Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$336

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

65.1%

Resolved

332

Trades

1,159

lifetime

Volume

$12.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

$42

3 positions

First seen

2026-03-15

last 10-26 20:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 46 days

Categories

Other

68% 57% -$89

Politics

31% 57% -$247

Tech

1% — —

Sports

0% 50% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

53 active days in 12wk • peak 94 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026?	No	+25	$21	90¢	$23	+$2	10-20 10:21
New pandemic in 2026?	No	+20	$19	97¢	$19	+$0	10-08 20:54
will wti dip to 80 in october 2026	Yes	+8	$4	2¢	$0	-$4	09-30 13:54

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?	28	$1.1K	1,017	1,017	+0	No	+$56	09-23 22:31
Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	24	$865	1,095	1,095	+0	No	-$246	10-05 00:02
LoL: KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas vs Golden Lions - Game 3 Winner	29	$680	449	449	+0	cancelled	-$49	09-29 11:10
lula flips bolsonaro for brazil president by september 30	15	$586	309	309	+0	No	+$30	09-29 16:35
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	26	$523	719	719	+0	Yes	+$1	10-18 18:11
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	11	$478	485	485	+0	No	-$36	10-25 22:54
lula flips bolsonaro for brazil president by october 15	11	$397	247	247	+0	No	+$54	10-04 23:22
Brazil bans Discord by September 30, 2026?	12	$295	213	213	+0	No	-$58	10-01 01:54
lol sly zsk 2026 09 23	11	$271	197	197	+0	Solary	+$16	09-23 11:29
Lula or Bolsonaro favored on October 5?	7	$251	137	137	+0	Bolsonaro	+$16	10-04 21:28
Lula participates in debate before first round?	8	$232	120	120	+0	No	+$3	10-03 11:50
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?	22	$190	640	640	+0	No	-$18	09-28 13:44
LoL: Saigon Warriors vs 9Gaming (BO3) - VCS Finals Playoffs	11	$152	170	30	+140	Saigon Warriors	+$25	09-24 11:12
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	7	$144	90	90	+0	Yes	-$4	09-17 05:51
Lula or Bolsonaro favored on October 3?	3	$143	74	74	+0	Bolsonaro	+$5	10-01 14:37
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	6	$129	83	51	+33	Yes	+$2	09-30 09:43
Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?	14	$128	256	256	+0	open	—	10-20 18:28
lol vie tpe 2026 09 30 game1	14	$128	119	75	+44	Chinese Taipei	-$6	10-01 00:50
Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	4	$127	74	74	+0	No	+$1	09-29 00:33
LoL: Estral Esports vs 9z Globant - Game 2 Winner	6	$119	64	64	+0	Estral Esports	+$5	09-29 22:01
LoL: CyberCore Esports vs MVK Academy (BO3) - VCS Finals Playoffs	10	$117	139	78	+61	MVK Academy	-$65	09-24 14:01
lol ktc gal 2026 09 28 game1	13	$106	84	84	+0	Galions	+$12	09-28 10:11
lol fnl vksa 2026 09 25	4	$105	115	0	+115	Vivo Keyd Stars Academy	+$10	09-25 07:26
LoL: CyberCore Esports vs MVK Academy - Game 1 Winner	7	$98	57	57	+0	MVK Academy	+$10	09-24 12:10
LoL: ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix vs Bilibili Gaming Junior (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group B	5	$96	120	60	+60	Bilibili Gaming Junior	-$18	09-24 11:35
LoL: ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group B	4	$95	100	20	+80	KT Rolster Challengers	+$9	09-24 08:52
LoL: CyberCore Esports vs MVK Academy - Game 2 Winner	9	$94	111	111	-0	CyberCore Esports	-$69	09-24 13:13
lol ktc gal 2026 09 28 game2	13	$81	59	59	+0	Galions	-$1	09-28 11:08
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	5	$75	65	65	+0	open	—	09-12 16:10
Will "Digger" score at least 49 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	6	$71	39	39	+0	Yes	+$5	10-05 03:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 20:53:12	Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?	Under	BUY	12	47¢	$6	0xdd2a25…
10-26 20:34:30	Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?	Under	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0xa4266a…
10-26 20:16:38	LoL: LOS vs Team Secret Whales (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Team Secret Whales	SELL	20	16¢	$3	0x405475…
10-26 20:09:32	Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?	Over	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0x4fb8ec…
10-26 20:09:21	Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?	Under	BUY	12	50¢	$6	0x2002c7…
10-26 20:08:21	Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?	Over	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0xf82aca…
10-26 20:07:36	Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?	Under	BUY	1	51¢	$1	0x1fcc86…
10-26 19:38:12	LoL: LOS vs Team Secret Whales - Game 1 Winner	LOS	SELL	15	53¢	$8	0xdae7c7…
10-26 19:28:06	LoL: LOS vs Team Secret Whales - Game 1 Winner	LOS	BUY	15	53¢	$8	0x95bf59…
10-26 19:23:14	Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?	Under	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0x8f819b…
10-26 19:15:59	Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?	Under	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0x36a5ee…
10-26 19:11:24	LoL: LOS vs Team Secret Whales (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Team Secret Whales	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0x576805…
10-26 17:45:53	Will Bilibili Gaming Make the Worlds 2026 Grand Final?	No	BUY	8	72¢	$6	0x364f24…
10-26 17:43:00	LoL: Karmine Corp vs Bilibili Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Karmine Corp	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x297d79…
10-26 15:26:06	Will Bilibili Gaming Make the Worlds 2026 Grand Final?	No	BUY	23	75¢	$17	0x27781d…
10-26 14:04:12	Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?	Over	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xc9722f…
10-26 12:50:36	Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?	Under	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xb691a5…
10-26 12:36:30	Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?	Under	BUY	2	37¢	$1	0x2901d6…
10-26 11:54:53	Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?	Over	BUY	12	53¢	$6	0x99233a…
10-25 22:54:26	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	79	27¢	$21	0xcc7a03…
10-25 21:09:24	Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?	Under	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0x68037b…
10-25 19:57:33	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	24	76¢	$18	0x786d14…
10-25 19:54:17	Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?	Over	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x453124…
10-25 19:45:26	Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?	Over	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0xb6fd9c…
10-25 19:44:09	Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?	Under	SELL	12	47¢	$6	0xef1ae2…
10-25 19:34:27	LoL: Dplus KIA vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winner	Dplus KIA	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x825785…
10-25 18:55:48	Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?	Under	BUY	12	44¢	$5	0x5bde0d…
10-25 18:40:15	Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?	Under	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x48d6c2…
10-25 18:38:33	Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?	Under	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0x0928be…
10-25 18:33:23	Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?	Under	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0x53d31a…
10-25 18:33:05	Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?	Over	SELL	17	22¢	$4	0x0642f4…
10-25 17:34:06	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Invictus Gaming	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0xdcd971…
10-25 16:44:06	LoL: Top Esports vs G2 Esports (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Top Esports	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xf262f6…
10-25 16:42:12	Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?	Over	BUY	17	49¢	$8	0x89a97f…
10-25 16:19:18	Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?	Over	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x835611…
10-25 16:05:59	Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?	Over	BUY	2	60¢	$2	0x420699…
10-25 15:55:39	Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?	Over	BUY	2	60¢	$2	0x1904ff…
10-25 14:10:02	Will LYON Make the Worlds 2026 Grand Final?	No	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0xc6af44…
10-25 14:07:30	Will T1 Make the Worlds 2026 Grand Final?	No	BUY	30	63¢	$19	0xcdd96f…
10-25 14:06:44	Will Hanwha Life Esports Make the Worlds 2026 Grand Final?	Yes	BUY	26	35¢	$9	0x177805…
10-24 20:45:14	Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?	Over	BUY	12	54¢	$6	0xd800ad…
10-24 20:43:41	Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?	Over	BUY	12	52¢	$6	0xbc2389…
10-24 20:42:23	LoL: LYON vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Karmine Corp	SELL	15	21¢	$3	0x67be9e…
10-24 20:31:45	Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?	Under	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0x3e3343…
10-24 20:31:27	LoL: LYON vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Karmine Corp	BUY	15	84¢	$13	0x263c8b…
10-24 20:30:23	Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?	Over	SELL	18	20¢	$4	0x14df56…
10-24 18:54:45	Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?	Over	BUY	12	58¢	$7	0xc51b89…
10-24 18:37:35	Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?	Under	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xf01c9e…
10-24 18:36:17	Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?	Under	BUY	9	41¢	$4	0x077642…
10-24 18:34:00	LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Movistar KOI (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Movistar KOI	SELL	8	94¢	$8	0x39eca0…
10-24 18:31:09	Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?	Under	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x222727…
10-24 18:30:59	Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?	Under	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x55eaae…
10-24 18:29:51	Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?	Over	SELL	15	36¢	$5	0x284f58…
10-24 18:29:08	Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?	Over	BUY	15	47¢	$7	0xe035e9…
10-24 18:19:48	LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Movistar KOI (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Movistar KOI	BUY	8	77¢	$6	0x00049c…
10-24 17:59:08	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	40	84¢	$33	0xdee8c8…
10-24 17:42:54	Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?	Over	BUY	15	50¢	$8	0xbcdfa1…
10-24 17:30:00	Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?	Over	SELL	11	67¢	$7	0x9e34e0…
10-24 17:29:29	Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?	Over	BUY	18	41¢	$7	0xc9fa11…
10-24 16:44:45	Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?	Over	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x15164f…
10-23 23:50:32	LoL: Team Secret Whales vs LYON (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	LYON	SELL	18	57¢	$10	0x44cf7b…
10-23 23:50:30	Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?	Over	BUY	13	48¢	$6	0x254f57…
10-23 23:39:03	Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?	Under	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0x94e73c…
10-23 23:36:26	Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?	Under	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0x577733…
10-23 23:35:47	Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?	Over	SELL	10	16¢	$2	0x848a8a…
10-23 23:30:42	LoL: LOS vs T1 (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	LOS	BUY	11	8¢	$1	0x9406e2…
10-23 23:24:29	Will any game at Worlds 2026 last 50 minutes or more?	No	SELL	22	6¢	$1	0xfaaf4b…
10-23 23:24:14	Will any game at Worlds 2026 last 50 minutes or more?	No	SELL	8	7¢	$1	0x3aec42…
10-23 23:22:59	Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?	Over	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0x0107dc…
10-23 21:40:47	LoL: G2 Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	G2 Esports	SELL	10	80¢	$8	0xbe8211…
10-23 21:33:24	LoL: G2 Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	G2 Esports	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0xd5632d…
10-23 20:42:33	LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Anyone's Legend	SELL	7	13¢	$1	0x37ef1e…
10-23 20:19:24	LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Anyone's Legend	BUY	7	60¢	$4	0xaf49ab…
10-23 19:59:12	LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Anyone's Legend	SELL	15	67¢	$10	0x022031…
10-23 19:49:36	LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Movistar KOI (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Movistar KOI	SELL	5	66¢	$3	0xe4a476…
10-23 19:41:24	LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Movistar KOI (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Movistar KOI	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xcebb1e…
10-23 19:35:02	LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Movistar KOI (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Movistar KOI	SELL	8	67¢	$5	0xc626d5…
10-23 19:21:57	LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Movistar KOI (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Movistar KOI	BUY	8	47¢	$4	0x79ffe9…
10-23 15:55:17	LoL: Team Liquid vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Team Liquid	SELL	14	72¢	$10	0x170851…
10-23 11:47:29	Will any game at Worlds 2026 last 50 minutes or more?	No	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0xb12a9a…
10-23 01:41:56	LoL: Gen.G vs Invictus Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Gen.G	SELL	13	77¢	$10	0x739bc6…
10-22 17:22:15	Will any game at Worlds 2026 last 50 minutes or more?	No	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x68e6f8…
10-22 14:50:44	Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 4?	Over	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x75482c…
10-22 14:44:26	LoL: Galions vs Solary - Game 3 Winner	Solary	BUY	9	60¢	$5	0x49ad0e…
10-22 14:37:54	Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 4?	Over	BUY	13	53¢	$7	0xc811ac…
10-22 14:16:53	LoL: Galions vs Solary (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs	Solary	SELL	12	52¢	$6	0x5a8d4d…
10-22 13:46:53	LoL: Galions vs Solary - Game 2 Winner	Solary	SELL	9	91¢	$8	0xedc876…
10-22 13:34:24	LoL: Galions vs Solary - Game 2 Winner	Solary	BUY	9	72¢	$6	0x1ad55b…
10-22 12:54:36	Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?	Over	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x5bfa51…
10-22 12:02:54	Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 3?	Under	BUY	13	49¢	$6	0x114ccf…
10-22 12:02:38	LoL: Galions vs Solary (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs	Solary	BUY	12	45¢	$5	0xb34ffa…
10-21 10:01:53	LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Movistar KOI (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Bilibili Gaming	SELL	13	82¢	$11	0x3217ff…
10-20 18:28:15	Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?	No	SELL	20	85¢	$17	0x1001d5…
10-20 12:57:36	Will any game at Worlds 2026 last 50 minutes or more?	No	BUY	17	70¢	$12	0xd50e83…
10-20 10:21:00	France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	25	83¢	$21	0x5c8ebf…
10-19 21:05:12	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	15	77¢	$12	0x7ad059…
10-19 20:52:08	LoL: Team Liquid vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Team Liquid	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0xdbcdef…
10-19 20:51:30	LoL: Team Secret Whales vs LYON (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	LYON	BUY	18	59¢	$11	0xffd636…
10-19 20:30:48	LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Movistar KOI (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	13	82¢	$11	0xf0bee1…
10-19 20:29:38	LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Anyone's Legend	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x6438d4…