	0x51275a…
02-23 04:55:26	us evacuates guadalajara consulate by feb 28	Yes	BUY	55	6¢	$3	0xfd6917…
02-23 04:52:24	prince andrew charged by march 31	Yes	SELL	12	13¢	$2	0xed7982…
02-23 04:52:14	will the dhs shutdown last 21 days or more 531	No	SELL	9	19¢	$2	0xd49209…
02-23 04:51:04	will the us next strike iran during the week of march 1 7 2026 et	Yes	BUY	16	16¢	$3	0x85a26a…
02-23 04:50:18	will the us next strike iran during the week of march 15 21 2026 et	Yes	SELL	22	4¢	$1	0x72c237…
02-23 04:50:12	will the us next strike iran during the week of february 22 28 2026 et	Yes	SELL	9	19¢	$2	0x71ece8…
02-20 17:58:26	will monthly inflation increase by 0pt2 in february 422	Yes	BUY	11	30¢	$3	0xd7cff7…
02-20 17:57:48	Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0x297396…
02-20 17:57:30	will the dhs shutdown last 21 days or more 531	No	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0xb98551…